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Lightpath Technologies (LPTH)
NASDAQ:LPTH

Lightpath Technologies (LPTH) AI Stock Analysis

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LPTH

Lightpath Technologies

(NASDAQ:LPTH)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▼(-12.91% Downside)
Score is held back primarily by weak profitability and negative cash flow/returns despite rapid revenue growth. Technicals are supportive (strong uptrend) but look overextended, while valuation lacks earnings support due to a negative P/E. Earnings-call updates improve the outlook via backlog/order momentum and positive adjusted EBITDA, but higher losses and rising costs remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong demand for LightPath's products, reflecting successful market penetration and product adoption.
Strategic Shift to Systems
The shift towards systems and subsystems suggests a move up the value chain, potentially leading to higher margins and competitive differentiation.
Introduction of Germanium-Free Cameras
This innovation addresses supply chain issues and reliance on Chinese materials, enhancing product appeal and market resilience.
Negative Factors
Net Loss
The increasing net loss highlights ongoing profitability challenges, which could strain financial resources and impact long-term sustainability.
Decreased Gross Margin
The decline in gross margin suggests pressure on cost management and pricing power, potentially affecting future profitability.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses, driven by integration and sales efforts, may erode profitability unless matched by proportional revenue growth.

Lightpath Technologies (LPTH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lightpath Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLightPath Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical components and assemblies. The company offers precision molded glass aspheric optics, molded and diamond-turned infrared aspheric lenses, and other optical components used to produce products that manipulate light. Its products are used in defense products, medical devices, laser aided industrial tools, automotive safety applications, barcode scanners, optical data storage, hybrid fiber coax datacom, telecommunications, machine vision and sensors, and other industries. The company sells its products directly to customers in North America, Europe, and Asia, as well as through distributors and catalogs in the United States and internationally. LightPath Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyLightpath Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale of its optical communication products and systems to telecommunications companies, data centers, and other enterprises requiring high-speed data solutions. Key revenue streams include direct sales of optical transceivers and amplifiers, as well as long-term contracts and partnerships with major telecommunications providers that require customized solutions. The company also engages in research and development collaborations with industry partners, further enhancing its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, LPTH benefits from increasing demand for high-bandwidth connectivity driven by the growth of cloud computing, 5G networks, and the Internet of Things (IoT), which adds to its revenue potential.

Lightpath Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected strong revenue growth and strategic advancements, particularly through key partnerships and new product introductions. However, challenges such as increased net loss and operating expenses were noted. The company's strategic shift toward systems and subsystems is yielding positive results, but financial metrics like gross margin and net loss indicate areas needing improvement.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 increased by 79% to $15.1 million compared to $8.4 million in the same period last year.
Strategic Investments and Partnerships
Secured an $8 million equity investment from Ondas Holdings and Unusual Machines to accelerate commercialization, particularly in uncooled infrared solutions for drone applications.
Growth in Systems and Subsystems
Backlog increased to approximately $90 million, with more than 2/3 in systems and subsystems, indicating a successful shift up the value chain.
Introduction of Germanium-Free Cameras
Launched the first germanium-free G5 camera variant using proprietary BlackDiamond glass, addressing supply chain issues and reliance on Chinese materials.
High-Value Orders Secured
Received significant orders totaling over $40 million for advanced infrared cameras, scheduled for delivery in 2026 and 2027.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 was $0.4 million positive compared to a loss of $0.2 million in the prior year.
Negative Updates
Net Loss
Net loss for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 was $2.9 million, higher than the $1.6 million loss in the same quarter of the previous year.
Decreased Gross Margin Percentage
Gross margin decreased to 30% compared to 34% in the previous year, primarily due to nonrecurring orders with higher margins previously.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by 66% to $7 million, largely due to the integration of G5 and increased sales and marketing spending.
Company Guidance
During the LightPath Technologies Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Sam Rubin provided guidance indicating significant progress in the company's strategic transformation. LightPath has seen record orders, a growing systems backlog, and increased customer adoption, driven by their proprietary BlackDiamond chalcogenide glass. This material, which replaces germanium, has positioned LightPath as a leading provider of infrared systems. The company announced significant contracts, including an $18.2 million order for 2026 and a $22.1 million follow-on for 2027, contributing to a backlog of approximately $90 million. CFO Al Miranda reported a 79% revenue increase to $15.1 million for the quarter, with gross profit rising to $4.5 million. Operating expenses increased by 66% due to the integration of G5 Infrared and expanded sales efforts. Despite a net loss of $2.9 million, adjusted EBITDA was positive at $0.4 million, supported by $11.5 million in cash reserves and a strategic $8 million investment from Ondas Holdings and Unusual Machines.

