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Sabre (SABR)
NASDAQ:SABR

Sabre (SABR) AI Stock Analysis

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SABR

Sabre

(NASDAQ:SABR)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-19.35% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative equity/high leverage, and cash burn) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include a more positive earnings call with improving operational trends and deleveraging plans, plus a recent debt-maturity extension; valuation appears optically low but is tempered by the lack of dividend support.
Positive Factors
Deleveraging Progress
Significant deleveraging efforts will enhance financial stability and reduce interest expenses, improving long-term financial health.
Innovation and AI Developments
New AI solutions can drive sustainable growth by enhancing service offerings, increasing efficiency, and attracting more clients.
Debt Maturity Extension
Extending debt maturities reduces near-term refinancing risk, providing more time to improve financial performance and stability.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Ongoing negative revenue growth indicates challenges in market demand and competitive pressures, requiring strategic adjustments.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain cash flows and limit financial flexibility, posing risks to long-term operational and financial stability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow challenges highlight inefficiencies in cash management, impacting the ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Sabre (SABR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sabre Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSabre Corporation, through its subsidiary, Sabre Holdings Corporation, provides software and technology solutions for the travel industry worldwide. It operates in two segments, Travel Solutions and Hospitality Solutions. The Travel Solutions segment operates as a business-to-business travel marketplace that offers travel content, such as inventory, prices, and availability from a range of travel suppliers, including airlines, hotels, car rental brands, rail carriers, cruise lines, and tour operators with a network of travel buyers comprising online and offline travel agencies, travel management companies, and corporate travel departments. This segment also provides a portfolio of software technology products and solutions through software-as-a-service (SaaS) and hosted delivery models to airlines and other travel suppliers. Its products include reservation systems for carriers, commercial and operations products, agency solutions, and data-driven intelligence solutions. The Hospitality Solutions segment provides software and solutions to hoteliers through SaaS and hosted delivery models. Sabre Corporation was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Southlake, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneySabre generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source is transaction-based fees from its Global Distribution System (GDS), where it earns commissions from airlines and travel agencies for booking services. In addition, Sabre provides software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions, charging subscription fees for its technology platforms in both the travel and hospitality sectors. The company also earns revenue from data analytics and consulting services. Strategic partnerships with airlines, travel agencies, and hotel chains enhance its offerings and extend its market reach, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Sabre Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Sabre's earnings call highlighted strong distribution bookings growth, significant progress in deleveraging, and robust innovation and payments business growth. However, challenges such as the impact of the government shutdown, lower-than-expected free cash flow, and continued gross margin pressure balanced the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Distribution Bookings Growth
Total distribution bookings grew 3% year-on-year, with air distribution bookings increasing by more than 2%. September finished strong, up 7% year-on-year, driven primarily by newly converted business from growth strategies.
Significant Progress in Deleveraging
Sabre has made significant progress in deleveraging, anticipating a 50% reduction in net leverage by year-end 2025 compared to year-end 2023.
Innovation and AI Developments
Sabre announced two industry firsts: agentic APIs for travel and Continuous Revenue Optimizer within the SabreMosaic platform. The payments business is also growing at a healthy rate, with 41 live NDC integrations.
Payments Business Growth
The payments business is processing over $20 billion in annual transactions, with quarterly gross spend growing over 40% year-on-year.
Positive EBITDA Growth
Normalized adjusted EBITDA grew 23% year-on-year, with margin improving over 300 basis points to 21%.
Negative Updates
Government Shutdown Impact
The government shutdown impacted October air distribution bookings by approximately 3 percentage points, expected to continue through the fourth quarter.
Pro Forma Free Cash Flow Below Expectations
Third quarter pro forma free cash flow was $13 million, below expectations due to lower receipts and higher disbursements.
Continued Gross Margin Pressure
Normalized gross margin decreased 130 basis points due to lower-than-expected revenue from certain higher-margin product sales and FX impacts.
IT Solutions Revenue Flat
IT Solutions revenue of $140 million was flat year-on-year, with growth from passengers boarded offset by a decrease in license fee revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Sabre Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several financial metrics and strategic initiatives. They reported a 3% year-on-year increase in total distribution bookings, with air distribution bookings rising over 2%, driven by a strong performance in September. Sabre anticipates reducing its net leverage by approximately 50% by year-end 2025 compared to year-end 2023. The company highlighted the launch of innovative AI solutions, including Agentic APIs and Continuous Revenue Optimizer, to drive sustainable growth. Despite challenges, Sabre expects fourth-quarter year-on-year air distribution bookings growth between 6% and 8%, estimating a full-year pro forma adjusted EBITDA of approximately $530 million, reflecting a 9% year-on-year growth. They also project a pro forma free cash flow of roughly $70 million for the full year, ending with $800 million in cash. These expectations account for impacts from a U.S. government shutdown, which affected bookings by approximately 3 percentage points in October.

