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Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)
NYSE:LMT

Lockheed Martin (LMT) AI Stock Analysis

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Lockheed Martin

(NYSE:LMT)

76Outperform
Lockheed Martin's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance, driven by consistent revenue and profit growth and solid cash flow management. The earnings call further reinforces confidence in the company's prospects, despite challenges such as the NGAD program decision and tariff impacts. Technical analysis shows a neutral to slightly bearish trend, while the valuation indicates the stock is fairly priced with a reasonable income potential.
Positive Factors
Backlog
LMT ended the quarter with a $173bn backlog, up 8.5% Y/Y.
Earnings
EPS of $7.28 beats expectations.
Revenue
Revenue of $18.0bn was up 4% Y/Y and beat expectations.
Negative Factors
Analyst Downgrade
Analysts downgraded Lockheed Martin to a Neutral rating due to the loss of all 6th generation manned tactical aircraft programs and the lack of company-specific catalysts in the near term.
Contract Loss
Lockheed Martin was not selected as the winner of the USAF’s Next Generation Air Dominance program, which significantly affected the company's stock performance.
Pre-Tax Charges
Lockheed Martin took $1.7bn in pre-tax charges in the quarter related to cost overruns in Aeronautics and MFC.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Lockheed Martin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLockheed Martin Corporation, a security and aerospace company, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. The Aeronautics segment offers combat and air mobility aircraft, unmanned air vehicles, and related technologies. The Missiles and Fire Control segment provides air and missile defense systems; tactical missiles and air-to-ground precision strike weapon systems; logistics; fire control systems; mission operations support, readiness, engineering support, and integration services; manned and unmanned ground vehicles; and energy management solutions. The Rotary and Mission Systems segment offers military and commercial helicopters, surface ships, sea and land-based missile defense systems, radar systems, sea and air-based mission and combat systems, command and control mission solutions, cyber solutions, and simulation and training solutions. The Space segment offers satellites; space transportation systems; strategic, advanced strike, and defensive missile systems; and classified systems and services in support of national security systems. This segment also provides network-enabled situational awareness and integrates space and ground-based systems to help its customers gather, analyze, and securely distribute critical intelligence data. It serves primarily serves the U.S. government, as well as foreign military sales contracted through the U.S. government. Lockheed Martin Corporation was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyLockheed Martin generates revenue through its diverse portfolio of products and services across its four business segments. The Aeronautics segment, which includes advanced military aircraft such as the F-35 Lightning II, contributes significantly to the company's revenue. The Missiles and Fire Control segment provides air and missile defense systems, tactical missiles, and fire control systems, serving both domestic and international markets. The Rotary and Mission Systems segment offers a wide range of products including helicopters, naval systems, and integrated warfare systems. The Space segment focuses on space exploration, satellite systems, and strategic and defensive missile systems. A substantial portion of Lockheed Martin's revenue comes from contracts with the U.S. government, especially the Department of Defense, as well as international military sales and commercial contracts. The company's earnings are also supported by significant long-term partnerships and collaborations with government agencies and other defense contractors.

Lockheed Martin Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Aircraft Deliveries
Total Aircraft Deliveries
Tracks the number of aircraft delivered, reflecting production efficiency and fulfillment of customer demand.
Chart InsightsLockheed Martin's aircraft deliveries show a significant recovery in late 2024, with a peak in Q4, reflecting robust demand and operational improvements. Despite a dip in early 2024, the resurgence aligns with strong international demand for the F-35, as noted in the earnings call. The company's strategic focus on technological advancements and significant contract wins bolster its competitive edge, even as it navigates challenges like the NGAD program decision and tariff impacts. This momentum supports the company's confidence in achieving mid-single-digit sales growth and enhancing shareholder value.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lockheed Martin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lockheed Martin demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, solid profit margins, and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet shows reduced debt levels, enhancing its financial stability. Despite slight decreases in operating margins and free cash flow, the company's financial health remains robust, supported by strategic cost management and capital structure optimization.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Lockheed Martin's income statement reflects a strong financial performance, highlighted by consistent revenue growth and healthy profit margins. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue shows a growth of 1.08% over the previous year, indicating stable expansion. The gross profit margin for the TTM is approximately 10.23%, and the net profit margin is around 7.66%, demonstrating efficient cost management and profitability. However, there is a slight decrease in EBITDA margin from 12.41% in 2023 to 12.18% in TTM, suggesting a need to monitor operating costs closely.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Lockheed Martin shows a robust equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 in TTM, significantly lower than the previous year's 3.20, indicating improved financial leverage and reduced risk. The equity ratio stands at 11.79%, reflecting a solid capital structure, although it is relatively low compared to industry standards. Return on Equity (ROE) for TTM is at 82.36%, suggesting strong utilization of equity to generate profits. Overall, the balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with reduced debt burden.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a stable cash generation capability, with a Free Cash Flow of $4.985 billion in TTM. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is approximately 0.91, indicating strong cash conversion efficiency. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 1.23, reflecting efficient operational cash management. Although there is a slight decline in free cash flow from the previous year, the company maintains strong cash flow metrics, supporting its operational and investment activities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
71.81B71.04B67.57B65.98B67.04B65.40B
Gross Profit
7.35B6.93B8.48B8.29B9.06B8.65B
EBIT
7.42B7.01B8.51B8.35B9.12B8.64B
EBITDA
9.07B8.82B10.44B8.71B9.48B10.12B
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.50B5.34B6.92B5.73B6.32B6.83B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.80B2.48B1.44B2.55B3.60B3.16B
Total Assets
56.67B55.62B52.46B52.88B50.87B50.71B
Total Debt
20.30B20.27B17.46B15.43B11.68B12.17B
Net Debt
18.50B17.79B16.02B12.88B8.07B9.01B
Total Liabilities
49.99B49.28B45.62B43.61B39.91B44.67B
Stockholders Equity
6.68B6.33B6.83B9.27B10.96B6.01B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.99B5.29B6.23B6.13B7.70B6.42B
Operating Cash Flow
6.75B6.97B7.92B7.80B9.22B8.18B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.85B-1.79B-1.69B-1.79B-1.16B-2.01B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.88B-4.14B-7.33B-7.07B-7.62B-4.53B

