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Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)
NYSE:LOAR
US Market

Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) AI Stock Analysis

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LOAR

Loar Holdings Inc.

(NYSE:LOAR)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$83.00
▲(23.75% Upside)
The score is primarily driven by strong financial performance and a constructive earnings outlook with record margins and upbeat 2026 guidance. Offsetting factors are a weak-to-neutral technical trend (below key longer-term averages with negative MACD) and a demanding valuation (P/E ~104), with added execution risk from recent debt-funded acquisition activity.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin Expansion
Sustained top-line growth with record EBITDA margins indicates durable operational leverage and pricing or mix advantages. Management's ability to expand margins alongside sales suggests structural improvements in cost structure and scalable offerings that should support earnings over the next several quarters.
Strong Cash Generation and Low Leverage
High cash conversion and rapid free cash flow growth, paired with minimal leverage, provide durable financial flexibility for reinvestment, organic growth, and selective M&A. This cash profile reduces financing risk and supports execution of multi-quarter strategic initiatives without stressing the balance sheet.
Strategic M&A Expands Capabilities
Acquiring LMB broadens product mix into specialized aerospace and industrial components, creating cross-sell opportunities and vertical integration benefits. If integrations persist, this structurally strengthens competitive positioning and revenue diversification over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Acquisition-Related Margin Dilution and Execution Risk
M&A has already caused temporary margin dilution, highlighting integration and cost-synergy risks. Repeated acquisitions increase execution complexity and can erode near-term profitability and distract management, posing a durable risk if integration discipline and synergies are not consistently realized.
Defense Growth Normalization
A structural slowdown in defense revenue growth reduces a previously high-growth segment contribution, pressuring overall revenue and margin expansion rates. Dependence on a normalizing defense market makes forward growth more reliant on commercial and newly acquired businesses to sustain momentum.
Modest Return on Equity
Despite improving margins and cash flow, ROE remains low, signaling limited capital efficiency or a large equity base. Persistently modest ROE can constrain long-term shareholder returns and suggests management must either improve asset returns or deploy capital more effectively to drive sustainable shareholder value.

Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Loar Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLoar Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of niche aerospace and defense components for aircraft, aerospace and defense systems. The company was founded on August 21, 2017 and is headquartered in White Plains, NY.
How the Company Makes MoneyLoar Holdings generates revenue through a combination of service-based and product-based models. Its key revenue streams include software licensing fees from proprietary technology solutions, digital marketing service fees, and e-commerce sales commissions. Additionally, the company has established strategic partnerships with other tech firms, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach. These collaborations often result in joint ventures and co-branded products that further contribute to its earnings. The diverse portfolio allows Loar Holdings to mitigate risks and capitalize on multiple market opportunities.

Loar Holdings Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with strong sales growth, record margins, and a promising outlook for 2026. Although there are some challenges related to margin dilution from acquisitions and expected normalization in defense growth, these are outweighed by the company's robust performance and strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales and Margin Growth
Loar Holdings Inc. achieved record sales of $127 million in Q3 2025, marking a 15% increase compared to the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA margins reached a record 38.7%, with a growth of 190 basis points from the prior year.
Strong Commercial Aftermarket and Defense Performance
Commercial aftermarket sales increased by 19% in Q3 2025, driven by strong demand for air travel and an aging fleet. Defense sales rose by 70%, supported by new product launches and increased market share.
Positive 2026 Outlook
For 2026, Loar Holdings anticipates commercial OEM and aftermarket growth to be in the low double digits and expects net sales between $540 million to $550 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 39%.
Successful New Product Growth
Loar Holdings expects new product growth to be closer to 3% over the next two years, driven by new product certifications and synergies from recent acquisitions.
Negative Updates
Temporary Margin Dilution from Acquisitions
The acquisition of Beadlight led to some dilution in margins during Q3 2025, although overall margins increased.
Defense Market Growth Normalization
Defense growth is expected to decelerate to mid-single digits in 2026 after a strong performance in 2025 due to previous market strength and normalization.
Company Guidance
During the Loar Holdings Inc. third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company announced several key metrics and guidance updates. They reported record sales of $127 million, marking a 15% increase compared to the previous year, driven by strong performances across commercial aftermarket, commercial OEM, and defense sectors. The company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 38.7%, up by 190 basis points from the prior year. In 2026, Loar Holdings anticipates net sales between $540 million and $550 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $209 million and $214 million, with a projected adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 39%. Additionally, they expect net income to range from $80 million to $85 million, and adjusted EPS between $0.98 and $1.03 per share. The guidance reflects their expectation for continued growth and margin improvement despite potential challenges in the aerospace and defense markets.

