tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)
:LOAR
US Market

Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
97 Followers

Top Page

LO

Loar Holdings Inc.

(NYSE:LOAR)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$89.00
▲(1.16%Upside)
Loar Holdings Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance and a positive earnings outlook, driving the stock's score. The company's innovative capabilities and raised guidance are strengths. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and technical indicators show mixed signals, adding some risk to the investment.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Loar Holdings Inc. reported a solid Q1 with 11% organic growth and operating profit up 22%, driven by strong performance in the Defense sector and expanding EBITDA margins.
Growth Strategy
Loar continues to execute on its organic and inorganic growth strategy with record bookings across all end markets.
Investment Appeal
The stock has an attractive bull to bear skew of approximately 2.5x, enhancing its investment appeal.
Negative Factors
Stock Performance
The recent underperformance of LOAR's stock provides an attractive entry point for investors.

Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Loar Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLoar Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of niche aerospace and defense components for aircraft, aerospace and defense systems. The company was founded on August 21, 2017 and is headquartered in White Plains, NY.
How the Company Makes MoneyLoar Holdings Inc. generates revenue primarily through the operations of its subsidiaries, each contributing through sales of specialized products and services in their respective industries. In the aerospace sector, the company earns money by supplying aircraft components and systems to major aerospace manufacturers and defense contractors. Revenue is also derived from long-term contracts and partnerships with governments and corporations for defense-related products. Additionally, Loar Holdings benefits from its industrial manufacturing units, which produce and sell machinery, tools, and equipment to various commercial sectors. Strategic acquisitions and investments in high-growth potential companies further contribute to its earnings by expanding market reach and enhancing operational synergies.

Loar Holdings Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, including record sales and growth across key segments, improved margins, and a positive outlook for 2025. The development of a new product in partnership with Airbus further emphasizes Loar's innovative capabilities. While there are some concerns about potential supply chain and tariff issues, these have not yet significantly impacted results.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales and Growth
Loar Holdings achieved record sales during Q1 2025, with total sales increasing to $150 million, a 12% increase compared to the prior year period.
Commercial Aftermarket and Defense Sales Surge
Commercial aftermarket sales saw an increase of 13% in Q1 2025, up 15% sequentially from Q4 2024, while defense sales increased by 30%.
Improved Margins
Gross profit margin for Q1 2025 increased by 370 basis points compared to the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA margins were strong at 37.6%.
Strong Financial Outlook for 2025
Loar Holdings updated their guidance, expecting net sales between $482 million and $490 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $182 million and $185 million.
New Product Launch: Secondary Cockpit Barrier
Loar successfully developed a secondary cockpit barrier in partnership with Airbus, meeting FAA safety requirements, with production units already shipped.
Negative Updates
Potential Supply Chain and Tariff Concerns
Although not significantly impacting current results, there are concerns about future impacts from tariffs and supply chain noise.
Company Guidance
During the Loar Holdings First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance and shared key financial metrics, reflecting their strong performance and future outlook. Loar Holdings raised its full-year 2025 guidance, now expecting net sales between $482 million and $490 million, adjusted EBITDA between $182 million and $185 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 37.5%, which signifies a 120 basis point improvement over 2024. The company reported record sales of $150 million for Q1 2025, a 12% increase compared to the prior year, driven by strong performances in the defense, commercial aftermarket, and commercial OEM sectors. Loar achieved a gross profit margin increase of 370 basis points year-over-year, with net organic sales up 11.1%. The company registered an increase in net income of $13 million, primarily due to higher operating income and lower interest costs. Loar also highlighted their strategic value drivers, including launching new products and improving productivity, as key contributors to their robust financial performance. Additionally, they expect capital expenditures of approximately $14 million, interest expenses of around $28 million, and a fully diluted share count of approximately 97 million shares for the year.

