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Live Oak Bancshares (LOB)
NYSE:LOB
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Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) AI Stock Analysis

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LOB

Live Oak Bancshares

(NYSE:LOB)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(14.42% Upside)
Live Oak Bancshares' strong financial performance, positive earnings call, and strategic corporate events contribute significantly to its overall score. While technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, the company's robust growth prospects and strategic initiatives position it well for future success.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
Analyst upgrades LOB to Outperform due to expected positive catalysts that could drive shares higher.
Earnings Growth
LOB is projected to have top-decile earnings growth, significantly enhancing returns and financial performance.
Valuation
LOB shares are trading at a significant discount to historical valuation, suggesting a strong potential for price appreciation.
Negative Factors
Credit Performance
Credit performance is anticipated to improve, which should ease investor concerns and drive valuation recovery.
Investor Sentiment
Credit performance is set to improve in the second half of 2025, which should ease investor fears.
Risk/Reward Balance
The potential upside is nearly three times larger than the estimated downside, indicating a very attractive risk/reward for investors.

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Live Oak Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLive Oak Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina. It primarily operates through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Live Oak Bank, which focuses on providing financial services to small businesses across various sectors, including healthcare, agriculture, and commercial industries. The company offers a range of products and services such as business loans, deposit accounts, and treasury management solutions, with a strong emphasis on technology-driven banking solutions to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyLive Oak Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans provided to small businesses, which is a significant component of its earnings. The company specializes in lending to niche industries, allowing it to charge competitive interest rates on its loans. Additionally, Live Oak earns non-interest income through fees associated with its deposit accounts, loan origination, and servicing. The bank's revenue model is further supported by its investment in technology that streamlines the lending process, reducing costs and increasing efficiency. Strategic partnerships with industry-specific organizations also contribute to its revenue by enhancing its market reach and customer acquisition efforts.

Live Oak Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in revenue, loan originations, and deposits, alongside significant improvements in credit quality and net interest income. While there were some challenges with increased payoffs and intentional charge-offs, these were managed proactively. The overall performance and strategic initiatives suggest a positive trajectory for the company.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Top line revenue grew 10% quarter-over-quarter and 20% year-over-year. The company reported a Q2 earnings per share of $0.51, which is a substantial improvement from the prior quarter.
Record Loan Originations
Q2 2025 loan originations totaled approximately $1.5 billion, marking the largest Q2 of loan production in bank history, excluding PPP, and a 30% increase compared to Q2 of 2024.
Deposit Growth
Customer deposits grew approximately 6% quarter-over-quarter, and are now approximately 20% higher than June 30, 2024. Noninterest-bearing checking balances increased 36% year-to-date.
Improved Credit Quality
Key credit indicators such as past dues, defaults, and nonaccruals showed meaningful improvement, indicating the end of the current small business credit cycle is near.
Positive Trends in Net Interest Income
Quarterly net interest income increased $9 million or 9% quarter-over-quarter, with the net interest margin expanding by 8 basis points. Loan production yields were 74 basis points above the current portfolio yield.
Negative Updates
Increased Payoffs and Paydowns
Payoffs and paydowns increased by about $100 million higher than average in previous quarters, driven by specific large loans.
Intentional Increase in Net Charge-Offs
Net charge-offs increased as part of an intentional effort to reduce the number of loans unlikely to recover, although this was anticipated and provisioned for in previous quarters.
Company Guidance
During Live Oak Bancshares' Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance indicating robust growth and promising financial performance. Key metrics highlighted include a 10% quarter-over-quarter and 20% year-over-year increase in top-line revenue, driven by initiatives like Live Oak Express, which expanded from $0 in 2023 to over $300 million in 2024, and a significant rise in checking accounts from virtually zero in 2023 to $290 million with nearly 7,000 customers. The call emphasized a 22% improvement in core operating leverage and a 6% linked quarter growth in customer deposits, now 20% higher than in June 2024. Loan originations reached a historical peak for Q2 at $1.5 billion, marking a 9% increase from the previous quarter and a 30% rise from Q2 2024. The company also observed a favorable credit outlook, with key indicators such as past dues, defaults, and nonaccruals moving positively. Additionally, the net interest margin saw an expansion for the third consecutive quarter, supported by a 9% linked quarter increase in net interest income. These metrics reflect Live Oak's strategic focus on profitable loan and deposit production, modernization efforts, and investments in growth opportunities, such as AI-driven technologies, that bolster the company's resilience and future profitability.

