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Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK)
:LUCK
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Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) AI Stock Analysis

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LUCK

Lucky Strike Entertainment

(NYSE:LUCK)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(1.43% Upside)
Lucky Strike Entertainment's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and weak technical indicators. While the earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic growth plans, the company's high leverage and negative equity pose significant risks. The valuation is challenged by a negative P/E ratio, though the dividend yield offers some compensation. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing on the stock's score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions in water parks and family entertainment centers enhance market position and diversify revenue streams, supporting long-term growth.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, contributing to sustained financial performance.
Liquidity Position
A strong liquidity position provides financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, ensuring long-term stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates potential financial distress, which can undermine investor confidence and restrict access to capital markets.
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow limits the company's ability to fund operations, invest in growth, and return capital to shareholders, posing a long-term challenge.

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lucky Strike Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) is a diversified entertainment company specializing in the development, production, and distribution of gaming and entertainment content. The company operates in various sectors, including online gaming, mobile applications, and traditional entertainment platforms, focusing on delivering innovative experiences to a wide audience. LUCK's core products encompass a range of interactive games, virtual reality experiences, and multimedia entertainment solutions designed to engage users and enhance their entertainment options.
How the Company Makes MoneyLucky Strike Entertainment generates revenue through multiple channels. The primary revenue stream comes from in-game purchases and microtransactions within its gaming platforms, allowing players to buy virtual goods and enhancements. Additionally, LUCK earns income from subscription services that offer premium content and exclusive access to new game releases. The company also partners with advertising networks to monetize its free-to-play games through ad placements, providing an additional revenue source. Strategic collaborations with other entertainment firms and technology companies further enhance its earnings through co-productions and licensing deals, expanding its market reach and audience engagement.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with strategic growth through acquisitions and innovative offerings, despite some challenges in same-store sales and specific segments. The company's strong liquidity and aggressive expansion plans suggest confidence in future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Strategic Acquisitions
Revenue grew 4% despite challenges, and the company saw double-digit total revenue growth year-over-year in July. Notable acquisitions include two iconic water parks and three family entertainment centers, expanding their leadership in bowling, water parks, and family entertainment.
Successful Season Pass Program
The season pass program grew to over 260,000 members, generating more than $13.4 million in revenue, up from $8.5 million last year.
Innovative Food and Beverage Offerings
Food revenue delivered a positive 2.5% same-store comps. The new craft lemonade sold 135,000 units, generating nearly $800,000 in sales.
Acquisition of Real Estate
Acquired real estate underlying 58 locations for $306 million, maximizing flexibility for capital structure and location footprint.
Strong Liquidity Position
Liquidity remained strong at $342 million, with $60 million in cash and a net debt of $1.3 billion.
Negative Updates
Same-Store Sales Decline
Same-store sales declined by 4.1%, with California contributing $6 million to the decline.
Challenges in Corporate Events Business
Faced high single-digit decline in the events business, with expectations for improvement as comps become easier.
Negative Alcohol Sales Comps
Alcohol comps were negative 2.7%, although they showed improvement.
Company Guidance
In the Fourth Quarter 2025 earnings call for Lucky Strike Entertainment, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, highlighting expectations of total revenue growth between 5% and 9%, translating to $1.26 billion to $1.31 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be in the range of $375 million to $415 million. The company reported a robust liquidity position with $342 million, including $60 million in cash, and a net debt of $1.3 billion. The net leverage ratio stood at 2.9x. The company also discussed its recent strategic acquisitions, including two iconic water parks, aiming to enhance its location-based entertainment platform. Efforts are being made to optimize its capital structure, with an emphasis on marketing and hospitality initiatives to support sustained growth.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lucky Strike Entertainment shows mixed financial performance. Positive revenue growth and improved gross profit margins are overshadowed by minimal profitability, high financial leverage, and negative equity. Cash flow generation is concerning, with a significant decline in free cash flow.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Lucky Strike Entertainment shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has achieved a positive revenue growth rate of 1.46% TTM, indicating some growth momentum. However, the net profit margin is extremely low at 0.21% TTM, reflecting minimal profitability. The gross profit margin has improved to 35.53% TTM, suggesting better cost management. Despite these improvements, the negative net income in recent periods highlights ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of -30.03 TTM, indicating substantial reliance on debt financing. The negative stockholders' equity is a concern, as it suggests financial instability. The return on equity is negative, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. Overall, the balance sheet indicates potential financial risk due to high leverage and negative equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop of -1209.39% TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 0.80 TTM, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting challenges in converting profits into free cash flow. The cash flow situation is mixed, with some strengths in operating cash flow but weaknesses in free cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.20B1.15B1.06B911.71M395.23M
Gross Profit447.08M447.08M314.18M342.41M301.73M20.98M
EBITDA394.71M394.71M211.42M218.06M170.79M53.21M
Net Income-10.02M-10.02M-83.58M82.05M-29.93M-126.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.16B3.16B3.11B2.84B1.85B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.69M59.69M66.97M195.63M132.24M187.09M
Total Debt2.63B2.63B2.41B2.26B1.27B1.25B
Total Liabilities3.33B3.33B3.16B2.54B1.66B1.45B
Stockholders Equity-171.35M-171.35M-49.85M299.55M192.32M330.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.16M36.16M-39.75M68.25M12.87M15.04M
Operating Cash Flow177.22M177.22M154.83M217.79M177.67M58.23M
Investing Cash Flow-220.31M-220.31M-385.66M-253.22M-220.34M-46.68M
Financing Cash Flow35.86M35.86M102.16M98.96M-12.14M34.80M

