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Stevanato Group (STVN)
NYSE:STVN

Stevanato Group (STVN) AI Stock Analysis

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STVN

Stevanato Group

(NYSE:STVN)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(8.62% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/24/26
The score is supported by a strong balance sheet and constructive earnings-call momentum (growth in high-value solutions and margin expansion with maintained guidance). It is held back by weak cash flow conversion and a bearish technical setup, with valuation also on the expensive side given the high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet & capital structure
A low debt-to-equity ratio and a ~59.5% equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility to fund capacity expansion, absorb cyclical pharma demand swings, and support multi-year supply contracts. This reduces refinancing risk and preserves ability to invest in long-term growth initiatives.
High-value solutions mix driving growth
Nearly half of revenue now comes from rapidly growing, high-value consumables (Nexa syringes, EZ-fill vials). Such products are typically sticky, require regulatory qualification, and command higher margins, supporting more predictable recurring revenue and long-term margin resilience vs. one-off equipment sales.
Recent margin expansion and profitability
Material margin improvement reflects operational leverage and favorable product mix shift toward higher-margin drug containment solutions. Sustained margin expansion strengthens internal cash generation potential and funds reinvestment in capacity and R&D without immediate reliance on external capital.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow conversion
Severely depressed FCF conversion versus reported earnings limits the firm's ability to self-finance capex and working capital needs tied to capacity expansion. Persistently low FCF raises reliance on external funding, constrains discretionary returns, and reduces buffers against operational shocks.
Engineering segment underperformance
A double-digit decline and weak margins in Engineering point to structural execution or demand issues in capital-equipment projects. Slow order conversion and legacy project mix can produce volatile contribution swings, undermining diversification and creating ongoing margin pressure across reporting periods.
FX, tariff and supply-chain pressures
Meaningful currency and tariff headwinds create recurring revenue and margin variability across geographies. Combined with supply-chain and geopolitical risks noted in reports, these factors complicate long-term planning for capacity utilization and can erode contracted margins on multinational supply agreements.

Stevanato Group (STVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Stevanato Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStevanato Group S.p.A. engages in the design, production, and distribution of products and processes to provide integrated solutions for pharma and healthcare. Its principal products include containment solutions, drug delivery systems, medical devices, diagnostic, analytical services, visual inspection machines, assembling and packaging machines, and glass forming machines. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Piombino Dese, Italy. Stevanato Group S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Stevanato Holding S.R.L.
How the Company Makes MoneyStevanato Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its glass packaging products and drug delivery systems to pharmaceutical and biotech companies. Key revenue streams include the manufacturing and sale of vials, syringes, and cartridges, which are critical for the storage and delivery of injectable drugs. Additionally, the company offers engineering services, including the design and implementation of automated systems for drug packaging and delivery, which further contributes to its earnings. Significant partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies enhance its revenue potential, as these collaborations often lead to long-term contracts and increased demand for its products. The company also benefits from a growing global demand for biologics and personalized medicine, which drives the need for innovative packaging solutions.

