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Kubota Corp (KUBTY)
OTHER OTC:KUBTY

Kubota (KUBTY) AI Stock Analysis

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KUBTY

Kubota

(OTC:KUBTY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$93.00
â–²(16.80% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—solid revenue scale and profitability but recent margin compression, rising leverage, and uneven free-cash-flow conversion. Technicals add support due to a strong uptrend and positive momentum, though signals are overextended. Valuation is broadly fair (moderate P/E, low yield) and does not materially lift the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth and scale
Sustained revenue expansion through 2020–2025 with a 2025 re-acceleration signals durable end-market demand and expanding share or activity across segments. Strong top-line scale helps absorb fixed costs, supports dealer network investments, and underpins long-term operational resilience.
Diversified product mix and recurring aftermarket
Multiple revenue engines—agriculture, construction, engines/components and water projects—plus recurring parts and service sales reduce cyclicality and support steadier cash flows. This business mix strengthens competitive position and provides durable revenue visibility across cycles.
Operating cash flow recovery
The recovery in operating cash flow after earlier weakness indicates operational fixes or working-capital improvement. Restored OCF enhances ability to fund capex, service debt and support dealers, improving medium-term financial flexibility despite uneven FCF.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
A meaningful decline in net margin reflects rising costs or weaker pricing, eroding profitability and the cushion to absorb shocks. Persistent margin pressure limits reinvestment capacity and magnifies earnings volatility over the medium term unless pricing or cost structure improves.
Rising leverage
Higher leverage reduces balance-sheet flexibility and increases sensitivity to earnings swings and interest-rate moves. Elevated debt limits capacity for growth investments or opportunistic M&A and raises refinancing risk if operating performance weakens over the next several quarters.
Inconsistent free cash flow conversion
Volatile and often negative FCF despite positive net income indicates working-capital drains or heavy investment absorbing cash. Weak FCF coverage constrains dividends, buybacks, or debt paydown and raises questions about earnings quality unless conversion stabilizes.

Kubota (KUBTY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kubota Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKubota Corporation manufactures and markets machinery and related solutions in the food, water, and environment markets in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Farm & Industrial Machinery, Water & Environment, and Other. The Farm & Industrial Machinery segment offers tractors, power tillers, combine harvesters, rice transplanters, turf equipment, utility vehicles, other agricultural machinery, implements, attachments, post-harvest machinery, vegetable production equipment, and other agricultural equipment; cooperative drying, rice seedling, and gardening facilities; rice mill plants; scales, weighing and measuring control systems, and air purifiers; engines for farming, construction, industrial machinery, and generators; and mini excavators, wheel and skid steer loaders, compact track and, and other construction machinery related products. The Water & Environment segment provides ductile iron and plastic pipes, valves, and single stack drain fittings, as well as design and construction services; reformer and cracking tubes, hearth and steel mill rolls, TXAX friction materials, and spiral welded steel pipes; air-conditioning equipment; wastewater treatment equipment and plants, pumps and plants, membrane solutions, flue gas desulfurization apparatus, membrane methane fermentation plants, and bathtubs; and water purification, night-soil treatment, waste incinerating and melting, and waste shredding and sorting plants. The Other segment offers logistics; and roofing and siding materials. The company also engages in non-life insurance underwriting, finance leasing and factoring services, building maintenance, security guarding, transportation, storage, distribution, and cargo handling businesses; and export and import of repair parts related to farm equipment, engines, and construction machinery. It serves customers through a network of dealers. The company was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyKubota primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling equipment and related products to end users through dealers and distribution channels. A major revenue stream comes from its agricultural equipment and related machinery (e.g., tractors and harvesting/planting equipment), where sales are driven by farm mechanization needs, replacement cycles, and demand from small-to-mid sized farms, municipalities, and property maintenance users. Another significant revenue stream is construction equipment (notably compact construction machinery), where revenue is generated from machine sales tied to construction activity and infrastructure investment. In addition to initial equipment sales, Kubota earns ongoing revenue from aftermarket parts and service: replacement parts, maintenance, and repairs sold through its dealer network tend to provide recurring, higher-frequency cash flows over the life of installed equipment. The company also generates revenue from its engines and components business by supplying powertrains and related products for its own machines and, where applicable, to external OEM customers; if external OEM contribution is not disclosed in the provided context, null. Separately, Kubota’s water and environmental segment contributes revenue through the sale of water-related infrastructure products (such as pipes and associated systems) and related project-based deliveries, typically linked to municipal and industrial infrastructure spending. Kubota may also support sales through financing or leasing offerings depending on market and structure; if specific financing revenue contributions or named financing partnerships are not available here, null.

