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Leslie's (LESL)
NASDAQ:LESL

Leslie's (LESL) AI Stock Analysis

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LESL

Leslie's

(NASDAQ:LESL)

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Underperform 38 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-45.65% Downside)
Leslie's overall stock score is low due to significant financial instability, bearish technical indicators, and concerning valuation metrics. The company's financial performance is weak, with negative equity and high debt levels. Technical analysis indicates a strong downtrend, and the valuation reflects market pessimism. While there are strategic initiatives to improve performance, the immediate outlook remains challenging.
Positive Factors
Gross Margin Improvement
Improved gross margins indicate better cost management and pricing strategies, enhancing long-term profitability potential.
Inventory Optimization
Effective inventory management reduces holding costs and improves cash flow, supporting operational efficiency.
Omnichannel Expansion
Enhancing delivery options strengthens market position and customer satisfaction, driving future revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Customer Loss
Losing customers and traffic can weaken market position and reduce revenue potential, impacting long-term growth.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially hindering strategic investments and growth.
Store Closures
Closing stores may reduce market presence and sales, affecting brand strength and customer accessibility.

Leslie's (LESL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Leslie's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLeslie's, Inc. is a leading retailer in the pool and spa supply industry, primarily operating within the United States. The company specializes in providing a comprehensive range of products and services for residential and commercial swimming pools and spas, including chemicals, equipment, accessories, and repair services. Leslie's has established a strong presence with a network of retail locations, e-commerce platforms, and service operations aimed at enhancing the pool ownership experience for its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyLeslie's generates revenue through multiple key streams: retail sales from its extensive network of stores, online sales through its e-commerce platform, and service revenue from pool maintenance and repair services. The company sells a wide range of pool and spa products, including chemicals, cleaning equipment, and accessories, which are essential for pool upkeep. Additionally, Leslie's offers seasonal products that cater to peak demand periods, such as summer. Strategic partnerships with leading manufacturers in the pool industry also enhance its product offerings and ensure competitive pricing. The company's focus on customer service and loyalty programs further drives repeat business, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Leslie's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 02, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call highlighted significant operational improvements such as improved gross margin and successful inventory optimization. However, these were overshadowed by challenges including substantial customer loss, impairment charges, and store closures. The strategic initiatives aim to stabilize and improve business performance, but the immediate outlook reflects significant hurdles.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful CFO Transition
Jeff White joined Leslie's as the new Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, bringing financial and operational retail expertise.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin for the fourth quarter increased to 38.6% from 36% in the prior year, driven by favorable vendor rebates and freight costs.
Inventory Optimization
Inventory was reduced by $26 million year-over-year, exceeding the Q3 commitment of $20 million, while improving in-stock levels by over 400 basis points.
Conversion Rate Improvement
Conversion rates after water tests increased by 500 basis points year-over-year, reinforcing customer trust in technical expertise.
Expansion of Same-Day Delivery
Leslie's accelerated its omnichannel transformation by expanding same-day delivery through its Uber partnership, with plans to scale across the United States.
Negative Updates
Customer Loss
Net loss of over 160,000 residential customers this year and an 8.6% decline in residential traffic in 2025 due to price value challenges.
Impairment Charges
Recorded a $184 million impairment charge related to goodwill and partial charges due to store closures, with further charges expected in Q1 and Q2 2026.
Store Closures
Plan to close 80 to 90 underperforming stores, impacting annual sales by $25 million to $35 million.
Negative Net Income
Net loss of $162.8 million or $17.54 per diluted share in Q4, compared to a net loss of $9.9 million in the prior year.
Pricing Challenges
Price optimization needed on core items due to being out of step with competitors, impacting customer retention.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call for Leslie's, the company outlined several key metrics and strategic actions aimed at transforming its business and returning to profitable growth. The company reported net sales for the fourth quarter at $389.2 million, a 2.2% decrease from the prior year, and a full year net sales of approximately $1.24 billion. The company experienced a net loss of 160,000 residential customers and an 8.6% decline in residential traffic, driven largely by pricing challenges on key value items. To address these issues, Leslie's announced a plan to close 80 to 90 underperforming stores, projected to improve annualized net EBITDA by $4 million to $10 million. Furthermore, the company aims to achieve an adjusted EBITDA of $55 million to $75 million for fiscal 2026, focusing on price optimization, cost structure improvement, and strategic asset utilization. The company's inventory was reduced by $26 million in 2025, with a goal of further rationalizing inventory by another $20 million to $40 million in 2026. Leslie's also emphasized its commitment to enhancing customer engagement through targeted marketing and leveraging its Pool Perks loyalty program, which captures data on over 85% of transactions.

