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Mechanics Bancorp. Class A (MCHB)
NASDAQ:MCHB
US Market

Mechanics Bancorp Class A (MCHB) AI Stock Analysis

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MCHB

Mechanics Bancorp Class A

(NASDAQ:MCHB)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
â–²(13.09% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by improving (but historically volatile) financial performance, supported by constructive technical trends. Valuation is a meaningful drag due to a negative P/E and only a modest dividend yield, while recent corporate events are positive but still carry integration and deal-execution risk.
Positive Factors
Merger with HomeStreet Bank
The merger strengthens Mechanics Bancorp's market position, enhances its capital levels, and provides a clean balance sheet, supporting long-term growth.
Dividend Declaration
The dividend declaration reflects strong regulatory capital ratios and successful integration efforts, indicating a positive capital return strategy.
Debt Management Improvement
Improved debt management reduces financial risk and enhances financial flexibility, supporting long-term stability and growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue impacts the company's ability to sustain growth and profitability, posing a challenge to long-term financial health.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates challenges in cash generation, which can limit the company's ability to invest in growth and manage liabilities.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial resources and increase vulnerability to economic downturns, affecting long-term financial stability.

Mechanics Bancorp Class A (MCHB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mechanics Bancorp Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMechanics Bank provides various financial services for individual clients, and small and middle-market businesses. The company offers checking and savings accounts. It also provides home and auto loans; term loans and lines of credit, multi-family lending, commercial real estate loans, owner-occupied real estate loans, equipment financing, and trade services and letters of credit; and small business administration loans. In addition, the company offers credit and debit cards; payable and receivable solutions, fraud prevention, and cash management services; merchant and payroll services, paycheck protection program solutions, and workplace benefit plans; foreign currency, cashier's checks, wire transfers, overdraft, deposit and treasury, trust and estate, investment and asset management, retirement planning, and wealth management services; and online and mobile banking services. It operates through a network of 115 branch locations in the Greater San Francisco, Sacramento, Los Angeles, and San Diego areas, as well as Central Valley in California. Mechanics Bank was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Walnut Creek, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyMechanics Bancorp generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from interest income earned on loans provided to customers, which includes personal loans, mortgages, and business loans. Additionally, the company earns income from fees associated with banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and service charges. Investment income from securities and other financial products also contributes to its revenue. The bank may engage in partnerships with local businesses and organizations to enhance its service offerings and attract new customers, further strengthening its financial position.

Mechanics Bancorp Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reveals significant financial challenges faced by HomeStreet Bank, including a major net loss and increased nonperforming assets. However, there are positive strategic steps being taken, such as improving liquidity and reducing noninterest expenses, with an expectation of returning to profitability in the near future.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Decrease in Noninterest Expenses
Noninterest expenses were $5.2 million lower in the fourth quarter of 2024 due to a decrease in compensation benefits and administrative expenses.
Improved Liquidity Position
Following the sale of $990 million in multifamily loans, the bank improved its liquidity position, increasing cash and securities balances to $1.5 billion, which is 18% of total assets.
Continued Loan Repricing and Profitability Expectations
The bank anticipates returning to profitability in the first half of the next year due to loan repricing, reduction in borrowings, and expected reductions in short-term interest rates.
Strong Deposit Loyalty
Despite various challenges, the bank maintained a high roll rate on certificates of deposit and reported low levels of uninsured deposits at 9%.
Negative Updates
Significant Net Loss
The bank reported a net loss of $123.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, a significant increase from the $7.3 million loss in the previous quarter.
Multifamily Loan Sale Loss
The bank incurred an $88.8 million loss on the sale of multifamily loans, which contributed significantly to the overall financial loss.
Deferred Tax Asset Valuation Allowance
A $53.3 million deferred tax asset valuation allowance was recorded, negatively impacting the reported income tax expense.
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets to total assets ratio increased, partly due to the sale of multifamily loans and a downgraded syndicated commercial loan.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, HomeStreet Bank reported a significant net loss of $123.3 million, equivalent to $6.54 per share, compared to a net loss of $7.3 million or $0.39 per share in the previous quarter. This loss was primarily driven by an $88.8 million pretax loss on the sale of $990 million in multifamily loans, alongside a $53.3 million deferred tax asset valuation allowance. However, on a core basis, excluding these impacts and merger-related expenses, the net loss was reduced to $5.1 million or $0.27 per share. The bank's net interest income increased by $1 million due to a rise in the net interest margin from 1.33% to 1.38%, despite a decrease in noninterest income. The ratio of nonperforming assets to total assets increased to 71 basis points, and loans delinquent over 30 days rose to 106 basis points. HomeStreet Bank's restructuring efforts, including the loan sale, improved liquidity and lowered the loan-to-deposit ratio to 97.4%, with expectations of a return to profitability in the first half of 2025.

