tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
FB Financial Corporation (FBK)
NYSE:FBK

FB Financial (FBK) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
313 Followers

Top Page

FBK

FB Financial

(NYSE:FBK)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$64.00
â–²(7.31% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial health (strong revenue momentum, conservative leverage, positive free cash flow) but tempered by weaker profitability/ROE and uneven cash conversion. Technicals are supportive with an uptrend and moderate momentum. Valuation is the main constraint due to a high P/E and modest dividend yield, while the earnings call adds support given successful integration execution and constructive guidance despite provisioning and deposit-growth headwinds.
Positive Factors
Successful Merger Integration
The successful merger with Southern States enhances FB Financial's market presence and operational capabilities, supporting long-term growth.
Improved Cash Flow Management
Significant improvement in free cash flow indicates better cash management, enhancing the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Regulatory Advancement
Joining the Federal Reserve System strengthens regulatory oversight and may improve operational efficiencies, supporting long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth poses challenges for sustaining profitability and may impact long-term financial performance if not addressed.
Challenges in Deposit Growth
Challenges in deposit growth could limit the company's ability to fund loans and expand, affecting future growth potential.
Increased Provision Expenses
Higher provision expenses can strain profitability and may indicate potential risks in the loan portfolio, impacting financial health.

FB Financial (FBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FB Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFB Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for FirstBank that provides a suite of commercial and consumer banking services to businesses, professionals, and individuals. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Mortgage. It offers checking, demand, money market, and savings accounts; deposit and lending products and services to corporate, commercial, and consumer customers; and time deposits and certificates of deposits, as well as engages in the mortgage origination business. The company also provides owner-occupied and non-owner-occupied real estate commercial, residential real estate 1-4 family mortgage, multi-family residential, commercial and industrial, construction, land acquisition, residential lines of credit, and land development loans; and consumer and other loans, such as car, boat, and other recreational vehicle loans, as well as manufactured homes without real estate and personal lines of credit. In addition, the company offers mortgage banking services through its bank branch networks in the southeastern United States; an internet delivery channel; and trust, insurance, and investment services, as well as online and mobile banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 82 full-service bank branches and 9 limited-service branches locations throughout Tennessee, North Alabama, Southern Kentucky, and North Georgia; and 23 mortgage offices throughout the southeastern United States. The company was formerly known as First South Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to FB Financial Corporation in 2016. FB Financial Corporation was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyFB Financial generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income, which is earned on loans and other financial products. The company lends to consumers and small to mid-sized businesses, generating interest from these loans. Additionally, FBK earns non-interest income from fees associated with deposit accounts, mortgage origination, and wealth management services. Significant partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers can also enhance revenue through cross-selling opportunities. Moreover, the company’s strategic expansion into new markets and its focus on customer service contribute to its overall earnings growth.

FB Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, successful merger integration, and positive future growth prospects, particularly in market expansion and improving efficiency ratios. However, the increased provision expenses and challenges in deposit growth and merger-related costs were notable concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merger with Southern States Bankshares
Successfully completed merger with Southern States Bankshares, closing the transaction on July 1 and completing systems conversion over Labor Day weekend. This was executed from announcement to conversion in about 150 days, demonstrating strong operational execution.
Strong Financial Performance
Reported EPS of $0.43 and adjusted EPS of $1.07 with a net interest margin of 3.95% and an efficiency ratio of 63.2% or 53.3% on an adjusted basis. Net income was $23.4 million or $57.6 million on an adjusted basis.
Improved Net Interest Income
Net interest income increased by 32.2% from the prior quarter and 38.9% from the same quarter last year, driven by the merger and structural balance sheet maneuvers, including debt paydown.
Positive Market Expansion Outlook
Bullish on markets in Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia, Northern Kentucky, and North Carolina with plans for growth through market expansion and acquisition opportunities.
Efficiency Improvements
Adjusted core efficiency ratio improved to 53.3% from last quarter's 56.9% and from 58.4% the same quarter last year.
Negative Updates
Provision Expense Increase
Reported provision expense of $34.4 million includes $28.4 million in day one provision expense for the acquired non-purchase credit deteriorated loan portfolio and unfunded commitments.
Challenges in Deposit Growth
Exclusive of the acquired Southern States deposits, deposit balances were down approximately $59 million on a period-end basis as they executed on a remixing strategy.
Non-Interest Expense and Merger Costs
Total non-interest expense was $109.9 million or $93.5 million on an adjusted basis, including $16.1 million of merger and integration costs, which peaked this quarter.
Company Guidance
During FB Financial Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. Key metrics included an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.43 and an adjusted EPS of $1.07. The company reported a net interest margin of 3.95% and an efficiency ratio of 63.2%, or 53.3% on an adjusted basis. The return on average assets was 0.58%, improving to 1.43% on an adjusted basis, while the return on tangible common equity was 5.82%, rising to 14.7% on an adjusted basis. FB Financial also highlighted the successful merger and integration with Southern States Bankshares, which closed on July 1, 2025, and was fully transitioned by September 2, 2025, leading to a combined net income of $23.4 million, or $57.6 million on an adjusted basis. The company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, particularly in its core markets of Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia, Northern Kentucky, and North Carolina, and is prepared to capitalize on market disruptions for organic growth. Looking ahead, FB Financial projects a net interest margin of 3.80% to 3.90% into 2026, with banking expenses expected to reach $325 million to $335 million next year, targeting an efficiency ratio in the low 50s. The company also reported organic loan growth of $156 million and expects mid to high single-digit growth in loans and deposits for Q4 2025, with a return to high single-digit to low double-digit growth in 2026.

