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Sabre (SABR)
NASDAQ:SABR
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Sabre (SABR) AI Stock Analysis

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SABR

Sabre

(NASDAQ:SABR)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(6.38% Upside)
Sabre's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by persistent losses and high leverage. While the earnings call provided some positive outlooks with growth in bookings and innovation, these are offset by valuation challenges and mixed technical signals.
Positive Factors
Innovation and AI Developments
The launch of innovative AI solutions positions Sabre to enhance its product offerings, potentially driving sustainable growth and competitive advantage in the travel tech industry.
Significant Progress in Deleveraging
Reducing leverage improves financial stability and flexibility, allowing Sabre to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations more effectively.
Payments Business Growth
Strong growth in the payments business diversifies revenue streams and enhances Sabre's market position, contributing to long-term financial health and resilience.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting Sabre's ability to invest in innovation and respond to market changes, impacting long-term growth prospects.
Negative Cash Flow
Consistent negative cash flow suggests operational inefficiencies and cash burn, which could hinder Sabre's ability to fund future growth and innovation initiatives.
Continued Gross Margin Pressure
Ongoing margin pressure indicates challenges in maintaining profitability, which may affect Sabre's ability to invest in strategic initiatives and sustain competitive positioning.

Sabre (SABR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sabre Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSabre Corporation (SABR) is a leading technology provider to the global travel industry, delivering software solutions and services that facilitate travel planning, booking, and management. The company operates primarily in two segments: Travel Solutions and Hospitality Solutions. Sabre's core offerings include a global distribution system (GDS) that connects travel agents and suppliers, booking and reservation systems for airlines, hotels, and travel agencies, as well as data-driven insights and analytics to optimize travel operations.
How the Company Makes MoneySabre generates revenue primarily through transaction-based fees and subscription services. Its Travel Solutions segment earns money by charging airlines, hotels, and travel agencies for bookings made through its GDS platform, where it collects fees for each transaction processed. Additionally, Sabre offers software solutions on a subscription basis, providing tools for revenue management, customer engagement, and operational efficiency. The Hospitality Solutions segment contributes to revenue by supplying property management systems and solutions to hotels, which also operate on a subscription or transaction fee model. Strategic partnerships with major airlines and hotel chains enhance its offerings and revenue potential, while the growing demand for digital transformation in travel and hospitality sectors further drives its earnings.

Sabre Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Sabre's earnings call highlighted strong distribution bookings growth, significant progress in deleveraging, and robust innovation and payments business growth. However, challenges such as the impact of the government shutdown, lower-than-expected free cash flow, and continued gross margin pressure balanced the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Distribution Bookings Growth
Total distribution bookings grew 3% year-on-year, with air distribution bookings increasing by more than 2%. September finished strong, up 7% year-on-year, driven primarily by newly converted business from growth strategies.
Significant Progress in Deleveraging
Sabre has made significant progress in deleveraging, anticipating a 50% reduction in net leverage by year-end 2025 compared to year-end 2023.
Innovation and AI Developments
Sabre announced two industry firsts: agentic APIs for travel and Continuous Revenue Optimizer within the SabreMosaic platform. The payments business is also growing at a healthy rate, with 41 live NDC integrations.
Payments Business Growth
The payments business is processing over $20 billion in annual transactions, with quarterly gross spend growing over 40% year-on-year.
Positive EBITDA Growth
Normalized adjusted EBITDA grew 23% year-on-year, with margin improving over 300 basis points to 21%.
Negative Updates
Government Shutdown Impact
The government shutdown impacted October air distribution bookings by approximately 3 percentage points, expected to continue through the fourth quarter.
Pro Forma Free Cash Flow Below Expectations
Third quarter pro forma free cash flow was $13 million, below expectations due to lower receipts and higher disbursements.
Continued Gross Margin Pressure
Normalized gross margin decreased 130 basis points due to lower-than-expected revenue from certain higher-margin product sales and FX impacts.
IT Solutions Revenue Flat
IT Solutions revenue of $140 million was flat year-on-year, with growth from passengers boarded offset by a decrease in license fee revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Sabre Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several financial metrics and strategic initiatives. They reported a 3% year-on-year increase in total distribution bookings, with air distribution bookings rising over 2%, driven by a strong performance in September. Sabre anticipates reducing its net leverage by approximately 50% by year-end 2025 compared to year-end 2023. The company highlighted the launch of innovative AI solutions, including Agentic APIs and Continuous Revenue Optimizer, to drive sustainable growth. Despite challenges, Sabre expects fourth-quarter year-on-year air distribution bookings growth between 6% and 8%, estimating a full-year pro forma adjusted EBITDA of approximately $530 million, reflecting a 9% year-on-year growth. They also project a pro forma free cash flow of roughly $70 million for the full year, ending with $800 million in cash. These expectations account for impacts from a U.S. government shutdown, which affected bookings by approximately 3 percentage points in October.