Sabre Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sabre faces significant financial challenges, including persistent losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. Despite slight improvements in operational margins, the company needs to enhance revenue growth, reduce debt, and improve cash flow to stabilize financially.
Income Statement
Sabre's income statement shows a challenging financial position with negative net profit margins consistently over the years, indicating ongoing losses. The TTM data reveals a slight improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins, but revenue growth is negative, reflecting a decline in sales. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and reversing the negative growth trend.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet highlights significant financial risk, with a negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating heavy reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is positive but misleading due to negative equity. The company must address its leverage issues to stabilize its financial health.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow in the TTM period, with free cash flow also negative, indicating cash burn. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in cash usage relative to net losses. However, the overall cash flow position remains weak, necessitating improvements in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.89B3.03B2.91B2.54B1.69B1.33B
Gross Profit1.08B908.83M681.54M400.10M-55.41M-401.63M
EBITDA328.95M358.67M103.03M56.43M-418.38M-715.41M
Net Income-247.56M-278.76M-527.61M-435.45M-928.47M-1.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.37B4.63B4.67B4.96B5.29B6.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments682.75M725.03M700.18M849.19M978.35M1.50B
Total Debt4.22B5.12B4.89B4.81B4.83B4.84B
Total Liabilities5.31B6.23B6.03B5.84B5.79B5.79B
Stockholders Equity-966.51M-1.62B-1.39B-884.33M-508.91M278.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-260.06M-13.55M-31.18M-345.95M-472.45M-838.60M
Operating Cash Flow-184.55M70.59M56.24M-276.46M-418.15M-773.18M
Investing Cash Flow-1.14B-29.61M-110.41M170.72M-29.43M-1.29M
Financing Cash Flow-810.88M39.57M-94.22M-75.37M-50.56M1.84B

Sabre Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.24
Price Trends
50DMA
1.57
Negative
100DMA
1.71
Negative
200DMA
2.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
32.05
Neutral
STOCH
8.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SABR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.40, below the 50-day MA of 1.57, and below the 200-day MA of 2.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SABR.

Sabre Risk Analysis

Sabre disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sabre reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sabre Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$35.72B28.70104.40%0.56%7.29%36.51%
71
Outperform
$51.30B12.1519.96%0.39%17.34%91.51%
67
Neutral
$1.73B23.429.57%4.24%159.81%
63
Neutral
$173.79B34.540.71%12.96%3.66%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$7.48B119.1616.66%14.55%-68.46%
47
Neutral
$529.15M1.02-3.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SABR
Sabre
1.24
-2.12
-63.10%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
75.68
10.95
16.92%
EXPE
Expedia
299.97
114.94
62.12%
MMYT
Makemytrip
79.24
-25.86
-24.61%
BKNG
Booking Holdings
5,314.71
520.69
10.86%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
14.84
-0.42
-2.75%

Sabre Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sabre Extends Debt Maturities With Note Exchange Offer
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Sabre announced the expiration and final results of its previously launched exchange offers by subsidiary Sabre GLBL Inc., which swapped portions of its 8.625% and 11.250% Senior Secured Notes due 2027 and up to $379 million of its 10.750% Senior Secured Notes due 2029 into new 10.750% Senior Secured Notes due 2030, with a total of about $961 million in existing notes tendered and approximately $663 million accepted for exchange. In connection with the final settlement on December 23, 2025, Sabre GLBL issued an additional $1.43 million of the new 2030 notes and moved to redeem all remaining 8.625% and 11.250% Senior Secured Notes due 2027—$91.6 million and $1.6 million respectively—with redemptions scheduled for January 22, 2026 and March 1, 2026, steps that collectively extend the company’s debt maturities and simplify its capital structure for creditors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SABR) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sabre stock, see the SABR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sabre Issues $1 Billion in Senior Secured Notes
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Sabre Financial Borrower, LLC, a subsidiary of Sabre Corporation, issued $1 billion in senior secured notes due 2029, with the proceeds lent to Sabre GLBL. The notes are guaranteed by Sabre Financing and certain foreign subsidiaries, and include covenants limiting financial activities. Additionally, Sabre GLBL announced the results of its exchange offers for senior secured notes, with a refinancing plan for its term loans to extend maturity and adjust pricing. These financial maneuvers aim to optimize Sabre’s debt structure and improve its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (SABR) stock is a Buy with a $3.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sabre stock, see the SABR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sabre Announces $1 Billion Senior Secured Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Sabre Corporation announced a $1 billion offering of senior secured notes by its subsidiary, Sabre Financial Borrower, LLC, due in 2029. The proceeds will be used to manage existing debts through various financial strategies. Concurrently, Sabre GLBL Inc. initiated exchange offers to restructure its existing secured notes, aiming to optimize its financial operations. These strategic financial maneuvers are intended to strengthen Sabre’s market position and improve its capital structure, although their success is subject to market conditions and other uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (SABR) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sabre stock, see the SABR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025