Lightpath Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lightpath Technologies shows strong revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage, but negative returns on equity and cash flow issues are concerning.
Income Statement
Lightpath Technologies exhibits significant revenue growth in the TTM period, but this is overshadowed by negative profitability metrics. The gross profit margin is moderate, but the net profit margin is deeply negative, indicating substantial losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profit from its equity base. The equity ratio is reasonable, showing a fair amount of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
Operating and free cash flows are negative, highlighting liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow, but overall cash flow health is weak due to negative growth and operating cash flow coverage ratios.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.09B37.20M31.73M32.93M35.56M38.46M
Gross Profit4.49B10.13M8.63M11.07M11.81M13.45M
EBITDA-1.33B-4.91M-2.96M-458.35K999.74K2.23M
Net Income-2.91B-14.87M-8.01M-4.05M-3.54M-3.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.26M81.51M48.09M53.54M50.71M54.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.51M4.88M3.48M4.69M5.51M6.77M
Total Debt15.36M15.19M10.36M12.38M14.73M14.23M
Total Liabilities31.59M65.86M17.89M17.58M20.98M21.03M
Stockholders Equity55.67M15.64M30.20M35.95M29.73M33.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.03M-9.59M-1.66M-5.89M-162.49K1.57M
Operating Cash Flow-7.77M-8.33M521.04K-2.81M1.46M4.73M
Investing Cash Flow-19.62M-19.74M-2.67M-2.87M-1.63M-3.16M
Financing Cash Flow34.46M29.30M-1.47M7.46M-636.17K-843.43K

Lightpath Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.63
Price Trends
50DMA
8.36
Positive
100DMA
7.56
Positive
200DMA
5.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.15
Negative
RSI
78.26
Negative
STOCH
91.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPTH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.46, above the 50-day MA of 8.36, and above the 200-day MA of 5.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.26 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LPTH.

Lightpath Technologies Risk Analysis

Lightpath Technologies disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lightpath Technologies reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lightpath Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$185.34M25.8022.65%12.79%23.79%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$151.16M159.520.11%2.25%6.17%
55
Neutral
$672.93M-32.91-37.93%36.85%-77.93%
50
Neutral
$249.27M-3.98-8.87%5.93%-9.51%29.57%
47
Neutral
$95.36M-5.25-183.60%69.76%43.82%
41
Neutral
$60.95M-30.89-13.78%-1.70%17.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPTH
Lightpath Technologies
12.63
9.65
323.83%
GNSS
Genasys
2.11
-0.62
-22.71%
MEI
Methode Electronics
7.04
-3.84
-35.29%
RELL
Richardson Electronics
10.31
-1.73
-14.40%
LINK
Interlink Electronics
3.87
-0.38
-8.94%
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc
63.26
15.06
31.24%

Lightpath Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
LightPath shareholders approve directors and expand equity plan
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 17, 2025, LightPath Technologies, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, with approximately 76% of the company’s outstanding voting power represented, establishing a quorum. Shareholders reelected Dr. Joseph Menaker and Darcie Peck and elected Mark Caylor as Class I directors for terms ending at the third successive annual meeting, approved on an advisory basis the compensation of the company’s named executive officers, and ratified the selection of BDO USA, P.C. as independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026. Investors also approved an amendment to the 2018 Stock Incentive Compensation Plan to add 2.5 million shares of Class A common stock for future equity grants, a move that enhances LightPath’s capacity to use stock-based compensation to attract and retain talent but may modestly increase potential equity dilution for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPTH) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lightpath Technologies stock, see the LPTH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025