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BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND)
NYSE:LND

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND) AI Stock Analysis

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LND

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas

(NYSE:LND)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(22.95% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/08/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating financial performance (sharp revenue decline and a swing to net losses) and a valuation profile that is hard to justify with negative earnings. Support comes from continued positive operating/free cash flow and a technically neutral-to-slightly constructive setup with modestly positive MACD and price holding above longer-term averages.
Positive Factors
Positive cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for BrasilAgro’s buy-develop-operate model. Even amid earnings volatility, cash generation supports capex for land improvements, funds selective divestitures, and reduces near-term reliance on external financing for project execution.
Negative Factors
Revenue and earnings decline
A marked revenue contraction and a swing to net losses weaken the company’s core operating performance and undermine margin sustainability. Persistent top-line declines can erode development returns, constrain reinvestment into fields, and reduce realized gains from future property sales.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for BrasilAgro’s buy-develop-operate model. Even amid earnings volatility, cash generation supports capex for land improvements, funds selective divestitures, and reduces near-term reliance on external financing for project execution.
Read all positive factors

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and sale of rural properties suitable for agricultural activities in Brazil. The company operates through six segments: Real Estate, ...
How the Company Makes Money
BrasilAgro primarily makes money through (1) agricultural production and sale of crops produced on its farms and (2) gains from the sale of rural properties after value-enhancement (a “buy, develop, operate, and sell” model). Agricultural revenue ...

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2024
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook with strong financial performance and strategic achievements offset by climate-related challenges and commodity price volatility. While operational resilience was emphasized, ongoing challenges in planting and cost management were significant concerns.
Positive Updates
Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported a net income of BRL 97.5 million and adjusted EBITDA from operational revenues, including significant contributions from the Alto Taquari Farm.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Crop Planting
Delayed start in soy plantations in Mato Grosso due to weather, affecting potential yields and operational timelines.
Read all updates
Q1-2025 Updates
Negative
Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported a net income of BRL 97.5 million and adjusted EBITDA from operational revenues, including significant contributions from the Alto Taquari Farm.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the AGRO3.SA earnings call for Q1 2025, various guidance metrics were discussed by the executives. The company's net income was reported at BRL 97.5 million, with an adjusted EBITDA stemming partly from the Phase 2 sale of the Alto Taquari Farm, generating BRL 525 million at a price of BRL 1,100 per hectare for a total of 2,694 hectares. Operationally, BrasilAgro harvested 1.6 million tonnes, with a significant focus on soy and sugarcane. The company is projected to finish the harvest with approximately 180,000 hectares planted. Sugarcane yields averaged 85 tons per hectare, exceeding budget expectations. The company sold approximately 40% of its soy at $11.46 and maintained a hedge strategy with 31% ethanol sales at BRL 2,600. The total receivables were BRL 900 million, reflecting strong financial management. The executives also highlighted a reduction in the cost per ton of soy and sugarcane, attributing it to lower input prices and improved logistics. Moreover, dividends of BRL 1.96 per share were announced, emphasizing a consistent return to shareholders. Overall, the call underlined BrasilAgro's strategic resilience and effective management amid agricultural and market challenges.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial results weakened materially: TTM revenue fell ~23.9% and net income swung to a loss (-82.4M). Offsetting this, the balance sheet is still workable (debt-to-equity ~0.78 with equity > debt) and cash flow remains positive (TTM OCF ~141.1M; FCF ~73.9M), though FCF declined sharply (~-68.2%).
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue821.39M1.06B1.02B1.20B1.37B716.05M
Gross Profit299.27M215.55M311.89M393.74M775.92M-35.82M
EBITDA87.22M105.07M338.91M421.73M787.98M436.83M
Net Income-82.44M138.02M226.87M268.54M520.10M317.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.73B3.84B3.61B3.51B3.35B3.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.62M159.82M193.89M412.04M530.36M1.06B
Total Debt1.61B1.31B1.04B871.97M702.19M862.18M
Total Liabilities1.66B1.66B1.43B1.31B1.13B1.25B
Stockholders Equity2.08B2.18B2.18B2.20B2.22B2.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow73.92M59.33M11.02M94.95M154.34M132.52M
Operating Cash Flow141.15M139.31M79.42M155.73M205.18M151.23M
Investing Cash Flow-111.47M-106.68M-27.85M55.04M-89.73M-214.01M
Financing Cash Flow-20.52M-60.70M-265.80M-261.06M-737.80M954.86M

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.66
Price Trends
50DMA
4.07
Negative
100DMA
3.87
Positive
200DMA
3.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
48.19
Neutral
STOCH
54.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LND, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.14, below the 50-day MA of 4.07, and below the 200-day MA of 3.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LND.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Risk Analysis

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.65B20.4126.11%10.53%65.80%197.95%
72
Outperform
$2.00B18.924.53%3.34%1.11%414.23%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
53
Neutral
$2.02B-484.91-0.54%4.40%-7.37%-84.53%
53
Neutral
$340.41M-19.99-127.44%0.55%-5.52%-2194.72%
49
Neutral
$404.22M191.55-0.07%3.39%-3.22%-108.24%
49
Neutral
$241.18M-6.84-12.83%1.99%-14.97%-278.36%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LND
BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas
4.13
0.45
12.23%
AGRO
Adecoagro SA
14.27
3.89
37.44%
ALCO
Alico
44.46
15.63
54.24%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
77.07
-8.12
-9.53%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
42.16
12.57
42.46%
LMNR
Limoneira Co
13.32
-3.12
-18.96%

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Corporate Events

BrasilAgro Files Routine Form 6-K with SEC on February 6, 2026
Feb 6, 2026
On February 6, 2026, BrasilAgro &#8211; Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agr&#237;colas filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as a foreign private issuer, confirming its status as a Form 20-F filer. The filing, sign...
BrasilAgro Updates 2025/26 Harvest Outlook and Projects Sugarcane Recovery for 2026
Feb 6, 2026
On February 5, 2026, BrasilAgro reported updated monitoring and adjustments to its agricultural operation estimates for the 2025/2026 harvest year, noting that total planted area fell 2% versus the initial estimate due mainly to reductions in soyb...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 08, 2026