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Lesaka Technologies, Inc. (LSAK)
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Lesaka Technologies (LSAK) AI Stock Analysis

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Lesaka Technologies

(NASDAQ:LSAK)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(10.86%Upside)
Lesaka Technologies' overall stock score reflects its potential for growth, supported by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call guidance. However, significant risks remain due to ongoing profitability challenges and a negative valuation outlook. The company's strategic acquisitions and divestments are positive but already factored into the earnings call analysis.

Lesaka Technologies (LSAK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lesaka Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLesaka Technologies, Inc., a financial technology company, provides fintech products and services to unbanked and underbanked individuals and small businesses primarily in South Africa and internationally. The company develops payment technologies to offers financial and value -added services to its customers. It operates through three segments: Processing, Financial services, and Technology. The Processing segment provides transaction processing services that involve the collection, transmittal, and retrieval of all transaction data to its customers. The Financial services segment includes activities related to the provision of financial services to customers, including bank accounts, loans, and life insurance products. This segment also offers short-term loans to customers. The Technology segment sells hardware, such as point of sale devices, SIM cards, and other consumables; and licenses right to use certain technology developed by the company, as well as offers related technology services. The company was formerly known as Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to Lesaka Technologies, Inc. in May 2022. Lesaka Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
How the Company Makes MoneyLesaka Technologies generates revenue primarily through transaction fees from its payment processing services and point-of-sale solutions. The company earns income by facilitating electronic transactions for merchants and consumers, charging a percentage or fixed fee per transaction. Additionally, Lesaka may have partnerships with banks and financial institutions, leveraging its technology to provide seamless payment solutions and earning revenue through shared transaction fees or service agreements. The company's focus on underserved markets allows it to tap into niche segments, potentially increasing its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with retailers and telecommunications providers also contribute to its earnings by expanding its service reach and customer base.

Lesaka Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong overall performance with significant growth in the Consumer division and successful acquisitions enhancing the Merchant and Enterprise divisions. However, the financial impact of MobiKwik's share volatility and reorganization costs in the Merchant division present challenges. Despite these issues, the company achieved record growth in several areas and is well-positioned for future success.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consumer Division Record Growth
The Consumer division had a standout quarter with record EPE transactional account enrollments, lending, and insurance originations. The division reported a 17% year-on-year increase in the customer base to 1.5 million permanent SASSA grant recipients and a 32% revenue growth year-on-year to ZAR 446 million.
Strong Financial Performance
Lesaka delivered revenue of ZAR 2.5 billion, net revenue of ZAR 1.36 billion, and Group adjusted EBITDA of ZAR 237 million, achieving guidance across all metrics. Fundamental earnings grew 98% year-on-year to ZAR 58 million.
Acquisition and Integration Success
The acquisition of Adumo significantly expanded the Merchant division, and the acquisition of Recharger enhanced the Enterprise division's offerings. These acquisitions are key to Lesaka's strategy of building a multi-product fintech platform.
Improved Debt Structure
The refinance of debt facilities resulted in a simpler and more cost-effective structure with advantageous pricing, reducing the cost of debt from 12% to 10.7%, equating to a saving of approximately ZAR 52 million a year.
Enterprise Division Expansion
The acquisition of Recharger marks a significant expansion in the electricity vending business, positioning Lesaka as a key player in this sector with vending throughput growing by 28% year-on-year.
Negative Updates
MobiKwik Share Price Volatility
The volatility of MobiKwik's share price led to a net loss of ZAR 311 million, significantly impacting the overall financial result for the quarter.
Merchant Division Reorganization Costs
The Merchant division incurred approximately ZAR 20 million in reorganization costs due to the integration and strategic realignment processes, impacting profitability.
Challenges in Airtime and Data Sales
Increased competition in airtime and data sales held back growth in prepaid solutions, which only saw a 4% year-on-year increase.
Enterprise Division EBITDA Decline
The Enterprise division reported an EBITDA decline to ZAR 2 million from ZAR 14 million last year due to restructuring costs and exiting unprofitable legacy businesses.
Company Guidance
During the third-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, Lesaka Tech provided guidance for both the current financial year ending June 2025 and the upcoming fiscal 2026. For fiscal 2025, the company reaffirmed its revenue guidance of ZAR 10 billion to ZAR 11 billion, with net revenue expected between ZAR 5.2 billion to ZAR 5.6 billion, and Group adjusted EBITDA between ZAR 900 million to ZAR 1 billion. Looking forward to fiscal 2026, Lesaka anticipates revenue in the range of ZAR 11.4 billion to ZAR 12.2 billion, net revenue between ZAR 6.4 billion to ZAR 6.9 billion, and Group adjusted EBITDA of ZAR 1.25 billion to ZAR 1.45 billion. This guidance reflects an anticipated 12% revenue growth, 23% net revenue growth, and a 42% increase in Group adjusted EBITDA from fiscal 2025 to 2026. Additionally, the company expects to achieve positive net income on a U.S. GAAP basis by the end of fiscal 2026.