Loar Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Loar Holdings Inc. exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is solid with minimal debt, and cash flow generation is efficient, though there is room for further optimization in profitability margins and return on equity.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Loar Holdings Inc. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant 26.9% increase from 2023 to 2024, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin improved to 49.36%, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin turned positive at 5.52% after a loss in 2023, showing improved profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, both at 21.75% for 2024, while healthy, have room for improvement compared to industry leaders.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company has a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0084, indicating minimal leverage risk. The return on equity improved to 2.04%, suggesting better utilization of shareholder funds. A robust equity ratio of 75.05% underscores strong financial stability. However, further improvement in ROE is desirable to enhance shareholder value.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Loar Holdings Inc. experienced substantial free cash flow growth, increasing free cash flow to $46.1 million in 2024, a notable improvement from 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.47, indicating efficient cash generation. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly weaker at 2.07, suggesting potential areas for optimization in cash utilization.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue425.63M402.82M317.48M239.43M
Gross Profit214.10M198.82M154.26M111.50M
EBITDA120.45M124.24M107.52M81.69M
Net Income35.30M22.23M-4.62M-2.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.48B1.45B1.05B994.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.50M54.07M21.49M35.50M
Total Debt9.36M286.43M545.48M496.44M
Total Liabilities372.15M362.11M632.30M572.55M
Stockholders Equity1.11B1.09B418.14M421.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow62.52M46.10M679.00K5.34M
Operating Cash Flow70.84M54.97M12.81M13.27M
Investing Cash Flow-391.58M-392.13M-72.56M-181.83M
Financing Cash Flow373.42M370.02M45.72M135.31M

Loar Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price87.98
Price Trends
50DMA
88.07
Negative
100DMA
79.80
Positive
200DMA
79.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.62
Negative
RSI
56.94
Neutral
STOCH
89.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 87.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.37, below the 50-day MA of 88.07, and above the 200-day MA of 79.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LOAR.

Loar Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ERERJ
76
Outperform
$10.01B25.3413.36%0.36%22.29%51.90%
75
Outperform
$13.08B45.5328.24%0.70%9.87%14.16%
73
Outperform
$5.71B28.0611.61%0.64%4.50%9.90%
68
Neutral
$10.58B150.12
16.92%
67
Neutral
$8.23B230.924.62%27.03%562.31%
56
Neutral
$5.74B25.92-31.28%5.61%10.88%-29.73%
SPSPR
37
Underperform
$4.53B81.63%-2.91%-109.95%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOAR
Loar Holdings Inc.
87.98
34.65
64.97%
ERJ
Embraer SA
54.95
28.94
111.26%
MOG.A
Moog
180.97
18.72
11.54%
SPR
Spirit AeroSystems
38.63
4.66
13.72%
BWXT
BWX Technologies
143.19
50.02
53.69%
SARO
StandardAero, Inc.
31.63
-1.34
-4.06%

Loar Holdings Inc. Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Loar Holdings Inc. Annual Shareholders Meeting Highlights
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Loar Holdings Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where key decisions were made, including the re-election of four directors and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Additionally, shareholders approved the Amended and Restated Loar Holdings Inc. 2024 Incentive Plan, which is expected to influence the company’s strategic direction and operational incentives.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOAR) stock is a Buy with a $88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loar Holdings Inc. stock, see the LOAR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Loar Holdings Inc. Completes Share Offering with Jefferies
Neutral
May 19, 2025

Loar Holdings Inc. entered into a registration rights agreement on April 29, 2024, with several affiliates and principal investors, including Abrams Capital Management and Blackstone Alternative Credit Advisors. This agreement included an additional lock-up period for key executives, with limited waivers allowing some share transfers. On May 13, 2025, a waiver was issued to allow certain executives to sell shares proportionate to their holdings. On May 14, 2025, Loar Holdings Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Jefferies LLC and Morgan Stanley for an offering of 9,000,000 shares of common stock, with an additional option for 1,350,000 shares. The offering closed on May 16, 2025, and the option shares closed on May 19, 2025, at a price of $83.41 per share. The company did not receive any proceeds as all shares were sold by selling shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOAR) stock is a Buy with a $64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loar Holdings Inc. stock, see the LOAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025