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Kingsway Financial Services (KFS)
NYSE:KFS
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Kingsway Financial Services (KFS) AI Stock Analysis

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KFS

Kingsway Financial Services

(NYSE:KFS)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(0.54% Upside)
The overall stock score for Kingsway Financial Services is 50, reflecting a mixed financial performance with profitability challenges and cash flow concerns. Despite positive earnings call sentiment and strategic growth initiatives, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative profitability.

Kingsway Financial Services (KFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kingsway Financial Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKingsway Financial Services (KFS) is a diversified financial services company specializing in insurance and risk management solutions. Operating primarily in the insurance sector, KFS offers a range of products including auto, home, and commercial insurance, as well as investment services. The company aims to provide comprehensive financial solutions tailored to meet the needs of individuals and businesses, leveraging technology to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyKFS generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from premiums collected on insurance policies sold to clients. The company also earns income from investment returns on its insurance reserves, which are strategically allocated into a diversified portfolio of assets. Additionally, KFS may receive commissions from third-party insurance products and services, as well as fees for financial advisory services. Significant partnerships with insurance carriers and financial institutions further bolster its revenue generation capabilities, allowing KFS to offer a broader range of products and enhance its market presence.

Kingsway Financial Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted significant revenue growth and successful acquisitions, particularly in the KSX segment. The company demonstrated robust performance in its Extended Warranty segment with increased cash sales. However, there were concerns regarding onetime expenses and pressures in the nursing and diagnostics sectors. Overall, the positives in growth and acquisition success outweigh the challenges faced.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenues were up 37% year-over-year, with the KSX segment achieving revenue growth of 104% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 90%.
Successful Acquisitions
Kingsway completed four acquisitions during the quarter, including Southside Plumbing, marking the third addition under the Kingsway Skilled Trades platform in 2025.
Extended Warranty Segment Performance
The Extended Warranty segment produced top line revenue growth of 2% with resilient cash flow, and cash sales accelerated from up 9.2% year-over-year in Q2 to up 14.2% year-over-year in Q3.
Strong Cash Position and Managing Debt
The company's cash position increased to $9.3 million, up from $5.5 million at year-end 2024, despite an increase in net debt due to recent acquisitions.
Positive Business Momentum
Roundhouse and Kingsway Skilled Trades have performed well since acquisition, and Image Solutions saw sequential EBITDA growth.
Negative Updates
Onetime Expenses Impacting KSX Segment
The KSX segment faced onetime expenses, including a $325,000 noncash item due to a hospital system client's bankruptcy, impacting EBITDA figures.
Pressure on Secure Nursing and Digital Diagnostics
Hospitals are under pressure from reimbursement issues which could affect the nurse staffing and digital diagnostics businesses.
Extended Warranty Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for the Extended Warranty segment was $800,000 compared to $2.1 million a year ago, despite an increase in cash sales.
Company Guidance
In the Kingsway Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO JT Fitzgerald highlighted several key metrics reflecting the company's robust performance. Kingsway's revenues increased by 37% year-over-year, with the KSX segment achieving a substantial 104% growth in revenue and a 90% rise in adjusted EBITDA. This segment became the primary revenue source for the first time, marking a significant milestone. Meanwhile, the Extended Warranty segment saw a modest revenue increase of 2%, but cash sales accelerated by 14.2% compared to the previous year, demonstrating solid cash flow and resilient modified cash EBITDA. The company also reported a trailing 12-month adjusted run rate EBITDA between $20.5 million and $22.5 million. Additionally, Kingsway completed four acquisitions during the quarter, including the notable acquisition of Southside Plumbing for a maximum purchase price of $6.75 million, which contributed to a total net debt of $61.4 million at quarter-end. The call emphasized the company's strategic focus on disciplined execution and scaling the KSX portfolio to sustain long-term growth.

Kingsway Financial Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kingsway Financial Services shows a mixed financial performance. While revenue growth is positive, profitability remains a challenge with negative net margins. The balance sheet shows improved leverage, but returns on equity are negative. Cash flow management is a concern with declining free cash flow growth. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash generation to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced revenue growth of 8.61% in the TTM, which is a positive indicator. However, the net profit margin is negative at -8.81%, indicating profitability challenges. The gross profit margin is strong at 88.15%, but the negative EBIT margin of -1.65% suggests operational inefficiencies. Overall, while revenue is growing, profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a significant improvement in leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 in the TTM compared to previous years. However, the return on equity is negative at -51.48%, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the reduction in debt levels is a positive sign for financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -45.51% in the TTM, reflecting cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that the company is not generating enough cash from operations to cover its net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 9.34, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow, but overall cash flow performance is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue128.06M112.53M107.66M114.69M81.41M68.60M
Gross Profit128.06M112.53M107.66M114.69M81.41M68.60M
EBITDA5.00M3.53M36.12M49.50M4.60M0.00
Net Income-10.61M-9.27M23.56M24.72M-342.00K-6.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets235.13M186.62M197.72M285.65M475.63M452.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.29M13.63M15.18M64.33M12.80M35.25M
Total Debt1.03M60.22M45.61M103.31M96.58M271.50M
Total Liabilities199.31M168.31M173.11M263.53M460.88M433.81M
Stockholders Equity16.65M16.66M27.71M21.68M773.00K4.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.13M358.00K-26.39M11.89M-6.74M1.46M
Operating Cash Flow-117.16K1.07M-26.19M-14.57M-5.91M1.67M
Investing Cash Flow-30.05M-16.85M6.46M100.94M-8.60M4.01M
Financing Cash Flow31.94M11.44M-39.96M-37.93M-540.00K13.60M

Kingsway Financial Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.93
Price Trends
50DMA
14.31
Negative
100DMA
14.30
Negative
200DMA
11.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.56
Positive
RSI
34.01
Neutral
STOCH
13.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KFS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.71, below the 50-day MA of 14.31, and above the 200-day MA of 11.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KFS.

