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Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B (KHOLY)
OTHER OTC:KHOLY
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Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B (KHOLY) AI Stock Analysis

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KHOLY

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B

(OTC:KHOLY)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(4.37% Upside)
Koc Holding A.S. faces significant financial challenges, with high leverage and low profitability. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio raises concerns about overvaluation. The dividend yield is a positive aspect, but overall, the stock presents considerable risks.
Positive Factors
Diversified Business Model
Koc Holding's diversified business model across sectors like automotive, energy, and finance provides resilience against sector-specific downturns, ensuring stable revenue streams and reducing dependency on any single market.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with global brands enhance Koc Holding's product offerings and market reach, providing competitive advantages and access to new technologies and markets, which can drive long-term growth.
Operational Efficiency
Improved EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest better operational efficiency, which can lead to enhanced profitability and competitive positioning in the long term, even amidst revenue growth challenges.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, as it can strain cash flows and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, potentially impacting long-term financial stability.
Profitability Challenges
Low net profit margins indicate difficulties in cost management and achieving profitability, which can hinder the company's ability to generate sustainable earnings and reinvest in the business.
Cash Flow Management Issues
Negative cash flows highlight potential liquidity issues, limiting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, which could affect long-term financial health and operational flexibility.

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B (KHOLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKoç Holding A.S., through its subsidiaries, engages in the energy, automotive, consumer durables, finance, and other businesses in Turkey and internationally. The company's energy business operates petroleum refineries; distributes petroleum products and liquefied petroleum gases; and generates electricity through hydroelectric, natural gas, coal, thermal, and solar power and other renewable plants. It serves customers under the Akpa, Aygaz, Lipetgaz, Mogaz, Pursu, Aygaz Dogalaz, Demir Export, Ditas, Opet Fuchs, Opet, THY Opet, Tupras, Elektra Bregenz, and Entek brand names. The company's automotive business provides light commercial vehicles, passenger cars, tractors, buses, and trucks, as well as offers automotive retailing and car rental services. It serves customers under the Ford, Koç Fiat Kredi, Otokar, Avis, Birmot, Budget, Otokoç, Otokoç Otomotiv, Otokoç Sigorta, Alfa Romeo, Ferrari, Fiat, Lancia, Maserati, Otoeksper, Tofas, Case IH, and TürkTraktör. The company's consumer durables business offers white goods, televisions, and air conditioners under the Arçelik, Beko, Leisure, Arctic, Altus, Grundig, Blomberg, Defy, Elektra Bregenz, Flavel, Arçelik LG, TEE, and WAT brand names. Its finance business provides various banking and financial products and services that include private banking, factoring, leasing, portfolio management, and credit cards under the Koçfinans, Yapi Kredi Bankasi, Token, akpakoc, Yapi Kredi Faktoring, Yapi Kredi, Yapi Kredi Leasing, Yapi Kredi Kültür Sanat Yayincilik, Yapi Kredi Portföy Yönetimi, Yapi Kredi Yatirim, and Yapi Kredi Koray brand names. The company's other business offers tomato products and pastes, canned pickles, and ketchups; and pasteurized milk, as well as do it yourself retailing, marina, tourism, and information technology services under various brand names. The company was founded in 1926 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
How the Company Makes MoneyKoc Holding generates revenue through a diversified business model that encompasses multiple sectors. Key revenue streams include the production and sale of automotive vehicles and components, consumer electronics and appliances, energy generation and distribution, and financial services through its banking and investment arms. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with global brands, enabling it to enhance its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, Koc Holding's involvement in various joint ventures and collaborations with international companies further strengthens its revenue potential, allowing it to tap into new markets and technological advancements.