Mechanics Bancorp Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals show an improving but uneven profile: TTM profitability rebounded sharply (about 21% net margin) and reported leverage is low (debt-to-equity ~0.10). However, results have been volatile across years (including negative margins/ROE historically) and cash-flow momentum weakened with sharply lower free cash flow versus the prior year and weaker coverage.
Income Statement
68
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) performance shows a sharp rebound, with strong profitability (about 21% net margin) and solid operating margins, alongside very strong revenue growth versus the prior annual period. That said, results have been volatile over time: 2024 margins were meaningfully lower than TTM, and 2023 showed negative margins despite higher revenue, indicating earnings sensitivity and less consistent profitability than top-tier peers.
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with low leverage (debt-to-equity around 0.10) and improved returns on equity versus 2024. The main concern is historical leverage and return volatility—2022–2023 show very elevated leverage levels and a negative return on equity in 2023—suggesting the capital structure and/or reported debt levels have fluctuated significantly over the period.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation is positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with free cash flow roughly matching net income (near 1:1), which is supportive of earnings quality. However, free cash flow declined sharply versus the prior year, and operating cash flow strength relative to reported obligations is weak based on the provided coverage ratio, pointing to less reliable cash-flow momentum despite the earnings rebound.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue414.62M328.32M411.76M325.88M336.36M371.37M
Gross Profit130.21M45.83M178.77M260.10M334.12M307.55M
EBITDA-42.38M-105.82M-16.88M103.02M165.35M118.36M
Net Income-77.04M-144.34M-27.51M66.54M115.42M79.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.71B8.12B9.39B9.36B7.20B7.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.93B406.60M215.66M72.83M65.21M58.05M
Total Debt280.92M2.23B3.71B2.26B208.03M448.64M
Total Liabilities19.93B7.73B8.85B8.80B6.49B6.52B
Stockholders Equity2.77B397.00M538.39M562.15M715.34M717.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow86.73M-46.41M4.21M211.54M170.09M-28.84M
Operating Cash Flow80.79M-45.92M8.02M218.33M173.03M-25.55M
Investing Cash Flow2.72B1.33B484.05M-2.65B-125.64M-232.62M
Financing Cash Flow-919.04M-1.10B-349.24M2.44B-40.23M258.34M

Mechanics Bancorp Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.59
Price Trends
50DMA
14.59
Positive
100DMA
13.91
Positive
200DMA
13.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
64.21
Neutral
STOCH
68.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCHB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.79, below the 50-day MA of 14.59, and above the 200-day MA of 13.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCHB.

Mechanics Bancorp Class A Risk Analysis

Mechanics Bancorp Class A disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mechanics Bancorp Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mechanics Bancorp Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.54B12.7210.27%1.16%-3.62%10.83%
75
Outperform
$3.39B15.866.54%4.35%41.49%-5.53%
72
Outperform
$3.08B23.486.98%1.34%10.50%-6.22%
70
Outperform
$3.57B13.468.97%2.71%-5.44%45.47%
70
Outperform
$3.23B15.847.37%3.04%9.48%12.83%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$3.47B-2.3310.47%1.49%-1.40%-420.27%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCHB
Mechanics Bancorp Class A
15.69
5.81
58.81%
BKU
BankUnited
47.97
9.46
24.57%
TOWN
TowneBank
35.66
1.27
3.70%
WSBC
WesBanco
36.01
3.24
9.90%
WSFS
Wsfs Financial
66.36
11.52
21.02%
FBK
FB Financial
58.76
7.57
14.78%

Mechanics Bancorp Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Mechanics Bancorp Reports Strong Q4 and 2025 Earnings
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Mechanics Bancorp reported that fourth-quarter 2025 net income jumped to $124.3 million, or $0.54 per diluted share, from $55.2 million in the third quarter, while full-year 2025 net income surged to $265.7 million, or $1.22 per diluted share, compared with $29.0 million in 2024, largely reflecting the impact of its September 2, 2025 merger of HomeStreet Bank into Mechanics Bank and a preliminary $145.5 million bargain purchase gain tied to that transaction. As of December 31, 2025, the company reported $22.4 billion in assets, $14.2 billion in loans, $19.0 billion in deposits, a loans-to-deposits ratio of 75%, and robust preliminary regulatory capital ratios, while noting the payoff of all HomeStreet FHLB borrowings and brokered deposits, lower non-recurring acquisition and integration costs in the quarter, and the early adoption of new accounting standards for purchased seasoned loans that drove a reversal of prior credit-loss provisions and an updated valuation connected to an agreed sale of its Fannie Mae DUS business line to Fifth Third Bank, expected to close in early 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCHB) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mechanics Bancorp Class A stock, see the MCHB Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Mechanics Bancorp Sells DUS Business to Fifth Third
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Mechanics Bank entered into an agreement to sell its Fannie Mae Delegated Underwriting and Servicing (DUS) business line to Fifth Third Bank for approximately $130 million. This transaction, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, will transfer Mechanics Bank’s $1.8 billion DUS servicing portfolio to Fifth Third, enhancing growth opportunities for the DUS team and potentially strengthening Fifth Third’s market position in multifamily lending.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCHB) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mechanics Bancorp Class A stock, see the MCHB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Mechanics Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, Mechanics Bancorp’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.21 per share for Class A common stock and $2.10 per share for Class B common stock, payable on December 15, 2025, to shareholders of record by December 8, 2025. The announcement reflects the company’s strong regulatory capital ratios and successful integration of HomeStreet Bank, indicating a positive outlook for its capital return strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCHB) stock is a Hold with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mechanics Bancorp Class A stock, see the MCHB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026