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Tuniu (TOUR)
NASDAQ:TOUR

Tuniu (TOUR) AI Stock Analysis

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Tuniu

(NASDAQ:TOUR)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▲(21.95%Upside)
Tuniu's overall stock score of 64 reflects a mixed outlook. The company's financial performance shows a positive trajectory with improved profitability and strong revenue growth. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the earnings call revealed challenges with increased expenses and a net loss. Valuation metrics suggest potential undervaluation, but sustaining growth and profitability remains a concern.

Tuniu (TOUR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tuniu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTuniu Corporation (TOUR) is a leading online leisure travel company in China, providing a comprehensive range of travel-related services and products. The company offers packaged tours, including organized and self-guided tours, as well as various travel-related services such as accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, and corporate travel management. Tuniu leverages its robust online platform and extensive network of partnerships with travel suppliers to deliver tailored travel experiences to its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyTuniu makes money primarily through the sale of packaged tours, which are offered both directly to consumers and through third-party travel agencies. The company earns revenue by charging service fees and commissions on travel products sold through its platform. Tuniu's revenue model also includes income from the sale of stand-alone travel products such as hotel reservations, airline tickets, and car rentals. The company collaborates with a wide range of travel suppliers, including airlines, hotels, and local tour operators, to provide a diverse array of travel options. Additionally, Tuniu generates revenue from corporate travel services by offering customized travel solutions to business clients, thereby broadening its market reach and revenue potential.

Tuniu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -15.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Tuniu experienced significant growth in certain segments such as packaged tours and live streaming channels, the company also faced challenges with decreased other revenues, increased operating expenses, and a net loss. The introduction of AI technology and expansion of offline stores are positive developments, but the financial figures indicate areas of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Packaged Tours Revenue Growth
Revenue from packaged tours grew by 19% year-over-year, driven by growth in organized tours.
Outbound Tour Transaction Volume Increase
Outbound tour transaction volume achieved double-digit year-over-year growth in the first quarter.
Live Streaming Channel Growth
Live streaming channels maintained strong growth with both transactions and verification volume achieving double-digit year-over-year growth.
Introduction of AI Technology
Tuniu launched a self-developed travel AI agent, AI assistant Xiao Niu, enhancing user engagement and operational efficiency.
Expansion of Offline Stores
Tuniu opened nearly 300 offline stores, aiding in localized procurement and strengthening customer engagement.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Other Revenues
Other revenues were down 26% year-over-year, primarily due to a decrease in commission fees from other travel-related products.
Gross Profit Decline
Gross profit for the first quarter was RMB 69.3 million, down 15% year-over-year.
Increase in Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose by 15% year-over-year, including increases in research and development, sales and marketing, and general administrative expenses.
Net Loss Attributable to Shareholders
Net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB 4.7 million in the first quarter.
Company Guidance
During Tuniu's 2025 first quarter earnings conference call, the company reported a 9% year-over-year increase in net revenues, reaching RMB 117.5 million. Revenues from packaged tours grew by 19% year-over-year, accounting for 84% of total net revenues, while other revenues decreased by 26% to RMB 18.5 million. The gross profit was RMB 69.3 million, a 15% decline from the previous year, with operating expenses rising 15% to RMB 80.1 million. The company reported a net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of RMB 4.7 million, but a non-GAAP net income of RMB 0.8 million. Tuniu expects second-quarter net revenues to be between RMB 131 million and RMB 136.8 million, which would represent a 12% to 17% year-over-year increase. As of March 31, 2025, Tuniu held RMB 1.2 billion in cash and equivalents, with capital expenditures of RMB 0.8 million for the quarter.

Tuniu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tuniu demonstrates significant revenue growth and improved profitability, showcased by a positive net income in 2024. The balance sheet is strong with low debt levels, providing a stable financial structure. However, cash flow inconsistency poses potential risks. Continued focus on improving cash flow is essential to support growth and operational flexibility.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Tuniu's revenue has shown significant recovery, growing from $183.62 million in 2022 to $513.62 million in 2024, indicating a strong upward trend. The company has turned around its net income from a loss of $203.29 million in 2022 to a profit of $77.17 million in 2024, improving its net profit margin significantly. However, historical losses in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest past operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004, indicating low leverage. Stockholders' equity has grown steadily, and the equity ratio stands at approximately 56.6%, highlighting a solid financial base. However, high historical liabilities might pose risks if not managed appropriately.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Tuniu's cash flow has been volatile, with zero operating and free cash flow reported in 2024, down from positive figures in 2023. The company's ability to generate consistent operating cash flow remains a concern, impacting its free cash flow to net income ratio. This volatility could challenge future investment and financing activities.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue513.62M441.27M183.62M426.35M450.26M
Gross Profit358.03M293.69M89.55M171.53M213.19M
EBITDA75.55M-65.87M-147.75M-57.77M-1.24B
Net Income77.17M-99.29M-203.29M-129.19M-1.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.91B1.96B1.88B2.30B3.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments897.83M1.16B878.25M964.98M1.57B
Total Debt4.71M218.81M58.40M291.54M135.89M
Total Liabilities900.49M980.65M819.58M1.04B1.82B
Stockholders Equity1.08B1.03B1.11B1.27B1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow84.47M223.05M-149.44M-241.08M-1.34B
Operating Cash Flow96.28M232.84M-142.99M-226.34M-1.31B
Investing Cash Flow26.66M40.93M-51.83M703.83M1.16B
Financing Cash Flow-73.98M-22.58M-486.00K-344.56M-209.55M

Tuniu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.82
Price Trends
50DMA
0.90
Negative
100DMA
0.95
Negative
200DMA
0.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
39.33
Neutral
STOCH
60.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TOUR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.87, below the 50-day MA of 0.90, and below the 200-day MA of 0.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TOUR.

Tuniu Risk Analysis

Tuniu disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tuniu reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tuniu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$11.89B113.388.45%25.02%-56.66%
66
Neutral
$699.71M21.42%15.71%44.28%
64
Neutral
$96.63M12.305.65%3.51%7.19%
62
Neutral
$16.90B11.24-7.48%2.95%1.60%-23.76%
55
Neutral
$62.40M-1.95%54.50%89.80%
45
Neutral
$27.57M-234.40%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TOUR
Tuniu
0.82
-0.15
-15.46%
MMYT
Makemytrip
95.69
9.03
10.42%
LIND
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings
12.79
3.37
35.77%
YTRA
Yatra Online
0.98
-0.22
-18.33%
NTRP
NextTrip
3.55
1.19
50.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025