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Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)
NYSE:LUCK
US Market

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) AI Stock Analysis

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LUCK

Lucky Strike Entertainment

(NYSE:LUCK)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▼(-2.07% Downside)
Lucky Strike Entertainment's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial instability, characterized by high leverage and negative profitability. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into revenue growth and strategic initiatives, the technical indicators and valuation metrics remain weak. The company's ability to address its financial challenges will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue and EBITDA growth
Sustained double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth indicates improving demand and operational leverage across venues. Over months this supports reinvestment capacity and margin resilience, helping absorb fixed costs and fund strategic initiatives if growth is maintained.
Strategic acquisitions and diversification
Adding water parks and family entertainment centers diversifies revenue away from core bowling and corporate events, broadening seasonal and demographic appeal. This structural mix can stabilize revenues across cycles and create cross-selling and scale benefits over the medium term.
Refinancing and real estate ownership
Extending debt maturities to 2032 and acquiring property reduces near-term refinancing risk and future rent exposure. Longer maturities plus owned real estate improve liquidity flexibility and lower operating leverage from landlords, strengthening balance-sheet optionality over years.
Negative Factors
High leverage and negative equity
Negative shareholders' equity signals substantial leverage and solvency risk, constraining the company’s financial flexibility. Over months this limits ability to raise inexpensive capital, increases refinancing and covenant risk, and can force defensive actions if cash stress persists.
Weak free cash flow generation
A steep decline in free cash flow and very low FCF-to-income conversion indicate poor cash conversion and limited internal funding. Persistently weak FCF restricts capex flexibility, debt paydown, and dividend sustainability, leaving the business dependent on external financing.
Negative net profitability despite healthy gross margin
Healthy gross margins but negative net margin imply high operating, interest or other non‑operating costs erode profitability. Structurally, this weakens retained earnings, impairs equity cushions, and makes long-term earnings recovery dependent on sustained cost or revenue improvements.

