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Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)
NYSE:LUCK
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Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) AI Stock Analysis

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LUCK

Lucky Strike Entertainment

(NYSE:LUCK)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(3.20% Upside)
Lucky Strike Entertainment's overall stock score is driven by a mixed financial performance and concerning valuation metrics. However, the positive sentiment from the earnings call and slight bullish technical indicators provide some optimism. The company's strategic growth initiatives and strong liquidity position are key strengths, but financial instability and high leverage remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions expand Lucky Strike's market presence and diversify its entertainment offerings, enhancing long-term growth potential and competitive positioning.
Strong Liquidity Position
A robust liquidity position provides financial flexibility to support strategic initiatives, manage debt obligations, and invest in growth opportunities, ensuring business resilience.
Innovative Offerings
Innovative food and beverage offerings drive customer engagement and revenue growth, enhancing the overall customer experience and supporting sustained business expansion.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage indicates significant reliance on debt financing, which can strain cash flow and limit financial flexibility, posing long-term financial risks.
Decline in Same-Store Sales
A decline in same-store sales suggests challenges in maintaining customer traffic and revenue at existing locations, potentially impacting profitability and growth.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates challenges in converting profits into cash, which can hinder the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives sustainably.

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lucky Strike Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLucky Strike Entertainment Corporation provides location-based entertainment platforms under the AMF, Bowlero, Lucky X Strike, Boomers, and PBA brand names in North America. It also operates bowling, amusements, water parks, and family entertainment centers. The company was formerly known as Bowlero Corp. and changed its name to Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation in December 2024. Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Mechanicsville, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyLucky Strike Entertainment generates revenue primarily through a combination of bowling lane rentals, food and beverage sales, and event hosting. Bowling lane rentals are a significant revenue stream, with customers paying hourly fees to use the lanes. The full-service restaurant and bar contribute through the sale of food and beverages, including popular menu items and specialty cocktails. Additionally, the company hosts private events, such as corporate gatherings and parties, which bring in substantial revenue. Partnerships with sponsors and collaborations with local artists or performers also provide supplementary income streams by enhancing the overall entertainment offerings and attracting more visitors.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with strategic growth through acquisitions and innovative offerings, despite some challenges in same-store sales and specific segments. The company's strong liquidity and aggressive expansion plans suggest confidence in future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Strategic Acquisitions
Revenue grew 4% despite challenges, and the company saw double-digit total revenue growth year-over-year in July. Notable acquisitions include two iconic water parks and three family entertainment centers, expanding their leadership in bowling, water parks, and family entertainment.
Successful Season Pass Program
The season pass program grew to over 260,000 members, generating more than $13.4 million in revenue, up from $8.5 million last year.
Innovative Food and Beverage Offerings
Food revenue delivered a positive 2.5% same-store comps. The new craft lemonade sold 135,000 units, generating nearly $800,000 in sales.
Acquisition of Real Estate
Acquired real estate underlying 58 locations for $306 million, maximizing flexibility for capital structure and location footprint.
Strong Liquidity Position
Liquidity remained strong at $342 million, with $60 million in cash and a net debt of $1.3 billion.
Negative Updates
Same-Store Sales Decline
Same-store sales declined by 4.1%, with California contributing $6 million to the decline.
Challenges in Corporate Events Business
Faced high single-digit decline in the events business, with expectations for improvement as comps become easier.
Negative Alcohol Sales Comps
Alcohol comps were negative 2.7%, although they showed improvement.
Company Guidance
In the Fourth Quarter 2025 earnings call for Lucky Strike Entertainment, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, highlighting expectations of total revenue growth between 5% and 9%, translating to $1.26 billion to $1.31 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be in the range of $375 million to $415 million. The company reported a robust liquidity position with $342 million, including $60 million in cash, and a net debt of $1.3 billion. The net leverage ratio stood at 2.9x. The company also discussed its recent strategic acquisitions, including two iconic water parks, aiming to enhance its location-based entertainment platform. Efforts are being made to optimize its capital structure, with an emphasis on marketing and hospitality initiatives to support sustained growth.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lucky Strike Entertainment shows mixed financial performance with some revenue growth and improved gross profit margins. However, challenges include low profitability, high leverage, and negative equity, which indicate financial instability and risk.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Lucky Strike Entertainment shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has achieved a positive revenue growth rate of 1.46% TTM, indicating some growth momentum. However, the net profit margin is extremely low at 0.21% TTM, reflecting minimal profitability. The gross profit margin has improved to 35.53% TTM, suggesting better cost management. Despite these improvements, the negative net income in recent periods highlights ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of -30.03 TTM, indicating substantial reliance on debt financing. The negative stockholders' equity is a concern, as it suggests financial instability. The return on equity is negative, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. Overall, the balance sheet indicates potential financial risk due to high leverage and negative equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop of -1209.39% TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 0.80 TTM, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting challenges in converting profits into free cash flow. The cash flow situation is mixed, with some strengths in operating cash flow but weaknesses in free cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.20B1.15B1.06B911.71M395.23M
Gross Profit447.08M447.08M314.18M342.41M301.73M20.98M
EBITDA394.71M394.71M211.42M218.06M170.79M53.21M
Net Income-10.02M-10.02M-83.58M82.05M-29.93M-126.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.16B3.16B3.11B2.84B1.85B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.69M59.69M66.97M195.63M132.24M187.09M
Total Debt2.63B2.63B2.41B2.26B1.27B1.25B
Total Liabilities3.33B3.33B3.16B2.54B1.66B1.45B
Stockholders Equity-171.35M-171.35M-49.85M299.55M192.32M330.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.16M36.16M-39.75M68.25M12.87M15.04M
Operating Cash Flow177.22M177.22M154.83M217.79M177.67M58.23M
Investing Cash Flow-220.31M-220.31M-385.66M-253.22M-220.34M-46.68M
Financing Cash Flow35.86M35.86M102.16M98.96M-12.14M34.80M

