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Sabre (SABR)
NASDAQ:SABR
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Sabre (SABR) AI Stock Analysis

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SABR

Sabre

(NASDAQ:SABR)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(2.56% Upside)
Sabre's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its challenging financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While there are positive aspects such as strategic debt reduction and corporate actions, these are outweighed by ongoing profitability issues and negative market sentiment.
Positive Factors
Business Sale
Sabre’s sale of its Hospitality Solutions business unit to TPG for $1.1 billion is broadly positive.
Debt Management
Improved debt maturity profile, extending nearly 60% of debt to 2029 and beyond, and reduced total debt by more than $1 billion or nearly 20%.
Partnerships and Contracts
The Hyatt partnership is expected to drive a significant portion of CRS transaction growth, contributing to the overall positive outlook for Sabre Corp.
Negative Factors
Airline Partnerships
Recent losses in air distribution with Turkish Airlines and Frontier Airlines are expected to create headwinds for air bookings.
Earnings and Guidance
Management noted three components driving weakness vs. prior expectations: lower industry bookings growth, unfavorable mix given Sabre's exposures, and execution issues on growth strategies.
Interest Rates and Margins
The need to reinvest and higher interest rates are expected to weigh on Sabre's margins and cash flow.

Sabre (SABR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sabre Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSabre Corporation (SABR) is a leading technology provider to the global travel industry, delivering software solutions and services that facilitate travel planning, booking, and management. The company operates primarily in two segments: Travel Solutions and Hospitality Solutions. Sabre's core offerings include a global distribution system (GDS) that connects travel agents and suppliers, booking and reservation systems for airlines, hotels, and travel agencies, as well as data-driven insights and analytics to optimize travel operations.
How the Company Makes MoneySabre generates revenue primarily through transaction-based fees and subscription services. Its Travel Solutions segment earns money by charging airlines, hotels, and travel agencies for bookings made through its GDS platform, where it collects fees for each transaction processed. Additionally, Sabre offers software solutions on a subscription basis, providing tools for revenue management, customer engagement, and operational efficiency. The Hospitality Solutions segment contributes to revenue by supplying property management systems and solutions to hotels, which also operate on a subscription or transaction fee model. Strategic partnerships with major airlines and hotel chains enhance its offerings and revenue potential, while the growing demand for digital transformation in travel and hospitality sectors further drives its earnings.

Sabre Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -35.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook for Sabre. While there were significant achievements in debt reduction, AI-powered solutions, and digital payments growth, these were overshadowed by declines in air distribution bookings, challenges in corporate and military travel, and delays in strategic initiatives. This balance of positive and negative elements suggests a cautious outlook for the remainder of 2025.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Reduction and Balance Sheet Strengthening
Sabre has reduced total debt by more than $1 billion, approximately 20%, using cash from the balance sheet and proceeds from the sale of Hospitality Solutions, aiming to reduce year-end 2025 net leverage by approximately 50% versus year-end 2023.
Growth in AI-Powered Solutions
Sabre's AI-powered offer management suite of IQ products continues to gain traction, with 9 airlines utilizing SabreMosaic Offer Management products, including Avelo Airlines, the first low-cost carrier to adopt Ancillary IQ.
Digital Payments Expansion
Sabre's digital payments business saw Q2 gross spend of $5 billion, marking a 44% increase year-on-year.
Hotel Distribution Bookings Growth
Hotel distribution bookings grew by 2% in the quarter, with the attachment rate to air bookings improving by 100 basis points to 34%.
Negative Updates
Air Distribution Bookings Decline
Air distribution bookings declined by 1% year-on-year, which was below expectations for low single-digit growth, attributed to a 9-point decline in the base business.
Challenges in Corporate and Military Travel
The GDS industry was impacted by a decline in corporate bookings relative to leisure and a pullback in government and military travel, which negatively affected Sabre due to its higher exposure to these factors.
Delay in Multi-Source Low-Cost Carrier Solution
Sabre announced a 6-month delay in the launch of its new multi-source low-cost carrier solution, now expected in early 2026, impacting expected growth in air distribution bookings.
Revenue and Earnings Shortfall
Second quarter revenue was $687 million, down 1% year-on-year, with normalized adjusted EBITDA of $127 million, falling short of expectations due to lower gross margins and air distribution bookings.
Company Guidance
During the Sabre Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance for the remainder of the year, highlighting several key metrics. Sabre reported that its normalized adjusted EBITDA grew 4% year-on-year, and they have significantly improved their debt maturity profile by extending nearly 60% of their debt to 2029 and beyond, reducing total debt by more than $1 billion or nearly 20% in 2025. Despite a challenging operating environment, Sabre's air distribution bookings declined by 1% year-on-year, underperforming expectations of low single-digit growth. However, growth strategies added 8 points to air distribution bookings, offset by a 9-point decline from their base business. The company anticipates air distribution bookings growth of 4% to 10% in the second half of 2025, with third and fourth-quarter bookings expected to grow by 2% to 6% and 6% to 14%, respectively. Sabre also reported Q2 2025 revenue of $687 million, down 1% year-on-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $127 million, with a pro forma free cash flow of negative $2 million. Looking ahead, Sabre expects full-year revenue to grow flat to low single digits, with pro forma adjusted EBITDA ranging from approximately $530 million to $570 million, depending on air distribution bookings growth.

