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Genasys (GNSS)
NASDAQ:GNSS

Genasys (GNSS) AI Stock Analysis

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GNSS

Genasys

(NASDAQ:GNSS)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-6.54% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial quality (losses, negative cash flow, and higher leverage). Recent earnings-call momentum (record revenue, improving profitability metrics, strong backlog) and constructive corporate actions help, but the technical picture and loss-driven valuation remain mixed.
Positive Factors
Record Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful execution of strategic projects, supporting long-term expansion.
Strong Gross Margin
Maintaining a strong gross margin suggests effective cost management and pricing power, enhancing long-term profitability prospects.
Significant Backlog
A substantial backlog indicates robust future demand and provides revenue visibility, supporting sustained growth.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Increased leverage can strain financial flexibility and elevate risk, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flows highlight challenges in cash generation, which could hinder investment and growth opportunities.
Net Loss Despite Improvements
Ongoing net losses, despite improvements, suggest persistent profitability challenges that may affect long-term sustainability.

Genasys (GNSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Genasys Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenasys Inc. a global provider of critical communications hardware and software solutions worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Hardware and Software. It provides long range acoustic devices, such as acoustic hailing devices which are used to project sirens and audible voice messages; and Genasys Emergency Management, a software-based product line. The company also offers National Emergency Warning Systems, a software application that works with mobile carriers to send emergency communications to the public; Integrated Mass Notification Systems, an emergency response solution, uniting GEM Software and Genasys speaker system hardware; and GEM software to emails, voice calls, text messages, panic buttons, desktop alerts, television, social media, and others. It sells its products directly to governments, militaries, end-users, and commercial companies. The company was formerly known as LRAD Corporation. Genasys Inc. is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenasys generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focusing on the sales of its critical communication systems and software solutions. The company earns income from direct product sales, subscriptions for software services, and maintenance contracts. Additionally, Genasys has established partnerships with various governmental agencies and private sector organizations, which often lead to long-term contracts and recurring revenue. The company may also participate in joint ventures or collaborations that enhance its service offerings, further contributing to its earnings.

Genasys Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 09, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook for Genasys, highlighted by record revenue growth, strong gross margins, and a significant backlog. However, challenges remain, including continuous net losses and decreased cash reserves. The company is optimistic about future profitability and growth in both Hardware and Software segments.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Genasys achieved a record revenue of $17 million in Q4 2025, marking a 153% year-over-year increase and 73% sequential growth. This is the largest revenue quarter in the company's history.
Strong Gross Margin
The company reported a gross profit margin of 50.3% in Q4 2025, with expectations to maintain this level moving forward, attributed to a favorable Hardware mix.
Significant Backlog
As of September 30, 2025, Genasys had a backlog of over $60 million, indicating strong future demand and growth potential.
Puerto Rico Project Progress
The $75 million Puerto Rico project recognized $13.2 million in revenue in fiscal 2025. The project is on track with plans to complete in 2027, with major work expected in 2026.
CROWS Initiative Success
Genasys secured a $9 million order under the CROWS program, marking the first production contract for AHDs and expected to generate multiyear revenues.
Positive Operating Income
For the first time in seven quarters, Genasys reported positive operating income and adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2025.
Software and Hardware Growth
Total Software revenue grew 21% in 2025, while Hardware revenues grew over 91%, excluding Puerto Rico, Hardware revenues also grew over 12%.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Despite Improvements
Despite improvements, Genasys still reported a GAAP net loss of $1.4 million in Q4 2025 and $18.1 million for the full year.
Cash and Equivalents Decrease
Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities decreased to $8 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $13.1 million the previous year.
Software Revenue Plateau
Software revenue in Q4 was roughly $2.2 million, remaining flat compared to the previous quarter.
Company Guidance
In the Genasys Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Full Year-End Results Call for 2025, CEO Richard Danforth and Interim CFO Cassandra Monteon presented the company's financial performance and future outlook. Notably, Genasys achieved positive operating income and adjusted EBITDA for the first time in seven quarters, with a remarkable 153% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4 and a 50% gross margin. The revenue for the fourth quarter was $17 million, marking the largest in the company's history, driven by significant contributions from the Puerto Rico project and the U.S. Navy. The full-year revenue for fiscal 2025 was $40.8 million, up 70% from 2024, with Hardware revenues growing over 91%. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $1.4 million in Q4, a significant improvement from a $11.4 million loss in the previous year. Genasys ended the fiscal year with a backlog exceeding $60 million and anticipates further growth in both Hardware and Software segments, expecting to maintain a 50% gross margin into 2026. The call also highlighted strategic initiatives, including a $75 million contract in Puerto Rico and a $9 million order related to the CROWS program, positioning Genasys for continued success in the forthcoming fiscal year.

