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FB Financial Corporation (FBK)
NYSE:FBK
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FB Financial (FBK) AI Stock Analysis

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FBK

FB Financial

(NYSE:FBK)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$59.00
▲(10.82% Upside)
FB Financial's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with strong profitability and positive technical momentum. The successful merger and strategic positioning for future growth are significant positives. However, recent revenue declines, high valuation, and market volatility present challenges.
Positive Factors
Successful Merger Execution
The swift execution of the merger with Southern States enhances FB Financial's market presence and is expected to deliver long-term value, showcasing effective integration efforts and strategic growth.
Strong Profitability Margins
Strong profitability margins indicate efficient operations and the ability to generate substantial profit from revenue, supporting long-term financial health and competitive positioning.
Improved Cash Flow Management
Significant improvement in free cash flow growth reflects enhanced cash management practices, which strengthen financial flexibility and support future investment opportunities.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact long-term profitability and market competitiveness if not addressed.
Low Operating Cash Flow Conversion
Low operating cash flow conversion indicates potential difficulties in turning income into cash, which may affect liquidity and the ability to fund operations or growth initiatives.
Nonperforming Loan Increase
An increase in nonperforming loans can strain financial resources and require additional provisions, potentially impacting profitability and risk management strategies.

FB Financial (FBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FB Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFB Financial Corporation (FBK) is a bank holding company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the provision of banking and financial services through its subsidiary, FirstBank. The company operates in the financial sector, offering a range of products including commercial and retail banking, mortgage lending, and wealth management services. With a focus on serving individuals, businesses, and communities, FBK aims to deliver personalized financial solutions and foster long-term relationships with its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyFB Financial generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from net interest income, which is the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. This is a significant revenue stream for the company as it lends to consumers and businesses while maintaining a competitive interest rate on its deposit accounts. Additionally, FBK earns non-interest income through fees associated with various banking services, such as account maintenance, transaction services, and wealth management. The company also benefits from mortgage origination fees and gains from the sale of loans. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its market presence and drive customer acquisition, further contributing to its overall earnings.

FB Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted successful merger execution and strong adjusted earnings performance, along with growth in loans and deposits. However, significant onetime losses from securities transactions and increased market volatility posed challenges. The strategic positioning for future growth and strong new loan yields provide a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Merger Execution
FB Financial successfully announced, received regulatory approval, and closed the merger with Southern States in approximately 90 days, showcasing effective integration efforts.
Adjusted Earnings Performance
Reported adjusted EPS of $0.88 and adjusted net income of $40.8 million, reflecting strong underlying performance despite onetime losses.
Positive Loan and Deposit Growth
Loans grew at an annualized rate of 4.2% and deposits at 7.2% during the quarter, with expectations of mid- to high single-digit growth in the future.
Restructuring for Future Growth
A significant securities transaction was executed, selling $266 million of investment securities to strategically position for future loan growth.
Strong New Loan Yields
New loan yields exceeded 7%, providing a positive outlook for future interest income.
Negative Updates
Securities Transaction Loss
The sale of securities resulted in a pretax loss of $60 million, impacting GAAP earnings with a reported net income of $2.9 million.
Increased Market Volatility
Global economic changes and policy announcements led to increased financial market volatility, affecting customer behavior and delaying some business activities.
Nonperforming Loan Increase
Nonperforming loan balances increased due to the migration of three large credits, though these are considered well-secured with minimal expected losses.
High Provision Expense
Provision expense for the quarter was $5.3 million, driven by loan growth and updated forecast assumptions.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, FB Financial Corporation reported an EPS of $0.06 and an adjusted EPS of $0.88, alongside a tangible book value per share growth at a compound annual rate of 12.2% since their IPO. The company faced a busy quarter following their merger with Southern States, which was announced on March 31 and closed within 90 days. Despite market volatility due to geopolitical events and policy changes impacting trade, FB Financial managed to execute a significant $266 million securities transaction, resulting in a pretax loss of $60 million. Consequently, they reported a pretax pre-provision net revenue of negative $4.4 million and a net income of $2.9 million, while on an adjusted basis, these figures stood at $58.6 million and $40.8 million, respectively. The company saw loan growth at an annualized rate of 4.2% and deposit growth at 7.2%, maintaining a positive outlook for the second half of 2025 and 2026 with expected mid- to high single-digit growth. Additionally, FB Financial highlighted the strategic benefits of the Southern States merger and their plans to leverage both organic and inorganic growth opportunities. The company anticipates their net interest margin to range between 3.70% and 3.80% in the latter half of the year, aiming for a core banking efficiency ratio in the low 50s by the fourth quarter.