Lucky Strike Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.69
Price Trends
50DMA
10.08
Negative
100DMA
9.61
Positive
200DMA
9.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
42.99
Neutral
STOCH
31.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUCK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.16, below the 50-day MA of 10.08, and below the 200-day MA of 9.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUCK.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
2.87B17.1022.07%3.63%-2.60%
69
Neutral
2.25B32.2912.98%0.72%8.51%31.24%
57
Neutral
1.68B-1.17-60.04%-2.35%-7104.57%
56
Neutral
3.32B-25.6728.74%-7.76%79.66%
52
Neutral
$1.36B-108.04%2.27%4.05%77.32%
52
Neutral
395.81M-4.6765.10%-3.02%-517.53%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment
9.69
-1.61
-14.25%
MODG
Topgolf Callaway Brands
9.29
-1.31
-12.36%
YETI
Yeti Holdings
34.59
-4.53
-11.58%
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings
22.30
5.76
34.82%
PTON
Peloton Interactive
7.93
3.19
67.30%
XPOF
Xponential Fitness
7.92
-4.35
-35.45%

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lucky Strike Entertainment Reports Q4 Revenue Growth
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

Lucky Strike Entertainment reported a 6.1% revenue growth in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, ending June 29, 2025, despite a net loss increase to $74.7 million. The company expanded its locations to 370, with significant contributions from acquisitions and new builds, and highlighted the success of its revamped Summer Season Pass program, which drove record visitor numbers and revenue. The company remains focused on profitable growth and issued a positive revenue and EBITDA guidance for fiscal year 2026.

Dividends
Lucky Strike Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment‘s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.055 per share, payable on September 12, 2025, to shareholders recorded by August 29, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and may impact its financial positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

Private Placements and Financing
Lucky Strike Entertainment Expands Credit Agreement by $50M
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation announced a Fourteenth Amendment to its First Lien Credit Agreement, originally dated July 3, 2017. This amendment involves a $50 million increase in the total revolving commitments, bringing the aggregate amount to $385 million. The terms of the new commitments align with the existing ones, including interest rates and maturity dates.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lucky Strike Secures $230M for Major Acquisition
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment announced a significant financial maneuver by entering into a Thirteenth Amendment to its First Lien Credit Agreement, securing $230 million in incremental bridge term loans to finance a major acquisition. This acquisition involves purchasing the real estate of 58 locations for $306 million, a strategic move aimed at reducing rent obligations and enhancing financial flexibility. The transaction is expected to be immediately accretive to earnings and cash flow, positioning the company for long-term growth and improved capital allocation. By transitioning from renter to owner, Lucky Strike aims to eliminate future lease inflation risks and strengthen control over key market assets, reflecting its commitment to building enduring shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lucky Strike Appoints New Board Members for Growth
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment announced the appointment of Richard Born and Jason Harinstein to its Board of Directors, enhancing the company’s leadership with their expertise in hospitality, real estate, finance, and technology. These strategic appointments are expected to bolster Lucky Strike’s commitment to innovation and growth, as the company continues to expand its industry footprint and strengthen its position as a leader in location-based entertainment.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lucky Strike Surpasses 200,000 Summer Season Pass Members
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Lucky Strike Entertainment announced a significant achievement for its 2025 Summer Season Pass, surpassing 200,000 members and generating over $10.3 million in sales by the second week of June, exceeding the entire 2024 program’s sales. This record-breaking start highlights the success of the company’s guest-focused enhancements to the Summer Season Pass, which includes perks like daily bowling games and exclusive discounts. The program’s success reflects positively on the company’s strategic optimizations and is expected to continue shaping the future of this growing initiative.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025