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Live Oak Bancshares
(NYSE:LOB)
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Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(28.14% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/03/26
LOB’s score is driven primarily by improving profitability and conservative balance sheet strength, reinforced by a positive earnings call highlighting strong NII/PPNR/EPS momentum and clear growth targets. Technicals also support the thesis with a strong uptrend, though momentum is getting stretched. The key offset is weaker/volatile operating and free cash flow, which raises near-term cash conversion risk.
Positive Factors
Diversified SBA-focused origination
A large, diversified origination engine with ~30% government-guaranteed loans provides durable fee income via gain-on-sale, liquidity via secondary market access, and lower expected loss on the guaranteed portion. Broad industry coverage reduces single-sector concentration risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash flow conversion
Recent sharp decline in operating cash flow and a meaningful drop in TTM free cash flow reduce confidence in cash conversion reliability. That volatility constrains discretionary investment, dividends, and capital deployment, and increases reliance on loan sales and funding execution to meet growth targets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified SBA-focused origination
A large, diversified origination engine with ~30% government-guaranteed loans provides durable fee income via gain-on-sale, liquidity via secondary market access, and lower expected loss on the guaranteed portion. Broad industry coverage reduces single-sector concentration risk over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Live Oak Bancshares Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.93B
Dividend Yield0.29%
Average Volume (3M)309.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.8
Beta (1Y)1.07
Revenue Growth8.62%
EPS Growth99.65%
CountryUS
Employees1,027
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryBanks - Regional
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.64
Shares Outstanding46,262,390
10 Day Avg. Volume399,602
30 Day Avg. Volume309,546
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.51
Price to Book (P/B)1.26
Price to Sales (P/S)1.51
P/FCF Ratio10.99
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$43.50Price Target Upside16.12% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)3.05
Revenue Forecast (FY)$640.35M
Live Oak Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Live Oak Bancshares, Inc., established in 2008 and based in Wilmington, North Carolina, functions as the parent entity for Live Oak Banking Company. This financial institution delivers a comprehensive array of commercial banking solutions to indiv...
How the Company Makes Money
Live Oak Bancshares primarily makes money through its banking operations. The largest earnings driver is net interest income: the bank earns interest and fees on loans (including SBA 7(a) and other small business/commercial loans) and on its inves...
Live Oak Bancshares Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a clear positive operational and financial trajectory: strong year-over-year and linked-quarter earnings growth (EPS, PPNR), robust revenue and net interest income expansion, healthy loan and deposit growth, growing traction in checking and small-dollar SBA (Live Oak Express), disciplined expense control and improving efficiency, solid capital and reserves, and active AI/technology investments to drive future scale. Credit metrics showed some localized stress—nonaccruals and charge-offs ticked up due to a small exited vertical (whiskey distilleries) and provisioning remains a monitored item—but overall credit trends were described as stable to improving. Given the breadth and magnitude of the favorable metrics and the limited nature of the credit and timing headwinds, the tone of the call is constructive and growth-oriented.Positive Updates
Strong EPS and Earnings Momentum
Reported diluted EPS of $0.60 for Q1 2026 (~3x vs prior year) and adjusted EPS of $0.70, up 94% year-over-year and 8% linked quarter, reflecting pronounced earnings acceleration from core operations.