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented mixed results with strong performance in the energy segment and an improved net cash position, but significant challenges were noted in the finance, automotive, and export sectors. The NAV discount reduction is a positive, yet the consolidated net loss and negative finance segment contribution weigh heavily on the overall outlook.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Energy Segment
The Energy segment's contribution to Koç Holding's consolidated net income was strong, supported by higher sales and lower energy expenses. Tüpras international sales volume was up by 24% year-on-year.
Net Cash Position Improvement
Koç Holding's net cash position improved to $853 million at the end of September 2024 from $795 million at the end of 2023.
International Revenue Growth
International revenues constituted 29% of total revenues, with a notable increase of 22% year-on-year in Arçelik's international revenues, primarily due to inorganic growth from Whirlpool's contribution.
NAV Discount Reduction
Koç Holding's average NAV discount improved to approximately 22% in 2024, better than the 31% average in 2023.
Negative Updates
Negative Contribution from Finance Segment
The Finance segment's contribution to net income was negative due to monetary losses from inflation accounting affecting Yapi Kredi's financials.
Domestic Auto Market Decline
The domestic auto market saw a decrease of 1% year-on-year and Koç Holding's market share in the domestic market decreased around 6 percentage points.
Weakness in Turkish Export Markets
TürkTraktör's revenues decreased by 16% due to a 10% lower volume, and Tofas witnessed a 33% decrease in export volumes.
Consolidated Net Loss
Koç Holding reported a consolidated net loss of around TRY 1.9 billion in the first 9 months of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Koç Holding, executives provided detailed financial guidance and performance metrics across various segments. The company reported a net cash position of $853 million by September 2024, with $1.6 billion in gross cash, 87% of which is held in hard currency. The dividend income for the first nine months was approximately TRY 29.7 billion ($903 million), with expectations to reach $1.2 billion by year-end. Koç Holding's diversified portfolio demonstrated resilience, with 29% of revenues from international sales and 48% in hard currency. Key performance indicators highlighted a 3.8% growth in Turkey's economy in H1 2024, though domestic demand slowed in Q3, contributing to disinflation efforts. The automotive segment experienced a 6% decrease in market share, while the energy segment's net income contribution remained strong, backed by higher sales and reduced energy expenses. Meanwhile, the finance segment faced challenges due to monetary losses and inflation-adjusted financials, although Yapi Kredi's net fees and commissions grew by 132% year-on-year. Looking ahead, Polat Sen projected challenges due to ongoing monetary tightening but expressed confidence in the group's strategic agility and prudent risk management to navigate the evolving economic landscape.

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Koc Holding A.S. demonstrates moderate revenue growth and operational efficiency improvements, but faces profitability and cash flow challenges. High leverage and low return on equity highlight potential financial risks. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and cash flow management to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Koc Holding A.S. has shown a steady revenue growth rate of 3.75% in the TTM, indicating positive momentum. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, and the net profit margin remains low at 0.25%, suggesting challenges in cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved slightly, reflecting operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.96, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity has improved slightly to 1.06%, but remains low, suggesting limited profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, providing some balance sheet strength.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Koc Holding A.S. faces challenges in cash flow management, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 5.21, indicating reliance on non-operational sources for cash. The negative free cash flow growth rate suggests potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.36T2.32T1.60T901.86B346.69B183.78B
Gross Profit356.10B327.83B376.65B226.84B80.06B44.33B
EBITDA164.19B143.77B322.60B142.16B35.24B19.89B
Net Income5.85B1.31B72.23B118.22B26.18B12.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.66T3.91T2.86T1.58T1.02T630.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments788.89B575.01B486.29B306.72B207.25B113.25B
Total Debt1.17T879.32B670.38B378.55B286.29B181.81B
Total Liabilities3.70T3.05T2.18T1.34T899.45B542.03B
Stockholders Equity595.18B528.63B404.73B149.35B63.64B46.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-128.07B18.38B270.74B87.88B38.14B12.18B
Operating Cash Flow-24.61B116.31B339.02B115.48B50.66B20.21B
Investing Cash Flow-41.54B-121.37B-165.46B-86.42B-53.60B12.84B
Financing Cash Flow63.69B9.60B-17.42B-5.56B10.20B-10.85B

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20.12
Price Trends
50DMA
21.35
Negative
100DMA
20.08
Positive
200DMA
21.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Positive
RSI
36.31
Neutral
STOCH
13.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KHOLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.50, below the 50-day MA of 21.35, and below the 200-day MA of 21.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KHOLY.

Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.37B34.7814.51%0.69%-0.15%24.55%
74
Outperform
$134.26B24.0434.60%2.14%7.16%0.21%
72
Outperform
$3.78B27.512.92%0.23%4.70%-44.60%
63
Neutral
$10.74B15.337.44%2.00%2.86%-14.57%
58
Neutral
$84.09B21.9696.00%1.83%-19.56%325.26%
51
Neutral
$4.67B-21.56%24.54%-11.23%-6.85%
49
Neutral
$10.22B71.130.97%4.31%-6.21%-89.39%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KHOLY
Koc Holding A.S. Unsponsored ADR Class B
20.12
-4.28
-17.54%
MMM
3M
157.87
25.89
19.62%
HON
Honeywell International
211.46
10.94
5.46%
IEP
Icahn Enterprises
8.15
-1.98
-19.55%
SEB
Seaboard
3,942.79
831.83
26.74%
VMI
Valmont
373.62
98.48
35.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025