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Lightpath Technologies (LPTH)
NASDAQ:LPTH
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Lightpath Technologies (LPTH) AI Stock Analysis

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LPTH

Lightpath Technologies

(NASDAQ:LPTH)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
Lightpath Technologies is experiencing strong revenue growth and strategic progress, but faces challenges with profitability and cash flow. The technical indicators are positive, suggesting bullish momentum, but valuation concerns and financial pressures weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Lightpath's products, enhancing its market position and potential for future expansion.
Strategic Investment
The strategic investment supports expansion into the drone market, potentially diversifying revenue streams and strengthening competitive advantage.
Record Backlog Growth
A significant backlog indicates strong future revenue potential and demand for Lightpath's optical solutions, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Declining gross margins suggest cost pressures and operational inefficiencies, which may hinder profitability and financial performance.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can strain financial resources, reducing net income and impacting cash flow sustainability.
Net Loss Increase
Increasing net losses highlight ongoing financial pressures, which may affect the company's ability to invest in growth and innovation.

Lightpath Technologies (LPTH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lightpath Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLightpath Technologies (LPTH) is a leading provider of advanced optical communication solutions and innovative photonic technologies. The company operates primarily in the telecommunications sector, focusing on the development and manufacturing of high-performance fiber optic components and systems. LPTH's core products include optical transceivers, optical amplifiers, and integrated photonic circuits, which are essential for high-speed data transmission and telecommunications infrastructure.
How the Company Makes MoneyLightpath Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale of its optical communication products and systems to telecommunications companies, data centers, and other enterprises requiring high-speed data solutions. Key revenue streams include direct sales of optical transceivers and amplifiers, as well as long-term contracts and partnerships with major telecommunications providers that require customized solutions. The company also engages in research and development collaborations with industry partners, further enhancing its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, LPTH benefits from increasing demand for high-bandwidth connectivity driven by the growth of cloud computing, 5G networks, and the Internet of Things (IoT), which adds to its revenue potential.

Lightpath Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, particularly in backlog growth, strategic investments, and revenue growth. However, these were tempered by challenges such as declining gross margins, increased operating expenses, and a higher net loss. The company is undergoing a successful transformation, but financial pressures remain evident.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Backlog Growth
The company reported a record $90 million backlog, which is more than four times the backlog from just a few months ago. Over two-thirds of this backlog is in systems and subsystems, indicating the success of the new strategic direction.
Significant Orders for Infrared Cameras
LightPath announced orders totaling over $40 million for deliveries of infrared cameras in 2026 and 2027 for border surveillance and counter UAV applications.
Revenue Growth
Revenue for fiscal year 2025 increased 41.4% to $12.2 million compared to $8.6 million in the same year-ago quarter.
Strategic Investment
The company received an $8 million investment from Ondas Holdings and Unusual Machines to expand efforts in the drone market.
Transformation Success
The company completed the integration of G5 Infrared six months ahead of plan and below budget, indicating a successful acquisition and integration strategy.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross profit increased by only 6.6% to $2.7 million, with gross margin decreasing to 22% from 29.2% due to inventory reserve charges and increased cost pressures.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by 52% to $7.2 million, driven by integration costs, increased sales and marketing expenses, and an increase in the fair value of acquisition liabilities.
Net Loss Increase
Adjusted EBITDA loss for 2025 was $1.9 million compared to a loss of $1.1 million for the same period of the prior fiscal year, driven by non-cash and non-operating expenses related to acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the LightPath Technologies fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted, showcasing the company's strategic progress and financial performance. LightPath reported a record $90 million backlog, more than four times what it was a few months prior, driven by significant orders for infrared cameras totaling over $40 million for delivery in 2026 and 2027. Revenue for the fiscal year increased by 41.4% to $12.2 million, with infrared components contributing $4.9 million. Gross profit rose to $2.7 million, though margins faced pressure due to inventory reserve charges. Operating expenses increased to $7.2 million, influenced by the integration of G5 Infrared and elevated sales and marketing costs. The company also announced an $8 million strategic investment from Ondas Holdings and Unusual Machines to support its initiatives. Adjusted EBITDA loss for the year was $1.9 million, and cash and cash equivalents stood at $4.9 million as of June 30, 2025. Looking ahead, LightPath is focused on sustaining its growth trajectory and improving margins, with expectations of significant contributions from its Black Diamond Glass technology and strategic programs in the defense sector.