Sabre Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sabre's financial performance is under pressure, with positive revenue growth but ongoing profitability challenges. The balance sheet reflects significant financial stress with negative stockholders' equity and high debt. Cash flow remains weak with negative free cash flow, indicating liquidity issues.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Sabre's income statement reflects a mixed financial performance. The company has shown an increase in total revenue over the years, with a TTM revenue of $3.02 billion, up from $2.53 billion in 2022. The gross profit margin improved, but the net income remains negative, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The EBITDA margin has shown signs of recovery but remains below desirable levels. Overall, revenue growth is promising, but profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet of Sabre highlights significant financial stress, with a negative stockholders' equity of -$1.35 billion as of TTM, reflecting high leverage and financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable, but the high total debt of over $5.11 billion signifies heavy reliance on borrowed funds. The equity ratio is negative, further stressing the financial risk and lack of asset coverage. Overall, the balance sheet indicates substantial financial risk.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Sabre's cash flow statement shows a challenging situation with negative free cash flow of -$16.28 million in TTM. The operating cash flow has improved but remains low relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash flow is insufficient to cover net losses, pointing to liquidity challenges. While there are slight improvements in operating cash flow, overall cash flow health remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.02B3.03B2.91B2.54B1.69B1.33B
Gross Profit1.32B1.77B1.72B400.10M-55.41M-401.63M
EBITDA410.70M365.76M109.69M57.51M-431.19M-730.31M
Net Income-171.94M-278.76M-527.61M-432.10M-923.77M-1.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.68B4.63B4.67B4.96B5.29B6.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments651.14M725.03M700.18M794.89M978.35M1.50B
Total Debt5.12B5.12B4.89B4.74B4.75B4.67B
Total Liabilities6.22B6.23B6.03B5.84B5.79B5.72B
Stockholders Equity-1.57B-1.62B-1.39B-884.33M-508.91M355.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.28M-13.55M-31.61M-349.21M-472.45M-838.60M
Operating Cash Flow58.08M70.59M55.81M-279.72M-418.15M-773.18M
Investing Cash Flow-10.19M-29.61M-109.98M173.98M-29.43M-1.29M
Financing Cash Flow-25.13M39.57M-94.22M-75.37M-50.56M1.84B

Sabre Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.95
Price Trends
50DMA
2.92
Negative
100DMA
2.75
Negative
200DMA
3.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
23.31
Positive
STOCH
11.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SABR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.84, below the 50-day MA of 2.92, and below the 200-day MA of 3.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.31 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SABR.

Sabre Risk Analysis

Sabre disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sabre reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sabre Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$23.83B23.57129.04%0.39%5.69%47.33%
74
Outperform
$2.09B37.798.76%3.03%187.03%
67
Neutral
$39.56B17.3912.49%0.47%16.23%56.05%
65
Neutral
$9.00B107.2522.38%18.13%-55.21%
61
Neutral
$36.31B7.01-9.37%2.01%7.73%-9.28%
54
Neutral
$70.27M-1.95%83.54%66.56%
47
Neutral
$729.85M20.22%-1.16%25.63%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SABR
Sabre
1.95
-1.00
-33.90%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
59.34
17.38
41.42%
EXPE
Expedia
203.19
73.19
56.30%
MMYT
Makemytrip
95.68
0.65
0.68%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
17.98
4.15
30.01%
YTRA
Yatra Online
1.13
-0.25
-18.12%

Sabre Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sabre Sells Hospitality Solutions to TPG for $1.1B
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 3, 2025, Sabre Corporation completed the sale of its Hospitality Solutions business to TPG for $1.1 billion, with net proceeds of $960 million after taxes and fees. This transaction is part of Sabre’s strategic transformation to optimize its portfolio, reduce debt, and focus on sustainable growth. The sale also resulted in a one-time cash bonus for Scott Wilson, Executive Vice President, whose employment with Sabre terminated following the transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SABR) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sabre stock, see the SABR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sabre Issues $1.325 Billion in Senior Secured Notes
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Sabre GLBL Inc., a subsidiary of Sabre Corporation, issued $1.325 billion in senior secured notes due 2030, with an interest rate of 11.125% per year. The proceeds were used to prepay existing loans and repurchase $325 million of existing senior secured notes. The issuance is part of a strategic financial restructuring, impacting the company’s debt profile and potentially affecting stakeholders through changes in credit facilities and covenants.

The most recent analyst rating on (SABR) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sabre stock, see the SABR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sabre Increases Senior Secured Notes Offering
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Sabre Corporation announced that its subsidiary, Sabre GLBL Inc., has increased and priced a $1,325,000,000 offering of senior secured notes due 2030, up from the previously announced $975,000,000. The proceeds from this offering will be used to prepay existing borrowings and other indebtedness, with the offering expected to close on June 4, 2025. This strategic financial move is intended to optimize Sabre’s debt structure, potentially impacting its financial stability and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SABR) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sabre stock, see the SABR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Sabre Announces $975 Million Notes Offering
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On April 27, 2025, Sabre Corporation announced a definitive agreement to sell its Hospitality Solutions business to Whitney Merger Sub, Inc. for approximately $1.1 billion. The transaction is expected to close by the end of the third quarter of 2025, with proceeds intended to repay part of Sabre’s outstanding debt. Additionally, on May 19, 2025, Sabre GLBL, a subsidiary of Sabre Corporation, announced an offering of $975 million in senior secured notes due 2030. This move is part of Sabre’s strategy to manage its financial obligations and optimize its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (SABR) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sabre stock, see the SABR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025