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Yatra Online Inc (YTRA)
NASDAQ:YTRA
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Yatra Online (YTRA) AI Stock Analysis

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YTRA

Yatra Online

(NASDAQ:YTRA)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
Yatra Online's stock score reflects strong revenue growth and positive strategic expansions, offset by concerns over profitability, operational efficiency, and bearish technical signals. While the earnings call highlights strengths in high-margin segments, the stock's current valuation and technical indicators suggest caution for investors.
Positive Factors
Client acquisition
The company on-boarded 35 corporate travel clients, expanding the annual billings potential by an additional $16.7M.
Corporate market share
Corporate market share gains and strength in MICE are offsetting softer B2C trends, showing resilience in key business areas.
Negative Factors
B2C market challenges
The challenging B2C market continues to weigh on investor opinion, leading to a lowering of the price target to $3 from $4.
Stock performance
Shares of Yatra Online, Inc. have declined 32.5% versus a more modest 6.3% decline in the Russell 2000, indicating significant underperformance.

Yatra Online (YTRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Yatra Online Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) is a leading online travel agency in India that offers a comprehensive range of travel-related services. The company operates in the travel and hospitality sectors, providing an extensive selection of domestic and international flight bookings, hotel reservations, holiday packages, bus and rail ticketing, and ancillary services such as travel insurance and visa assistance. Yatra caters to both corporate and individual customers through its user-friendly website and mobile applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyYatra Online generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from service fees and commissions on travel bookings. The company earns commissions from airlines, hotels, and other travel service providers for facilitating bookings through its platform. Additionally, Yatra offers value-added services like travel insurance and visa facilitation, which contribute to its income. The business also maintains strategic partnerships with various travel suppliers and corporate clients, enhancing its service offerings and customer reach. Another significant revenue source is its corporate travel management services, where it provides end-to-end travel solutions to businesses, further diversifying its income channels.

Yatra Online Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 29, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and expansion in corporate travel and MICE sectors. The company successfully integrated advanced technology and received notable industry accolades. However, challenges were noted in the B2C Air business and due to geopolitical tensions. The overall sentiment leans towards a positive outlook given the outweighing highlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Annual revenues for FY'25 were INR7.9 billion (approximately USD93.1 million), up 90% year-over-year, with quarterly revenue for Q4 at INR2.2 billion (approximately USD25.7 million), up 114% year-over-year.
Increased Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA for FY'25 increased by 28% and adjusted profit rose by 106.5% year-over-year to INR24 million.
Expansion in Corporate Travel
For fiscal year 2025, Yatra secured 148 new clients contributing to INR7.5 billion in expected annual volumes.
MICE Business Growth
The MICE business handled over 600 trips and served more than 80,000 travelers in FY'25, with significant growth and margin expansion observed.
Integration of Advanced Technology
Yatra became one of the first travel management companies in India to integrate new distribution capabilities, enhancing booking experiences and cost savings for corporate travelers.
Accolades and Recognitions
Yatra received recognition from Singapore Airlines, Air Canada, and Etihad Airways for being top travel partners in India and the Asian region.
Negative Updates
B2C Air Business Decline
Gross bookings in the B2C Air business fell by 6% in Q4, though stabilization was achieved through optimization efforts.
Geopolitical Challenges
Travel demand was impacted by geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, temporarily affecting leisure and corporate travel.
Company Guidance
During the Yatra 4Q'25 and FY'25 earnings call, the company reported impressive financial metrics, showcasing significant growth and strategic progress. For FY'25, Yatra achieved annual revenues of INR7.9 billion (approximately USD93.1 million), marking a 90% year-over-year increase. The adjusted EBITDA rose by 28%, while adjusted profit surged by 106.5% to INR24 million. In the fourth quarter alone, revenues reached INR2.2 billion (about USD25.7 million), up 114% year-over-year, with revenue less service cost at INR1.1 billion (around USD12.8 million), a 34% increase. The quarterly adjusted EBITDA rose by 23% to INR90 million (approximately USD1.1 million). For FY'26, Yatra projects a 20% growth in revenue less service cost and a 30% growth in adjusted EBITDA, driven by expansions in corporate travel and MICE (Meetings, Incentives, Conferences, and Exhibitions). The MICE business alone handled over 600 trips, serving more than 80,000 travelers in FY'25. The company continues to leverage its Globe Travels acquisition for inorganic growth and aims to integrate AI technologies to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.