Stevanato Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong execution in high-value biopharmaceutical products, with meaningful revenue and margin expansion driven by BDS, high-value solutions and GLP-1 demand; operational investments (Latina, Fishers) and positive free cash flow support the growth strategy. Key challenges include a materially weaker Engineering segment (notably lower Q4 revenue and slower order conversion), FX/tariff headwinds, heavy near-term CapEx and some capacity ramp timing risk. On balance, the positive drivers (robust top-line growth, high-value mix, margin expansion, positive FCF, and constructive 2026 guidance) significantly outweigh the identified negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Total company revenue for fiscal 2025 increased 9% at constant currency and 7% on a reported basis versus 2024, delivering the company guidance-backed growth and positive momentum heading into 2026.
Biopharmaceutical & Diagnostic Solutions (BDS) Outperformance
BDS delivered double-digit full-year growth and finished the fourth quarter with revenue up 13% at constant currency (10% reported) to EUR 307.1 million, offsetting Engineering weakness and driving consolidated results.
High-Value Solutions — Strong Growth and Mix Impact
Revenue from high-value solutions rose 29% for fiscal 2025 and grew 31% in Q4 to EUR 171 million, representing ~46% of full-year company revenue and ~49% of Q4 company revenue—materially contributing to margin expansion.
GLP-1 Tailwind
Revenue from GLP-1 related products accounted for ~19%–20% of total company revenue in 2025 and grew more than 50% year-over-year; management expects GLP-1s to remain a meaningful tailwind, projecting mid-teens GLP-1 growth in 2026.
Margin Expansion
Full-year gross profit margin expanded ~160 basis points versus 2024; Q4 gross profit margin increased 120 basis points to 30.9%, supported by favorable mix toward high-value products and improved utilization at new facilities.
Profitability and Adjusted Metrics (Q4)
Q4 net profit was EUR 47.6 million (diluted EPS EUR 0.17), adjusted net profit EUR 49.8 million (adjusted diluted EPS EUR 0.18). Adjusted EBITDA increased 7% to EUR 97.7 million with adjusted EBITDA margin up 70 basis points to 28.2%.
Positive Free Cash Flow and Strong Operational Cash Generation
For fiscal 2025, cash from operations was EUR 286.1 million and the company generated positive free cash flow of EUR 18.4 million after capital expenditures of EUR 294.9 million (≈89% deployed to growth projects).
2026 Financial Guidance Reflects Continued Growth
Management provided 2026 guidance: revenue EUR 1.260–1.290 billion (constant currency EUR 1.278–1.308 billion), adjusted EBITDA EUR 331.8–346.9 million, adjusted diluted EPS EUR 0.59–0.63, and expected high-value solutions of 47%–48% of revenue.
Strategic Capacity Investments and Global Footprint
Significant investments and ramp activities in Latina (syringe capacity, upcoming EZ-fill cartridge capacity) and Fishers (line installations, customer validations, contract manufacturing build-out) position the company to scale high-value production and serve U.S. onshoring demand.
Negative Updates
Engineering Segment Underperformance
Engineering revenue declined 23% in Q4 to EUR 39.4 million and the segment gross profit margin fell to 15.8% (operating profit margin 9.1%). Management expects Engineering revenue to decline mid-single digit to low double digits in 2026 due to lower prior order intake and slower-than-expected conversion of pipeline opportunities.
Order Intake and Sales Conversion Delays in Engineering
Despite operational improvements (e.g., site acceptance rates doubled in 2025), converting the stronger opportunity pipeline into firm orders has been slower than anticipated, leading to a more cautious near-term outlook for Engineering revenue.
Foreign Exchange and Tariff Headwinds
FX translation was a headwind in 2025 and management models an FX headwind of approximately EUR 18 million for fiscal 2026 (≈EUR 10 million impact in Q1). Tariffs also produced a limited headwind (~EUR 4 million in 2025) and represent an ongoing risk to margins.
Capacity Constraints and Ramp Timelines
Demand for cartridges and high-value products has outpaced prior expectations, requiring additional capacity build-outs; Fishers is still ramping and commercial activity for a large device program is expected end-2026/early-2027, meaning some near-term demand could be supply-constrained.
High Capital Expenditure Run-Rate and Net Debt
Full-year CapEx was substantial at EUR 294.9 million (2025) with guidance for 2026 CapEx of EUR 270–290 million (net EUR 240–260 million), and the company finished 2025 with cash and equivalents EUR 130.6 million and net debt EUR 337.7 million — heavy investment requires disciplined FCF generation.
Profitability Headwinds from Depreciation
Management indicated higher depreciation as a headwind in 2026 (reflecting recent large growth investments), which will partially offset margin gains from mix and operational improvements.
Company Guidance
For 2026 the company guided revenue of EUR 1.260–1.290 billion (EUR 1.278–1.308 billion at constant currency), implying ~7.5% reported growth (~8.3% cc), with Q1 expected to show mid‑single‑digit reported growth at the midpoint; adjusted EBITDA of EUR 331.8–346.9 million and adjusted diluted EPS of EUR 0.59–0.63; consolidated margin expansion of ~0–30 bps (operating margin ~+50 bps at the midpoint and adjusted EBITDA margin ~+150 bps); BDS is expected to grow high single to low double digits (double digits cc) while Engineering is expected to decline mid‑single to low double digits; high‑value solutions are forecast to represent ~47–48% of total revenue; the company assumed an FX headwind of ~EUR 18 million for 2026 (≈EUR 10 million in Q1), a tax rate of ~26.8%, CapEx of EUR 270–290 million (net of customer contributions EUR 240–260 million), and free cash flow roughly breakeven to +EUR 20 million.

