Lindblad Expeditions Holdings (LIND) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.14B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 762.15K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.77
• Revenue Growth: 18.50%
• EPS Growth: 7.78%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,230
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Travel Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.45
• Shares Outstanding: 55,400,740
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 694,355
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 762,150
• PEG Ratio: 4.47
• Price to Book (P/B): -5.16
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.42
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.73
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.42
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.16
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.79
• 1Y Price Target: $25.67
• Price Target Upside: 26.87% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.08
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $824.34M

• Rating: 62 Neutral
• Price Target: $21.50 ▲(6.28% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/27/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/27/26

The score reflects strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings outlook driven by robust bookings and higher 2026 revenue/EBITDA guidance. These positives are tempered by weaker underlying financial health—especially negative equity and ongoing net losses—and limited valuation support due to negative earnings.

Positive Factors

Booking Momentum & Guidance

High advance bookings and explicit multi-year guidance increase revenue visibility and reduce demand uncertainty. Durable forward bookings support predictable cash flows, enable disciplined capacity deployment and fleet planning, and underpin multi-period EBITDA improvement despite seasonal variability.

Improving Cash Generation

Growing free cash flow and stronger operating cash generation improve financial flexibility for fleet investment, debt reduction and working capital. Persistent positive FCF helps sustain capital allocation, lowers refinancing pressure and supports execution of strategic tuck‑ins and brand investments.

Brand & Distribution Strength

Diversified distribution gains and a strong National Geographic partnership deepen market reach and customer acquisition. Durable channel expansion and brand equity increase pricing power, repeat bookings and resilience to single-channel shocks, supporting long‑term yield and revenue growth.

Negative Factors

Negative Equity / Balance Sheet Stress

A persistent negative equity position heightens refinancing and covenant risk, constrains access to unsecured capital and raises cost of debt. This structural capital‑structure weakness reduces the firm's cushion in downturns and limits optionality for large fleet or M&A investments.

Net Losses & One‑time Charges

Significant non‑operating charges and elevated D&A from fleet additions produce earnings volatility and defer path to sustained net profitability. Until such charges normalize, bottom‑line losses can hinder retained earnings rebuild and prolong negative equity remediation.

Margin Pressure from Cost Headwinds

Structural cost increases (royalty step‑ups, lost tax credits, higher marketing and operating expenses) compress margins unless offset by sustained yields or efficiency gains. Persistent cost inflation can erode free cash flow and slow deleveraging, pressuring long‑term profitability.

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. provides expedition cruising and land-based adventure travel experiences. The company delivers voyages through a fleet of ten owned expedition ships and five seasonal charter vessels under the Lindblad brand; and operates eco-conscious expeditions and nature focused small-group tours under the Natural Habitat brand. The company also provides luxury cycling and adventure tours worldwide under the DuVine name; active small group and private custom journeys throughout the United States national park under the Off the Beaten Path brand name; and curated active small group and private custom journeys that are centered around cinematic walks led by the local guides under the Classic Journeys name. The company has a strategic alliance with the National Geographic Society. Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Lindblad Expeditions generates revenue primarily through the sale of cruise and expedition packages, which include accommodations, meals, guided excursions, and onboard activities. The company's revenue model is based on ticket sales for its vessels, where travelers pay for the unique experiences offered during the voyages. In addition to cruise revenue, Lindblad also earns money through partnerships with organizations such as National Geographic, enhancing its brand and attracting a broader customer base. Ancillary revenue comes from onboard sales, merchandise, and optional excursions. The company's focus on sustainable tourism practices and high-quality experiences helps maintain customer loyalty and repeat business, contributing to its financial success.

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operations and cash generation are improving (positive operating profit/EBITDA and stronger, growing free cash flow), but TTM revenue has pulled back meaningfully and the company remains net-loss making. The biggest constraint is balance-sheet stress, with negative stockholders’ equity persisting through TTM, limiting financial flexibility despite signs of debt reduction and better liquidity.