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lucky Strike Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLucky Strike Entertainment Corporation provides location-based entertainment platforms under the AMF, Bowlero, Lucky X Strike, Boomers, and PBA brand names in North America. It also operates bowling, amusements, water parks, and family entertainment centers. The company was formerly known as Bowlero Corp. and changed its name to Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation in December 2024. Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Mechanicsville, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyLucky Strike Entertainment generates revenue through multiple channels. The primary revenue stream comes from in-game purchases and microtransactions within its gaming platforms, allowing players to buy virtual goods and enhancements. Additionally, LUCK earns income from subscription services that offer premium content and exclusive access to new game releases. The company also partners with advertising networks to monetize its free-to-play games through ad placements, providing an additional revenue source. Strategic collaborations with other entertainment firms and technology companies further enhance its earnings through co-productions and licensing deals, expanding its market reach and audience engagement.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and EBITDA growth, strategic acquisitions, and successful cost management. However, challenges in the offline events business and regional difficulties in California and Washington were noted. The overall picture indicates robust growth with some areas needing attention.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total revenue grew 12% and adjusted EBITDA was up 15% in the first quarter of 2026, indicating strong financial performance.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquired two profitable water parks and three family entertainment centers, expected to generate above-average returns, broadening leadership in the entertainment sector.
Online Booking Success
Double-digit growth in the online booking funnel, signaling increasing customer engagement and digital sales effectiveness.
Cost Management and Capital Efficiency
CapEx reduced from $42 million to $26 million year-over-year, reflecting improved capital allocation and procurement efficiency.
Real Estate Investment
Acquired land and buildings for 58 locations for $306 million, enhancing flexibility and reducing future rent exposure.
Strong Performance in Retail and Leagues
Retail revenue up 1.4% and league revenue up 2.1%, with October showing the strongest month of the year for events.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion
Achieved a 70 basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin, with expectations of further improvements in upcoming quarters.
Negative Updates
Decline in Offline Events Business
Offline events business, mostly corporate event bookings, down 11%, negatively impacting total comps.
Challenges in California and Washington
Significant challenges in California and Washington due to Silicon Valley layoffs, affecting corporate events business.
Flat Same-Store Sales
Same-store sales were nearly flat at negative 0.4%, indicating challenges in maintaining growth across existing venues.
Company Guidance
During the Lucky Strike Entertainment First Quarter 2026 earnings call, key metrics highlighted included a 12% growth in total revenue and a 15% increase in adjusted EBITDA. The same-store sales were nearly flat at -0.4%, with retail revenue up 1.4% and league revenue up 2.1%. Online booking funnel growth was reported at double digits, while offline events saw an 11% decline, impacting total comps by approximately 160 basis points. Capital expenditure for the quarter was reduced to $26 million, a decrease from $42 million the previous year. A strategic real estate investment of $306 million was made to acquire the land and buildings for 58 locations, and a $1.7 billion refinancing was completed, extending debt maturities to 2032 with a 7% weighted average cost of capital. The company expanded by acquiring two water parks and three family entertainment centers, expecting the $90 million transaction to yield favorable returns by next summer. The integration of new leadership positions was also emphasized, with the introduction of a Chief Revenue Officer and a Vice President of Field Training, aiming to enhance service and culture.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lucky Strike Entertainment faces significant financial challenges, with high leverage and negative profitability impacting its financial stability. While there is some revenue growth and operational efficiency, the negative equity and declining cash flows pose substantial risks. The company needs to address its leverage and improve profitability to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Lucky Strike Entertainment shows moderate revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.67%. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -3.80% in the TTM. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 37.16%, but the negative net income suggests operational challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are positive, indicating some operational efficiency, but the overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a negative debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity. This indicates high financial risk and potential solvency issues. The return on equity is positive at 36.87%, but this is skewed by the negative equity. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -55.70% in the TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.73, suggesting that cash flow generation is not fully supporting net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.11, further emphasizing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.23B1.20B1.15B1.06B911.71M395.23M
Gross Profit458.35M447.08M314.18M342.41M301.73M20.98M
EBITDA355.89M394.71M211.42M218.06M170.79M53.21M
Net Income-46.91M-10.02M-83.58M82.05M-29.93M-126.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.20B3.16B3.11B2.84B1.85B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.09M59.69M66.97M195.63M132.24M187.09M
Total Debt2.59B2.63B2.41B2.26B1.27B1.25B
Total Liabilities3.28B3.33B3.16B2.54B1.66B1.45B
Stockholders Equity-86.40M-171.35M-49.85M299.55M192.32M330.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.02M36.16M-39.75M68.25M12.87M15.04M
Operating Cash Flow141.40M177.22M154.83M217.79M177.67M58.23M
Investing Cash Flow-495.53M-220.31M-385.66M-253.22M-220.34M-46.68M
Financing Cash Flow346.34M35.86M102.16M98.96M-12.14M34.80M

Lucky Strike Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.19
Price Trends
50DMA
8.39
Positive
100DMA
9.01
Positive
200DMA
9.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
59.34
Neutral
STOCH
68.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.88, above the 50-day MA of 8.39, and above the 200-day MA of 9.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LUCK.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.80B25.6821.77%1.56%-17.21%
70
Outperform
$2.13B29.4213.53%0.79%7.27%45.12%
62
Neutral
$2.68B-1.79-46.95%-3.58%-12720.97%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$390.54M-4.98-3.55%-111.90%
46
Neutral
$1.28B-22.492.51%3.88%34.36%
45
Neutral
$2.74B-24.43-8.74%74.66%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment
9.23
-1.10
-10.65%
MODG
Topgolf Callaway Brands
14.68
6.59
81.46%
YETI
Yeti Holdings
49.34
12.18
32.78%
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings
20.18
0.86
4.45%
PTON
Peloton Interactive
6.70
-1.79
-21.08%
XPOF
Xponential Fitness
8.20
-7.80
-48.75%

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Lucky Strike’s 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting Updates
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. During the meeting, stockholders elected several nominees to the Board of Directors for a term lasting until the next annual meeting. Additionally, the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 28, 2026, was ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCK) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucky Strike Entertainment stock, see the LUCK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Lucky Strike Reports Q1 2026 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended on September 28, 2025. The company saw a 12.3% increase in total revenue to $292.3 million, despite a net loss of $13.8 million compared to a net income of $23.1 million the previous year. The company expanded its footprint by acquiring three family entertainment centers and one water park, bringing its total locations to 369. Lucky Strike also announced a 9% increase in its quarterly cash dividend. The company refinanced its credit facility on September 22, 2025, extending the maturity of its debt and reducing interest rates, which strengthens its financial flexibility and supports long-term growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCK) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucky Strike Entertainment stock, see the LUCK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025