Mister Car Wash (MCW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.99B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.29M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.31
• Revenue Growth: 8.18%
• EPS Growth: 3.39%
• Country: US
• Employees: 6,640
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 57
• Industry: Personal Products & Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.11
• Shares Outstanding: 324,826,930
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,129,498
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,290,699
• PEG Ratio: -0.04
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.50
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 74.50
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.24
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.13
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.94
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 4.42
• 1Y Price Target: $9.04
• Price Target Upside: 47.71% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: $7.00 ▲(14.38%Upside)

Mister Car Wash's strong financial performance and promising earnings call outlook are significant positives, though technical analysis suggests bearish market conditions. The company's high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns, and negative free cash flow needs attention. Despite these challenges, strategic expansion and improved guidance reflect potential for future growth.

Positive Factors

Earnings

Mister Car Wash's strong fourth-quarter performance exceeded expectations in both sales and earnings.

Financial Performance

The company's revenues have expanded by 9.1%, reaching the upper end of guidance and slightly outpacing consensus.

Strategic Positioning

Mister Car Wash is well positioned to take advantage of attractive assets coming to market due to shifting competitive dynamics.

Negative Factors

Consumer Demand

The company’s biggest exposure is around retail traffic, where the low-double-digit deceleration from first-quarter trends should leave more than enough wiggle room in the event of a more significant decline in consumer spend.

Operational Costs

Higher rent and utility/equipment/facility costs drove other store OpEx de-leverage.

Stock Performance

The shares have declined 8% over the past year.

Mister Car Wash Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mister Car Wash (MCW) is a leading national car wash company in the United States, recognized for providing high-quality car wash and detailing services. With numerous locations across the country, Mister Car Wash offers a range of services including exterior washes, interior cleaning, and express detail services. The company is dedicated to delivering convenience and exceptional customer service through its network of automated car wash facilities.

How the Company Makes Money

Mister Car Wash primarily makes money through its car wash service offerings, which include single wash purchases and subscription-based models. The subscription model, known as the Unlimited Wash Club, provides customers with unlimited car washes for a monthly fee, contributing significantly to steady recurring revenue. Additionally, the company generates income from the sale of car care products and additional detailing services at their locations. Key revenue streams are further bolstered by strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance their service offerings and customer reach.

Mister Car Wash Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mister Car Wash shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges in net profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable, though high liabilities pose a risk. Strong operating cash flow is a key strength, while negative free cash flow needs attention.

Income Statement

Mister Car Wash has shown strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trajectory from 2020 to TTM 2025. The gross profit margin is robust, indicating efficient cost management relative to revenue. However, the net profit margin is modest, suggesting room for improvement in controlling costs and enhancing profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, supporting operational efficiency, although EBITDA margin has shown some volatility.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, despite a high level of total debt. Return on equity has been strong, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a balanced approach to financing with both debt and equity. However, the high level of liabilities relative to total assets poses a potential risk if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a mixed picture, with operating cash flow consistently positive and growing, highlighting strong cash generation capability. However, free cash flow has been negative in recent years due to high capital expenditures, which may impact liquidity if not offset by revenue growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating good cash conversion from profits, but the free cash flow to net income ratio needs improvement.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
1.02B	994.73M	927.07M	876.51M	758.36M	574.94M
	Gross Profit
748.90M	704.02M	563.35M	608.04M	493.19M	380.97M
	EBIT
192.80M	178.93M	178.15M	187.72M	-27.70M	105.21M
	EBITDA
251.04M	178.93M	248.14M	187.72M	42.84M	220.75M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
80.60M	70.24M	80.13M	112.90M	-22.05M	60.40M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
39.13M	67.46M	19.05M	65.15M	19.74M	114.65M
	Total Assets
3.09B	3.10B	2.88B	2.69B	2.45B	1.95B
	Total Debt
948.76M	1.87B	1.77B	1.71B	1.67B	1.80B
	Net Debt
909.63M	1.80B	1.75B	1.65B	1.65B	1.68B
	Total Liabilities
2.06B	2.10B	1.97B	1.89B	1.79B	1.93B
	Stockholders Equity
1.03B	998.35M	915.03M	801.13M	657.15M	16.65M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
-25.14M	-81.46M	-123.47M	37.59M	47.59M	43.10M
	Operating Cash Flow
278.18M	248.62M	204.65M	229.20M	173.35M	101.85M
	Investing Cash Flow
-177.87M	-199.85M	-259.37M	-190.13M	-543.83M	-13.35M
	Financing Cash Flow
-71.84M	-275.00K	8.61M	6.29M	272.46M	22.68M

Mister Car Wash Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 6.12
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.64, below the 50-day MA of 7.06, and below the 200-day MA of 7.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.06 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MCW.

Mister Car Wash Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FTDR	78 Outperform	$4.24B	18.69	132.22%	―	5.53%	36.30%
SCI	76 Outperform	$11.15B	21.57	32.71%	1.63%	2.40%	4.07%
CSV	75 Outperform	$697.08M	14.86	22.96%	1.01%	5.02%	45.34%
BFAM	73 Outperform	$7.00B	44.23	12.63%	―	9.71%	94.22%
MCW	66 Neutral	$1.99B	25.05	8.21%	―	8.18%	3.39%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$6.76B	11.07	2.80%	6.34%	2.68%	-24.87%
HRB	49 Neutral	$7.38B	13.50	657.13%	2.72%	3.71%	-8.07%

Mister Car Wash Corporate Events

Mister Car Wash Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting

On May 22, 2025, Mister Car Wash, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 96% of outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, three Class I directors were elected to serve until 2028, Deloitte & Touche LLP’s appointment as the independent accounting firm for 2025 was ratified, and the compensation for the company’s executive officers was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCW) stock is a Buy with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mister Car Wash stock, see the MCW Stock Forecast page.