Lockheed Martin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price449.18
Price Trends
50DMA
462.11
Negative
100DMA
462.29
Negative
200DMA
506.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.86
Positive
RSI
37.30
Neutral
STOCH
15.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 449.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 469.57, below the 50-day MA of 462.11, and below the 200-day MA of 506.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LMT.

Lockheed Martin Risk Analysis

Lockheed Martin disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lockheed Martin reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lockheed Martin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GDGD
77
Outperform
$73.28B18.9518.23%2.11%14.11%17.65%
LMLMT
76
Outperform
$107.74B19.8682.55%2.81%3.12%-15.29%
LHLHX
76
Outperform
$40.82B25.888.49%2.14%5.39%36.86%
RTRTX
73
Outperform
$174.64B38.337.54%1.93%15.11%34.14%
NONOC
70
Outperform
$67.74B18.5225.41%1.75%0.61%77.28%
64
Neutral
$4.40B12.095.26%250.03%4.08%-11.05%
BABA
52
Neutral
$153.38B-162.23%-9.15%-406.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LMT
Lockheed Martin
449.18
-3.77
-0.83%
BA
Boeing
206.24
23.28
12.72%
GD
General Dynamics
270.69
-19.02
-6.57%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
219.65
2.03
0.93%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
469.05
6.32
1.37%
RTX
RTX
130.79
28.17
27.45%

Lockheed Martin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted consistent growth and strong financial performance across various segments, along with significant contract wins and technological advancements. However, challenges such as the NGAD program decision, decline in space sales, and potential impacts from tariffs were noted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Year-Over-Year Sales Growth
Lockheed Martin Corporation reported a 4% increase in year-over-year sales for the first quarter of 2025, continuing the growth momentum from the past two years.
Robust Shareholder Returns
The company returned $1.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter.
Significant Contract Wins
Lockheed Martin Corporation secured large missile program awards worth up to $10 billion, including contracts for PRISM, THAAD, and joint air-to-surface standoff missiles.
Strong Segment Operating Margin
The company reported an 11.6% segment operating margin, with all four business areas generating double-digit returns.
Innovative Demonstrations and Technological Advancements
Lockheed Martin Corporation demonstrated cost-effective countermeasures against drone warfare and conducted a real-world data share between an F-35 and a Dutch command system.
F-35 Production and International Demand
The global F-35 fleet reached over 1,100 aircraft, with strong international demand ensuring production rates of 150+ per year.
Negative Updates
NGAD Program Decision
Lockheed Martin Corporation did not win the NGAD program decision from the U.S. Air Force and decided not to protest the decision.
Space Sales Decline
Space sales decreased by 2% year over year due to lower volume at National Security Space, primarily related to the OPIR program.
Tariff and Supply Chain Challenges
The company faces potential impacts from tariffs and supply chain disruptions, although it has plans to mitigate these challenges.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Lockheed Martin Corporation reported a 4% year-over-year sales increase, generating $850 million in independent research and development and capital expenditures. The company returned $1.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Executives reaffirmed their full-year guidance of mid-single-digit sales growth, an 11% segment operating margin, and double-digit growth in free cash flow per share. Lockheed Martin maintained confidence despite tariff headwinds and the Next Generation Air Dominance program decision. The quarter saw significant contract wins, including missile programs worth up to $10 billion, contributing to a healthy backlog of approximately $173 billion. The company also highlighted advances in technologies such as AI, 5G, and distributed cloud, aligning with their Twenty-First Century Security Strategy to enhance platforms like the F-35 and F-22.

Lockheed Martin Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Lockheed Martin Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 9, 2025, Lockheed Martin held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where a significant 86.47% quorum was achieved. Key outcomes included the election of 10 directors to the board, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as independent auditors. However, stockholder proposals regarding excessive golden parachutes and political activities alignment with human rights policy were not approved.

Spark’s Take on LMT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, LMT is a Outperform.

Lockheed Martin’s overall stock score reflects a robust financial performance bolstered by solid revenue growth, efficient cost management, and strong cash flows. The earnings call provided positive insights with significant contract wins and technological advancements, despite some challenges. The stock’s technical indicators and fair valuation further support its stable outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on LMT stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Lockheed Martin Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

On April 17, 2025, Lockheed Martin announced the appointment of Evan T. Scott as the new Chief Financial Officer, replacing Jay Malave who is pursuing other opportunities. Scott, a 26-year veteran of the company, has held various financial leadership roles and is expected to drive continued growth and excellence in the finance organization.

Spark’s Take on LMT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, LMT is a Outperform.

Lockheed Martin’s overall score reflects strong financial health and positive earnings call insights, highlighting robust sales growth and strategic investments. The technical analysis suggests caution due to weak momentum and the stock trading below key averages. Valuation is reasonable but not a standout factor. The significant strengths in financial performance and positive earnings outlook are tempered by technical challenges, resulting in a balanced score.

To see Spark’s full report on LMT stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.