Yatra Online Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Yatra Online exhibits strong revenue growth and improving equity positions, suggesting a recovering business. However, challenges with profitability and cash flow management indicate a need for improved operational efficiency and better cash conversion strategies to address negative cash flows.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Yatra Online has demonstrated commendable revenue growth with a significant increase from previous periods, particularly evident in the TTM data. Gross profit margins have shown resilience and improvement. However, profitability remains a concern with fluctuating EBIT and net income margins, indicating potential challenges in cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a healthy equity position with a favorable equity ratio, suggesting strong shareholder backing. However, the debt-to-equity ratio, while not overly high, indicates room for improvement in leveraging. The consistent increase in stockholders' equity over recent periods is a positive sign of financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow management appears to be a challenge, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. While there has been some fluctuation in free cash flow growth, the negative trend in operating cash flow compared to net income highlights potential issues in cash generation from core operations.
BreakdownMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.19B3.38B1.81B1.08B6.73B
Gross Profit3.32B1.65B680.50M324.75M2.55B
EBITDA107.55M538.67M38.58M-492.89M-361.60M
Net Income-45.10M76.34M-307.86M-1.19B-698.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.17B6.81B5.48B5.63B8.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.02B1.00B1.24B1.95B2.03B
Total Debt853.93M1.78B628.18M614.91M1.46B
Total Liabilities4.73B5.12B4.47B4.39B232.10M
Stockholders Equity7.47B1.70B1.01B1.23B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.69B-1.68B-934.24M963.25M-443.60M
Operating Cash Flow-1.43B-1.53B-833.86M1.04B-427.00M
Investing Cash Flow-2.34B-166.74M-84.45M-211.09M125.10M
Financing Cash Flow4.66B1.38B200.81M64.58M315.00M

Yatra Online Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.88
Price Trends
50DMA
0.94
Negative
100DMA
0.84
Positive
200DMA
1.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
31.31
Neutral
STOCH
14.43
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YTRA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.93, below the 50-day MA of 0.94, and below the 200-day MA of 1.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.43 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for YTRA.

Yatra Online Risk Analysis

Yatra Online disclosed 102 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Yatra Online reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Compliance with rules and regulations applicable to U.S. reporting companies could cause us to incur additional costs, and any failure by us to comply with such requirements could negatively affect investor confidence in us and cause the market price of our securities to decline. Q1, 2023
2.
We may become subject to Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act withholdings Q1, 2023
3.
Increased focus on our environmental, social and governance responsibilities have and will likely continue to result in additional costs and risks, and may adversely impact our reputation, employee retention and willingness of customers and partners to do business with us. Q1, 2023

Yatra Online Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$41.32B18.1112.49%0.46%16.23%56.05%
72
Outperform
$1.63B102,695.5696.85%9.63%-113.00%
65
Neutral
$8.73B104.1122.38%18.13%-55.21%
64
Neutral
$90.83M11.565.65%3.74%7.19%
61
Neutral
$16.08B9.94-8.64%3.35%1.36%-20.44%
55
Neutral
$54.91M-1.95%54.50%89.80%
45
Neutral
$28.48M-321.56%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
YTRA
Yatra Online
0.88
-0.40
-31.25%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
60.63
20.50
51.08%
MMYT
Makemytrip
91.77
7.85
9.35%
TOUR
Tuniu
0.78
-0.04
-4.88%
DESP
Despegar
19.50
9.52
95.39%
NTRP
NextTrip
3.74
0.75
25.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 24, 2025