FB Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FB Financial demonstrates a stable financial position with strong profitability margins and a conservative leverage profile. However, recent revenue declines and low operating cash flow conversion are areas of concern. The company shows potential for improvement in cash flow management and return on equity.
Income Statement
74
Positive
FB Financial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth at -7.06%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 56.61% and a net profit margin of 12.37%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 13.77% and 15.29%, respectively. Despite the recent revenue decline, the company has demonstrated strong profitability metrics historically.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 in the TTM period, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is modest at 5.70%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns on shareholder equity. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 50.32% in the TTM period, indicating better cash management. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.01, suggesting potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 93.91%, reflecting efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue993.47M766.77M748.98M596.35M613.25M616.50M
Gross Profit552.43M445.74M475.25M508.19M616.62M459.55M
EBITDA144.81M161.58M165.13M172.18M256.94M95.32M
Net Income113.75M116.03M120.22M124.56M190.28M63.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.24B13.16B12.60B12.85B12.60B11.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.71B1.74B1.71B2.29B3.35B2.37B
Total Debt276.30M246.55M468.35M494.99M226.52M299.69M
Total Liabilities14.26B11.59B11.15B11.52B11.16B9.92B
Stockholders Equity1.98B1.57B1.45B1.33B1.43B1.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow165.06M132.25M190.84M789.08M48.78M-275.94M
Operating Cash Flow174.96M138.80M211.07M799.71M54.88M-270.00M
Investing Cash Flow-228.49M-294.00M-55.22M-1.75B-849.56M309.42M
Financing Cash Flow532.66M386.76M-371.98M184.10M1.27B1.05B

FB Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.64
Price Trends
50DMA
56.48
Positive
100DMA
55.53
Positive
200DMA
50.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Negative
RSI
60.77
Neutral
STOCH
87.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.49, above the 50-day MA of 56.48, and above the 200-day MA of 50.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBK.

FB Financial Risk Analysis

FB Financial disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FB Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FB Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.54B13.309.04%2.71%-5.44%45.47%
73
Outperform
$2.60B14.9013.69%2.96%6.29%28.28%
72
Outperform
$2.70B13.509.10%4.00%-8.43%3.75%
71
Outperform
$3.19B27.855.85%1.34%10.50%-6.22%
70
Outperform
$3.24B15.637.37%3.04%9.48%12.83%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$3.31B20.086.33%2.25%6.83%23.44%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FBK
FB Financial
59.64
6.89
13.06%
BKU
BankUnited
47.08
8.56
22.23%
CVBF
Cvb Financial
19.92
<0.01
0.03%
PRK
Park National
161.70
-2.90
-1.76%
SBCF
Seacoast Banking Of Florida
33.83
7.36
27.79%
TOWN
TowneBank
35.07
1.82
5.47%

FB Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FB Financial Subsidiary Joins Federal Reserve System
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 2, 2025, FirstBank, a subsidiary of FB Financial Corporation, became a member of the Federal Reserve System, with the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System taking over as the primary federal regulator from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. This regulatory change will not affect customers’ daily interactions with the bank, and customer deposits will continue to be insured by the FDIC as permitted by law.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBK) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FB Financial stock, see the FBK Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
FB Financial Announces Share Purchase Agreement
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, FB Financial Corporation entered into a share purchase agreement with the Estate of James W. Ayers and certain institutional investors for the sale of 2,162,052 shares of common stock at $51.50 per share. Additionally, the company agreed to repurchase 1,717,948 shares from the Selling Shareholder at the same price. These transactions, expected to close on November 17, 2025, are part of a strategic move to manage share distribution and do not involve the company selling any shares directly, thus not receiving proceeds from the offering.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBK) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FB Financial stock, see the FBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
FB Financial Completes Acquisition of Southern States
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On July 1, 2025, FB Financial Corporation completed its acquisition of Southern States Bancshares, Inc., including its subsidiary Southern States Bank. The company has released historical unaudited financial information for Southern States as of June 30, 2025, and pro forma financial data reflecting the merger. This acquisition is expected to enhance FB Financial’s market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBK) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FB Financial stock, see the FBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
FB Financial Discusses Merger Plans at Conference
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 6, 2025, FB Financial Corporation’s management team presented at the Hovde Financial Services Conference. The presentation included forward-looking statements about the company’s future plans, strategies, and expectations, particularly regarding the merger with Southern States Bancshares, Inc. The company highlighted various risks and uncertainties that could impact its operations and financial performance, emphasizing the importance of non-GAAP financial measures for understanding its performance and financial condition.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBK) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FB Financial stock, see the FBK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026