Lightpath Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lightpath Technologies shows impressive revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with moderate debt, but operational inefficiencies and liquidity concerns are notable.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Lightpath Technologies has experienced significant revenue growth, particularly in the latest year, with a remarkable increase of over 110,000%. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is moderate but consistent. The substantial negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational inefficiencies or high costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio is healthy, showing that a significant portion of the company's assets is financed by equity, which is a positive sign of financial stability.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Lightpath Technologies is facing challenges with cash flow, as indicated by negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow, but the overall negative cash flow growth and operating cash flow coverage ratio highlight liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.63M37.20M31.73M32.93M35.56M38.46M
Gross Profit9.96M10.13M8.63M11.07M11.81M13.45M
EBITDA-5.12M-11.80M-3.70M-355.00K1.17M1.47M
Net Income-10.15M-14.87M-8.01M-4.05M-3.54M-3.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.42M81.51M48.09M53.54M50.71M54.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.48M4.88M3.48M4.69M5.51M6.77M
Total Debt14.33M10.38M10.36M12.38M14.73M14.23M
Total Liabilities31.30M31.63M17.89M17.58M20.98M21.03M
Stockholders Equity50.12M15.64M30.20M35.95M29.73M33.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.49M-9.59M-1.66M-5.89M-162.49K1.57M
Operating Cash Flow-5.62M-8.33M521.04K-2.81M1.46M4.73M
Investing Cash Flow-21.11M-19.74M-2.67M-2.87M-1.63M-3.16M
Financing Cash Flow30.18M29.30M-1.47M7.46M-636.17K-843.43K

Lightpath Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.60
Price Trends
50DMA
5.57
Positive
100DMA
4.27
Positive
200DMA
3.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.97
Negative
RSI
71.51
Negative
STOCH
80.99
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPTH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.47, above the 50-day MA of 5.57, and above the 200-day MA of 3.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.51 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.99 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LPTH.

Lightpath Technologies Risk Analysis

Lightpath Technologies disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lightpath Technologies reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lightpath Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$162.54M21.2125.98%16.52%50.29%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$151.48M461.300.11%2.02%6.17%
55
Neutral
$388.18M-37.15%17.26%-70.07%
53
Neutral
$262.37M-7.62%6.58%-4.91%61.77%
51
Neutral
$114.33M-15.12%-7.12%-11.00%
46
Neutral
$101.15M-177.60%8.95%14.34%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPTH
Lightpath Technologies
9.60
8.05
519.35%
GNSS
Genasys
2.24
-1.53
-40.58%
MEI
Methode Electronics
7.27
-3.06
-29.62%
RELL
Richardson Electronics
11.86
-1.45
-10.89%
LINK
Interlink Electronics
11.28
7.95
238.74%
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc
55.86
8.36
17.60%

Lightpath Technologies Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lightpath Technologies Approves Key Proposals in Stockholder Meeting
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 16, 2025, LightPath Technologies held a Special Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were approved. The stockholders approved the issuance of shares of Class A Common Stock related to the acquisition of G5 Infrared, LLC and the conversion of Series G Preferred Stock. Additionally, amendments to the 2018 Stock Incentive Compensation Plan and the adoption of the 2025 Employee Stock Purchase Plan were also approved, indicating strategic moves to enhance employee engagement and expand the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPTH) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lightpath Technologies stock, see the LPTH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 10, 2025