tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Merit Medical Systems (MMSI)
NASDAQ:MMSI

Merit Medical Systems (MMSI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
350 Followers

Top Page

MMSI

Merit Medical Systems

(NASDAQ:MMSI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$90.00
▲(16.61% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability improvement and robust cash generation) and a generally positive earnings outlook despite noted headwinds. These are tempered by mixed technical momentum (below key longer-term moving averages with negative MACD) and a demanding valuation (P/E ~42 with no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Merit’s consistent improvement in cash generation — operating cash flow roughly doubled from 2020 to 2025 and free cash flow reached $297M — supports durable investment capacity, debt service, and M&A funding, underpinning long‑term financial flexibility even if growth moderates.
Sustained revenue and margin expansion
Multi‑year top‑line growth coupled with expanding gross and non‑GAAP operating margins indicates structural improvement in pricing, product mix, and cost efficiency. That combination supports durable profitability and cash conversion versus peers across a 2–6 month horizon and into the company’s CGI targets.
Strategic platform alignment and supportive balance sheet
Management’s platform strategy plus disciplined inorganic activity and clear CGI targets provide a repeatable growth framework. Coupled with ample liquidity, borrowing capacity and moderate leverage, this structural setup improves resilience to shocks and enables targeted investments over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Material rise in total debt
Debt grew materially since 2022, raising leverage risk relative to earlier years. While coverage and liquidity remain reasonable today, higher absolute debt increases sensitivity to demand shocks, interest cost variability, or weaker cash flow, constraining financial flexibility over the next several quarters.
OEM weakness and customer destocking
Significant OEM demand softness and customer inventory destocking reflect structural channel and demand volatility that can persist. Reduced OEM orders can depress revenue visibility and make growth lumpy, undermining the predictability of recurring sales and amplifying downside risk to margins if volumes stay muted.
Divestiture reduces near‑term revenue base
The strategic sale of the DualCap line trims the company’s revenue base and creates a measurable headwind to reported growth. While potentially beneficial long term, this reduces near‑term organic growth metrics and requires other product ramps or M&A to offset lost revenue and sustain CAGR targets.

Merit Medical Systems (MMSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Merit Medical Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMerit Medical Systems, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets single-use medical products for interventional, diagnostic, and therapeutic procedures, primarily in cardiology, radiology, oncology, critical care, and endoscopy. The company operates in two segments, Cardiovascular and Endoscopy. It provides peripheral intervention products for the diagnosis and treatment of diseases in peripheral vessels and organs; and cardiac intervention products, such as access, angiography, electrophysiology and cardiac rhythm management, fluid management, hemodynamic monitoring, hemostasis, and intervention to treat various heart conditions. The company also offers custom procedural solutions that include critical care products, disinfection protection systems, syringes, manifold kits, and trays and packs; coated tubes and wires; and sensor components for microelectromechanical systems. In addition, it provides pulmonary products that consist of laser-cut tracheobronchial stents, over-the-wire and direct visualization delivery systems, and dilation balloons to endoscopically dilate strictures; gastroenterology products; and kits and accessories for endoscopy and bronchoscopy procedures. The company sells its products to hospitals and alternate site-based physicians, technicians, and nurses through direct sales force, distributors, original equipment manufacturer partners, or custom procedure tray manufacturers in the United States and internationally. Merit Medical Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in South Jordan, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyMerit Medical generates revenue through the sale of its extensive portfolio of medical devices and related products. The company primarily earns income from direct sales to hospitals, clinics, and healthcare providers, as well as through distribution agreements with third-party distributors. Key revenue streams include sales of interventional cardiology products, imaging and drainage products, and specialty procedures. Additionally, Merit Medical has established partnerships with healthcare organizations and research institutions to develop new technologies and expand its product offerings, further contributing to its earnings. The company's commitment to innovation and its focus on expanding market reach in emerging markets also play a significant role in driving revenue growth.

