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Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG)
NYSE:MODG

Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG) AI Stock Analysis

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MODG

Topgolf Callaway Brands

(NYSE:MODG)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(0.93% Upside)
Topgolf Callaway Brands' overall stock score reflects a mix of challenges and opportunities. The company's financial performance is a significant concern due to profitability and cash flow issues. However, positive technical indicators and strategic corporate events, such as the sale of a majority stake in Topgolf, provide a more optimistic outlook. The earnings call further supports this with strong segment growth and increased guidance, although valuation remains a challenge due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's ability to achieve revenue growth in both Golf Equipment and Topgolf segments indicates strong market demand and effective execution, supporting long-term business expansion.
Debt Reduction
Reducing net debt enhances financial flexibility and lowers interest expenses, which can improve profitability and support future investments.
Strategic Asset Sale
The sale provides significant proceeds to focus on core operations, enhancing shareholder value and supporting long-term strategic goals.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder reinvestment in growth initiatives and affect long-term financial health if not addressed.
Cash Flow Weakness
Weak cash flow generation limits the company's ability to fund operations and strategic investments, posing a risk to sustainable growth.
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth suggests potential market challenges or operational inefficiencies, which could impact long-term competitiveness.

Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Topgolf Callaway Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTopgolf Callaway Brands Corp. designs, manufactures, and sells golf equipment, golf and lifestyle apparel, and other accessories. It operates through three segments: Topgolf; Golf Equipment; and Apparel, Gear and Other. The Topgolf segment operates Topgolf venues equipped with technology-enabled hitting bays, multiple bars, dining areas, and event spaces, as well as Toptracer ball-flight tracking technology; and World Golf Tour digital golf game. The Golf Equipment segment provides drivers, fairway woods, hybrids, irons, wedges and packaged sets, putters, and pre-owned golf clubs under the Callaway and Odyssey brands, as well as golf balls under the Callaway Golf and Strata brands. The Apparel, Gear and Other segment offers golf apparel and footwear; golf accessories, including golf bags, golf gloves, headwear, and practice aids under the Callaway brand; and golf and lifestyle apparel, hats, luggage and accessories, footwear, belts, facemasks, sunglasses, socks, and underwear under the TravisMathew brand. This segment also provides storage gear for sport and personal use, such as backpacks; travel, duffel, and golf bags; and storage gear accessories, as well as outerwear, headwear, and accessories under the OGIO brand. In addition, it offers outdoor apparel comprising jackets, trousers, dresses, skirts, and tops; and footwear and outdoor equipment, including packs and bags, travel bags, tents, sleeping bags, and accessories under the Jack Wolfskin brand. The company sells its products through golf retailers, sporting goods retailers, on-line retailers, mass merchants, department stores, third-party distributors, and mail order stores, as well as through its websites in the United States and approximately 120 countries. The company was formerly known as Callaway Golf Company and changed its name to Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. in September 2022. Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTopgolf Callaway Brands generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its Topgolf venues, which earn income through game play fees, food and beverage sales, and event hosting. Each venue operates a high-tech driving range where customers pay for access to hitting bays equipped with interactive gaming technology. Additionally, the sale of Callaway's golf equipment, including clubs and balls, serves as a significant revenue source. The company also engages in merchandise sales and partnerships, including collaborations with other brands and sponsorships, which further enhance its earnings. The combination of these diverse revenue streams and a strong brand presence in the golf industry solidifies the company's financial performance.

Topgolf Callaway Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Topgolf Callaway Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reported strong financial performance and growth in key segments, leading to increased full-year guidance. However, challenges such as tariffs, market declines in Asia, and ongoing adjustments in the 3-plus bay business at Topgolf were noted. The overall sentiment is positive, driven by strong results and strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Revenue and EBITDA Expectations
Total business exceeded expectations in both revenue and EBITDA with revenue up year-over-year in both Golf Equipment and Topgolf segments. This was driven by excellent market conditions and solid execution.
Golf Equipment Segment Performance
Q3 revenue increased 4% year-over-year to $305 million, with a 4% increase in Golf Clubs and a 6% increase in Golf Balls. The segment continues to perform strongly, supported by positive market dynamics.
Topgolf Segment Growth
Topgolf's Q3 results exceeded guidance for both revenue and EBITDA, with a transition to positive same venue sales of over 1% for the quarter. Traffic in the 1- to 2-bay segment was up high teens.
Strong Cash Position and Lower Debt
Available liquidity increased to $1.25 billion due to increased cash from operations and lower net CapEx. Net debt was reduced to $2.23 billion from $2.54 billion last year.
Increased Full Year Guidance
Full year 2025 revenue guidance raised to $3.90 billion to $3.94 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $490 million to $510 million, reflecting strong Q3 results and improved outlook.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Incremental tariff expense of $12 million in Q3 with a forecast of approximately $40 million for the full year. The impact is expected to increase meaningfully going forward.
Challenges in Asian Markets
Market conditions in Asia were challenging, with Japan down slightly year-to-date and Korea down low teens.
3-Plus Bay Business Decline
Continued declines in the 3-plus bay business, though there are signs of leveling off. Initiatives are planned to improve performance.
Topgolf CEO Transition
The CEO transition at Topgolf impacted the timing of strategic evaluations for separation processes.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Topgolf Callaway Brands exceeded expectations with a total revenue of $934 million, reflecting a 3% year-over-year increase, driven by growth in both the Golf Equipment and Topgolf segments. The Golf Equipment segment saw a 4% rise in revenue to $305 million, with Golf Clubs and Golf Balls increasing by 4% and 6%, respectively. Despite a $12 million impact from tariffs, the company maintained an adjusted EBITDA of $115 million. The Topgolf segment's revenue also grew by 4% to $472 million, with positive same venue sales of 1.4%. This growth was supported by strong consumer traffic, particularly in the 1- to 2-bay segment, which saw a high-teens increase in traffic. As a result of these positive performances, the company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $3.90 billion to $3.94 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $490 million to $510 million. Additionally, the company reported a reduction in net debt to $2.23 billion and an improved net leverage ratio of 3.8x.

