tiprankstipranks
Sabre Corp (SABR)
NASDAQ:SABR
Want to see SABR full AI Analyst Report?

Sabre (SABR) AI Stock Analysis

1,010 Followers

Top Page

SABR

Sabre

(NASDAQ:SABR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(5.82% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/17/26
The score is primarily held back by balance-sheet risk (negative equity, high debt) and continued cash burn, even as profitability has improved. Offsetting this are favorable technical momentum and a very low P/E, while the latest earnings call was constructive on EBITDA and operations but still points to negative free cash flow and macro/interest-rate pressures.
Positive Factors
Recurring, mission-critical booking & SaaS contracts
Sabre’s core GDS transaction fees plus multi-year airline and hospitality SaaS/hosting contracts create durable, recurring revenue streams. These long-term commercial relationships support predictable topline under varying travel cycles and help sustain margins from stable fee and subscription economics.
Negative Factors
Negative stockholders' equity and high leverage
Negative equity and elevated net debt materially constrain financial flexibility and amplify refinancing and covenant risk. With limited equity cushion, adverse shocks or weaker cash flow could force costly financing actions or asset disposals, making long‑term balance sheet repair a structural priority for stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring, mission-critical booking & SaaS contracts
Sabre’s core GDS transaction fees plus multi-year airline and hospitality SaaS/hosting contracts create durable, recurring revenue streams. These long-term commercial relationships support predictable topline under varying travel cycles and help sustain margins from stable fee and subscription economics.
Read all positive factors

Sabre (SABR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sabre Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sabre Corporation, founded in 2006 and headquartered in Southlake, Texas, is a global provider of advanced software and technology solutions specifically designed for the travel industry. The company structures its operations into two primary divi...
How the Company Makes Money
Sabre primarily makes money by charging technology and transaction-based fees tied to travel bookings and by selling subscription and services-based software to travel providers. A major revenue stream comes from its Travel Solutions business (GDS...

Sabre Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented robust financial and operating momentum: double-digit normalized adjusted EBITDA growth (21%), revenue up 8%, strong bookings growth (air distribution +6%) and accelerating product initiatives (payments, lodging, NDC, agentic AI integrations). Management reaffirmed full-year adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow guidance and emphasized a multi-year balance sheet runway. Offsetting these positives were meaningful short-term headwinds from the Middle East conflict and higher fuel costs (an estimated ~7 percentage point Q1 bookings drag in March), a larger-than-expected negative free cash flow in the quarter driven by higher interest and restructuring costs, and a modest trimming of full-year bookings expectations to low- to mid-single-digit growth. Overall, the operational outperformance and strategic progress outweigh the near-term macro and cash-flow pressures.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $760 million, up 8% year-on-year, exceeding guidance for mid-single-digit growth.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow in Q1
Free cash flow was negative $155 million in Q1 versus negative $81 million in Q1 2025. Incremental drivers included $67 million higher interest payments, $19 million severance related to the inflation offset program, $4 million higher CapEx and working capital timing.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $760 million, up 8% year-on-year, exceeding guidance for mid-single-digit growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Sabre reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance of approximately $585 million of pro forma adjusted EBITDA and roughly negative $70 million of free cash flow (driven almost entirely by restructuring costs; excluding those costs FCF would be near‑breakeven), and now expects full‑year air distribution bookings and revenue to grow in the low‑ to mid‑single‑digit range with positive bookings growth in H2 2026. For Q2 it guided revenue to be flat to nominal year‑over‑year, air distribution bookings near flat, gross margin at the higher end of its 56%–57% range, and pro forma adjusted EBITDA of about $130 million, with adjusted technology and SG&A roughly flat sequentially for the remainder of the year. Management also affirmed similar expected gross income versus its February view, reiterated expected positive Airline Technology revenue growth for 2026, and cited Q1 outperformance (Q1 revenue $760M, +8% YoY; normalized adjusted EBITDA $169M, +21%, beating prior ~$130M guide by $39M) as support for maintaining the EBITDA and FCF outlook.

Sabre Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite improved profitability and strong gross margins, SABR’s fundamentals are constrained by negative stockholders’ equity, high leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow in 2025 and TTM—raising ongoing funding and execution risk.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
19
Very Negative
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.83B2.77B3.03B2.91B2.54B1.69B
Gross Profit1.42B1.56B908.83M681.54M400.10M-55.41M
EBITDA70.91M313.53M358.67M103.03M56.43M-418.38M
Net Income497.40M524.62M-278.76M-527.61M-435.45M-928.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.33B4.50B4.63B4.67B4.96B5.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments665.21M791.55M725.03M700.18M849.19M978.35M
Total Debt4.27B4.45B5.12B4.89B4.81B4.83B
Total Liabilities5.35B5.53B6.23B6.03B5.84B5.79B
Stockholders Equity-1.04B-1.05B-1.62B-1.39B-884.33M-508.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-271.28M-213.41M-13.55M-31.18M-345.95M-472.45M
Operating Cash Flow-185.05M-130.52M70.59M56.24M-276.46M-418.15M
Investing Cash Flow966.86M976.42M-29.61M-110.41M170.72M-29.43M
Financing Cash Flow-790.97M-685.75M39.57M-94.22M-75.37M-50.56M

Sabre Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.89
Price Trends
50DMA
1.76
Positive
100DMA
1.55
Positive
200DMA
1.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
57.82
Neutral
STOCH
72.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SABR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.74, above the 50-day MA of 1.76, and above the 200-day MA of 1.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SABR.

Sabre Risk Analysis

Sabre disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sabre reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sabre Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$28.91B19.72147.58%0.56%10.01%33.63%
66
Neutral
$30.21B6.5121.02%0.39%17.27%94.65%
66
Neutral
$133.11B22.05-95.80%0.71%14.95%17.45%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$743.19M1.49-40.79%-6.42%
56
Neutral
$1.51B80.442.86%2.03%-64.68%
55
Neutral
$4.43B87.59-38.21%6.71%-41.74%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SABR
Sabre
1.88
-0.75
-28.52%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
45.10
-10.75
-19.25%
EXPE
Expedia
240.90
77.31
47.26%
MMYT
Makemytrip
46.72
-44.93
-49.02%
BKNG
Booking Holdings
171.78
-38.60
-18.35%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
12.97
>-0.01
-0.04%

Sabre Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Sabre Announces Transition in Principal Accounting Leadership
Neutral
May 20, 2026
On May 20, 2026, Sabre Corporation appointed Scott Hortenstine, currently Vice President of Global Accounting, to become its principal accounting officer and serve as Vice President and Controller effective July 1, 2026. Senior Vice President and ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sabre Issues New Exchangeable Notes to Refinance Debt
Neutral
May 19, 2026
On May 18, 2026, Sabre GLBL Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Sabre Corporation, issued $150 million of 7.00% exchangeable senior notes due 2031, which are senior unsecured obligations guaranteed by Sabre and Sabre Holdings. The notes carry semi-...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Sabre Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Compensation Plans
Positive
May 1, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting held after a March 2, 2026 record date, Sabre shareholders elected ten directors, including CEO Kurt Ekert and nine other nominees, to one-year terms on the company’s board. Stockholders also ratified the appointme...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2026