Merit Medical Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong underlying performance: revenue and margin expansion, record quarterly free cash flow, and full-year results that exceeded the high end of prior guidance. Management set measured 2026 guidance that anticipates continued margin expansion and solid cash generation while calling out known headwinds — notably tariffs, OEM destocking, the impact of the DualCap divestiture, China/VBP effects, and some supply chain lumpiness. Strategic initiatives (platform alignment, product pipeline and disciplined M&A) and a supportive balance sheet were highlighted as offsets to near-term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Growth Exceeded Expectations
Q4 2025 total revenue of $393.9 million, up 11% year-over-year on a GAAP basis and up 10% year-over-year on a constant currency basis; organic constant currency growth in Q4 was 6.6%, modestly above guidance.
Strong Profitability and Margin Expansion
Q4 non-GAAP operating margin increased 138 basis points year-over-year to 21.0%; gross margin in Q4 was 54.5%, up 103 basis points year-over-year and the highest quarterly gross margin in company history.
Earnings and Cash Flow Outperformance
Q4 non-GAAP EPS grew 12% year-over-year and exceeded the high end of guidance; Q4 free cash flow was a company quarterly record of $74 million, up 13% year-over-year.
Strong Full-Year 2025 Financial Results
Full year 2025 constant currency revenue growth of 11%; non-GAAP operating margin of 20.3%, a 131 basis point increase year-over-year; nearly $216 million of free cash flow in 2025, up 16% year-over-year — all exceeding the high end of original 2025 guidance (10% revenue growth, 19.7% margin, $150M FCF).
Product and Segment Strength Driving Growth
Cardiovascular segment +9% in Q4 and Endoscopy +15% in Q4. Cardiac Intervention product sales increased 21% (12% organic excluding acquisitions); Peripheral Intervention sales increased 13% with radar localization and delivery systems >25% year-over-year, contributing materially to PI growth.
Healthy Balance Sheet and Leverage
As of Dec 31, 2025: cash and cash equivalents $446.4 million, total debt $747.5 million, available borrowing capacity ~ $697 million; adjusted net leverage ratio was 1.6x.
2026 Guidance Reflects Continued Profitability and Cash Generation
2026 guidance: GAAP revenue growth 6%–8% (constant currency 5%–7%); organic constant currency growth ~4.5%–6% excluding expected inorganic contributions; non-GAAP diluted EPS $4.01–$4.15 (up 5%–8%); non-GAAP operating margin expansion of ~36–76 basis points; free cash flow at least $200 million and CapEx ~ $90 million.
Strategic Progress and Platform Approach
CEO transition and new leadership/operating structure completed; platform alignment (foundational vs therapeutic products) clarified; continued multi-year CGI targets reiterated: organic revenue CAGR 5%–7%, non-GAAP operating margin 20%–22%, cumulative free cash flow > $400M through 2026.
Negative Updates
OEM Revenue Weakness and Inventory Destocking
Q4 OEM product sales decreased 15%, far below guidance (expected low single-digit growth); U.S. OEM sales declined high single digits due largely to customer inventory destocking, and international OEM demand was impacted by broader macro weakness.
Impact from Divestiture of DualCap Product Line
Divestiture of the DualCap line (sold for $28M) removes ~ $20M of 2025 sales and is estimated to be a ~140 basis point headwind to total constant currency revenue growth in 2026 (approximately 240 basis points headwind to U.S. growth); though strategic, it reduces near-term revenue and introduces modeling headwinds.
Tariff Exposure and Uncertainty
Tariffs were a material headwind in Q4 (noted ~112 basis points incremental impact year-over-year). Company assumes a 12-month tariff impact of approximately $15 million (disclosed as ~$0.19 per share in one place, with a projected incremental impact to 2026 non-GAAP EPS noted as ~$0.07), creating uncertainty and pressure on margins and EPS depending on future tariff actions.
Near-Term Guidance Shows Softer Q1 Margins and Growth
Q1 2026 guidance implies revenue $375M–$380M (+6%–7% GAAP; ~3%–5% constant currency) but organic ex-inorganic growth of only ~2%–3%; expected non-GAAP operating margin for Q1 of ~16.7%–18.5% versus 19.3% prior year, reflecting seasonality, tariff impacts (~80 bps/gross margin headwind referenced) and timing of expenses.
China and International Macro Headwinds
China was down in 2025 (management described it as in line with expectations, roughly down ~2%) and continues to be impacted by volume-based purchasing and macro factors, weighing on OUS results and contributing to uneven international performance.
Ongoing Supply Chain and Operational Lumpiness
Management cited lingering supply chain challenges and vendor consolidations causing some short-term disruptions and lumpiness in deliveries and product availability.
Operating Expense Increases
Operating expenses rose 10% in Q4 (driven by a 10% increase in SG&A and an 8% increase in R&D versus prior year), contributing to pressure on near-term margins despite margin expansion overall.
Rhapsody Early Commercialization Uncertainty
Rhapsody U.S. revenue is expected to be ~$7 million in 2026 (up from $3 million in 2025) and to contribute roughly 25 basis points to growth — company describes the product as early in commercialization with conservative near-term modeling and competition in the space, creating uncertainty around longer-term ramp assumptions.
Company Guidance
Merit’s 2026 guidance targets GAAP net revenue growth of 6–8% (5–7% constant currency, noting an ~80‑bp FX tailwind to GAAP), with inorganic contributions from the BioLife and C2 deals of $13–15M and organic constant‑currency growth of roughly 4.5–6%; U.S. Rhapsody CIE revenue is expected at about $7M (vs. $3M in 2025) while the DualCap divestiture (sold for $28M; DualCap sales/royalties ≈$20M in 2025) is estimated to subtract ~140 bps from consolidated constant‑currency growth (≈240 bps U.S.). Profitability guidance calls for non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $4.01–$4.15 (up 5–8% YoY), driven by non‑GAAP operating margin expansion of about 36–76 bps to ~20.6–21.0%, while assuming a 12‑month tariff impact of ~$15M (≈$0.19/share) and a projected incremental tariff/trade EPS drag of ~$0.07; the company models non‑GAAP interest/other ≈$8M, a ~23% tax rate, diluted shares ≈62.2M (including ~500k incremental shares), and a minimum of $200M free cash flow in 2026 with ~ $90M of CapEx. For Q1 2026 Merit expects revenue of $375–$380M (GAAP +6–7%; cc +3–5%; cc organic ex‑inorganic ~2–3%), Q1 non‑GAAP operating margin of ~16.7–18.5% (vs. 19.3% LY) and Q1 non‑GAAP EPS of $0.77–$0.87 (vs. $0.86 LY).