Kingsway Financial Services Risk Analysis

Kingsway Financial Services disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kingsway Financial Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kingsway Financial Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$643.33M17.056.11%0.20%-20.57%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$150.58M11.702.54%0.79%
53
Neutral
$127.10M-1.11-268.06%-12.43%66.92%
50
Neutral
$405.67M-33.32-39.82%14.24%-67.80%
42
Neutral
$564.90M-13.84
41
Neutral
$118.39M-0.63-52.02%-81.31%87.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KFS
Kingsway Financial Services
12.37
3.37
37.44%
CRMT
America's Car-Mart
18.19
-23.56
-56.43%
CARS
Cars
10.95
-7.36
-40.20%
RDNW
RideNow Group
5.19
-1.01
-16.29%
UXIN
Uxin
2.61
-3.07
-54.05%
VRM
Vroom, Inc.
19.02
-5.62
-22.81%

Kingsway Financial Services Corporate Events

Kingsway Financial Services Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. is a publicly-traded company in the United States that employs the Search Fund model to acquire and develop businesses, primarily operating in the asset-light services sector with a focus on recurring revenue streams.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kingsway Financial Services Sees Revenue Surge in Q3 2025
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. reported a 37% increase in consolidated revenue to $37.2 million for the third quarter of 2025, driven by a significant 104% growth in its Kingsway Search Xcelerator (KSX) division, which for the first time represents the majority of the company’s revenue. Despite the revenue growth, the company recorded a net loss of $2.4 million, slightly higher than the previous year’s loss of $2.3 million, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (KFS) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kingsway Financial Services stock, see the KFS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kingsway Financial Services Reports Strong Q3 Revenue Growth Driven by KSX Division
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. reported a significant revenue growth of 37% for the third quarter of 2025, reaching $37.2 million. The Kingsway Search Xcelerator (KSX) division saw a remarkable 104% increase in revenue, making up the majority of the company’s revenue for the first time. Despite this growth, the company reported a slight increase in net loss to $2.4 million compared to the previous year’s quarter. The results highlight Kingsway’s strong performance in its KSX division, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (KFS) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kingsway Financial Services stock, see the KFS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Kingsway Financial Services Reports Strong Revenue Growth Amid Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Kingsway Financial Services reported a 37% increase in revenue for the third quarter of 2025, reaching $37.2 million, with its Kingsway Search Xcelerator (KSX) division contributing significantly with a 104% revenue growth. Despite the revenue increase, the company experienced a slight net loss of $2.4 million. Recent acquisitions, including Roundhouse Electric and AAA Flexible Pipe Cleaning, are expected to bolster Kingsway’s revenue and EBITDA, positioning the company for future growth and enhancing its industry standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (KFS) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kingsway Financial Services stock, see the KFS Stock Forecast page.

Kingsway Financial Services: Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

The recent earnings call for Kingsway Financial Services reflected a cautiously optimistic sentiment. While the company celebrated significant achievements, such as a successful private placement and robust growth in the KSX segment, it also acknowledged challenges, including a dip in adjusted EBITDA and hurdles within the Extended Warranty segment. Overall, the highlights slightly surpassed the lowlights, indicating a strategic shift towards growth despite some operational difficulties.

Kingsway Financial Services Reports Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Kingsway Financial Services Inc., a unique publicly-traded company in the U.S., employs the Search Fund model to acquire and build high-quality B2B and B2C services companies, focusing on asset-light, profitable, and recurring revenue businesses. In its second quarter of 2025, Kingsway reported a 16.9% increase in consolidated revenue, reaching $30.9 million, despite a net loss of $3.2 million. The company’s KSX segment showed significant growth with a 42.1% increase in revenue, while the Extended Warranty segment saw a modest rise of 3.1%. However, the adjusted consolidated EBITDA decreased to $1.7 million from $2.5 million in the previous year. Notably, Kingsway reduced its net debt to $46.2 million from $52.0 million at the end of 2024. The company also completed a $15.7 million private placement, enhancing its financial resources for growth. Additionally, Kingsway made strategic acquisitions, including Roundhouse Electric & Equipment Co., AAA Flexible Pipe Cleaning Corp, and The HR Team, Inc., which are expected to contribute significantly to its revenue and EBITDA. Looking ahead, Kingsway’s management remains optimistic about its growth trajectory, emphasizing the robust KSX acquisition pipeline and the company’s commitment to building a larger, more profitable business through its public Search Fund strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025