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Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc (LIND)
NASDAQ:LIND

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings (LIND) AI Stock Analysis

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LIND

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings

(NASDAQ:LIND)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▼(-19.71% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/20/26
The score is held back primarily by financial risk and weak profitability, including negative equity and declining free-cash-flow growth. Offsetting this, technical signals are strong and the latest earnings call reflected improved operating momentum with raised guidance, while recent corporate actions appear directionally positive for flexibility and capacity.
Positive Factors
Demand and Yield Strength
Sustained pricing power and high occupancy indicate durable demand for Lindblad’s niche expedition cruises. Higher net yields and strong forward bookings improve revenue visibility and support reinvestment in fleet and product, reducing sensitivity to near-term travel cycles.
Margin Expansion and EBITDA Improvement
Material margin expansion and rising adjusted EBITDA demonstrate operational leverage as revenue scales. Improved profitability helps generate cash for maintenance and fleet modernization, making the business more resilient and better able to fund strategic growth over the medium term.
Refinancing Extends Maturities and Lowers Rates
Lower interest costs and extended maturities reduce near-term liquidity pressure and interest expense volatility. This structural improvement increases financial flexibility to pursue charters, new builds, or opportunistic acquisitions without immediate refinancing risk.
Negative Factors
Negative Stockholders' Equity / High Leverage
Negative equity signals accumulated losses and elevated financial leverage, which constrain borrowing flexibility and raise covenant and solvency risks. This structural weakness limits the company’s ability to absorb shocks or fund long-term fleet investments without external financing.
Declining Free Cash Flow Growth
Falling free cash flow growth reduces capacity to self-fund maintenance, drydock cycles, and fleet expansion. Persistent FCF pressure forces reliance on refinancing or equity issuance, making long-term reinvestment and deleveraging harder amid capital-intensive vessel operations.
Share Dilution from Mandatory Preferred Conversion
A material increase in common shares outstanding dilutes existing equity stakes and reduces per-share earnings/cash flow metrics. While simplifying capital structure, the conversion imposes a durable dilution overhang that can pressure per-share returns as the company executes growth and deleveraging plans.

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings (LIND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. provides expedition cruising and land-based adventure travel experiences. The company delivers voyages through a fleet of ten owned expedition ships and five seasonal charter vessels under the Lindblad brand; and operates eco-conscious expeditions and nature focused small-group tours under the Natural Habitat brand. The company also provides luxury cycling and adventure tours worldwide under the DuVine name; active small group and private custom journeys throughout the United States national park under the Off the Beaten Path brand name; and curated active small group and private custom journeys that are centered around cinematic walks led by the local guides under the Classic Journeys name. The company has a strategic alliance with the National Geographic Society. Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyLindblad Expeditions generates revenue primarily through the sale of cruise and expedition packages, which include accommodations, meals, guided excursions, and onboard activities. The company's revenue model is based on ticket sales for its vessels, where travelers pay for the unique experiences offered during the voyages. In addition to cruise revenue, Lindblad also earns money through partnerships with organizations such as National Geographic, enhancing its brand and attracting a broader customer base. Ancillary revenue comes from onboard sales, merchandise, and optional excursions. The company's focus on sustainable tourism practices and high-quality experiences helps maintain customer loyalty and repeat business, contributing to its financial success.

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, record-breaking metrics in guest experience and revenue growth, successful debt refinancing, and strategic expansion plans. However, it also noted increased operating expenses and anticipated pressure on Q4 EBITDA due to strategic investments and maintenance activities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Net Promoter Scores
Achieved the highest Net Promoter Scores ever for both Q3 and year-to-date, reflecting exceptional guest experiences.
Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenues increased by 16.6%, with Lindblad and Land Segments growing by 13.4% and 21.1%, respectively.
Occupancy and Yield Records
Lindblad segment occupancy reached 88%, 6 points higher than last year, with net yields increasing 9% to $1,314, the highest Q3 yields in company history.
Growing Alaska Trade
Core Alaska trade achieved almost 16% yield growth, showcasing strong demand for the unique experiences offered.
Increased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 25% to $57.3 million, with margins expanding by 160 basis points to 23.8%.
Successful Debt Refinancing
Refinanced debt, extending maturities and lowering interest rates by approximately 75 basis points, enhancing financial flexibility.
Strong Future Bookings
Net booking costs for 2026 are significantly ahead of prior year, with an encouraging uptick in 2027 bookings.
Expansion in Charter Offerings
Expanded charter offerings, including a successful inaugural European river cruising program, with plans for increased voyages in 2027.
Negative Updates
Increase in Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by $22.7 million or 14% versus Q3 2024, including a 20% increase in sales and marketing costs.
Debt Refinancing Costs
Incurred $23.5 million in debt refinancing expenses, impacting net income available to stockholders.
Anticipated Q4 EBITDA Pressure
Guidance implies a decline in Q4 EBITDA compared to the previous year due to increased marketing spend and more dry/wet docks.
Company Guidance
During Lindblad Expeditions' third-quarter earnings call, the company provided an optimistic outlook, raising full-year guidance for net yields, revenue, and EBITDA. The company's consolidated revenues increased by 16.6%, with the Lindblad segment growing by 13.4% and the Land segment by 21.1%. Occupancy in the Lindblad segment reached 88%, a 6-point increase compared to the previous year, alongside a 5% increase in capacity. Net yields increased by 9% to $1,314, marking the highest third-quarter yields in the company's history. The core Alaska trade achieved nearly 16% yield growth. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 25% to $57.3 million, with margins expanding 160 basis points to 23.8%. Looking forward, the company anticipates continued strong demand, with net booking costs for 2026 and 2027 significantly ahead of the prior year. The company is also exploring accretive growth opportunities, including fleet expansion through charters, acquisitions, and new builds.