Sabre Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sabre faces significant financial challenges, including persistent losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. Despite slight improvements in operational margins, the company needs to enhance revenue growth, reduce debt, and improve cash flow to stabilize financially.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sabre's income statement shows a challenging financial position with negative net profit margins consistently over the years, indicating ongoing losses. The TTM data reveals a slight improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins, but revenue growth is negative, reflecting a decline in sales. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and reversing the negative growth trend.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet highlights significant financial risk, with a negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating heavy reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is positive but misleading due to negative equity. The company must address its leverage issues to stabilize its financial health.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow in the TTM period, with free cash flow also negative, indicating cash burn. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in cash usage relative to net losses. However, the overall cash flow position remains weak, necessitating improvements in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.89B3.03B2.91B2.54B1.69B1.33B
Gross Profit1.08B908.83M681.54M400.10M-55.41M-401.63M
EBITDA321.79M358.67M103.03M56.43M-418.38M-715.41M
Net Income-247.56M-278.76M-527.61M-435.45M-928.47M-1.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.37B4.63B4.67B4.96B5.29B6.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments682.75M725.03M700.18M849.19M978.35M1.50B
Total Debt4.22B5.12B4.89B4.81B4.83B4.84B
Total Liabilities5.31B6.23B6.03B5.84B5.79B5.79B
Stockholders Equity-966.51M-1.62B-1.39B-884.33M-508.91M278.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.42M-13.55M-31.61M-349.21M-472.45M-838.60M
Operating Cash Flow-188.03M70.59M55.81M-279.72M-418.15M-773.18M
Investing Cash Flow-68.24M-29.61M-109.98M173.98M-29.43M-1.29M
Financing Cash Flow-810.88M39.57M-94.22M-75.37M-50.56M1.84B

Sabre Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.88
Price Trends
50DMA
1.87
Positive
100DMA
2.27
Negative
200DMA
2.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
45.77
Neutral
STOCH
24.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SABR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.95, above the 50-day MA of 1.87, and below the 200-day MA of 2.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SABR.

Sabre Risk Analysis

Sabre disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sabre reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sabre Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$31.95B24.71104.40%0.46%7.29%36.51%
73
Outperform
$46.34B19.4412.94%0.40%17.73%27.95%
65
Neutral
$7.43B117.3516.66%14.55%-68.46%
63
Neutral
$1.80B24.339.57%4.24%159.81%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$92.03M-284.62-0.52%110.35%91.38%
47
Neutral
$742.38M1.55-3.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SABR
Sabre
1.88
-1.79
-48.77%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
73.61
7.23
10.89%
EXPE
Expedia
268.04
84.89
46.35%
MMYT
Makemytrip
76.66
-30.26
-28.30%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
15.33
0.53
3.58%
YTRA
Yatra Online
1.57
0.21
15.44%

Sabre Corporate Events

Sabre Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

Sabre Corporation is a leading technology company in the travel industry, providing innovative solutions for airlines, hoteliers, and travel agencies worldwide. Headquartered in Southlake, Texas, Sabre operates in over 160 countries, leveraging technology to enhance travel retailing and distribution.

Sabre Corp’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Sabre Corp’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, with strong growth in distribution bookings and significant progress in deleveraging efforts. The company also showcased robust innovation in its payments business. However, these positives were tempered by challenges such as the impact of a government shutdown, lower-than-expected free cash flow, and ongoing gross margin pressure.

Sabre Corp’s Mixed Earnings Call: Debt Down, Challenges Ahead
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Sabre Corp presented a mixed outlook, reflecting both achievements and challenges faced by the company. While there were notable successes in debt reduction and advancements in AI-powered solutions, these were counterbalanced by declines in air distribution bookings and setbacks in corporate and military travel sectors. This combination of positive and negative factors suggests a cautious outlook for the remainder of 2025.

Sabre Corp Reports Q2 2025 Earnings and Strategic Moves
Aug 8, 2025

Sabre Corporation is a leading technology company in the travel industry, providing innovative solutions for airlines, hoteliers, and travel agencies worldwide. Headquartered in Southlake, Texas, Sabre serves customers in over 160 countries.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025