Merit Medical Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue expansion and profitability improvement, with particularly strong operating/free cash flow generation. Offsets include a meaningful rise in total debt since 2022 and a slight net margin dip in 2025, plus some opacity in the provided 2025 operating margin figure.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The income statement shows solid and improving profitability. Revenue rose steadily from $964M (2020) to $1.52B (2025), with 2025 growth accelerating (262.5% as provided). Gross margin improved over time (about 41.6% in 2020 to 48.7% in 2025), and the company moved from a net loss in 2020 to consistent profitability, reaching $128.5M net income in 2025. Offsetting this, net margin dipped slightly versus 2024 (8.5% vs. 8.9%), and operating profitability in 2025 appears less transparent given the 0.0% operating margin figure provided despite positive operating profit.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet looks generally healthy with a growing equity base ($959M in 2020 to $1.58B in 2025) and improving returns on equity versus earlier years (negative in 2020 to ~8.1% in 2025). Leverage is moderate in the most recent period (debt-to-equity ~0.53 in 2025), and has improved from the 2023 peak (~0.74). However, total debt increased materially versus 2022 ($280M to $832M by 2025), which raises financial risk if operating conditions weaken.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength. Operating cash flow increased from $165M (2020) to $297M (2025), and free cash flow also improved, reaching $297M in 2025 with strong growth (23.958% as provided). Cash conversion is solid: operating cash flow exceeded net income in 2025 (coverage ~1.24), and free cash flow matched net income (1.0). The main weakness is historical volatility—free cash flow declined in 2022 (negative growth), though it has since rebounded strongly.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.52B1.36B1.26B1.15B1.07B
Gross Profit738.27M643.33M583.87M519.10M485.33M
EBITDA332.05M273.97M228.89M181.17M154.96M
Net Income128.49M120.36M94.41M74.52M48.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.69B2.42B2.33B1.66B1.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments448.50M376.71M589.14M58.41M67.75M
Total Debt898.23M794.66M891.36M279.75M325.70M
Total Liabilities1.10B1.04B1.12B519.57M608.50M
Stockholders Equity1.58B1.38B1.20B1.14B1.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow215.65M182.76M108.45M69.26M119.29M
Operating Cash Flow297.37M220.80M145.15M114.29M147.23M
Investing Cash Flow-247.39M-368.65M-175.35M-57.40M-37.16M
Financing Cash Flow16.00M-60.01M559.27M-60.26M-98.44M