Stevanato Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (low debt-to-equity of 0.32 and high equity ratio of 59.54%) and healthy profitability (net margin 12.02%) support the score, but the sharp free cash flow deterioration (-110.26% TTM) and low free cash flow to net income (0.06) are notable risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Stevanato Group shows a steady revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.21%. The gross profit margin is stable at 28.63%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 12.02%. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures or pricing challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is solid at 9.95%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 59.54%, showcasing a robust capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -110.26% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.50, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.06, indicating limited free cash flow relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.17B1.10B1.09B983.68M843.92M662.04M
Gross Profit335.13M302.32M339.89M319.80M265.40M194.18M
EBITDA279.53M247.80M272.35M256.40M226.93M156.38M
Net Income140.60M117.78M145.63M142.85M134.32M78.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.41B2.33B2.07B1.66B1.42B967.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments113.33M98.27M70.35M256.65M438.21M157.12M
Total Debt450.33M428.97M396.59M218.37M244.29M363.01M
Total Liabilities976.90M924.43M938.93M663.79M577.18M657.84M
Stockholders Equity1.44B1.40B1.13B996.13M842.07M310.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.72M-157.79M-336.72M-139.81M20.16M59.65M
Operating Cash Flow235.60M155.78M105.21M103.31M133.34M155.66M
Investing Cash Flow-269.60M-310.21M-421.22M-242.95M-96.43M-96.09M
Financing Cash Flow-16.30M183.22M158.03M-44.54M254.85M-26.52M

Stevanato Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.73
Price Trends
50DMA
17.97
Negative
100DMA
20.73
Negative
200DMA
22.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.73
Negative
RSI
33.32
Neutral
STOCH
26.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.51, below the 50-day MA of 17.97, and below the 200-day MA of 22.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for STVN.

Stevanato Group Risk Analysis

Stevanato Group disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Stevanato Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Stevanato Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$2.46B42.8315.80%0.95%13.07%27.98%
74
Outperform
$9.00B23.7615.28%1.50%2.50%25.05%
68
Neutral
$4.45B35.218.67%11.49%-2.89%
63
Neutral
$4.02B25.899.81%0.29%9.19%23.06%
60
Neutral
$6.93B142.362.40%11.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$5.40B-16.61-7.90%1.11%5.43%-245.18%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STVN
Stevanato Group
14.73
-4.54
-23.54%
ATR
AptarGroup
139.76
-4.24
-2.95%
LMAT
Lemaitre Vascular
107.85
18.21
20.32%
MMSI
Merit Medical Systems
74.85
-27.04
-26.54%
RGEN
Repligen
123.06
-31.75
-20.51%
TFX
Teleflex
122.19
-7.16
-5.54%

Stevanato Group Corporate Events

Stevanato Group Exceeds Q3 Expectations and Advances Key Projects
Nov 18, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Stevanato Group held a conference call to discuss its third-quarter financial results, which exceeded expectations due to strong revenue growth and margin expansion. The company reported a 9% increase in revenue year-over-year, driven by a 14% growth in its BDS segment, primarily due to demand in its core drug containment business. Despite facing challenges from foreign currency and tariff costs, Stevanato remains on track to meet its 2025 guidance. The company is advancing its capital investment projects in Fishers and Latina to meet rising market demand, particularly in the biologics sector. Additionally, Stevanato’s commitment to sustainability was recognized with an EcoVadis Silver Medal, placing it in the top 15% of companies assessed globally.

The most recent analyst rating on (STVN) stock is a Hold with a $22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stevanato Group stock, see the STVN Stock Forecast page.

Stevanato Group Achieves 9% Revenue Growth in Q3 2025
Nov 6, 2025

Stevanato Group reported a 9% increase in revenue for the third quarter of 2025, reaching €303.2 million, with high-value solutions accounting for a record 49% of total revenue. The company’s Biopharmaceutical and Diagnostic Solutions segment drove this growth, offsetting a decline in the Engineering Segment. The financial results were bolstered by favorable product shipment timing and increased demand for high-performance Nexa® syringes. Despite challenges such as foreign currency impacts and tariff costs, Stevanato Group maintained its fiscal 2025 guidance, highlighting its strategic investments in capacity expansion and innovation to support future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (STVN) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stevanato Group stock, see the STVN Stock Forecast page.

Stevanato Group Discusses Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Global Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Stevanato Group held an investor conference call to discuss its Q3 2025 financial results. The company is navigating various challenges, including global supply chain issues and geopolitical tensions, while focusing on expanding its capacity to meet customer demand. Despite these hurdles, Stevanato Group remains committed to optimizing its industrial footprint and enhancing its supply chain strategies, which are crucial for maintaining its competitive edge in the healthcare sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (STVN) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stevanato Group stock, see the STVN Stock Forecast page.

Stevanato Group Releases Interim Financial Report for September 2025
Nov 6, 2025

Stevanato Group released its interim financial report for the three and nine months ending September 30, 2025, highlighting the company’s performance and strategic initiatives. The report provides insights into the company’s efforts to optimize its industrial footprint and enhance supply chain strategies amidst global economic challenges. The company faces risks related to market competition, supply chain disruptions, and geopolitical tensions, which could impact its operations and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (STVN) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stevanato Group stock, see the STVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026