Kubota Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has grown meaningfully over 2020–2025 with a 2025 re-acceleration, but profitability has softened (net margin down from ~7.6% in 2024 to ~6.2% in 2025). Leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~0.59 in 2020 to ~0.85 in 2025). Cash flow is the main constraint: operating cash flow recovered in 2024–2025, but free cash flow remains inconsistent and covered less than half of net income in 2025.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has expanded meaningfully over the cycle (2020–2025), with a re-acceleration in 2025 after a flat 2024. Profitability remains solid, but margins have softened lately: net margin fell from ~7.6% (2024) to ~6.2% (2025) and operating margin declined as well, signaling some cost/price pressure. Overall, the business shows good scale and resilience, but the recent margin compression keeps the score below top-tier.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
The balance sheet is reasonably supported by equity, but leverage has trended higher versus earlier years: debt-to-equity moved from ~0.59 (2020) to ~0.85 (2025), with total debt elevated in absolute terms. Equity has grown, which helps stability, yet the higher leverage profile increases sensitivity to earnings volatility and tighter financing conditions.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation has been volatile. Operating cash flow was negative in 2022–2023, then recovered in 2024–2025, which is a positive inflection. However, free cash flow is inconsistent (negative in multiple years and down ~24% in 2025), and in 2025 free cash flow covered less than half of net income—suggesting working-capital or investment needs are absorbing cash.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.17T3.02T3.02T2.68T2.20T
Gross Profit927.18B927.98B876.47B685.68B631.81B
EBITDA428.82B462.40B454.81B322.40B325.61B
Net Income195.74B230.44B238.46B156.47B174.76B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.21T6.02T5.36T4.77T3.77T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments277.15B398.92B305.14B297.31B309.51B
Total Debt2.24T2.28T1.99T1.61T1.09T
Total Liabilities3.33T3.28T2.94T2.66T1.99T
Stockholders Equity2.62T2.48T2.18T1.87T1.68T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow148.89B68.09B-189.75B-177.33B-33.21B
Operating Cash Flow343.80B282.08B-17.27B-7.68B92.51B
Investing Cash Flow-171.66B-208.88B-173.44B-318.50B-127.37B
Financing Cash Flow-193.40B-26.28B178.40B282.56B60.59B

Kubota Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price79.62
Price Trends
50DMA
84.34
Positive
100DMA
76.92
Positive
200DMA
67.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
42.10
Neutral
STOCH
11.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KUBTY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 79.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.15, below the 50-day MA of 84.34, and above the 200-day MA of 67.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for KUBTY.

Kubota Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$322.90B30.1245.10%0.98%-1.51%-9.69%
73
Outperform
$155.99B54.8318.93%1.34%-11.66%-27.80%
73
Outperform
$9.20B12.4614.57%1.56%-2.28%-0.53%
69
Neutral
$19.11B12.827.16%1.70%-2.36%-28.65%
66
Neutral
$8.58B10.6817.36%1.10%-20.09%121.28%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$13.22B22.566.58%2.67%-18.10%-65.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KUBTY
Kubota
84.06
19.44
30.08%
AGCO
Agco
118.57
24.25
25.71%
CAT
Caterpillar
693.99
356.00
105.33%
CNH
CNH Industrial
10.65
-2.38
-18.27%
DE
Deere
577.50
100.01
20.94%
OSK
Oshkosh
147.16
51.75
54.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026