Lesaka Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lesaka Technologies shows potential with revenue growth and improved gross profit margin. However, ongoing profitability challenges, negative net profit margins, and cash flow constraints remain significant concerns. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage but declining equity, indicating financial stability issues.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Lesaka Technologies has shown a steady revenue growth, with a notable increase from 2022 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin improved significantly in the TTM period, indicating better cost management. However, the company remains unprofitable with negative net profit margins, highlighting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which suggests a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the decline in stockholders' equity and a reduced equity ratio raise concerns about financial stability. The return on equity is negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Lesaka Technologies has experienced fluctuations in free cash flow, with a negative trend in the most recent TTM period. The operating cash flow is positive but remains low compared to net income, indicating challenges in translating earnings into cash. This suggests potential liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue574.08M564.22M527.97M222.61M130.79M151.00M
Gross Profit157.60M121.55M110.43M54.29M34.54M41.99M
EBITDA-19.75M29.80M9.99M-26.50M1.71M-52.73M
Net Income-63.77M-17.44M-35.07M-40.23M-13.18M-67.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets649.20M558.45M542.23M656.57M428.33M453.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments71.01M59.06M35.50M43.94M198.57M217.67M
Total Debt38.03M166.70M170.05M215.19M18.96M20.38M
Total Liabilities368.22M303.16M283.33M342.22M67.37M78.49M
Stockholders Equity185.23M255.29M258.91M314.35M360.96M375.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.29M15.83M-16.16M-41.76M-62.66M-51.98M
Operating Cash Flow3.01M28.79M410.00K-37.20M-58.37M-46.05M
Investing Cash Flow-19.95M-16.41M-16.46M-193.69M47.77M223.12M
Financing Cash Flow26.92M-7.11M-19.12M122.26M-13.08M-48.84M

Lesaka Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.51
Price Trends
50DMA
4.30
Positive
100DMA
4.48
Positive
200DMA
4.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
52.95
Neutral
STOCH
32.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LSAK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.46, above the 50-day MA of 4.30, and below the 200-day MA of 4.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LSAK.

Lesaka Technologies Risk Analysis

Lesaka Technologies disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lesaka Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We have purchased a significant amount of prepaid airtime voucher inventory which exposes us to market risk for this inventory as well as losses if the mobile network operators are unable to perform. Q1, 2023

Lesaka Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$462.52M-0.32%18.51%97.57%
61
Neutral
$411.53M4.87-94.58%-2.75%-4.13%
61
Neutral
$282.08M5.5539.27%-1.90%0.05%
60
Neutral
$366.44M-23.36%4.13%-120.88%
51
Neutral
AU$1.60B2.48-31.50%3.04%16.21%-7.40%
RXRXT
48
Neutral
$344.21M81.52%-6.14%67.53%
46
Neutral
$687.15M
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LSAK
Lesaka Technologies
4.51
-0.37
-7.58%
IMXI
International Money Express
9.54
-11.35
-54.33%
BAND
Bandwidth
15.46
-6.15
-28.46%
RXT
Rackspace Technology
1.42
-1.15
-44.75%
CCSI
Consensus Cloud Solutions
20.96
0.00
0.00%
RZLV
Rezolve AI
2.70
-8.65
-76.21%

Lesaka Technologies Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lesaka Technologies Acquires Bank Zero to Boost Fintech
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Lesaka Technologies announced a significant acquisition of Bank Zero, a South African digital bank known for its zero-fee banking model. This transaction, involving a combination of shares and cash, is expected to enhance Lesaka’s fintech platform by integrating Bank Zero’s digital banking infrastructure. The acquisition aims to provide comprehensive banking services, unlock synergies, and improve Lesaka’s financial profile by reducing debt and optimizing the balance sheet. The transaction is anticipated to be accretive to shareholders, with Bank Zero expected to be profitable in the following fiscal year. Key executives from Bank Zero will join Lesaka, ensuring continuity and integration post-acquisition.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lesaka Technologies Sells Stake in Mobikwik for ZAR 290M
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Lesaka Technologies completed the sale of its equity interest in One Mobikwik Systems Limited on the Indian Stock Exchange, generating approximately ZAR 290 million in net cash proceeds. This sale, following the expiration of a contractual lock-up period, aligns with Lesaka’s strategy to divest non-core assets and will support strengthening its balance sheet and reducing group debt.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025