Live Oak Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Live Oak Bancshares exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains low leverage and strong cash flows, although there is room for improvement in net profit margins and return on equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Live Oak Bancshares demonstrated strong revenue growth with a notable increase in total revenue from previous periods. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 41.2%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin stands at 6.3%, which is slightly lower than last year's due to increased operational expenses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are respectable at 8.5% and 11.2%, respectively. Overall, the income statement reflects a solid growth trajectory with stable profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Live Oak Bancshares reflects a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 7.6%, maintaining sound capital adequacy. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.11, indicating minimal leverage and low financial risk. Return on equity (ROE) is solid at 5.8%, though it has decreased slightly compared to the previous year, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability with a focus on maintaining low leverage.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement highlights robust operating cash flow, significantly exceeding net income, indicating effective cash management. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 9.2, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 8.7, demonstrating a solid cash conversion ability. Overall, the cash flow position is strong, supported by effective cash generation and management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue971.60M929.29M776.55M508.83M506.41M378.31M
Gross Profit396.63M396.61M382.26M350.92M426.77M243.97M
EBITDA102.12M112.52M104.10M231.11M232.15M69.08M
Net Income56.07M77.47M73.90M176.21M167.00M59.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.83B12.94B11.27B9.86B8.21B7.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.39B634.39M1.71B1.30B1.10B1.05B
Total Debt107.66M112.82M23.35M83.20M318.29M1.54B
Total Liabilities12.76B11.94B10.37B9.04B7.50B7.30B
Stockholders Equity1.06B999.03M902.67M811.03M715.13M567.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow660.70M487.16M573.23M80.73M-122.80M-281.99M
Operating Cash Flow674.85M536.47M620.07M124.48M-119.72M-261.00M
Investing Cash Flow-2.50B-2.08B-1.77B-1.44B-149.80M-2.62B
Financing Cash Flow1.87B1.57B1.32B1.53B154.95M2.98B

Live Oak Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.58
Price Trends
50DMA
33.09
Positive
100DMA
30.01
Positive
200DMA
33.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.68
Negative
RSI
67.15
Neutral
STOCH
72.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.22, above the 50-day MA of 33.09, and above the 200-day MA of 33.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LOB.

Live Oak Bancshares Risk Analysis

Live Oak Bancshares disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Live Oak Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Live Oak Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.49B12.659.15%3.02%0.60%-6.31%
79
Outperform
$1.52B11.629.47%3.46%-0.57%-3.92%
73
Outperform
$1.77B31.665.54%0.32%10.13%-50.08%
69
Neutral
$1.73B35.1912.23%9.22%18.60%
68
Neutral
$17.95B11.5410.27%3.74%9.64%1.17%
68
Neutral
$1.46B139.121.52%2.02%-60.54%
65
Neutral
$1.43B31.081.92%5.06%-12.55%-59.97%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOB
Live Oak Bancshares
37.54
-4.40
-10.49%
HOPE
Hope Bancorp
11.10
-0.82
-6.88%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
39.26
-1.36
-3.35%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
60.85
-19.69
-24.45%
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
39.03
-2.64
-6.34%
CCB
Coastal Financial
113.82
62.33
121.05%

Live Oak Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Live Oak Bancshares CEO Announces Stock Trading Plan
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 27, 2025, James S. Mahan III, Chairman and CEO of Live Oak Bancshares, announced a prearranged stock trading plan to sell up to 400,000 shares of his holdings. This plan, part of his personal financial and tax strategies, will be executed from November 2025 through September 2026, adhering to Rule 10b5-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Dividends
Live Oak Bancshares Declares Cash Dividend Announcement
Neutral
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares‘ Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.03 per share for its Voting Common Stock and $0.23845 per depositary share for its 8.375% Fixed Rate Series A Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, to be paid on September 15, 2025, to shareholders recorded by September 2, 2025.

M&A Transactions
Live Oak Bancshares Gains from Apiture Acquisition Deal
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Computer Services Inc. announced its definitive agreement to acquire Apiture, Inc., in which Live Oak Banking Company holds an investment. This transaction will see Apiture become a wholly owned subsidiary of CSI, with Live Oak Banking Company receiving a portion of the merger consideration. The deal is expected to bring Live Oak Bancshares an estimated pre-tax gain of $20 million to $25 million, while also ceasing further pass-through losses from the investment.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Live Oak Bancshares Appoints Jeffrey Lunsford to Board
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares appointed Jeffrey W. Lunsford to its board of directors and to the board of Live Oak Bank. Lunsford, a seasoned technology executive with significant experience in fintech and software companies, is expected to bring valuable expertise as Live Oak aims to innovate in the financial services sector. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to bolster the company’s mission of becoming a leading small business bank in America.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Live Oak Bancshares Completes Preferred Stock Offering
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. announced the completion of its underwritten offering of 4,000,000 depositary shares, each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of its 8.375% Fixed Rate Series A Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock. This offering, which was made under a shelf registration statement filed with the SEC, resulted in net proceeds of approximately $96,150,000 for the company. The issuance of these shares marks a significant financial maneuver for Live Oak, potentially enhancing its capital structure and market positioning.

Private Placements and Financing
Live Oak Bancshares Announces Public Offering Pricing
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 4,000,000 depositary shares, each representing a 1/40th ownership interest in the company’s Series A Preferred Stock. The offering is expected to close on or about August 4, 2025, with net proceeds intended for general corporate purposes, including supporting balance sheet growth and enhancing capital position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 02, 2025