Loar Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals supported by improving profitability (TTM net margin up to 9.82% from 5.52%), solid gross margin (49.86%), and strong cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income of 1.92) with 15.23% free cash flow growth. Balance sheet leverage is very low (debt-to-equity 0.008), though ROE remains modest (4.34%).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Loar Holdings Inc. demonstrates strong revenue growth with a 5.14% increase in TTM, supported by a solid gross profit margin of 49.86%. The net profit margin improved significantly to 9.82% in TTM from 5.52% in the previous year, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.008 in TTM, showcasing minimal leverage and financial stability. Return on equity improved to 4.34%, indicating better utilization of equity. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Loar Holdings Inc. shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 15.23% in TTM, indicating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.92 suggests efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high, reflecting strong cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue474.97M402.82M317.48M239.43M
Gross Profit239.13M198.82M154.26M111.50M
EBITDA149.48M124.24M107.52M73.42M
Net Income63.32M22.23M-4.62M-2.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.53B1.45B1.05B994.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments98.95M54.07M21.49M35.50M
Total Debt288.63M286.43M545.48M496.44M
Total Liabilities373.85M362.11M632.30M572.55M
Stockholders Equity1.16B1.09B418.14M421.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow92.31M46.10M679.00K5.34M
Operating Cash Flow102.58M54.97M12.81M13.27M
Investing Cash Flow-43.13M-392.13M-72.56M-181.83M
Financing Cash Flow-15.31M370.02M45.72M135.31M

Loar Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.07
Price Trends
50DMA
69.44
Negative
100DMA
73.25
Negative
200DMA
77.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.69
Positive
RSI
37.65
Neutral
STOCH
12.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.23, below the 50-day MA of 69.44, and below the 200-day MA of 77.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LOAR.

Loar Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$8.88B27.161.47%
71
Outperform
$6.28B101.456.56%25.38%237.96%
67
Neutral
$12.96B1,144.16
64
Neutral
$6.57B60.587.87%0.89%-0.37%-34.97%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$4.63B-149.23-2.08%8.63%72.72%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOAR
Loar Holdings Inc.
67.07
-9.14
-11.99%
HXL
Hexcel
82.54
18.66
29.21%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
77.12
29.78
62.91%
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
36.45
13.61
59.59%
KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc.
97.94
65.94
206.06%

Loar Holdings Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Loar Holdings Secures Loan and Completes LMB Acquisition
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 23, 2025, Loar Holdings Inc. amended its existing credit agreement to secure a $445 million incremental term loan, providing financing to support its acquisition strategy, cover related fees and expenses, and fund working capital and general corporate purposes. On the same date, Loar Group completed the previously announced acquisition of LMB, paying $367 million in cash plus the assumption of net debt, with the transaction financed through cash on hand and borrowings under the amended credit agreement, marking a significant expansion of Loar’s capabilities in high-performance fans and motors and strengthening its position in specialized aerospace and industrial components; the company publicly announced the closing of the deal in a press release issued on December 26, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOAR) stock is a Buy with a $83.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loar Holdings Inc. stock, see the LOAR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Loar Holdings Inc. Expands Loan Commitment by $175M
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Loar Holdings Inc. amended its Credit Agreement to increase its delayed draw term loan commitment by $175.0 million, bringing the total to $275.0 million. This amendment also extended the availability period for the loan commitment through September 30, 2026, providing the company with increased financial flexibility and potential for growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOAR) stock is a Buy with a $91.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loar Holdings Inc. stock, see the LOAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025