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Bright Horizons (BFAM)
NYSE:BFAM

Bright Horizons (BFAM) AI Stock Analysis

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Bright Horizons

(NYSE:BFAM)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$137.00
▲(13.62%Upside)
Bright Horizons Family Solutions shows a robust financial performance and positive corporate developments, which are the primary drivers of its stock score. However, overvaluation and mixed technical signals moderate the overall score. The earnings call's optimistic guidance and strategic progress further support the stock's potential.
Positive Factors
Back-up care business growth
Growth in the back-up care business impresses as employers increasingly provide incremental services, despite overall margin pressures.
Debt reduction and stock repurchase
BFAM paid down $49.5M in debt and repurchased ~$20M in stock.
Positive earnings results
1Q25 results beat consensus expectations driven by margins, especially at BUCA.
Negative Factors
Enrollment challenges
Enrollment is plateauing due to structural changes like hybrid work and universal pre-k, along with pricing fatigue from parents.
Operating margin pressures
Operating margins are expected to remain pressured below pre-COVID levels in the medium term.
Recovery challenges
The ability to reach pre-COVID occupancy levels is seen as challenging due to affordability concerns, hybrid workforces, and increased government programs.

Bright Horizons (BFAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bright Horizons Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. provides early education and child care, back-up care, educational advisory, and other workplace solutions services for employers and families. The company operates through three segments: Full Service Center-Based Child Care, Back-Up Care, and Educational Advisory and Other Services. The Full Service Center-Based Child Care segment offers traditional center-based child care and early education, preschool, and elementary education services. The Back-Up Care segment provides center-based back-up child care, in-home child and adult/elder dependent care, school-age camps, virtual tutoring, and self-sourced reimbursed care services through child care centers, school-age campuses, and in-home caregivers, as well as the back-up care network. The Educational Advisory and Other Services segment offers tuition assistance and student loan repayment program administration, workforce education, and related educational consulting services, as well as college admissions advisory services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 1,014 child care and early education centers in the United States, Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, Canada, the Netherlands, and India. The company was formerly known as Bright Horizons Solutions Corp. and changed its name to Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. in July 2012. Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyBright Horizons generates revenue primarily through its employer-sponsored childcare centers, which are funded by corporate clients who offer these services as employee benefits. Additionally, the company earns income from back-up care services, which provide temporary care solutions to families in need of short-term childcare. Another significant revenue stream is the educational advisory services, which include college admissions counseling and related support. Bright Horizons partners with businesses to develop customized solutions, ensuring a steady flow of clients and maintaining long-term contracts that contribute to its financial stability and growth.

Bright Horizons Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant revenue and earnings growth across multiple segments. However, challenges remain in certain US markets due to macroeconomic uncertainties affecting enrollment. Enrollment growth assumptions were slightly reduced, but overall, the company showed resilience and strategic progress, particularly in the UK and through cross-service client expansion.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and Revenue Growth
Revenue for the quarter increased 7% to $666 million, and adjusted EPS grew 51% to $0.77 per share, exceeding expectations.
Full-Service Child Care Business Expansion
Full-service child care business grew 6% to $511 million, with operating margins expanding 210 basis points to 6.5%.
Backup Care Revenue Increase
Backup care revenue increased 12% to $129 million, with a 95% client retention rate and many new client launches, including University of Michigan and Sherwin-Williams.
Education Advisory Business Growth
Education advisory business grew 8% to $26 million, with strong participant engagement and new client additions like Tower Health and Tiffany's.
Improved UK Operations
The UK operations showed strong progress in enrollment and staff retention, with a clear path to earnings break-even in 2025.
Raised Revenue Growth Guidance
Revenue growth guidance was raised to a range of 6.5% to 8.5%, reflecting favorable changes in foreign exchange rates.
Negative Updates
Enrollment Challenges in US Markets
Slower velocity in the pace of commitments in some US markets due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Lower Enrollment Growth Assumptions
Enrollment growth assumptions were reduced from 2.5%-3.5% to 2%-3% due to slower decision-making by families.
Mid-60s Occupancy Levels
Occupancy levels in full-service centers averaged in the mid-60s, below pre-COVID levels of 70%.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Bright Horizons Family Solutions provided optimistic guidance for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting a 7% increase in revenue to $666 million for the first quarter. The company reported a 51% growth in adjusted EPS to $0.77 per share. Segment-wise, the full-service child care business saw a 6% revenue increase to $511 million, with operating margins expanding by 210 basis points to 6.5%. The backup care segment experienced a 12% revenue growth to $129 million, and the education advisory business grew by 8% to $26 million. The company also raised its revenue growth guidance to a range of 6.5% to 8.5%, attributing this to favorable changes in foreign exchange rates while maintaining adjusted EPS guidance between $3.95 and $4.15. Bright Horizons emphasized its One Bright Horizon strategy, focusing on expanding service adoption among existing clients and enhancing integration across its offerings to drive sustainable growth.

