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Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)
NYSE:LUCK
US Market

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) AI Stock Analysis

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Lucky Strike Entertainment

(NYSE:LUCK)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(10.25%Upside)
Lucky Strike Entertainment's overall stock score of 61 reflects strong revenue growth and operational improvements, but significant risks remain due to financial instability and valuation concerns. The positive impact of successful strategic initiatives and corporate events supports future growth potential, despite challenges in profitability and external market conditions.
Positive Factors
Market Position
LUCK remains a leader in a highly fragmented market with potential for long-term upside due to a favorable M&A backdrop.
New Center Openings
LUCK opened four new Lucky Strike concepts that witnessed strong results in the early days of operation.
Rebranding Impact
Significant opportunity for stronger growth over the coming years as benefits from the rebranding of centers to Lucky Strike are complemented by improving food & beverage attach rates and the ongoing expansion into other forms of family entertainment.
Negative Factors
Corporate Bookings Impact
Results are likely to come in toward the lower end of the guidance range, with continued softness from corporate bookings and temporary center closures related to the LA fires driving a negative comp.
Financial Performance
Lucky Strike Entertainment reported soft fiscal 2Q25 results, with both revenue and adj. EBITDA coming in below expectations.
Valuation Outlook
A reduction in the FY'26 EV/EBITDA target multiple indicates a more conservative outlook on valuation.

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lucky Strike Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) is a prominent player in the entertainment and hospitality sector, offering a unique blend of upscale bowling, dining, and nightlife experiences. The company operates a chain of venues known for their modern design, vibrant atmosphere, and diverse offerings, including state-of-the-art bowling lanes, gourmet dining options, and live music events. Lucky Strike caters to both casual visitors and corporate clients, providing a versatile environment for social gatherings and corporate events.
How the Company Makes MoneyLucky Strike Entertainment generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily driven by its entertainment venues. The core revenue sources include lane rentals for bowling, food and beverage sales, and event hosting fees. The company capitalizes on its upscale dining options and bar services, which attract a wide range of customers. Additionally, Lucky Strike offers corporate event packages and private party bookings, which contribute significantly to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and promotional events also play a role in enhancing foot traffic and boosting sales. The company focuses on creating a comprehensive entertainment experience, encouraging repeat visits and customer loyalty.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are positive indicators such as revenue growth, successful new builds, and strong summer pass sales, significant challenges remain, particularly in the corporate events sector and regions affected by economic and natural disruptions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Total Revenue Growth
Lucky Strike Entertainment reported a modest total revenue increase of 0.7% for the third quarter of 2025, achieving $339.9 million in revenue compared to $337.7 million in the previous year.
Summer Season Pass Success
Early sales of summer season passes are up 200+ percent year-over-year, indicating strong consumer interest in local, high-value entertainment.
New Builds and Acquisitions
New properties launched between September and December 2024 are exceeding expectations, generating nearly $8 million in revenue and $4 million in EBITDA. Additionally, Lucky Strike acquired Shipwreck Island in Panama City Beach, Florida for $30 million.
Food Sales Increase
Comparable food sales rose 1% with total food sales up 8% year-over-year, driven by refreshed food and beverage offerings.
PBA Viewership Growth
The Professional Bowlers Association (PBA) achieved a 103% year-over-year increase in viewership for its recent telecast, supported by a new multi-year media rights agreement with CW.
Negative Updates
Decline in Same-Store Sales
Same-store sales declined by 5.6%, with significant impacts from the corporate events segment, especially in California, which contributed nearly 50% of the same-store sales decline.
Challenges from California Market
California, representing 21% of total sales, experienced broad-based softness, particularly in Los Angeles, affecting overall performance negatively.
Corporate Event Business Decline
Corporate events faced high single-digit declines, with significant reduction in activity attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty and layoffs, particularly in the tech sector.
Impact of Natural Disasters
The lingering effects of January's devastating fires in Southern California continue to weigh on business performance in that region.
Company Guidance
During the Lucky Strike Entertainment Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance was provided for several key financial metrics. The company reported total revenue of $339.9 million, a modest increase of 0.7% compared to the previous quarter, despite a 5.6% decline in same-store sales. Adjusted EBITDA was $117.3 million, down from $122.8 million, with same-store sales contributing a $19 million headwind. However, improvements in payroll and reductions in maintenance and service costs contributed positively, with savings of $8 million and $3 million respectively. The leagues business experienced low single-digit growth, while the events business faced high single-digit declines. Early sales of summer season passes have increased by over 200% year-over-year, indicating strong consumer interest in local entertainment. Additionally, the company continues to invest in growth through acquisitions and new properties, with $25 million deployed in capital expenditures during the quarter. Despite the challenges, Lucky Strike is optimistic about future growth, particularly with the expected rebound in corporate events and the strategic expansion of its entertainment centers and water parks.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lucky Strike Entertainment demonstrates strong revenue growth and positive operating cash flow. However, profitability issues, negative equity, and high leverage are significant risks, affecting its overall financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Lucky Strike Entertainment has shown significant revenue growth, with revenue increasing from $395.2M in 2021 to $1.18B in TTM. The gross profit margin in TTM stands at 35.5%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is weak at 0.2% in TTM, due to high expenses relative to revenue. Despite a positive trajectory in revenue growth, profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company has a negative stockholders' equity of -$86.4M as of TTM, indicating financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning due to the negative equity. Although the company has managed to grow its assets over time, high leverage remains a significant risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains positive at $161.5M in TTM, indicating decent operational efficiency. However, free cash flow is negative at -$3.26M, reflecting high capital expenditures. While the operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, sustaining free cash flow generation is critical.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.18B1.15B1.06B911.71M395.23M520.43M
Gross Profit
420.69M314.18M342.41M301.73M20.98M77.17M
EBIT
87.75M91.59M200.80M116.63M-38.64M-1.99M
EBITDA
320.54M211.42M218.06M170.79M53.21M87.25M
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.52M-83.58M82.05M-29.93M-126.46M-90.89M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
79.09M66.97M195.63M132.24M187.09M140.71M
Total Assets
3.20B3.11B2.84B1.85B1.78B1.78B
Total Debt
2.59B2.41B2.26B1.27B1.25B1.20B
Net Debt
2.52B2.34B2.06B1.14B1.06B1.06B
Total Liabilities
3.28B3.16B2.54B1.66B1.45B1.33B
Stockholders Equity
-86.40M-49.85M299.55M192.32M330.12M443.81M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.26M-39.75M68.25M12.87M15.04M-100.89M
Operating Cash Flow
161.50M154.83M217.79M177.67M58.23M18.82M
Investing Cash Flow
-266.11M-385.66M-253.22M-220.34M-46.68M-129.40M
Financing Cash Flow
-28.20M102.16M98.96M-12.14M34.80M137.26M

