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Merit Medical Systems (MMSI)
NASDAQ:MMSI

Merit Medical Systems (MMSI) AI Stock Analysis

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MMSI

Merit Medical Systems

(NASDAQ:MMSI)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$104.00
▲(27.22% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—especially cash flow quality and a stable balance sheet—plus supportive price momentum and an upbeat earnings outlook with raised/affirmed growth and free-cash-flow expectations. The main offset is valuation, as the high P/E meaningfully reduces the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Merit consistently converts earnings into cash (OCF/net income 1.16; FCF/net income 0.98), supporting durable self-funding of R&D, M&A and working capital. Strong cash conversion enhances financial flexibility to invest and withstand cyclical pressures over the next 2-6 months.
Revenue growth and guidance
Management’s guidance for double-digit GAAP revenue growth and a defined FCF target signals sustainable demand and disciplined capital allocation. Predictable top-line expansion plus explicit cash-generation goals underpin longer-term reinvestment capacity and margin improvement prospects.
Strategic product/portfolio expansion
Closing the C2 CryoBalloon deal broadens Merit’s endoscopy/gastroenterology offerings, creating a durable avenue for incremental revenue and cross-selling into established hospital relationships. Strategic tuck-ins like this can be accretive and strengthen market position over months to years.
Negative Factors
Leadership transition risk
Founder and long-tenured leader exits with a new CEO in place; such turnover can alter strategic priorities, commercial relationships, and execution cadence. Even with internal succession, governance and strategy shifts can affect execution and stakeholder confidence over the medium term.
Reimbursement setback for WRAPSODY
Deferral of the CMS transitional payment means slower reimbursement adoption and puts immediate pricing/coverage uncertainty on WRAPSODY. Although Merit will commercialize directly, delayed favorable reimbursement can limit near-term uptake and extend the timeline to meaningful revenue scale.
Margin and international/headline pressures
Tariff impacts (~90bps) combined with a slight EBIT margin decline and China/OEM softness indicate persistent cost and geographic risks. These structural pressures can compress operating leverage and complicate margin recovery, requiring sustained pricing or efficiency actions to restore margins.

Merit Medical Systems (MMSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Merit Medical Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMerit Medical Systems, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets single-use medical products for interventional, diagnostic, and therapeutic procedures, primarily in cardiology, radiology, oncology, critical care, and endoscopy. The company operates in two segments, Cardiovascular and Endoscopy. It provides peripheral intervention products for the diagnosis and treatment of diseases in peripheral vessels and organs; and cardiac intervention products, such as access, angiography, electrophysiology and cardiac rhythm management, fluid management, hemodynamic monitoring, hemostasis, and intervention to treat various heart conditions. The company also offers custom procedural solutions that include critical care products, disinfection protection systems, syringes, manifold kits, and trays and packs; coated tubes and wires; and sensor components for microelectromechanical systems. In addition, it provides pulmonary products that consist of laser-cut tracheobronchial stents, over-the-wire and direct visualization delivery systems, and dilation balloons to endoscopically dilate strictures; gastroenterology products; and kits and accessories for endoscopy and bronchoscopy procedures. The company sells its products to hospitals and alternate site-based physicians, technicians, and nurses through direct sales force, distributors, original equipment manufacturer partners, or custom procedure tray manufacturers in the United States and internationally. Merit Medical Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in South Jordan, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyMerit Medical generates revenue through the sale of its extensive portfolio of medical devices and related products. The company primarily earns income from direct sales to hospitals, clinics, and healthcare providers, as well as through distribution agreements with third-party distributors. Key revenue streams include sales of interventional cardiology products, imaging and drainage products, and specialty procedures. Additionally, Merit Medical has established partnerships with healthcare organizations and research institutions to develop new technologies and expand its product offerings, further contributing to its earnings. The company's commitment to innovation and its focus on expanding market reach in emerging markets also play a significant role in driving revenue growth.

