Sabre Corp (SABR)
NASDAQ:SABR
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Sabre
(NASDAQ:SABR)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-20.63% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial quality (negative equity, high leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow) despite improved earnings. Earnings-call commentary is constructive with reaffirmed 2026 EBITDA/FCF guidance and Q1 outperformance, but near-term bookings headwinds and cash-flow pressure remain. Technically, the stock shows neutral-to-weak momentum, while valuation is only moderately supportive.
Positive Factors
Marketplace booking growth
Consistent bookings growth in the core GDS marketplace demonstrates durable demand and network effects that support transaction fee revenue. Outpacing industry trends indicates market positioning and content breadth that can sustain distribution economics and long‑term revenue resilience.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity
Negative equity reflects an overlevered capital structure that constrains financial flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk. Structural leverage increases vulnerability to macro shocks and limits capacity for strategic investments or M&A without significant deleveraging or external financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Marketplace booking growth
Consistent bookings growth in the core GDS marketplace demonstrates durable demand and network effects that support transaction fee revenue. Outpacing industry trends indicates market positioning and content breadth that can sustain distribution economics and long‑term revenue resilience.
Read all positive factors
Sabre (SABR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$628.55M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)5.59M
Price to Earnings (P/E)17.6
Beta (1Y)2.08
Revenue Growth-6.42%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees6,253
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryTravel Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.25
Shares Outstanding395,313,260
10 Day Avg. Volume8,882,344
30 Day Avg. Volume5,592,270
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)-0.51
Price to Sales (P/S)0.19
P/FCF Ratio-2.50
Enterprise Value/Market Cap6.70
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.49
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.97
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.48
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$2.01Price Target Upside6.48% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.07
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.88B
Sabre Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Sabre Corporation, through its subsidiary, Sabre Holdings Corporation, provides software and technology solutions for the travel industry worldwide. It operates in two segments, Travel Solutions and Hospitality Solutions. The Travel Solutions segm...
How the Company Makes Money
Sabre primarily makes money through (1) travel distribution fees and (2) technology solutions sold to travel suppliers.
1) Travel marketplace / distribution (GDS) revenue: Sabre operates a global distribution system that enables travel agencies a...
Sabre Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented robust financial and operating momentum: double-digit normalized adjusted EBITDA growth (21%), revenue up 8%, strong bookings growth (air distribution +6%) and accelerating product initiatives (payments, lodging, NDC, agentic AI integrations). Management reaffirmed full-year adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow guidance and emphasized a multi-year balance sheet runway. Offsetting these positives were meaningful short-term headwinds from the Middle East conflict and higher fuel costs (an estimated ~7 percentage point Q1 bookings drag in March), a larger-than-expected negative free cash flow in the quarter driven by higher interest and restructuring costs, and a modest trimming of full-year bookings expectations to low- to mid-single-digit growth. Overall, the operational outperformance and strategic progress outweigh the near-term macro and cash-flow pressures.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $760 million, up 8% year-on-year, exceeding guidance for mid-single-digit growth.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow in Q1