Genasys Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth is offset by weak fundamentals: ongoing losses, negative operating/free cash flow, and rising leverage (high and increasing debt-to-equity with negative ROE).
Income Statement
Genasys has shown a significant revenue growth rate of 33.76% in the latest year, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and net income margins. The gross profit margin has decreased over the years, suggesting rising costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, which has increased significantly, indicating rising leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio has decreased, suggesting a weakening financial position.
Cash Flow
Genasys is facing challenges with cash flow, as both operating and free cash flows are negative. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating deteriorating cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.47M40.76M24.01M46.66M54.03M47.00M
Gross Profit11.13M16.96M10.19M21.76M26.34M23.43M
EBITDA-21.44M-15.21M-22.99M-7.66M933.00K3.38M
Net Income-28.09M-18.11M-31.73M-18.40M-16.21M704.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.39M63.87M53.94M49.91M71.85M90.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.46M8.04M12.89M10.15M19.13M18.85M
Total Debt20.59M21.35M16.30M5.29M6.14M6.90M
Total Liabilities54.23M61.70M36.37M16.09M21.46M24.17M
Stockholders Equity3.16M2.17M17.56M33.81M50.39M65.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.96M-9.02M-19.64M-9.83M87.00K5.94M
Operating Cash Flow-10.71M-8.76M-19.45M-9.59M468.00K6.15M
Investing Cash Flow3.62M7.90M-8.67M5.54M-89.00K-15.55M
Financing Cash Flow3.98M4.03M23.87M-114.00K-1.06M13.00K

Genasys Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.14
Price Trends
50DMA
2.24
Negative
100DMA
2.21
Negative
200DMA
2.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
42.89
Neutral
STOCH
22.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNSS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.19, below the 50-day MA of 2.24, and above the 200-day MA of 2.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GNSS.

Genasys Risk Analysis

Genasys disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genasys reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Genasys Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$164.88M534.260.11%2.25%6.17%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$57.35M-77.83-3.84%38.22%70.68%
59
Neutral
$57.22M49.972.70%2.16%2.54%-79.99%
54
Neutral
$130.93M-9.00-136.26%-2.32%26.38%
47
Neutral
$96.71M-5.32-183.60%69.76%43.82%
41
Neutral
$60.01M-31.21-13.78%-1.70%17.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GNSS
Genasys
2.14
-0.56
-20.74%
ELTK
Eltek
8.58
-2.23
-20.65%
RELL
Richardson Electronics
11.68
-0.88
-7.01%
CPSH
CPS Technologies
3.16
1.40
79.55%
LINK
Interlink Electronics
3.91
-0.36
-8.43%
WRAP
Wrap Technologies
2.71
0.65
31.55%

Genasys Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Genasys Appoints Cassandra Hernandez-Monteon as Permanent CFO
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On December 24, 2025, Genasys Inc.’s board of directors appointed Cassandra Hernandez-Monteon as the company’s Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Secretary, formalizing the position she had held on an interim basis since July 1, 2025. In connection with the promotion, the board raised her base salary to $275,000, approved a fiscal 2026 bonus plan tied to financial and operating performance metrics, and granted her 70,000 restricted stock units split between time-based and performance-based vesting, with provisions for accelerated vesting in the event of a change of control, signaling the board’s commitment to performance alignment and leadership stability in the finance function.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNSS) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genasys stock, see the GNSS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Genasys Updates Governance Agreement and Repays Additional Term Loan
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Genasys Inc. entered into an Amended and Restated Cooperation Agreement with Nicoya Capital–affiliated investor entities linked to director R. Rimmy Malhotra, setting board nomination terms for the 2026 Annual Meeting, including the nomination of Richard S. Danforth, Susan Lee Schmeiser, William H. Dodd, W. Craig Fugate and Malhotra, as well as a commitment to work with the investors to select a mutually acceptable Audit Committee chair candidate, with Malhotra to serve as interim chair if no candidate is agreed upon by the filing of the company’s June 30, 2026 quarterly report. The revised agreement establishes standstill and mutual non-disparagement obligations for the investor group, outlines procedures for replacing Malhotra, defines conditions under which the agreement may terminate ahead of the 2027 Annual Meeting nomination window, and provides for Richard H. Osgood III and Mark Culhane to join a strategic advisory committee after the 2026 Annual Meeting, while Culhane will not stand for re-election to the board despite no disagreements with the company, and separately, on December 29, 2025 Genasys repaid in full an additional $4 million term loan plus interest and fees, leaving a previously extended $15 million term loan still outstanding, signaling ongoing balance sheet management and a recalibration of its governance structure in coordination with a key shareholder group.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNSS) stock is a Buy with a $5.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genasys stock, see the GNSS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Genasys Chairman Osgood to Join Advisory Board
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Richard H. Osgood III announced he will not stand for re-election at Genasys Inc.’s 2026 Annual Meeting, but will transition to the Strategic Advisory Board. Osgood, who has been a director since 2013 and chairman since 2021, has significantly contributed to the company’s growth in Protective Communications. His move is not due to any disagreements with the company, and he will continue to serve until the annual meeting. This transition is expected to maintain his influence and strategic input within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNSS) stock is a Buy with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genasys stock, see the GNSS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026