Income Statement

Revenue rebounded strongly from 2020–2024, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a meaningful pullback (about -20% vs. the prior year). Profitability has improved materially from the deep losses in 2020–2022 to positive operating profit and roughly 11% EBITDA margin in 2023–TTM, yet the company is still unprofitable at the bottom line (TTM net margin around -4%). Overall, the trend is improving, but the combination of renewed revenue decline and continued net losses keeps the score in the mid-range.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is the key weak spot: stockholders’ equity is negative from 2022 through TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), which reduces financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk. While total debt appears sharply lower in TTM versus prior years, the negative equity position still signals a leveraged capital structure and limits cushion against downturns. Total assets have grown versus 2020, but the capital structure remains stressed.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is a relative strength. Operating cash flow has improved substantially since 2022 and is strong in 2024 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with positive and growing free cash flow (TTM up ~22% and 2024 up ~14%). However, profitability is still negative, and cash flow conversion versus earnings is not consistently strong across the period, so the quality signal is good but not flawless.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	0.00	644.73M	569.54M	421.50M	147.11M
Gross Profit	0.00	301.05M	247.17M	138.28M	22.62M
EBITDA	-9.65M	74.14M	54.80M	-19.94M	-57.08M
Net Income	-29.72M	-31.18M	-45.61M	-111.38M	-119.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	979.96M	876.90M	831.30M	787.98M	827.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	256.69M	183.94M	156.84M	100.77M	150.75M
Total Debt	1.15M	627.30M	623.75M	557.41M	549.45M
Total Liabilities	1.13B	1.02B	945.06M	873.62M	811.55M
Stockholders Equity	-153.50M	-174.96M	-151.55M	-113.53M	5.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	63.84M	58.84M	-4.52M	-40.41M	-64.19M
Operating Cash Flow	111.58M	92.36M	25.44M	-2.20M	32.49M
Investing Cash Flow	-67.27M	-44.08M	-14.80M	-49.59M	-114.72M
Financing Cash Flow	29.56M	-19.77M	60.68M	-4.87M	50.41M

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 20.23
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LIND, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.48, above the 50-day MA of 16.94, and above the 200-day MA of 13.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LIND.

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
RCL	73 Outperform	$85.62B	20.24	48.50%	1.09%	8.61%	49.58%
NCLH	67 Neutral	$10.91B	18.14	39.87%	―	3.59%	19.09%
TNL	63 Neutral	$4.68B	21.81	―	3.10%	3.17%	12.57%
LIND	62 Neutral	$1.14B	-31.32	―	―	18.50%	7.78%
EXPE	62 Neutral	$24.28B	20.20	91.09%	0.56%	7.29%	36.51%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
TRIP	51 Neutral	$1.15B	33.69	5.04%	―	4.24%	159.81%

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Corporate Events

Lindblad Expeditions Simplifies Capital Structure with Preferred Conversion

On January 20, 2026, Lindblad Expeditions announced it had exercised its right to mandatorily convert all outstanding 6.0% Series A Convertible Preferred Stock after its volume-weighted average share price exceeded the $14.25 trigger threshold on January 16, 2026. The company set February 3, 2026 as the effective date for the conversion of 62,000 preferred shares into roughly 9.0 million common shares, which will increase total common shares outstanding from about 55.4 million to approximately 64.4 million and eliminate the preferred stock class and its associated dividends. Management framed the move as a step that simplifies Lindblad’s capital structure and strengthens its balance sheet, providing greater flexibility for capital allocation and potentially improving the company’s financial profile for shareholders and creditors.

The most recent analyst rating on (LIND) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lindblad Expeditions Holdings stock, see the LIND Stock Forecast page.

Lindblad Expeditions Plans Future Fleet Changes

On December 11, 2025, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings announced the retirement of the National Geographic Sea Bird and Sea Lion in October 2026, marking the end of their service. To meet growing demand for Alaska expeditions, the company will charter the Greg Mortimer starting in 2027, enhancing its ability to offer new itineraries and modern accommodations. This strategic move aims to strengthen Lindblad’s position in the expedition travel industry by expanding its Alaska program and continuing its legacy of pioneering exploration.

The most recent analyst rating on (LIND) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lindblad Expeditions Holdings stock, see the LIND Stock Forecast page.