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FB Financial Corporation (FBK)
NYSE:FBK

FB Financial (FBK) AI Stock Analysis

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FB Financial

(NYSE:FBK)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
â–²(8.53%Upside)
FB Financial's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives are supported by solid earnings and corporate events. Technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, and while valuation is fair, immediate upside may be limited.

FB Financial (FBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FB Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFB Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for FirstBank that provides a suite of commercial and consumer banking services to businesses, professionals, and individuals. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Mortgage. It offers checking, demand, money market, and savings accounts; deposit and lending products and services to corporate, commercial, and consumer customers; and time deposits and certificates of deposits, as well as engages in the mortgage origination business. The company also provides owner-occupied and non-owner-occupied real estate commercial, residential real estate 1-4 family mortgage, multi-family residential, commercial and industrial, construction, land acquisition, residential lines of credit, and land development loans; and consumer and other loans, such as car, boat, and other recreational vehicle loans, as well as manufactured homes without real estate and personal lines of credit. In addition, the company offers mortgage banking services through its bank branch networks in the southeastern United States; an internet delivery channel; and trust, insurance, and investment services, as well as online and mobile banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 82 full-service bank branches and 9 limited-service branches locations throughout Tennessee, North Alabama, Southern Kentucky, and North Georgia; and 23 mortgage offices throughout the southeastern United States. The company was formerly known as First South Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to FB Financial Corporation in 2016. FB Financial Corporation was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyFB Financial makes money through a variety of revenue streams associated with its banking operations. The primary source of revenue is the net interest income generated from the difference between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits. The company also earns non-interest income through fees and service charges related to deposit accounts, mortgage banking activities, and investment advisory services. Additionally, FB Financial benefits from strategic partnerships and community-focused initiatives that enhance its market presence and customer base. The company's diversified financial services offerings and regional focus contribute significantly to its earnings.

FB Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strategic expansion plans and solid financial performance despite some challenges in non-interest expenses and charge-offs. The bank's strong capital position and efficient management of loan growth and margins were emphasized.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Planned Combination with Southern States Banc
FB Financial announced a planned combination with Southern States Banc, emphasizing cultural fit, market opportunity, and financial profile. The integration process is on track with a Q3 expected close.
Loan Growth and Focus Areas
Loan balances grew by $169 million at an annualized rate of 7.14%, primarily in C&I and owner-occupied CRE, while reducing construction exposure. Loans held for investment totaled approximately $9.8 billion at quarter-end.
Strong Capital Ratios
The bank ended the quarter with a tangible common equity to tangible assets ratio of 10.5%, a preliminary CET1 ratio of 12.8%, and a total risk-based capital ratio of 15.2%.
Net Interest Margin Improvement
Net interest margin increased by 5 basis points to 3.55%. This was supported by decreased cost of total interest-bearing deposits by 24 basis points.
Positive Non-Interest Income Performance
Non-interest income was stable at $23 million, with improvements in mortgage banking income due to lower market interest rates and better mortgage servicing economics.
Negative Updates
Higher Non-Interest Expenses
Core non-interest expenses increased to $79.2 million, up from $72.7 million in the fourth quarter, resulting in a core efficiency ratio of 59.9% compared to 54.6% previously.
Elevated Charge-Offs in C&I Portfolio
Annualized net charge-off rate was 0.14%, driven by a specific credit in the C&I portfolio that was largely reserved for but charged-off during the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, FB Financial Corporation reported an EPS of $0.84 and an adjusted EPS of $0.85. The company achieved a pre-tax pre-provision net revenue of $51.1 million, or $52.2 million on an adjusted basis. Loan balances increased by $169 million, representing an annualized growth rate of 7.14%, primarily driven by C&I and owner-occupied CRE loans, while construction exposure was reduced. At the end of the quarter, loans held for investment totaled approximately $9.8 billion. The adjusted return on average assets was reported at 1.23%, and the adjusted return on average tangible common equity was 12.3%. FB Financial maintained a tangible common equity to tangible assets ratio of 10.5%, a preliminary CET1 ratio of 12.8%, and a total risk-based capital ratio of 15.2%. Additionally, net interest income for the quarter was $107.6 million, while non-interest income amounted to $23 million. The net interest margin increased by 5 basis points to 3.55%. The company also reported a non-interest expense of $79.5 million ($79.1 million on an adjusted basis) and a provision expense of $2.3 million.