Negative Updates
Nonaccruals and Net Charge-offs Increase
Nonaccrual ratio rose modestly to 102 basis points quarter-over-quarter and net charge-off ratio was 63 basis points for the quarter, reflecting some stress in specific pockets of the portfolio.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong EPS and Earnings Momentum
Reported diluted EPS of $0.60 for Q1 2026 (~3x vs prior year) and adjusted EPS of $0.70, up 94% year-over-year and 8% linked quarter, reflecting pronounced earnings acceleration from core operations.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to continued stable-to-improving core performance with loan growth targeted in the low- to mid‑teens year-over-year, a stabilizing NIM in a flat-rate environment (Q1 NII ~$119M, NIM 3.27%, NII +19% YoY), and material runway from deposits and SBA secondary sales: loans $12.6B (Q1 +2% QoQ, +14% YoY) with Q1 originations of ~$1.4B and a $4.5B pipeline, customer deposits $9.9B (+3% QoQ, +13% YoY) and >$400M noninterest-bearing checking (4% of deposits today, goal >10%), Live Oak Express sold ~$140M to date and management targets at least $750M of annual small‑dollar 7(a) production (premiums ~9–13%), gain-on-sale contribution running ~10–13% of revenue, adjusted PPNR $66M (+30% YoY) and adjusted EPS $0.70 (+94% YoY), with expenses roughly $85M (efficiency ratio Q1 59% with a path to low‑mid 50s), provision ~ $20M, ACL to unguaranteed loans 2.14%, 30+ day delinquencies 4 bps, nonaccruals 102 bps, net charge-offs 63 bps, and a maintenance ratio of 16.7%; longer term targets remain ~15% ROE and 15% EPS growth.Live Oak Bancshares Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.06B | 1.04B | 929.29M | 776.55M | 508.83M | 506.41M |
| Gross Profit | 533.57M | 503.00M | 396.61M | 382.26M | 350.92M | 426.77M |
| EBITDA | 212.00M | 185.09M | 112.52M | 104.10M | 231.11M | 232.15M |
| Net Income | 124.10M | 103.78M | 77.47M | 73.90M | 176.21M | 167.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 15.30B | 15.13B | 12.94B | 11.27B | 9.86B | 8.21B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.69B | 1.73B | 634.39M | 1.71B | 1.30B | 1.10B |
| Total Debt | 99.75M | 102.40M | 112.82M | 23.35M | 83.20M | 318.29M |
| Total Liabilities | 14.02B | 13.88B | 11.94B | 10.37B | 9.04B | 7.50B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.28B | 1.25B | 999.03M | 902.67M | 811.03M | 715.13M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 126.14M | 143.49M | 487.16M | 573.23M | 80.73M | -122.80M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 140.65M | 158.24M | 536.47M | 620.07M | 124.48M | -119.72M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.58B | -1.90B | -2.08B | -1.77B | -1.44B | -149.80M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.51B | 2.00B | 1.57B | 1.32B | 1.53B | 154.95M |
Live Oak Bancshares Technical Analysis
Positive
37.46
Price Trends
39.04
Positive
37.08
Positive
36.24
Positive
Market Momentum
0.90
Positive
55.70
Neutral
48.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.41, below the 50-day MA of 39.04, and above the 200-day MA of 36.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LOB.
Live Oak Bancshares Risk Analysis
Live Oak Bancshares disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Live Oak Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Live Oak Bancshares Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $1.93B | 15.77 | 10.37% | 0.33% | 8.62% | 99.65% | |
78 Outperform | $1.79B | 13.99 | 9.35% | 3.38% | 2.41% | 3.01% | |
74 Outperform | $2.05B | 16.52 | 7.35% | 3.07% | 3.09% | -7.54% | |
69 Neutral | $1.74B | 26.12 | 2.96% | 4.97% | 0.06% | -33.52% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
66 Neutral | $1.85B | 65.42 | 3.40% | ― | 6.29% | 220.03% | |
65 Neutral | $1.19B | 23.85 | 10.20% | ― | -3.36% | -6.31% |
* Financial Sector Average
LOB
Live Oak Bancshares
41.67
9.77
30.61%
HOPE
Hope Bancorp
13.71
3.40
32.96%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
49.86
12.47
33.34%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
79.19
16.63
26.58%
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
45.67
7.67
20.20%
CCB
Coastal Financial
77.25
-23.86
-23.60%
Live Oak Bancshares Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Live Oak Bancshares appoints new principal accounting officer
Positive
Jul 2, 2026
On June 29, 2026, Live Oak Banking Company hired Matthew S. Diffley, 46, as Chief Accounting Officer, and effective July 1, 2026, the board of Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. appointed him as Principal Accounting Officer, succeeding interim PAO Walter J...
Executive/Board Changes
Live Oak Bancshares Announces Interim Accounting Leadership Change
Neutral
Jun 18, 2026
Live Oak Bancshares announced on June 18, 2026, that J. Wesley Sutherland will no longer serve as Chief Accounting Officer of the company or Live Oak Banking Company. Effective June 16, 2026, Chief Financial Officer Walter J. Phifer assumed the ro...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Live Oak Shareholders Approve Governance and Equity Incentive Plans
Positive
May 22, 2026
At its annual meeting of shareholders held on May 19, 2026, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. reported that 42,159,893 of 46,239,891 eligible shares were represented, establishing a quorum and enabling votes on key governance items. Shareholders elected t...
Dividends
Live Oak Bancshares Declares Cash Dividends on Shares
Positive
May 19, 2026
On May 19, 2026, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.03 per share on its Voting Common Stock, payable on June 15, 2026 to shareholders of record as of June 2, 2026. The Board also approved a cash div...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.