Merit Medical Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, record gross margins, and a solid free cash flow increase. Product innovation and strategic acquisitions show positive future prospects. However, some challenges remain, particularly in the Endoscopy segment and the China market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $384.2 million, up 13% year-over-year on a GAAP basis and 12.5% on a constant currency basis, exceeding expectations.
Improvement in Operating Margin
Non-GAAP operating margin increased 51 basis points year-over-year to 19.7%, with nearly 7% growth in non-GAAP EPS.
Record Gross Margin
Gross margin was 53.6%, up 267 basis points year-over-year, representing the highest gross margin in the company's history.
Free Cash Flow Increase
The company generated $53 million of free cash flow in Q3, an increase of 38% year-over-year.
Product Innovation and Commercialization
Introduction of Prelude Wave hydrophilic sheath introducer and CE Mark received for Embosphere Microspheres for knee osteoarthritis treatment.
Strategic Acquisition
Agreement to acquire C2 CryoBalloon technology from Pentax of America for $22 million to expand the gastroenterology market presence.
Negative Updates
Endoscopy Segment Growth Lag
Endoscopy segment growth was 4%, at the low end of expectations, due to the integration of new acquisitions and sales force adjustment.
China Market Challenges
Sales in China decreased by 1%, attributed to the broader macro environment, despite better-than-expected VBP impact.
OEM Sales Softness
OEM product sales increased only 3%, with international sales to OEM customers impacted by the macro environment.
Tariff Impacts
Tariffs represented a nearly 90 basis point headwind to the year-over-year improvement in gross margin in Q3.
Company Guidance
During the Merit Medical Systems Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated financial guidance for the fiscal year 2025. The projected GAAP net revenue growth is between 11% and 12%, with Cardiovascular segment growth anticipated at 10% to 11% and Endoscopy segment growth at 32% to 34%. On a constant currency basis, revenue growth is expected to range from 10.3% to 11.2%. Excluding inorganic contributions, organic constant currency revenue growth is forecasted at 5.9% to 6.8%. Moreover, the company projects a non-GAAP diluted EPS between $3.66 and $3.79 and anticipates generating at least $175 million in free cash flow. Operating margins are expected to range from 19.7% to 25%. This updated guidance reflects the strong financial performance in the third quarter, including a 13% increase in total revenue year-over-year, improved gross margins, and a significant rise in free cash flow compared to the prior year.

Merit Medical Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Merit Medical Systems demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, stable profitability, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet shows prudent leverage, though rising debt levels should be monitored.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Merit Medical Systems shows strong revenue growth with a 3.23% increase in TTM, supported by consistent gross profit margins around 47-48%. The net profit margin is healthy at 8.31% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting operational efficiency. Overall, the company demonstrates robust growth and profitability in its income statement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.55 TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is solid at 8.48%, showing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a strong asset base. However, the increase in total debt over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Merit Medical Systems exhibits strong cash flow management with a 26.76% growth in free cash flow TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, indicating good cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also high at 0.94, reflecting efficient cash utilization. Overall, the company maintains a healthy cash flow position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.48B1.36B1.26B1.15B1.07B963.88M
Gross Profit715.90M643.33M583.87M519.10M485.33M401.18M
EBITDA313.03M273.97M228.89M181.17M154.96M103.58M
Net Income118.43M120.36M94.41M74.52M48.45M-9.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.63B2.42B2.33B1.66B1.65B1.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments392.46M376.71M589.14M58.41M67.75M56.92M
Total Debt821.15M794.66M891.36M279.75M325.70M447.97M
Total Liabilities1.10B1.04B1.12B519.57M608.50M705.82M
Stockholders Equity1.53B1.38B1.20B1.14B1.04B958.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow239.90M182.76M108.45M69.26M119.29M115.99M
Operating Cash Flow267.61M220.80M145.15M114.29M147.23M165.27M
Investing Cash Flow-411.50M-368.65M-175.35M-57.40M-37.16M-58.65M
Financing Cash Flow13.37M-60.01M559.27M-60.26M-98.44M-95.71M

Merit Medical Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price81.75
Price Trends
50DMA
86.55
Negative
100DMA
85.67
Negative
200DMA
88.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.90
Positive
RSI
35.29
Neutral
STOCH
4.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MMSI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 81.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.21, below the 50-day MA of 86.55, and below the 200-day MA of 88.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MMSI.