Merit Medical Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price77.18
Price Trends
50DMA
83.72
Negative
100DMA
84.20
Negative
200DMA
86.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.06
Positive
RSI
37.36
Neutral
STOCH
16.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MMSI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 77.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.83, below the 50-day MA of 83.72, and below the 200-day MA of 86.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MMSI.

Merit Medical Systems Risk Analysis

Merit Medical Systems disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Merit Medical Systems reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Merit Medical Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$2.46B42.9615.80%0.95%13.07%27.98%
68
Neutral
$4.59B36.308.67%11.49%-2.89%
63
Neutral
$4.24B27.289.81%0.29%9.19%23.06%
60
Neutral
$6.48B-17.96-4.69%6.23%17.53%
57
Neutral
$3.72B6,121.14-0.35%-0.81%93.27%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$5.39B-5.94-5.26%1.11%5.43%-245.18%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MMSI
Merit Medical Systems
77.18
-25.85
-25.09%
ICUI
ICU Medical
150.58
9.02
6.37%
LMAT
Lemaitre Vascular
108.18
16.87
18.47%
TFX
Teleflex
122.06
-11.58
-8.67%
STVN
Stevanato Group
15.52
-2.54
-14.06%
BLCO
Bausch + Lomb Corporation
18.30
2.44
15.38%

Merit Medical Systems Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Merit Medical Posts Strong Q4 Results, Raises 2026 Outlook
Positive
Feb 24, 2026

On February 24, 2026, Merit Medical reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting double‑digit revenue growth and expanding margins. For the quarter, revenue rose 11% to $393.9 million, GAAP operating margin improved to 13.8%, non‑GAAP operating margin reached 21.0%, GAAP EPS climbed 37% to $0.63, non‑GAAP EPS increased 12% to $1.04, and free cash flow grew 13% to $74 million.

For fiscal 2025, revenue increased 12% to $1.516 billion, with constant‑currency organic growth of 7%, GAAP operating margin advancing to 12.2%, non‑GAAP operating margin to 20.3%, GAAP EPS rising 5% to $2.13, non‑GAAP EPS up 11% to $3.83 and free cash flow up 16% to $215.7 million. Management issued 2026 guidance calling for 6%–8% reported revenue growth to as much as $1.63 billion and a further 5%–8% increase in non‑GAAP EPS, underscoring confidence in continued margin expansion and the final‑year targets of its Continued Growth Initiatives Program through 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMSI) stock is a Buy with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Merit Medical Systems stock, see the MMSI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Merit Medical Systems announces new board chair appointment
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Merit Medical Systems announced that its board appointed longtime director and former Lead Independent Director F. Ann Millner as Chair of the Board, effective January 5, 2026, following the January 4, 2026 resignation of company founder Fred P. Lampropoulos as director and Chair, which came after his earlier departure as President and CEO on October 3, 2025 and conclusion as Executive Chair on January 3, 2026. The company emphasized that Lampropoulos’ departure was not due to any disagreement over governance, operations, or financial reporting and that he will continue to advise Merit under a consulting agreement through March 31, 2026, helping to provide continuity as the board also reduced its size from eleven to ten members; at the same time, Merit reported strong preliminary unaudited fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $389 million to $395 million, up about 10% to 11% year over year, signaling solid operational momentum during the leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMSI) stock is a Buy with a $99.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Merit Medical Systems stock, see the MMSI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026