FB Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FB Financial displays strong financial performance with solid profitability, a robust balance sheet, and effective cash flow management. The company benefits from steady revenue growth and low leverage, though potential cash flow volatility and minor equity fluctuations should be monitored.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
FB Financial shows strong profitability with a consistent Gross Profit Margin around 60%, and a healthy Net Profit Margin improving to 16.2% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth has been steady, with a noticeable increase in 2022. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio, indicating conservative leverage. Stockholders' equity has grown steadily, supporting an improving ROE. The Equity Ratio remains strong, reflecting a solid financial position, though there is a slight decrease in equity proportion to assets.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
FB Financial demonstrates strong cash flow management with positive Free Cash Flow and an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio above 1, indicating efficient profit conversion. However, fluctuations in Free Cash Flow Growth suggest potential volatility in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue730.56M766.77M748.98M596.35M613.25M616.50M
Gross Profit413.60M445.74M475.25M508.19M616.62M459.55M
EBITDA111.70M161.58M165.13M172.18M256.94M95.32M
Net Income90.38M116.03M120.22M124.56M190.28M63.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.35B13.16B12.60B12.85B12.60B11.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.50B1.74B1.71B2.29B3.35B2.37B
Total Debt223.77M246.55M468.35M494.99M226.52M299.69M
Total Liabilities11.74B11.59B11.15B11.52B11.16B9.92B
Stockholders Equity1.61B1.57B1.45B1.33B1.43B1.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow119.48M132.25M190.84M789.08M48.78M-275.94M
Operating Cash Flow127.23M138.80M211.07M799.71M54.88M-270.00M
Investing Cash Flow-422.69M-294.00M-55.22M-1.75B-849.56M309.42M
Financing Cash Flow660.28M386.76M-371.98M184.10M1.27B1.05B

FB Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price53.24
Price Trends
50DMA
49.88
Positive
100DMA
46.81
Positive
200DMA
48.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.17
Positive
RSI
60.51
Neutral
STOCH
21.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 53.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.63, above the 50-day MA of 49.88, and above the 200-day MA of 48.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBK.

FB Financial Risk Analysis

FB Financial disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FB Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FB Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.42B11.3010.99%2.35%17.17%
75
Outperform
$2.71B18.936.31%2.34%5.70%18.72%
73
Outperform
$2.19B15.646.62%2.04%3.16%27.33%
72
Outperform
$2.38B17.164.59%5.39%23.85%
70
Neutral
$2.86B27.595.81%1.39%-5.80%-22.11%
69
Neutral
$2.28B17.7413.51%1.60%13.28%22.43%
68
Neutral
$18.10B11.529.93%3.73%9.70%1.14%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FBK
FB Financial
53.24
8.83
19.88%
HTH
Hilltop Holdings
34.99
4.19
13.60%
PPBI
Pacific Premier Bancorp
24.49
2.34
10.56%
SYBT
Stock Yards Bancorp
77.52
20.15
35.12%
SBCF
Seacoast Banking Of Florida
30.94
5.34
20.86%
TRMK
Trustmark
40.39
9.95
32.69%

FB Financial Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
FB Financial Redeems Subordinated Notes on September 2
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 2, 2025, FB Financial Corporation redeemed all of its outstanding 4.50% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2030. This redemption was executed at a price equal to 100% of the principal amount plus accrued interest, aligning with the terms set in August 2020.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
FB Financial Discusses Merger at Bank Conference
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 3, 2025, FB Financial Corporation’s management team presented at the Raymond James U.S. Bank Conference, discussing the company’s strategies and expectations, including the merger with Southern States Bancshares, Inc. The presentation highlighted potential impacts on operations and market positioning, while also addressing risks and uncertainties related to economic conditions and the merger.

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
FB Financial Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 14, 2025

FB Financial Corporation reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing a net income of $2.9 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, a decrease from the previous quarter and the same quarter last year. However, the adjusted net income was significantly higher at $40.8 million, or $0.88 per diluted share. The company experienced growth in loans and deposits, with loans held for investment increasing to $9.87 billion and deposits rising to $11.40 billion. The net interest margin improved to 3.68%, and the company repositioned its balance sheet by selling low-yielding securities, resulting in a GAAP loss but enhancing liquidity and margin. The recent merger with Southern States Bancshares, Inc. positions FB Financial well for the second half of the year.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
FB Financial Completes Merger with Southern States
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

On July 1, 2025, FB Financial completed its merger with Southern States Bancshares, resulting in FB Financial continuing as the surviving corporation and FirstBank as the surviving bank. Southern States shareholders received 0.800 shares of FB Financial stock per share, with the transaction valued at approximately $368.4 million. The merger expands FB Financial’s market presence and is expected to deliver long-term value for stakeholders. Additionally, J. Henry Smith IV was appointed to the board of directors, bringing extensive business management and bank governance experience.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
FB Financial Shareholders Approve Merger Proposals
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, FB Financial Corporation held a special shareholder meeting to discuss two key proposals related to a merger with Southern States Bancshares, Inc. The shareholders approved both the issuance of common stock for the merger and the potential adjournment of the meeting to gather additional votes if necessary, indicating strong support for the merger plan.

M&A Transactions
FB Financial Secures Approval for Southern States Merger
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, FB Financial Corporation announced it had received all necessary regulatory approvals for its merger with Southern States Bancshares, Inc., with the transaction expected to close on July 1, 2025. This merger is anticipated to enhance FB Financial’s market position, although it carries potential risks related to integration and market conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025