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Live Oak Bancshares (LOB)
NYSE:LOB
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Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) AI Stock Analysis

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LOB

Live Oak Bancshares

(NYSE:LOB)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(13.10% Upside)
Live Oak Bancshares demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors. Technical analysis and valuation present moderate risks, while recent corporate events support strategic growth.

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Live Oak Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLive Oak Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina. It primarily operates through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Live Oak Bank, which focuses on providing financial services to small businesses across various sectors, including healthcare, agriculture, and commercial industries. The company offers a range of products and services such as business loans, deposit accounts, and treasury management solutions, with a strong emphasis on technology-driven banking solutions to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyLive Oak Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans provided to small businesses, which is a significant component of its earnings. The company specializes in lending to niche industries, allowing it to charge competitive interest rates on its loans. Additionally, Live Oak earns non-interest income through fees associated with its deposit accounts, loan origination, and servicing. The bank's revenue model is further supported by its investment in technology that streamlines the lending process, reducing costs and increasing efficiency. Strategic partnerships with industry-specific organizations also contribute to its revenue by enhancing its market reach and customer acquisition efforts.

Live Oak Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.61%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant growth in revenue, loan originations, and customer deposits, coupled with improving credit metrics. However, there are challenges such as increased loan payoffs and an inconsistent USDA loan sales market. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a strong performance and optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EPS Growth
Top line revenue grew by 10% linked quarter and 20% year-over-year, with a significant improvement in earnings per share (EPS) to $0.51, aided by a 22% quarter-over-quarter increase in core operating leverage.
Record Loan Originations
Loan originations reached $1.5 billion, marking the largest Q2 of loan production in bank history, excluding PPP, which is a 9% increase linked quarter and approximately 30% increase compared to Q2 of 2024.
Customer Deposits Growth
Customer deposits grew approximately 6% linked quarter, with balances now approximately 20% higher than June 30, 2024. Noninterest-bearing balances increased 36% year-to-date.
Improving Credit Metrics
Credit quality metrics showed improvement, with a 20% decrease in quarterly provision expense from the previous quarter, and a decline in nonaccrual loans for the first time in five quarters.
Strong Demand for SBA Loans
Consistent demand for SBA loans in the secondary market, providing stable gain on sale revenue and liquidity back into the bank, with $322 million of loans sold at a 7% average premium.
Negative Updates
Increased Loan Payoffs and Paydowns
Loan payoffs and paydowns increased materially during the quarter, with $100 million higher than average in the past couple of quarters, driven by a few large loans.
Choppy USDA Loan Sales Market
The USDA loan sales market remains inconsistent, with sales occurring sporadically and not as regularly as desired.
Company Guidance
During the Live Oak Bancshares Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided robust guidance, highlighting several key metrics. Revenue grew 10% quarter-over-quarter and 20% year-over-year, driven by a focus on profitable loan and deposit production. Loan originations reached $1.5 billion, marking the largest Q2 production in the bank's history, excluding PPP, with a 9% linked quarter increase and a 30% rise compared to Q2 2024. The net interest margin expanded by 8 basis points, marking the third consecutive quarter of margin expansion. Customer deposits grew 6% linked quarter and 20% year-over-year, bolstered by a 36% year-to-date rise in noninterest-bearing balances. The company also reported an EPS of $0.51, significantly improving from the previous quarter, aided by a 22% increase in core operating leverage. Additionally, credit metrics showed improvement, with past dues and nonaccruals trending favorably. The company expressed confidence in the near end of the current small business credit cycle, supported by key credit indicators.

