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Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG)
NYSE:MODG
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Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG) AI Stock Analysis

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MODG

Topgolf Callaway Brands

(NYSE:MODG)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-9.59% Downside)
Topgolf Callaway Brands' overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow, which weigh heavily on the score. However, positive technical indicators and a strong earnings call with increased guidance provide some optimism. The valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings, suggesting caution for investors.
Positive Factors
Segment Growth
The growth in the Topgolf segment indicates strong consumer demand and successful execution of business strategies, supporting long-term revenue potential.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt levels enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest expenses, contributing to improved long-term financial health.
Strategic Sale
The sale of a majority stake in Topgolf can provide significant capital for reinvestment in core operations, potentially enhancing focus and profitability.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, which could impact long-term competitiveness.
Cash Flow Challenges
Weak cash flow performance limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations, affecting sustainability.
Profitability Issues
Ongoing profitability challenges can hinder reinvestment in business operations and reduce shareholder value over time.

Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Topgolf Callaway Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTopgolf Callaway Brands Corp. designs, manufactures, and sells golf equipment, golf and lifestyle apparel, and other accessories. It operates through three segments: Topgolf; Golf Equipment; and Apparel, Gear and Other. The Topgolf segment operates Topgolf venues equipped with technology-enabled hitting bays, multiple bars, dining areas, and event spaces, as well as Toptracer ball-flight tracking technology; and World Golf Tour digital golf game. The Golf Equipment segment provides drivers, fairway woods, hybrids, irons, wedges and packaged sets, putters, and pre-owned golf clubs under the Callaway and Odyssey brands, as well as golf balls under the Callaway Golf and Strata brands. The Apparel, Gear and Other segment offers golf apparel and footwear; golf accessories, including golf bags, golf gloves, headwear, and practice aids under the Callaway brand; and golf and lifestyle apparel, hats, luggage and accessories, footwear, belts, facemasks, sunglasses, socks, and underwear under the TravisMathew brand. This segment also provides storage gear for sport and personal use, such as backpacks; travel, duffel, and golf bags; and storage gear accessories, as well as outerwear, headwear, and accessories under the OGIO brand. In addition, it offers outdoor apparel comprising jackets, trousers, dresses, skirts, and tops; and footwear and outdoor equipment, including packs and bags, travel bags, tents, sleeping bags, and accessories under the Jack Wolfskin brand. The company sells its products through golf retailers, sporting goods retailers, on-line retailers, mass merchants, department stores, third-party distributors, and mail order stores, as well as through its websites in the United States and approximately 120 countries. The company was formerly known as Callaway Golf Company and changed its name to Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. in September 2022. Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTopgolf Callaway Brands generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its Topgolf venues, which earn income through game play fees, food and beverage sales, and event hosting. Each venue operates a high-tech driving range where customers pay for access to hitting bays equipped with interactive gaming technology. Additionally, the sale of Callaway's golf equipment, including clubs and balls, serves as a significant revenue source. The company also engages in merchandise sales and partnerships, including collaborations with other brands and sponsorships, which further enhance its earnings. The combination of these diverse revenue streams and a strong brand presence in the golf industry solidifies the company's financial performance.

Topgolf Callaway Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Topgolf Callaway Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reported strong financial performance and growth in key segments, leading to increased full-year guidance. However, challenges such as tariffs, market declines in Asia, and ongoing adjustments in the 3-plus bay business at Topgolf were noted. The overall sentiment is positive, driven by strong results and strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Revenue and EBITDA Expectations
Total business exceeded expectations in both revenue and EBITDA with revenue up year-over-year in both Golf Equipment and Topgolf segments. This was driven by excellent market conditions and solid execution.
Golf Equipment Segment Performance
Q3 revenue increased 4% year-over-year to $305 million, with a 4% increase in Golf Clubs and a 6% increase in Golf Balls. The segment continues to perform strongly, supported by positive market dynamics.
Topgolf Segment Growth
Topgolf's Q3 results exceeded guidance for both revenue and EBITDA, with a transition to positive same venue sales of over 1% for the quarter. Traffic in the 1- to 2-bay segment was up high teens.
Strong Cash Position and Lower Debt
Available liquidity increased to $1.25 billion due to increased cash from operations and lower net CapEx. Net debt was reduced to $2.23 billion from $2.54 billion last year.
Increased Full Year Guidance
Full year 2025 revenue guidance raised to $3.90 billion to $3.94 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $490 million to $510 million, reflecting strong Q3 results and improved outlook.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Incremental tariff expense of $12 million in Q3 with a forecast of approximately $40 million for the full year. The impact is expected to increase meaningfully going forward.
Challenges in Asian Markets
Market conditions in Asia were challenging, with Japan down slightly year-to-date and Korea down low teens.
3-Plus Bay Business Decline
Continued declines in the 3-plus bay business, though there are signs of leveling off. Initiatives are planned to improve performance.
Topgolf CEO Transition
The CEO transition at Topgolf impacted the timing of strategic evaluations for separation processes.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Topgolf Callaway Brands exceeded expectations with a total revenue of $934 million, reflecting a 3% year-over-year increase, driven by growth in both the Golf Equipment and Topgolf segments. The Golf Equipment segment saw a 4% rise in revenue to $305 million, with Golf Clubs and Golf Balls increasing by 4% and 6%, respectively. Despite a $12 million impact from tariffs, the company maintained an adjusted EBITDA of $115 million. The Topgolf segment's revenue also grew by 4% to $472 million, with positive same venue sales of 1.4%. This growth was supported by strong consumer traffic, particularly in the 1- to 2-bay segment, which saw a high-teens increase in traffic. As a result of these positive performances, the company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $3.90 billion to $3.94 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $490 million to $510 million. Additionally, the company reported a reduction in net debt to $2.23 billion and an improved net leverage ratio of 3.8x.