Merit Medical Systems Risk Analysis

Merit Medical Systems disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Merit Medical Systems reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Merit Medical Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.85B41.128.30%11.49%-2.89%
75
Outperform
$1.94B36.7715.02%0.95%13.07%27.98%
67
Neutral
$5.59B35.969.81%0.29%9.19%23.06%
61
Neutral
$4.55B-14.22-7.90%1.11%5.43%-245.18%
61
Neutral
$3.67B-498.94-0.35%-0.81%93.27%
55
Neutral
$6.13B-20.19-4.69%6.23%17.53%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MMSI
Merit Medical Systems
80.35
-22.55
-21.91%
ICUI
ICU Medical
155.12
-8.75
-5.34%
LMAT
Lemaitre Vascular
86.50
-11.65
-11.87%
TFX
Teleflex
104.61
-74.66
-41.65%
STVN
Stevanato Group
21.00
-1.79
-7.84%
BLCO
Bausch + Lomb Corporation
17.44
0.08
0.46%

Merit Medical Systems Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Merit Medical Systems announces new board chair appointment
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Merit Medical Systems announced that its board appointed longtime director and former Lead Independent Director F. Ann Millner as Chair of the Board, effective January 5, 2026, following the January 4, 2026 resignation of company founder Fred P. Lampropoulos as director and Chair, which came after his earlier departure as President and CEO on October 3, 2025 and conclusion as Executive Chair on January 3, 2026. The company emphasized that Lampropoulos’ departure was not due to any disagreement over governance, operations, or financial reporting and that he will continue to advise Merit under a consulting agreement through March 31, 2026, helping to provide continuity as the board also reduced its size from eleven to ten members; at the same time, Merit reported strong preliminary unaudited fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $389 million to $395 million, up about 10% to 11% year over year, signaling solid operational momentum during the leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMSI) stock is a Buy with a $99.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Merit Medical Systems stock, see the MMSI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Merit Medical Systems Begins WRAPSODY CIE Commercialization
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Merit Medical Systems announced on November 13, 2025, that the U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services deferred its application for Transitional Pass-Through payment for its WRAPSODY® Cell-Impermeable Endoprosthesis to the 2027 Outpatient Prospective Payment System rule. Despite this setback, Merit plans to pivot strategically by withdrawing the application and commencing full commercialization of the product in the U.S. immediately. This move aims to enhance patient access and optimize the adoption of the technology, which has shown promising clinical evidence in trials. The company forecasts U.S. revenue from WRAPSODY CIE sales to range between $2 million and $4 million for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMSI) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Merit Medical Systems stock, see the MMSI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Merit Medical Completes Acquisition of C2 CryoBalloon
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Merit Medical Systems completed the acquisition of the C2 CryoBalloon device and related technology from Pentax of America, Inc. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance Merit’s product portfolio and strengthen its position in the medical device market, although it involves substantial risks and uncertainties regarding integration and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMSI) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Merit Medical Systems stock, see the MMSI Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Merit Medical Systems Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Merit Medical Systems announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a revenue of $384.2 million, a 13% increase from the same period in 2024. The company exceeded its financial expectations, prompting an update in its full-year guidance, reflecting confidence in continued growth and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMSI) stock is a Buy with a $104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Merit Medical Systems stock, see the MMSI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Merit Medical Systems Acquires C2 CryoBalloon Technology
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Merit Medical Systems announced a definitive agreement to acquire the C2 CryoBalloon device and related technology from Pentax of America, Inc. for $22 million. This acquisition aims to enhance Merit’s endoscopy portfolio, particularly in the gastroenterology market, by providing innovative solutions for gastrointestinal disorders such as Barrett’s esophagus. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, with anticipated revenue contributions of $6 million to $8 million in 2026. The acquisition is projected to initially dilute Merit’s earnings but is expected to be accretive in the long term, strengthening its market position and expanding treatment options for patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMSI) stock is a Buy with a $104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Merit Medical Systems stock, see the MMSI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026