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Travel + Leisure Co (TNL)
NYSE:TNL

Travel + Leisure Co (TNL) AI Stock Analysis

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TNL

Travel + Leisure Co

(NYSE:TNL)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$76.00
▲(4.31% Upside)
Travel + Leisure Co's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and attractive valuation, supported by positive earnings call sentiment. However, the financial performance is mixed, with significant leverage concerns on the balance sheet. Recent corporate events positively impact the score by enhancing financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation supports financial flexibility and shareholder returns, indicating efficient operations and sustainable business practices.
Vacation Ownership Growth
Growth in the Vacation Ownership segment reflects robust demand and strategic expansion, strengthening the company's core business model.
Credit Agreement Amendment
The amendment to the credit agreement reduces financing costs, improving financial health and enabling future investments and growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity pose risks to financial stability, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest and grow.
Exchange Business Decline
Structural decline in the exchange business could weaken revenue streams and profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments.
Travel and Membership Segment Challenges
Challenges in the Travel and Membership segment indicate potential profitability issues, requiring strategic focus to address market shifts.

Travel + Leisure Co (TNL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Travel + Leisure Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTravel + Leisure Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides hospitality services and products in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Vacation Ownership; and Travel and Membership. The Vacation Ownership segment develops, markets, and sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) to individual consumers; provides consumer financing in connection with the sale of VOIs; and provides property management services at resorts. The Travel and Membership segment operates various businesses, including three vacation exchange brands, a home exchange network, travel technology platforms, travel memberships, and direct-to-consumer rentals. As of January 26, 2022, it had approximately 245 vacation ownership resorts. It also offers private-label travel booking technology solutions. The company was formerly known as Wyndham Destinations, Inc. and changed its name to Travel + Leisure Co. in February 2021. Travel + Leisure Co. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyTravel + Leisure Co generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is the sale of vacation ownership interests, which allows customers to purchase time in a vacation property. TNL also earns revenue from the management of these properties, including maintenance fees and other associated costs. Additionally, the company generates income through its exchange services, allowing owners to trade their timeshares for stays at other properties worldwide. Advertising revenue from its travel publications and digital platforms further contributes to its earnings. Significant partnerships with hotels, resorts, and travel service providers also play a crucial role in enhancing its offerings and driving revenue growth.

Travel + Leisure Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic expansion in the Vacation Ownership segment, supported by robust demand and efficient operations. However, challenges persist in the Travel and Membership segment, particularly in the exchange business. The overall sentiment is positive due to the significant growth and strategic advancements outweighing the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Travel + Leisure reported over $1 billion in revenue, $266 million in adjusted EBITDA, and $1.80 in adjusted earnings per share, all significantly up year-over-year.
Vacation Ownership Business Performance
The Vacation Ownership segment showed strong demand with revenue growth of 6% to $876 million and adjusted EBITDA growth of 14% to $231 million. Volume per guest (VPG) ended the quarter at $3,304, above the high end of the guidance range.
Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Generated $106 million in free cash flow returned to shareholders and $500 million expected for the full year, with 23% growth year-over-year.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion
The adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 100 basis points to 25%, reflecting operating leverage and efficiency gains.
New Brand Expansions
Announced new Sports Illustrated Resort in Chicago and launched Eddie Bauer Adventure Club, expanding the brand portfolio and targeting distinct traveler profiles.
Negative Updates
Travel and Membership Segment Challenges
Adjusted EBITDA in the Travel and Membership segment was down 6% year-over-year, with the ongoing mix shift between Travel Clubs and Exchange affecting profitability.
Exchange Business Underperformance
The exchange business is facing structural decline due to industry consolidation, impacting the overall performance of the Travel and Membership segment.
Company Guidance
During the Travel + Leisure Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial results, highlighting over $1 billion in revenue, $266 million in adjusted EBITDA, and $1.80 in adjusted earnings per share, all showing significant year-over-year growth. The company's Vacation Ownership business demonstrated sustained momentum, with volume per guest (VPG) reaching $3,304, surpassing the high-end of guidance. Tour flow was robust with 200,000 tours conducted, indicating strong consumer demand for travel. The company returned $106 million to shareholders, fueled by strong free cash flow generation. Travel and Membership segment transactions increased by 30%, while adjusted free cash flow grew 23% year-over-year. The company raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint to $975 million. The balance sheet remained strong, with net leverage at 3.3x and liquidity nearing $1.1 billion. The call also emphasized strategic priorities, including expanding the brand portfolio with new partnerships and focusing on digital innovation and operational discipline.