Live Oak Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Live Oak Bancshares shows strong revenue growth and a robust balance sheet with no debt, but faces challenges in cash flow generation due to negative operating and free cash flows. The company is financially stable but needs to address cash flow issues for long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Live Oak Bancshares has demonstrated a strong improvement in revenue with a significant increase from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100%, indicating that the company efficiently controls its cost of goods sold. However, the net profit margin is lower, which suggests higher operating or other expenses affecting profitability. The EBIT margin is strong, highlighting effective management of operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a high equity ratio, indicating financial stability and lower reliance on debt. The company has no total debt as of the latest report, which is a positive indicator of financial health. Return on equity is healthy, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds to generate income. The company's substantial cash reserves add to its financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows some areas of concern, mainly the negative operating and free cash flows in the latest period. However, the company has shown an ability to generate significant cash from financing activities, which may provide some buffer. The negative free cash flow growth rate suggests potential challenges in cash generation from core operations.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue812.37M119.49M391.86M441.99M284.62M
Gross Profit812.37M119.49M391.86M441.99M284.62M
EBITDA0.00104.10M231.11M232.15M69.08M
Net Income77.47M73.90M176.21M167.00M59.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.94B11.27B9.86B8.21B7.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.86B89.52M1.30B1.10B1.05B
Total Debt112.82M23.35M133.20M318.29M1.54B
Total Liabilities11.94B10.37B9.04B7.50B7.30B
Stockholders Equity999.03M902.67M811.03M715.13M567.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow487.16M573.23M80.73M-122.80M-293.98M
Operating Cash Flow536.47M620.07M124.48M-119.72M-272.99M
Investing Cash Flow-2.08B-1.77B-1.44B-149.80M-2.61B
Financing Cash Flow1.57B1.32B1.53B154.95M2.98B

Live Oak Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.83
Price Trends
50DMA
30.49
Positive
100DMA
28.44
Positive
200DMA
33.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
52.98
Neutral
STOCH
27.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.92, above the 50-day MA of 30.49, and below the 200-day MA of 33.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LOB.

Live Oak Bancshares Risk Analysis

Live Oak Bancshares disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Live Oak Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Live Oak Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.46B26.055.54%0.39%10.13%-50.08%
77
Outperform
$1.39B11.799.15%3.18%0.60%-6.31%
71
Outperform
$1.39B10.699.47%3.71%-0.57%-3.92%
69
Neutral
$1.49B30.4812.23%9.22%18.60%
67
Neutral
$17.22B11.2810.45%3.94%10.30%1.07%
64
Neutral
$1.28B28.021.92%5.62%-12.55%-59.97%
61
Neutral
$1.22B117.401.52%2.02%-60.54%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOB
Live Oak Bancshares
31.83
-7.43
-18.93%
HOPE
Hope Bancorp
9.97
-1.22
-10.90%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
36.35
-2.31
-5.98%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
51.35
-31.05
-37.68%
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
36.53
-2.50
-6.41%
CCB
Coastal Financial
98.35
50.86
107.10%

Live Oak Bancshares Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Live Oak Bancshares Appoints Jeffrey Lunsford to Board
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares appointed Jeffrey W. Lunsford to its board of directors and to the board of Live Oak Bank. Lunsford, a seasoned technology executive with significant experience in fintech and software companies, is expected to bring valuable expertise as Live Oak aims to innovate in the financial services sector. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to bolster the company’s mission of becoming a leading small business bank in America.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOB) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Live Oak Bancshares stock, see the LOB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Live Oak Bancshares Completes Preferred Stock Offering
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. announced the completion of its underwritten offering of 4,000,000 depositary shares, each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of its 8.375% Fixed Rate Series A Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock. This offering, which was made under a shelf registration statement filed with the SEC, resulted in net proceeds of approximately $96,150,000 for the company. The issuance of these shares marks a significant financial maneuver for Live Oak, potentially enhancing its capital structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOB) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Live Oak Bancshares stock, see the LOB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Live Oak Bancshares Announces Public Offering Pricing
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 4,000,000 depositary shares, each representing a 1/40th ownership interest in the company’s Series A Preferred Stock. The offering is expected to close on or about August 4, 2025, with net proceeds intended for general corporate purposes, including supporting balance sheet growth and enhancing capital position.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOB) stock is a Hold with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Live Oak Bancshares stock, see the LOB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Live Oak Bancshares Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key decisions were made. Shareholders elected members to the Board of Directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified KPMG LLP as the company’s independent auditors for 2025. Additionally, it was decided that advisory votes on executive compensation will be held annually, aligning with the Board’s recommendation.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOB) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Live Oak Bancshares stock, see the LOB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Live Oak Bancshares Declares Cash Dividend Announcement
Positive
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.03 per share. This dividend is payable on June 17, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 3, 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOB) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Live Oak Bancshares stock, see the LOB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025