FB Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FB Financial exhibits strong revenue growth and improved operational efficiency, with a robust balance sheet and low leverage. However, challenges in cash flow growth and pressure on net profit margins highlight areas needing improvement.
Income Statement
70
Positive
FB Financial has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin is solid, consistently reflecting 100% over the years due to total revenue equaling gross profit, which is typical in the banking industry where interest income is the primary component. The net profit margin was 16.0% in 2024, slightly decreasing from 25.2% in 2023, indicating some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 was robust at 51.9%, but this follows a previous year of revenue decline by 9.3%, suggesting volatility. EBIT margin improved significantly to 98.0% in 2024 from 45.5% in 2023, showing enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of FB Financial reveals strong equity levels with an equity ratio of 11.9% in 2024, indicating a stable funding base. The debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly to 0.04 in 2024, showcasing effective debt management. Return on equity was 7.4% in 2024, down from 8.3% in 2023, suggesting a slight decline in profitability but still a reasonable return for the banking sector. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with low leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
FB Financial's cash flow statement shows some challenges. Free cash flow decreased by 27.3% from 2023 to 2024, indicating potential constraints in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.2 in 2024 suggests that operating cash flow adequately supports net income, though lower than previous years. The free cash flow to net income ratio was 1.2 in 2024, hinting at a reasonable conversion of net income into free cash flow, albeit lower compared to some previous years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue492.32M766.77M748.98M596.35M613.25M616.50M
Gross Profit372.49M445.74M475.25M508.19M616.62M459.55M
EBITDA119.12M161.58M165.13M172.18M256.94M95.32M
Net Income89.56M116.03M120.22M124.56M190.28M63.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.14B13.16B12.60B12.85B12.60B11.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.001.74B1.71B2.29B3.35B2.37B
Total Debt228.12M246.55M468.35M494.99M226.52M299.69M
Total Liabilities11.53B11.59B11.15B11.52B11.16B9.92B
Stockholders Equity1.60B1.57B1.45B1.33B1.43B1.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow81.15M132.25M190.84M789.08M48.78M-275.94M
Operating Cash Flow86.07M138.80M211.07M799.71M54.88M-270.00M
Investing Cash Flow-603.80M-294.00M-55.22M-1.75B-849.56M309.42M
Financing Cash Flow441.70M386.76M-371.98M184.10M1.27B1.05B

FB Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.99
Price Trends
50DMA
44.19
Positive
100DMA
45.28
Positive
200DMA
48.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Negative
RSI
71.02
Negative
STOCH
88.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.40, above the 50-day MA of 44.19, and below the 200-day MA of 48.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.02 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBK.

FB Financial Risk Analysis

FB Financial disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FB Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FB Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.53B19.785.82%2.45%4.52%7.58%
FBFBK
74
Outperform
$2.53B17.298.27%1.62%2.70%14.32%
72
Outperform
$2.20B14.794.94%5.83%23.09%1086.91%
72
Outperform
$2.45B20.0613.18%1.52%14.30%16.24%
HTHTH
71
Outperform
$2.03B16.055.89%2.28%0.59%14.96%
70
Neutral
$2.31B353.993.28%2.52%-17.96%-95.37%
61
Neutral
C$14.56B6.1620.17%5.70%26.93%-38.21%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FBK
FB Financial
47.53
10.07
26.88%
HTH
Hilltop Holdings
31.91
2.55
8.69%
PPBI
Pacific Premier Bancorp
23.10
2.29
11.00%
SYBT
Stock Yards Bancorp
83.01
35.35
74.17%
SBCF
Seacoast Banking Of Florida
29.55
7.17
32.04%
TRMK
Trustmark
38.59
9.99
34.93%

FB Financial Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
FB Financial Shareholders Approve Merger Proposals
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, FB Financial Corporation held a special shareholder meeting to discuss two key proposals related to a merger with Southern States Bancshares, Inc. The shareholders approved both the issuance of common stock for the merger and the potential adjournment of the meeting to gather additional votes if necessary, indicating strong support for the merger plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBK) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FB Financial stock, see the FBK Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
FB Financial Secures Approval for Southern States Merger
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, FB Financial Corporation announced it had received all necessary regulatory approvals for its merger with Southern States Bancshares, Inc., with the transaction expected to close on July 1, 2025. This merger is anticipated to enhance FB Financial’s market position, although it carries potential risks related to integration and market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBK) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FB Financial stock, see the FBK Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
FB Financial Discusses Strategic Plans at Bank Trip
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 4, 2025, FB Financial Corporation’s management team presented at the Stephens Nashville Bank Trip, discussing the company’s strategic plans and potential merger with Southern States Bancshares, Inc. The presentation highlighted forward-looking statements about the merger’s expected benefits, while also cautioning about various risks and uncertainties that could impact future performance. The company emphasized the importance of regulatory approvals and shareholder votes for the merger’s success.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBK) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FB Financial stock, see the FBK Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
FB Financial Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, FB Financial Corporation held its annual shareholders meeting, where 12 directors were elected to serve for one year. Shareholders approved the compensation of executive officers on a non-binding basis and ratified Crowe LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. However, a proposal to amend the company’s charter to eliminate supermajority voting standards did not pass.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBK) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FB Financial stock, see the FBK Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
FB Financial Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

FB Financial Corporation reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a net income of $39.4 million, or $0.84 per diluted share, compared to $0.81 in the previous quarter and $0.59 in the first quarter of the previous year. The company experienced a 7.14% annualized increase in loans held for investment, reaching $9.77 billion, while deposits remained relatively flat at $11.20 billion. The net interest margin improved to 3.55% from 3.50% in the prior quarter. CEO Christopher T. Holmes noted the company’s solid start to the year, highlighting growth in loans and deposits despite slower economic conditions, and emphasized the company’s strong capital and liquidity positions.

Executive/Board Changes
FB Financial Announces Passing of Key Shareholder
Negative
Apr 7, 2025

FB Financial Corporation announced the passing of James W. Ayers on April 1, 2025. Mr. Ayers, who owned approximately 23% of the company’s common stock and was its sole shareholder before its IPO, was instrumental in transforming FirstBank into a leading financial institution in the South. His passing also led to the automatic termination of the Shareholder’s Agreement, which allowed him to designate a portion of the company’s board members.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025