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Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B (KHOLY)
OTHER OTC:KHOLY

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B (KHOLY) AI Stock Analysis

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KHOLY

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B

(OTC:KHOLY)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$22.50
▲(5.83% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is mainly held back by weakened financial quality—thin margins, higher leverage, and a 2025 swing to negative operating and free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, though momentum is overextended. Valuation is moderate with a helpful dividend, while the latest earnings call was net positive on profitability recovery and liquidity but acknowledged macro and segment headwinds.
Positive Factors
Hard-currency & export exposure
A large share of revenues is tied to exports and hard currencies, providing a durable natural hedge versus domestic currency volatility. This structural mix supports stable cash inflows and helps protect margins and purchasing power when Turkey faces high inflation or FX swings.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage rising to roughly 2.2x debt/equity constrains balance-sheet flexibility and raises refinancing and interest‑rate sensitivity. With higher gross debt, the group has less capacity to absorb shocks, which can force asset sales, defer investment or pressure credit metrics if earnings slip.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Hard-currency & export exposure
A large share of revenues is tied to exports and hard currencies, providing a durable natural hedge versus domestic currency volatility. This structural mix supports stable cash inflows and helps protect margins and purchasing power when Turkey faces high inflation or FX swings.
Read all positive factors

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B (KHOLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Koç Holding A.S., through its subsidiaries, engages in the energy, automotive, consumer durables, finance, and other businesses in Turkey and internationally. The company's energy business operates petroleum refineries; distributes petroleum produ...
How the Company Makes Money
Koç Holding makes money primarily through (1) earnings generated by its consolidated subsidiaries and (2) income from its equity-accounted investments (associates and joint ventures). For consolidated businesses, the group records revenue from the...

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a broadly positive operational and financial recovery: a pronounced turnaround in consolidated net income (TRY 22.0 billion), higher operating profit (+9%), strong performance in automotive and energy and marked improvement at the bank underpin the group’s resilience. These positives are tempered by persistent macro challenges (elevated inflation and higher interest rates), softer demand in consumer durables and tractors, a wide NAV discount versus historical norms, and some asset‑specific underperformance. On balance the material earnings and cash‑flow improvements and strengthened liquidity position outweigh the noted sectoral headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Consolidated Profitability Turnaround
Consolidated net income rose to TRY 22.0 billion in 2025 from TRY 1.7 billion in 2024 (approximately +1194% YoY), reflecting a material recovery at the bottom line driven by improved operating profit and lower net monetary losses.
Negative Updates
High Inflation and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Turkey annual inflation remained elevated at 30.9% in 2025 (down from 44.4% in 2024) and market interest rates were higher than anticipated, creating a volatile operating environment and weighing on consumer demand and costs.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Consolidated Profitability Turnaround
Consolidated net income rose to TRY 22.0 billion in 2025 from TRY 1.7 billion in 2024 (approximately +1194% YoY), reflecting a material recovery at the bottom line driven by improved operating profit and lower net monetary losses.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Koc guided a conservative, acquisition‑ready stance: management plans to draw down a 5‑year $600m club loan before the April deadline and hold it as a war‑chest for selective M&A while preserving liquidity (holding solo net cash $815m, 69% in hard currency; year‑end net cash TRY34.9bn). On group targets and positioning they highlighted resilient results and normalization plans — group revenues TRY4.6tn, operating profit TRY155.5bn (≈+9% y/y), profit before tax TRY124.5bn and consolidated net income TRY22bn (Q4: TRY7bn vs -TRY8bn prior year) — with conservative balance‑sheet metrics (combined current ratio 1.2x; net financial debt/EBITDA ex‑finance 1.2x) and a belief NAV discount (weekly avg 34% vs long‑term ~14%) understates fundamentals. Segment‑level forward signals included Ford Otosan capex set to normalize, Tofas expecting accelerated volumes in 2026 under the amended K0 contract, TurkTraktor aiming to strengthen share in a flat tractor market, and Otokar scaling Mercedes‑Benz Conecto city‑bus production in 2026; the finance arm (Yapi Kredi) flagged continued momentum with performing cash loan growth +45%, deposits +44%, swap‑adjusted NIM 2.24%, ROE 21.4% and CAR 14.8%.

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue expansion, but profitability has weakened sharply with much lower margins versus prior peaks. Leverage is elevated and worsening (debt-to-equity ~2.23x), and cash generation is the main concern with 2025 turning to negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow, increasing funding risk.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
49
Neutral
Cash Flow
32
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.99T2.32T1.60T901.86B346.69B
Gross Profit470.65B327.83B376.65B226.84B80.06B
EBITDA193.16B143.77B309.02B142.16B35.24B
Net Income23.88B1.31B72.23B118.22B26.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.31T3.91T2.86T1.58T1.02T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments907.07B575.01B486.29B306.72B207.25B
Total Debt1.51T879.32B670.38B378.55B286.29B
Total Liabilities4.22T3.05T2.18T1.34T899.45B
Stockholders Equity677.00B528.63B404.73B149.35B63.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-212.96B18.38B270.74B87.88B38.14B
Operating Cash Flow-101.29B116.31B339.02B115.48B50.66B
Investing Cash Flow-354.99B-121.37B-165.46B-86.42B-53.60B
Financing Cash Flow316.90B9.60B-17.42B-5.56B10.20B

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.26
Price Trends
50DMA
22.27
Negative
100DMA
21.08
Positive
200DMA
20.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
50.70
Neutral
STOCH
83.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KHOLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.30, below the 50-day MA of 22.27, and above the 200-day MA of 20.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KHOLY.

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$7.87B23.2920.28%0.63%1.23%-22.77%
72
Outperform
$5.66B8.6410.05%0.21%10.31%
69
Neutral
$145.86B24.2631.25%2.24%7.48%9.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
$10.88B18.063.47%4.41%-6.21%-89.39%
55
Neutral
$76.09B37.0671.89%1.82%-13.09%-20.63%
49
Neutral
$4.92B-14.82-10.91%27.59%-8.45%27.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KHOLY
Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B
21.70
2.16
11.06%
MMM
3M
144.47
18.25
14.46%
HON
Honeywell International
229.45
56.54
32.70%
IEP
Icahn Enterprises
7.72
1.45
23.13%
SEB
Seaboard
5,906.78
3,382.72
134.02%
VMI
Valmont
402.90
141.00
53.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026