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing (TTM +4.87%) and gross margin is healthy (43.04%), but profitability is still weak (net margin -4.24%, EBIT margin 2.88%). Balance sheet risk is elevated due to negative stockholders’ equity and a negative debt-to-equity ratio (-3.80), and free cash flow growth declined (-11%).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings has shown a modest revenue growth rate of 4.87% in the TTM period, indicating some recovery in the travel services industry. However, the company continues to face challenges with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -4.24%. The gross profit margin of 43.04% is relatively healthy, but the low EBIT margin of 2.88% suggests operational inefficiencies. Overall, while there is revenue growth, profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -3.80, due to negative stockholders' equity. This indicates high financial risk and potential solvency issues. The return on equity is positive at 5.20%, but this is primarily due to negative equity. The equity ratio is negative, further highlighting the company's financial instability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects high leverage and financial risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -11% in the TTM period, which is concerning. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.23 indicates some ability to generate cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.53 suggests that while the company is generating some free cash flow, it is not sufficient to cover net losses. Overall, cash flow generation is weak, with declining free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue736.45M644.73M569.54M421.50M147.11M82.36M
Gross Profit331.66M301.05M247.17M138.28M22.62M9.43M
EBITDA82.43M74.14M54.80M-19.94M-57.08M-61.17M
Net Income-31.22M-31.18M-45.61M-111.38M-119.21M-98.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets976.53M876.90M831.30M787.98M827.49M757.45M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments261.78M183.94M156.84M100.77M150.75M187.53M
Total Debt665.02M627.30M623.75M557.41M549.45M488.00M
Total Liabilities1.11B1.02B945.06M873.62M811.55M631.17M
Stockholders Equity-174.77M-174.96M-151.55M-113.53M5.32M118.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.17M58.84M-4.52M-40.41M-64.19M-247.74M
Operating Cash Flow98.82M92.36M25.44M-2.20M32.49M-92.26M
Investing Cash Flow-63.83M-44.08M-14.80M-49.59M-114.72M-155.48M
Financing Cash Flow30.56M-19.77M60.68M-4.87M50.41M342.99M

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.55
Price Trends
50DMA
16.81
Positive
100DMA
14.48
Positive
200DMA
13.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.22
Positive
RSI
70.47
Negative
STOCH
51.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LIND, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.28, above the 50-day MA of 16.81, and above the 200-day MA of 13.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 70.47 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LIND.

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Risk Analysis

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lindblad Expeditions Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$85.62B19.3648.50%1.09%8.61%49.58%
67
Neutral
$10.91B18.2539.87%3.59%19.09%
63
Neutral
$4.68B21.663.10%3.17%12.57%
62
Neutral
$24.28B19.2291.09%0.56%7.29%36.51%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$1.14B-31.0118.50%7.78%
51
Neutral
$1.15B33.625.04%4.24%159.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LIND
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings
20.55
9.41
84.47%
EXPE
Expedia
203.74
5.80
2.93%
RCL
Royal Caribbean
313.00
71.99
29.87%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
10.08
-4.83
-32.39%
TNL
Travel + Leisure Co
75.56
21.47
39.69%
NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Line
23.81
-1.24
-4.95%

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lindblad Expeditions Simplifies Capital Structure with Preferred Conversion
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Lindblad Expeditions announced it had exercised its right to mandatorily convert all outstanding 6.0% Series A Convertible Preferred Stock after its volume-weighted average share price exceeded the $14.25 trigger threshold on January 16, 2026. The company set February 3, 2026 as the effective date for the conversion of 62,000 preferred shares into roughly 9.0 million common shares, which will increase total common shares outstanding from about 55.4 million to approximately 64.4 million and eliminate the preferred stock class and its associated dividends. Management framed the move as a step that simplifies Lindblad’s capital structure and strengthens its balance sheet, providing greater flexibility for capital allocation and potentially improving the company’s financial profile for shareholders and creditors.

The most recent analyst rating on (LIND) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lindblad Expeditions Holdings stock, see the LIND Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Lindblad Expeditions Plans Future Fleet Changes
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings announced the retirement of the National Geographic Sea Bird and Sea Lion in October 2026, marking the end of their service. To meet growing demand for Alaska expeditions, the company will charter the Greg Mortimer starting in 2027, enhancing its ability to offer new itineraries and modern accommodations. This strategic move aims to strengthen Lindblad’s position in the expedition travel industry by expanding its Alaska program and continuing its legacy of pioneering exploration.

The most recent analyst rating on (LIND) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lindblad Expeditions Holdings stock, see the LIND Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 20, 2026