Free cash flow was negative $155 million in Q1 versus negative $81 million in Q1 2025. Incremental drivers included $67 million higher interest payments, $19 million severance related to the inflation offset program, $4 million higher CapEx and working capital timing.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $760 million, up 8% year-on-year, exceeding guidance for mid-single-digit growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Sabre reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance of approximately $585 million of pro forma adjusted EBITDA and roughly negative $70 million of free cash flow (driven almost entirely by restructuring costs; excluding those costs FCF would be near‑breakeven), and now expects full‑year air distribution bookings and revenue to grow in the low‑ to mid‑single‑digit range with positive bookings growth in H2 2026. For Q2 it guided revenue to be flat to nominal year‑over‑year, air distribution bookings near flat, gross margin at the higher end of its 56%–57% range, and pro forma adjusted EBITDA of about $130 million, with adjusted technology and SG&A roughly flat sequentially for the remainder of the year. Management also affirmed similar expected gross income versus its February view, reiterated expected positive Airline Technology revenue growth for 2026, and cited Q1 outperformance (Q1 revenue $760M, +8% YoY; normalized adjusted EBITDA $169M, +21%, beating prior ~$130M guide by $39M) as support for maintaining the EBITDA and FCF outlook.Sabre Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
19
Very Negative
Cash Flow
24
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.83B | 2.77B | 3.03B | 2.91B | 2.54B | 1.69B |
| Gross Profit | 1.42B | 1.56B | 908.83M | 681.54M | 400.10M | -55.41M |
| EBITDA | 402.23M | 456.80M | 358.67M | 103.03M | 56.43M | -418.38M |
| Net Income | 497.40M | 524.62M | -278.76M | -527.61M | -435.45M | -928.47M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.33B | 4.50B | 4.63B | 4.67B | 4.96B | 5.29B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 665.21M | 791.55M | 725.03M | 700.18M | 849.19M | 978.35M |
| Total Debt | 4.27B | 4.45B | 5.12B | 4.89B | 4.81B | 4.83B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.35B | 5.53B | 6.23B | 6.03B | 5.84B | 5.79B |
| Stockholders Equity | -1.04B | -1.05B | -1.62B | -1.39B | -884.33M | -508.91M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -271.28M | -213.41M | -13.55M | -31.18M | -345.95M | -472.45M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -185.05M | -130.52M | 70.59M | 56.24M | -276.46M | -418.15M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 966.86M | 976.42M | -29.61M | -110.41M | 170.72M | -29.43M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -790.97M | -685.75M | 39.57M | -94.22M | -75.37M | -50.56M |
Sabre Technical Analysis
Negative
1.89
Price Trends
1.66
Negative
1.47
Positive
1.64
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.01
Positive
40.09
Neutral
6.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SABR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.80, above the 50-day MA of 1.66, and above the 200-day MA of 1.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SABR.
Sabre Risk Analysis
Sabre disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sabre reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Sabre Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $32.33B | 19.53 | 20.98% | 0.39% | 17.27% | 94.65% | |
67 Neutral | $26.34B | 113.42 | 154.33% | 0.56% | 10.01% | 33.63% | |
62 Neutral | $120.16B | 30.71 | -95.80% | 0.71% | 14.95% | 17.45% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
55 Neutral | $4.26B | 276.78 | 31.18% | ― | 6.71% | -41.74% | |
52 Neutral | $1.11B | -9.49 | 2.86% | ― | 2.03% | -64.68% | |
49 Neutral | $628.55M | 17.65 | -40.79% | ― | -6.42% | ― |
* Technology Sector Average
SABR
Sabre
1.55
-1.13
-42.16%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
48.95
-14.43
-22.77%
EXPE
Expedia
215.00
53.79
33.37%
MMYT
Makemytrip
41.46
-62.29
-60.04%
BKNG
Booking Holdings
154.54
-56.27
-26.69%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
9.30
-5.31
-36.34%
Sabre Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Sabre Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Compensation Plans
Positive
May 1, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting held after a March 2, 2026 record date, Sabre shareholders elected ten directors, including CEO Kurt Ekert and nine other nominees, to one-year terms on the company’s board. Stockholders also ratified the appointme...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Sabre Forms Strategic Governance Partnership With Constellation Software
Positive
Mar 5, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Sabre Corporation entered into a strategic governance agreement with Constellation Software and its affiliate, under which Sabre will add Constellation executive Damian McKay to its board as an independent director representing C...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sabre Completes Redemption of 2027 Senior Secured Notes
Positive
Mar 4, 2026
On December 23, 2025, Sabre GLBL Inc. notified Computershare Trust Company, N.A., acting as trustee and collateral agent, of its intention to redeem all $91.6 million of its 8.625% Senior Secured Notes due 2027 on March 1, 2026. The planned redemp...
Business Operations and Strategy
Sabre Adopts One-Year Shareholder Rights Plan Amid Stake Build
Negative
Mar 2, 2026
On March 1, 2026, Sabre’s board adopted a one‑year, limited‑duration shareholder rights plan and declared a dividend of one preferred share purchase right for each common share outstanding as of March 11, 2026. The plan, which ex...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.