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Live Oak Bancshares (LOB)
NYSE:LOB
US Market

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) AI Stock Analysis

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LOB

Live Oak Bancshares

(NYSE:LOB)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(6.70% Upside)
Live Oak Bancshares' overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting growth in SBA lending and strategic advancements in AI. However, the high P/E ratio and weak cash flow generation present valuation and financial performance challenges. The company's focus on leveraging technology and maintaining a strong balance sheet supports its growth trajectory, but investors should be cautious of potential risks from nonaccrual loans and external economic factors.
Positive Factors
Strong SBA Lending Growth
The company's leadership in SBA lending demonstrates its strong market position and ability to capture significant market share, enhancing long-term revenue potential.
Advancements in AI and Technology
Investing in AI and technology enhances operational efficiency and customer experience, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable growth.
Strong Loan and Deposit Growth
Robust growth in loans and deposits indicates strong demand for the company's services, supporting future revenue and profitability.
Negative Factors
Increase in Nonaccrual Loans
Rising nonaccrual loans can lead to higher credit risk and potential losses, impacting financial stability and profitability.
Declining Profitability Margins
Decreasing profitability margins may indicate cost pressures or pricing challenges, affecting long-term earnings potential.
Weak Cash Flow Generation
Weak cash flow generation can limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations, impacting long-term viability.

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Live Oak Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLive Oak Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Live Oak Banking Company that provides various commercial banking products and services to individuals, small businesses, and professionals in North Carolina, the United States. The company accepts various deposit products, including noninterest-bearing demand, as well as interest-bearing checking, money market, savings, and time deposits. It also offers commercial and industrial loans; construction and development loans; owner occupied and non-owner occupied collateral commercial real estate loans; and commercial land loans. In addition, the company provides settlement, accounting, and securitization services for government guaranteed loans; wealth and investment management services to high-net-worth individuals and families; investment advisory services to a series of funds focused on providing venture capital to new and emerging financial technology companies; and an on-site restaurant location to company employees and business visitors. Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyLive Oak Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans issued to small businesses, which includes commercial loans, SBA loans, and other specialized lending products. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income through fees associated with its banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and loan origination fees. The bank's focus on technology and online banking allows it to operate with lower overhead costs, which can enhance profit margins. Strategic partnerships with various industry players, including technology platforms and lending networks, further contribute to its revenue streams by expanding its reach and customer base.

Live Oak Bancshares Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets by Segment
Assets by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Live Oak Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted substantial growth in SBA lending, positive financial performance, and strategic advancements in technology. However, concerns were raised about the increase in nonaccrual loans and the potential impacts of a government shutdown. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains optimistic due to strong financial metrics and strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record SBA 7(a) Lending
Live Oak Bancshares was recognized as the #1 SBA 7(a) lender for 2025, providing over $2.8 billion in loans to small businesses, with a 44% increase in production over the previous year and market share growth from 6.4% to 7.7%.
Strong Loan and Deposit Growth
Loan production increased by 22%, loan outstandings grew by 17%, and customer deposits grew by 20%.
Earnings Performance
Q3 earnings per share increased by 8% quarter-over-quarter and nearly doubled compared to Q3 2024. The net interest margin expanded by 5 basis points to 3.33%.
Successful Capital Raise
The bank raised $100 million with a preferred offering, adding Tier 1 growth capital.
Advancements in AI and Technology
Live Oak is piloting an AI-enabled loan origination solution and leveraging AI across multiple business areas to improve efficiency and customer experience.
Negative Updates
Increase in Nonaccrual Loans
Nonaccrual loans increased to $85 million, or 73 basis points of the unguaranteed held-for-investment loan portfolio.
Government Shutdown Concerns
Potential impacts from an extended government shutdown could affect SBA loan growth and secondary market sales.
Company Guidance
During Live Oak Bancshares' Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided a robust array of metrics highlighting its strong performance and growth trajectory. The bank was recognized as the #1 SBA 7(a) lender, issuing over $2.8 billion in loans, marking a 44% increase in production from the previous year and boosting market share from 6.4% to 7.7%. Key financial metrics included a 22% rise in loan production, a 17% increase in loan outstandings, a 20% uptick in customer deposits, and a 24% growth in PPNR. The quarter saw earnings per share increase by 8% compared to the previous quarter and nearly double from the same quarter last year. The company reported a net interest margin increase to 3.33%, alongside a 6% rise in net interest income quarter-over-quarter. Furthermore, checking balances grew significantly by 26% from the previous quarter, with customer deposits experiencing a 20% year-over-year growth. The quarter also featured a successful $100 million capital raise through a preferred offering, strengthening the bank's growth capacity. The company is leveraging AI to enhance efficiency and customer service, anticipating further gains in profitability and operational leverage.