Lucky Strike Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.38
Price Trends
50DMA
9.71
Negative
100DMA
9.75
Negative
200DMA
9.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Positive
RSI
36.19
Neutral
STOCH
21.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUCK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.09, below the 50-day MA of 9.71, and below the 200-day MA of 9.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUCK.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$2.37B32.8213.53%0.69%7.27%45.12%
$2.76B16.2223.49%3.63%-2.60%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$1.73B-46.53%-2.35%-7104.57%
$1.18B2.63%4.05%77.32%
$2.96B-7.76%79.66%
$327.16M-3.02%-517.53%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment
8.38
-1.78
-17.52%
MODG
Topgolf Callaway Brands
9.41
-0.51
-5.14%
YETI
Yeti Holdings
33.99
-2.75
-7.49%
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings
23.27
5.91
34.04%
PTON
Peloton Interactive
7.26
-0.25
-3.33%
XPOF
Xponential Fitness
6.72
-5.89
-46.71%

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Lucky Strike Entertainment Announces New Financial Obligation
Neutral
Sep 23, 2025

The news release from Lucky Strike Entertainment lacks sufficient information to provide a comprehensive summary. It only mentions that information from Item 1.01 is incorporated by reference into Item 2.03, without further context or details about the company’s operations or implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCK) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucky Strike Entertainment stock, see the LUCK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Lucky Strike Announces $500M Notes Offering Pricing
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment announced the pricing of a $500 million senior secured notes offering and a $1,200 million tranche of term loans, both maturing in 2032. The proceeds will be used to refinance existing facilities and for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCK) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucky Strike Entertainment stock, see the LUCK Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Lucky Strike Entertainment Announces Refinancing Initiative
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation reported positive same-store sales growth for July and August 2025 compared to the same months in 2024, with total revenue showing double-digit growth. However, these results are preliminary, unaudited, and subject to change, as they are based on internal reporting and not yet reviewed by an independent accounting firm. The company also announced a refinancing initiative involving a $700 million offering of new senior secured notes and a $1,000 million new term loan facility, aiming to repay existing debts and fund general corporate purposes. These financial maneuvers are contingent on market conditions and may not be completed as planned.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCK) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucky Strike Entertainment stock, see the LUCK Stock Forecast page.

Bowlero Corp. Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth
Sep 1, 2025

Bowlero Corp. Class A’s recent earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook, driven by strategic growth through acquisitions and innovative offerings. Despite facing some challenges in same-store sales and specific segments, the company demonstrated confidence in its future growth, supported by strong liquidity and aggressive expansion plans.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Reports Solid Fiscal Year 2025 Results
Aug 29, 2025

Lucky Strike Entertainment is a leading location-based entertainment company with a diverse portfolio that includes bowling, amusements, water parks, and family entertainment centers, operating over 360 locations across North America. The company recently reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, highlighting a total revenue growth of 6.1% in the fourth quarter and 4.0% for the full year. Despite a net loss, the company showed improvements in adjusted EBITDA and continued its expansion efforts.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lucky Strike Entertainment Reports Q4 Revenue Growth
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

Lucky Strike Entertainment reported a 6.1% revenue growth in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, ending June 29, 2025, despite a net loss increase to $74.7 million. The company expanded its locations to 370, with significant contributions from acquisitions and new builds, and highlighted the success of its revamped Summer Season Pass program, which drove record visitor numbers and revenue. The company remains focused on profitable growth and issued a positive revenue and EBITDA guidance for fiscal year 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCK) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucky Strike Entertainment stock, see the LUCK Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Lucky Strike Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment‘s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.055 per share, payable on September 12, 2025, to shareholders recorded by August 29, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and may impact its financial positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCK) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucky Strike Entertainment stock, see the LUCK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025