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Lesaka Technologies, Inc. (LSAK)
NASDAQ:LSAK

Lesaka Technologies (LSAK) AI Stock Analysis

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LSAK

Lesaka Technologies

(NASDAQ:LSAK)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(19.36% Upside)
Lesaka Technologies' overall stock score is 55, driven primarily by its financial performance challenges, including profitability and cash flow issues. However, the company shows promise with strong earnings growth and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. The recent credit facility further supports potential growth, but valuation concerns remain due to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates expanding market presence and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions like Adumo enhance market reach and service offerings, bolstering competitive positioning and growth prospects.
Improved Financial Management
Improved debt management enhances financial flexibility, supporting sustainable growth and investment capacity.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues can hinder reinvestment and growth, posing risks to long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flow growth limits operational flexibility and investment in growth initiatives, impacting future performance.
Financial Statement Restatement
Restatements can undermine investor confidence and indicate potential internal control weaknesses, affecting credibility.

Lesaka Technologies (LSAK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lesaka Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLesaka Technologies (LSAK) is a technology company focused on the financial services sector, primarily in South Africa and the broader African market. The company specializes in providing innovative payment solutions, digital banking services, and value-added financial technology services that cater to both consumers and businesses. Lesaka aims to enhance financial inclusion by leveraging technology to streamline transactions, improve customer experiences, and offer a range of services including payment processing, mobile wallets, and point-of-sale solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyLesaka Technologies generates revenue through multiple avenues, primarily by charging transaction fees for its payment processing services and commissions from its digital banking solutions. The company also earns income from merchant services, where it provides businesses with point-of-sale systems and payment infrastructure. Additionally, Lesaka may benefit from subscription fees for its value-added services, as well as partnerships with financial institutions and retailers that expand its service offerings. Strategic alliances and collaborations with other technology providers further enhance its capabilities and market reach, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Lesaka Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Lesaka Technologies reported significant revenue and EBITDA growth across divisions, with particularly strong performance in the Consumer and Enterprise segments. Despite some challenges with merchant churn and elevated group costs, the company's strategic acquisitions and restructuring efforts have set a solid foundation for continued expansion and profitability.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Net revenue for Q1 fiscal 2026 reached ZAR 1.53 billion, marking a 45% increase year-on-year.
Strong Group Adjusted EBITDA Increase
Group adjusted EBITDA grew by 61% year-on-year to ZAR 271 million, reflecting improved financial performance.
Consumer Division Performance
The Consumer division saw a 43% year-on-year increase in net revenue, with adjusted EBITDA increasing 90% to ZAR 150 million.
Enterprise Division Restructuring Success
Enterprise delivered ZAR 22 million in segment adjusted EBITDA, a 241% increase year-on-year, following significant restructuring efforts.
Merchant Division Expansion
Merchant division net revenue increased by 43%, driven primarily by the acquisition of Adumo, with segment adjusted EBITDA up 20%.
Reduction in Net Debt to EBITDA Ratio
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improved from 2.9x last quarter to 2.5x, indicating better financial management.
Successful Consumer Market Expansion
Active consumer base grew by 24% to over 1.9 million, with ARPU increasing 13% year-on-year to ZAR 89.
Negative Updates
Moderate Merchant Churn
Higher churn observed in small to medium single-product merchants due to price sensitivity.
Cash Usage Decline in Small to Medium Sector
Cash TPV experienced a modest decrease of 4% in the small to medium merchant sector.
Elevated Group Costs
Group costs were ZAR 64 million this quarter, elevated due to nonrecurring finance and administrative charges.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Lesaka Technologies reported net revenue at the lower end of the guidance range, reaching ZAR 1.53 billion, marking a 45% increase from the previous year. The group adjusted EBITDA was ZAR 271 million, achieving the midpoint of the guidance range and representing a 61% year-on-year growth. Adjusted earnings rose by 150% to ZAR 87 million, with adjusted earnings per share nearly doubling from ZAR 0.54 to ZAR 1.07. The company also reported a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.5x, an improvement from 2.6x the previous year. In the Merchant segment, adjusted EBITDA increased by 20% to ZAR 162 million, driven largely by the Adumo acquisition. The Consumer segment delivered a 90% increase in adjusted EBITDA to ZAR 150 million, while the Enterprise segment saw a 241% rise to ZAR 22 million. Lesaka expects continued improvement in financial metrics, guided by strategic initiatives and the anticipated completion of the Bank Zero acquisition, which is expected to enhance cash conversion rates and support growth across divisions.