Lucky Strike Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.07
Price Trends
50DMA
8.92
Positive
100DMA
9.64
Negative
200DMA
10.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
57.31
Neutral
STOCH
77.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.89, above the 50-day MA of 8.92, and below the 200-day MA of 10.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LUCK.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.53B16.3218.31%1.45%3.84%19.95%
SVSVV
75
Outperform
$1.63B70.416.13%2.97%-63.56%
65
Neutral
$1.65B21.36-20.16%3.65%-2.77%4.01%
63
Neutral
$1.75B13.481222.83%5.81%133.05%
62
Neutral
$6.88B11.072.77%4.28%2.67%-24.94%
61
Neutral
$1.27B-108.04%2.42%6.65%-111.16%
61
Neutral
$1.45B9.1331.35%1.45%59.09%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment
9.35
-4.10
-30.48%
MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort
83.28
16.07
23.91%
PZZA
Papa John's International
49.80
3.38
7.28%
VSCO
Victoria's Secret
18.62
-0.19
-1.01%
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
36.83
3.72
11.24%
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
10.35
-1.75
-14.46%

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lucky Strike Surpasses 200,000 Summer Season Pass Members
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment announced a significant achievement for its 2025 Summer Season Pass, surpassing 200,000 members and generating over $10.3 million in sales by the second week of June, exceeding the entire 2024 program’s sales. This record-breaking start highlights the success of the company’s guest-focused enhancements to the Summer Season Pass, which includes perks like daily bowling games and exclusive discounts. The program’s success reflects positively on the company’s strategic optimizations and is expected to continue shaping the future of this growing initiative.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCK) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucky Strike Entertainment stock, see the LUCK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lucky Strike Extends CFO’s Employment Agreement
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment extended the employment agreement of its CFO, Robert Lavan, until May 2027, with an increased annual salary of $725,000. The company reported a slight revenue increase of 0.7% to $339.9 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, despite a decrease in same-store revenue and net income. The company acquired additional entertainment centers and water parks, expanding its operational locations to 367. It is focusing on strategic initiatives like the Summer Season Pass program to boost traffic and is maintaining a disciplined approach to expense management amid economic uncertainties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.