Live Oak Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Live Oak Bancshares demonstrates a solid financial position with strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet. While revenue growth is moderate, profitability metrics have shown some decline, which could indicate operational challenges. The company's low leverage and strong cash flow provide a buffer against potential risks, positioning it well for future growth opportunities.
Income Statement
Live Oak Bancshares shows moderate revenue growth with a 2.8% increase in TTM, but profitability metrics such as net profit margin and EBIT margin have declined compared to previous years. The gross profit margin remains stable, indicating efficient cost management. However, the declining net profit margin suggests rising expenses or other operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 in TTM, indicating prudent financial leverage. The equity ratio is healthy, and although ROE has decreased, it remains positive, reflecting the company's ability to generate returns on equity. The overall stability is commendable, but the declining ROE could be a concern if the trend continues.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 26.9% in TTM, indicating robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, highlighting effective cash management. Overall, cash flow performance is a strong point for the company.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue991.72M929.29M776.55M508.83M506.41M378.31M
Gross Profit425.01M396.61M382.26M350.92M426.77M243.97M
EBITDA121.22M112.52M104.10M231.11M232.15M69.08M
Net Income69.56M77.47M73.90M176.21M167.00M59.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.67B12.94B11.27B9.86B8.21B7.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.64B634.39M1.71B1.30B1.10B1.05B
Total Debt105.05M112.82M23.35M83.20M318.29M1.54B
Total Liabilities13.46B11.94B10.37B9.04B7.50B7.30B
Stockholders Equity1.20B999.03M902.67M811.03M715.13M567.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow166.67M487.16M573.23M80.73M-122.80M-281.99M
Operating Cash Flow170.69M536.47M620.07M124.48M-119.72M-261.00M
Investing Cash Flow-334.83M-2.08B-1.77B-1.44B-149.80M-2.62B
Financing Cash Flow1.97B1.57B1.32B1.53B154.95M2.98B

Live Oak Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.49
Price Trends
50DMA
33.23
Positive
100DMA
34.61
Positive
200DMA
31.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.74
Negative
RSI
67.59
Neutral
STOCH
82.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.60, above the 50-day MA of 33.23, and above the 200-day MA of 31.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LOB.

Live Oak Bancshares Risk Analysis

Live Oak Bancshares disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Live Oak Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Live Oak Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.54B11.539.35%3.38%-1.48%-1.58%
78
Outperform
$1.53B12.679.06%3.07%-2.46%-1.98%
75
Outperform
$1.80B37.6511.82%-2.11%6.48%
72
Outperform
$1.71B24.566.31%0.33%10.41%-19.43%
69
Neutral
$1.49B29.202.19%4.97%-7.96%-52.79%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$1.62B240.181.11%2.04%-64.17%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOB
Live Oak Bancshares
37.49
0.16
0.43%
HOPE
Hope Bancorp
11.64
0.79
7.28%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
40.38
5.99
17.42%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
68.14
-16.86
-19.84%
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
40.43
-0.35
-0.86%
CCB
Coastal Financial
118.97
37.64
46.28%

Live Oak Bancshares Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Live Oak Bancshares Appoints New Chief Risk Officer
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares appointed Ewa Stasiowska as Chief Risk Officer, succeeding Gregory W. Seward who will remain as General Counsel. Stasiowska, with over two decades of experience in risk management, is expected to enhance Live Oak’s risk management practices as the company continues to grow, having recently surpassed the $10 billion asset threshold.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOB) stock is a Hold with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Live Oak Bancshares stock, see the LOB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Live Oak Bancshares Announces Upcoming Cash Dividend
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.03 per share for its Voting Common Stock and $0.52344 per depositary share for its 8.375% Fixed Rate Series A Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock. These dividends are scheduled to be paid on December 15, 2025, to shareholders recorded by December 2, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOB) stock is a Hold with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Live Oak Bancshares stock, see the LOB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 23, 2025