Lesaka Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lesaka Technologies shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The income statement highlights challenges in achieving positive margins, while the balance sheet shows a stable capital structure but poor returns on equity. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the company's financial position, indicating a need for strategic improvements to enhance profitability and liquidity.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Lesaka Technologies shows a modest revenue growth rate of 3.62% TTM, indicating some positive momentum. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 20.20% TTM, suggesting limited pricing power or high cost of goods sold. Overall, the income statement reflects a company facing challenges in achieving profitability despite revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 TTM, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 39.73%, suggesting a reasonable level of equity financing. While the company maintains a stable capital structure, its inability to generate positive returns is a concern.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow growth rate of -44.88% TTM, highlighting cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.03 TTM, indicating limited cash generation relative to net income. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash outflows. Overall, the cash flow statement suggests significant liquidity and cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue740.78M659.70M564.22M527.97M222.61M130.79M
Gross Profit191.50M173.16M121.55M110.43M54.29M34.54M
EBITDA-44.36M-50.77M29.80M15.38M-20.70M-49.52M
Net Income-87.26M-87.50M-17.44M-35.07M-43.88M-38.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets652.86M653.71M558.45M542.23M656.57M428.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.16M76.52M59.06M35.50M43.94M198.57M
Total Debt230.88M235.37M166.70M170.05M215.19M18.96M
Total Liabilities386.63M392.33M303.16M283.33M342.22M67.37M
Stockholders Equity259.31M254.54M255.29M258.91M314.35M360.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.63M-26.32M15.83M-16.16M-41.76M-62.66M
Operating Cash Flow3.94M-9.12M28.79M410.00K-37.20M-58.37M
Investing Cash Flow-12.09M-11.34M-16.41M-16.46M-193.69M47.77M
Financing Cash Flow30.48M29.73M-7.11M-19.12M122.26M-13.08M

Lesaka Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.77
Price Trends
50DMA
4.11
Positive
100DMA
4.29
Positive
200DMA
4.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
58.98
Neutral
STOCH
64.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LSAK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.12, below the 50-day MA of 4.11, and below the 200-day MA of 4.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LSAK.

Lesaka Technologies Risk Analysis

Lesaka Technologies disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lesaka Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We have purchased a significant amount of prepaid airtime voucher inventory which exposes us to market risk for this inventory as well as losses if the mobile network operators are unable to perform. Q1, 2023

Lesaka Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$292.83M40.7620.36%32.61%-8.26%
69
Neutral
$2.07B30.479.79%10.58%-45.52%
68
Neutral
$456.48M12.0626.84%-6.57%-29.62%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$2.96B-88.49-8.95%11.05%45.23%
55
Neutral
$372.50M-4.06-32.28%16.48%-326.01%
48
Neutral
$329.61M-2.08-48.63%101.97%58.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LSAK
Lesaka Technologies
4.35
-0.81
-15.70%
IMXI
International Money Express
15.39
-5.31
-25.65%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
24.68
-16.66
-40.30%
PAYS
PaySign
5.36
2.32
76.32%
PAYO
Payoneer
5.78
-4.36
-43.00%
BKKT
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A
10.57
-18.83
-64.05%

Lesaka Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Lesaka Technologies Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

Lesaka Technologies recently held its Annual Meeting where shareholders voted on several key proposals. All director nominees were elected, KPMG, Inc. was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026, executive compensation was approved on an advisory basis, and an amendment to increase the number of shares authorized for issuance by 3,000,000 was passed.

Financial Disclosures
Lesaka Technologies Announces Financial Statement Restatement
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Lesaka Technologies, Inc. announced that its unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the quarters ended September 30, 2024, December 31, 2024, and March 31, 2025, should be restated due to a re-evaluation of revenue classification. The restatement is expected to increase revenue, offset by a corresponding increase in costs, without impacting operating income, net loss, or cash flows. The financial results are preliminary and subject to change as the restatement analysis and audit process are completed.

Private Placements and Financing
Lesaka Technologies Secures ZAR 400 Million Credit Facility
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Lesaka Technologies, through its South African subsidiaries Cash Connect Capital and K2020 Connect, finalized a Revolving Credit Facility Agreement with FirstRand Bank Limited. This agreement allows the subsidiaries to borrow up to ZAR 400 million to support their capital advance businesses and replace existing lending arrangements, enhancing their growth potential.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025