Bright Horizons Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bright Horizons demonstrates a solid financial performance with strong revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and prudent financial management. However, the relatively high debt-to-equity ratio suggests some leverage risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Bright Horizons has shown a strong upward trajectory in revenue growth, with a notable increase from previous years. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have also improved, indicating operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect solid profitability, contributing to a robust financial position.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a stable equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. While the debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating better leverage management, it remains relatively high, which could pose potential risks. Return on equity is healthy, reflecting good returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights consistent free cash flow generation, supporting ongoing operations and investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash conversion, although there has been some fluctuation in free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.73B2.69B2.42B2.02B1.76B1.52B
Gross Profit640.22M619.61M522.23M405.91M364.11M227.65M
EBITDA361.11M344.54M281.92M265.27M235.28M160.41M
Net Income161.25M140.19M74.05M80.64M70.46M26.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.82B3.85B3.90B3.80B3.64B3.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments112.05M122.03M93.57M53.92M260.98M405.84M
Total Debt1.75B1.79B1.86B1.97B1.78B1.85B
Total Liabilities2.50B2.57B2.68B2.72B2.46B2.44B
Stockholders Equity1.32B1.28B1.21B1.08B1.18B1.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow214.17M240.15M165.12M117.92M163.76M124.83M
Operating Cash Flow307.34M337.46M256.14M188.47M227.25M209.57M
Investing Cash Flow-94.26M-117.76M-126.94M-278.05M-117.39M-83.83M
Financing Cash Flow-159.59M-183.81M-91.63M-121.34M-230.03M229.00M

Bright Horizons Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price120.58
Price Trends
50DMA
124.02
Negative
100DMA
123.84
Negative
200DMA
122.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.98
Positive
RSI
41.35
Neutral
STOCH
41.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFAM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 120.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.15, below the 50-day MA of 124.02, and below the 200-day MA of 122.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BFAM.

Bright Horizons Risk Analysis

Bright Horizons disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bright Horizons reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bright Horizons Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SCSCI
76
Outperform
$11.64B22.5332.71%1.57%2.40%4.07%
CSCSV
75
Outperform
$736.16M15.6922.96%0.96%5.02%45.34%
73
Outperform
$6.90B43.5912.63%9.71%94.22%
66
Neutral
£1.86B11.276.18%3.11%0.61%-17.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFAM
Bright Horizons
120.58
10.61
9.65%
CSV
Carriage Services
46.91
20.92
80.49%
SCI
Service International
81.78
12.96
18.83%

Bright Horizons Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock Buyback
Bright Horizons Announces New Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Bright Horizons held its annual shareholder meeting, where all director nominees were elected, the 2024 executive compensation was approved, and Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, the Board authorized a new $500 million share repurchase program, replacing the previous $400 million authorization, allowing the company to buy back shares at management’s discretion without an expiration date.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFAM) stock is a Buy with a $137.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bright Horizons stock, see the BFAM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 14, 2025