Travel + Leisure Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Travel + Leisure Co shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement reflects strong profitability with commendable margins despite a decline in revenue. However, the balance sheet presents significant challenges with high leverage and negative equity. The cash flow statement is a strong point, indicating improved cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Travel + Leisure Co shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data reveals a decline in revenue growth rate, indicating a contraction in sales. However, the company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 56.26% and a net profit margin of 11.97%, which are commendable. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, suggesting efficient operational management. Despite the revenue decline, the company has managed to sustain profitability, which is a positive indicator.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet presents significant challenges for Travel + Leisure Co. The company has a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -4.33 in the TTM period. This high leverage poses a risk to financial stability. Additionally, the return on equity is negative, reflecting the impact of the negative equity. While the company has substantial total assets, the high debt levels and negative equity are critical issues that need addressing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement is a strong point for Travel + Leisure Co. The TTM data shows a significant growth in free cash flow by 61.82%, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.83, both of which are healthy and suggest efficient cash management. Despite the revenue decline, the company has enhanced its cash flow position, which is a positive sign for future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.97B3.86B3.75B3.57B3.13B2.16B
Gross Profit2.01B1.89B1.82B1.73B1.57B932.00M
EBITDA923.00M877.00M848.00M800.00M751.00M42.00M
Net Income411.00M411.00M396.00M357.00M308.00M-253.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.89B6.74B6.74B6.76B6.59B7.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments240.00M184.00M296.00M562.00M396.00M1.21B
Total Debt5.58B5.67B5.73B5.75B5.45B6.58B
Total Liabilities7.71B7.62B7.66B7.66B7.38B8.58B
Stockholders Equity-821.00M-881.00M-918.00M-913.00M-801.00M-975.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow801.00M383.00M276.00M390.00M511.00M305.00M
Operating Cash Flow967.00M464.00M350.00M442.00M568.00M374.00M
Investing Cash Flow-101.00M-124.00M-80.00M-50.00M-93.00M-65.00M
Financing Cash Flow-699.00M-458.00M-500.00M-196.00M-1.29B502.00M

Travel + Leisure Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.86
Price Trends
50DMA
65.14
Positive
100DMA
62.61
Positive
200DMA
55.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.15
Negative
RSI
73.88
Negative
STOCH
88.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TNL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.22, above the 50-day MA of 65.14, and above the 200-day MA of 55.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.88 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TNL.

Travel + Leisure Co Risk Analysis

Travel + Leisure Co disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Travel + Leisure Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Travel + Leisure Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$35.44B27.67104.40%0.55%7.29%36.51%
73
Outperform
$4.64B11.853.07%3.17%12.57%
71
Outperform
$83.27B32.4030.78%10.56%47.16%
71
Outperform
$47.47B11.6019.96%0.38%17.34%91.51%
67
Neutral
$1.62B22.389.57%4.24%159.81%
65
Neutral
$8.22B129.7416.66%14.55%-68.46%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TNL
Travel + Leisure Co
72.86
23.82
48.57%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
73.76
1.03
1.42%
EXPE
Expedia
289.29
100.69
53.39%
MMYT
Makemytrip
86.28
-29.93
-25.76%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
14.18
-0.23
-1.60%
ABNB
Airbnb
136.95
1.63
1.20%

Travel + Leisure Co Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Travel + Leisure Co Amends Credit Agreement for Growth
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Travel + Leisure Co. announced the closing of the Eighth Amendment to its Credit Agreement, which involved repricing $869 million of outstanding borrowings under the 2024 Term Loan B Facility. This repricing reduced the interest rate by 50 basis points, reflecting the company’s strong business model and improved credit profile, thus enhancing financial flexibility and supporting its growth and value creation strategies.

Business Operations and Strategy
Travel + Leisure Co Releases New Investor Presentation
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Travel + Leisure Co. released new investor presentation materials on its website for use in meetings with investors and for marketing purposes. The company emphasizes the importance of monitoring its website and LinkedIn for updates on operations and prospects, indicating a strategic approach to investor relations and transparency.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Travel + Leisure Co Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Travel + Leisure Co. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $111 million on a revenue of $1.04 billion. The company achieved a 6% increase in Vacation Ownership revenue and a 10% increase in volume per guest year-over-year. The company also returned $106 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Travel + Leisure Co. exceeded its Adjusted EBITDA guidance and continued to execute its strategy, marking progress with new partnerships and expanding its brand portfolio. The company also updated its full-year guidance, raising the mid-point of its Adjusted EBITDA outlook.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025