Topgolf Callaway Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Topgolf Callaway Brands faces significant financial challenges, particularly in terms of profitability and cash flow generation. While the company maintains a strong gross profit margin and has improved its leverage position, negative revenue growth and profitability metrics indicate a need for strategic adjustments. The cash flow situation is concerning, with declining free cash flow and limited cash conversion from operations.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Topgolf Callaway Brands has experienced declining revenue growth in recent periods, with a negative growth rate of -1.91% in the TTM. The company also faces challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 64.55%, indicating efficient cost management at the production level.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.78 in the TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow performance is weak, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth of -87.49% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also low, reflecting limited cash generation relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.06B4.24B4.28B4.00B3.13B1.59B
Gross Profit2.62B2.65B2.65B2.41B1.86B657.60M
EBITDA-985.60M-973.60M484.70M477.50M622.00M-41.10M
Net Income-1.50B-1.45B95.00M157.90M322.00M-126.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.57B7.64B9.12B8.59B7.75B1.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments865.60M445.00M393.50M180.20M352.20M366.12M
Total Debt4.45B4.14B4.07B3.57B2.95B880.27M
Total Liabilities5.09B5.23B5.24B4.82B4.06B1.30B
Stockholders Equity2.48B2.41B3.88B3.77B3.68B675.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.50M86.60M-117.30M-567.40M-44.02M188.98M
Operating Cash Flow313.40M382.00M364.70M-35.10M278.26M228.24M
Investing Cash Flow30.70M-297.30M-542.90M-535.10M-161.86M-59.21M
Financing Cash Flow76.20M-23.60M375.80M425.30M-124.07M96.07M

Topgolf Callaway Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.89
Price Trends
50DMA
10.46
Positive
100DMA
9.90
Positive
200DMA
8.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Positive
RSI
58.51
Neutral
STOCH
58.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MODG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.60, above the 50-day MA of 10.46, and above the 200-day MA of 8.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MODG.

Topgolf Callaway Brands Risk Analysis

Topgolf Callaway Brands disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Topgolf Callaway Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Topgolf Callaway Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.34B22.8821.77%1.56%-17.21%
74
Outperform
$4.90B22.8525.91%1.13%4.20%24.12%
70
Outperform
$2.16B29.8713.53%0.80%7.27%45.12%
64
Neutral
$2.15B-1.45-46.95%-3.58%-12720.97%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$451.33M-13.38-7.78%3.22%-0.07%-31.45%
54
Neutral
$367.14M-4.60-3.55%-111.90%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MODG
Topgolf Callaway Brands
11.89
4.60
63.10%
GOLF
Acushnet Holdings
81.94
13.56
19.83%
JOUT
Johnson Outdoors
44.87
9.74
27.73%
YETI
Yeti Holdings
43.96
4.33
10.93%
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings
21.43
1.85
9.45%
XPOF
Xponential Fitness
7.53
-6.26
-45.40%

Topgolf Callaway Brands Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Topgolf Callaway Brands Director Resigns Amid Board Restructuring
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 2, 2025, C. Matthew Turney resigned as a director of Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. due to his departure from Dundon Capital Partners, not due to any disagreements with the company. Following his resignation, the board decided to reduce its size to nine directors, while Dundon Capital Partners evaluates its options to appoint a new director under the Stockholders Agreement.

Business Operations and Strategy
Topgolf Callaway CEO to Join Jefferies Chat
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Topgolf Callaway Brands announced that its President and CEO, Chip Brewer, will participate in a virtual fireside chat hosted by Jefferies analyst Randy Konik on November 25. This event highlights the company’s engagement with investors and stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations strategy.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Topgolf Callaway Brands Sells Majority Stake in Topgolf
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. announced an agreement to sell a 60% stake in its Topgolf and Toptracer business to Leonard Green & Partners, valuing the business at approximately $1.1 billion. The transaction, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, will provide Topgolf Callaway Brands with around $770 million in net proceeds. This strategic move aims to enhance shareholder value and support the company’s focus on its core Golf Equipment & Active Lifestyle platform, while retaining a 40% interest in Topgolf to benefit from its future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025