Leslie's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Leslie's financial performance is weak, with declining revenue, negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow challenges. The company faces significant financial instability, as evidenced by negative equity and high debt levels.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Leslie's income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue and profitability. The company experienced a significant revenue drop of 6.92% in the latest year, and net profit margins have turned negative, indicating losses. Gross profit margins have also decreased over the years, reflecting challenges in maintaining cost efficiency. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight operational difficulties. Overall, the income statement reflects a struggling financial performance with declining growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet of Leslie's reveals significant financial instability. The company has a negative stockholders' equity, indicating liabilities exceed assets, which is a major red flag. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative and worsening, suggesting high leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is also negative, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, further emphasizing financial distress. Overall, the balance sheet indicates high leverage and financial vulnerability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Leslie's cash flow statement shows mixed results. Operating cash flow has decreased significantly, and free cash flow is negative, indicating cash outflows exceed inflows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting inefficiencies in converting income to cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, albeit low, suggesting some ability to generate cash from operations. Overall, the cash flow statement highlights liquidity challenges and cash management issues.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.33B1.45B1.56B1.34B
Gross Profit439.65M476.79M548.22M673.74M595.16M
EBITDA-169.85M90.19M136.32M269.13M224.09M
Net Income-236.97M-23.38M27.24M159.03M126.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets741.48M1.05B1.03B1.11B1.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.34M108.50M55.42M112.29M345.06M
Total Debt1.01B1.05B1.04B1.03B1.02B
Total Liabilities1.15B1.23B1.20B1.31B1.26B
Stockholders Equity-407.99M-177.15M-161.36M-197.95M-217.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.67M60.22M-32.11M34.92M140.63M
Operating Cash Flow8.82M107.47M6.47M66.64M169.56M
Investing Cash Flow-25.35M-47.16M-52.54M-138.98M-35.35M
Financing Cash Flow-27.64M-7.22M-10.80M-158.87M53.78M

Leslie's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.76
Price Trends
50DMA
3.11
Negative
100DMA
4.63
Negative
200DMA
8.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
27.00
Positive
STOCH
2.52
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LESL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.54, below the 50-day MA of 3.11, and below the 200-day MA of 8.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.00 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LESL.

Leslie's Risk Analysis

Leslie's disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Leslie's reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Leslie's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.65B22.4520.38%7.36%-6.85%
69
Neutral
$136.31B20.151.94%0.64%0.58%
66
Neutral
$345.78B23.68162.91%2.67%7.50%-0.38%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
$35.46M-301.96-0.38%25.20%-5.07%-115.50%
43
Neutral
$167.23M-97.91-1.37%-3.77%-146.47%
38
Underperform
$15.42M-0.06-6.63%-904.47%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LESL
Leslie's
1.66
-43.74
-96.34%
HD
Home Depot
347.34
-38.19
-9.91%
LOW
Lowe's
243.00
-1.53
-0.63%
TTSH
Tile Shop
3.74
-2.92
-43.84%
NHTC
Natural Health Trends
3.08
-0.50
-13.97%
ARHS
Arhaus
11.69
2.28
24.23%

Leslie's Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Leslie’s Announces Store Closures to Boost Profitability
Negative
Dec 2, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Leslie’s approved a plan to streamline operations by closing 80-90 underperforming U.S. stores, aiming to improve long-term profitability. The closures are expected to be completed by the end of the first fiscal quarter of 2026, with anticipated pre-tax charges of $12.0 million to $17.0 million. The company reported its fiscal 2025 results, noting a decrease in sales and a significant net loss compared to the previous year. Despite these challenges, Leslie’s achieved a gross profit increase in the fourth quarter and exceeded its sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance. The strategic transformation plan focuses on optimizing costs, reducing inventory, and enhancing stakeholder confidence.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Leslie’s Regains Nasdaq Compliance After Bid Price Recovery
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Leslie’s, Inc. has successfully regained compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price requirement, as notified by the Listing Qualifications Department. The company had previously faced potential delisting due to its stock price falling below $1.00 per share for 30 consecutive days, but managed to meet the requirement by maintaining a minimum closing bid price of at least $1.00 per share for ten consecutive business days from September 29, 2025, to October 13, 2025.

Stock Split
Leslie’s Implements 1-for-20 Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Leslie’s, Inc. implemented a reverse stock split at a 1-for-20 ratio, reducing the total number of issued and outstanding shares to approximately 9,289,790 and the authorized shares to 50,000,000. The company’s common stock will trade on a split-adjusted basis on Nasdaq starting September 29, 2025, under the ticker symbol ‘LESL’, with a new CUSIP number. No fractional shares were issued, and adjustments were made to the company’s 2020 Omnibus Incentive Plan to reflect the reverse stock split.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025