Topgolf Callaway Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Topgolf Callaway Brands faces significant financial challenges, particularly in terms of profitability and cash flow generation. While the company maintains a strong gross profit margin and has improved its leverage position, negative revenue growth and profitability metrics indicate a need for strategic adjustments. The cash flow situation is concerning, with declining free cash flow and limited cash conversion from operations.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Topgolf Callaway Brands has experienced declining revenue growth in recent periods, with a negative growth rate of -1.91% in the TTM. The company also faces challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 64.55%, indicating efficient cost management at the production level.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.78 in the TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow performance is weak, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth of -87.49% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also low, reflecting limited cash generation relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.06B4.24B4.28B4.00B3.13B1.59B
Gross Profit2.62B2.65B2.65B2.41B1.86B657.60M
EBITDA-985.60M-973.60M484.70M477.50M622.00M-41.10M
Net Income-1.50B-1.45B95.00M157.90M322.00M-126.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.57B7.64B9.12B8.59B7.75B1.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments865.60M445.00M393.50M180.20M352.20M366.12M
Total Debt4.45B4.14B4.07B3.57B2.95B880.27M
Total Liabilities5.09B5.23B5.24B4.82B4.06B1.30B
Stockholders Equity2.48B2.41B3.88B3.77B3.68B675.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.50M86.60M-117.30M-567.40M-44.02M188.98M
Operating Cash Flow313.40M382.00M364.70M-35.10M278.26M228.24M
Investing Cash Flow30.70M-297.30M-542.90M-535.10M-161.86M-59.21M
Financing Cash Flow76.20M-23.60M375.80M425.30M-124.07M96.07M

Topgolf Callaway Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.72
Price Trends
50DMA
9.74
Positive
100DMA
9.54
Positive
200DMA
8.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Negative
RSI
69.99
Neutral
STOCH
88.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MODG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.24, above the 50-day MA of 9.74, and above the 200-day MA of 8.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MODG.

Topgolf Callaway Brands Risk Analysis

Topgolf Callaway Brands disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Topgolf Callaway Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Topgolf Callaway Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.23B21.6021.77%1.56%-17.21%
68
Neutral
$4.96B23.1125.91%1.17%4.20%24.12%
68
Neutral
$2.08B28.7513.53%0.83%7.27%45.12%
64
Neutral
$421.89M-8.33%3.21%-3.56%-407.47%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$2.34B-46.95%-3.58%-12720.97%
47
Neutral
$321.31M-3.55%-111.90%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MODG
Topgolf Callaway Brands
12.72
4.30
51.07%
GOLF
Acushnet Holdings
84.52
12.34
17.10%
JOUT
Johnson Outdoors
41.11
8.83
27.35%
YETI
Yeti Holdings
41.50
1.13
2.80%
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings
20.39
1.57
8.34%
XPOF
Xponential Fitness
6.59
-8.65
-56.76%

Topgolf Callaway Brands Corporate Events

Topgolf Callaway Brands Reports Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. is a leading company in the golf and active lifestyle sector, known for its innovative golf equipment, apparel, and entertainment offerings, including the popular Topgolf venues. The company operates in both on-course and off-course golf markets, providing a comprehensive golf experience.

Executive/Board Changes
Topgolf Callaway Brands Board Restructures After Director Resignation
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Scott M. Marimow resigned from his position as a director at Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. His departure was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies. Subsequently, on August 26, 2025, the company’s Board of Directors decided to reduce its size to 10 members.

The most recent analyst rating on (MODG) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Topgolf Callaway Brands stock, see the MODG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025