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Kingsway Financial Services (KFS)
NYSE:KFS
US Market

Kingsway Financial Services (KFS) AI Stock Analysis

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Kingsway Financial Services

(NYSE:KFS)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▼(-3.57%Downside)
Kingsway Financial Services' overall score is primarily impacted by its financial struggles, including high leverage and negative cash flows. The strong technical indicators provide a positive outlook, but the overbought status is a concern. The mixed outcomes from the earnings call, with segment growth and acquisition benefits contrasted by profitability challenges, also influence the score.

Kingsway Financial Services (KFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kingsway Financial Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKingsway Financial Services (KFS) is a diversified holding company primarily engaged in the financial services sector. The company focuses on acquiring businesses and managing a portfolio of subsidiaries involved in extended warranty, vehicle service contracts, and insurance services. KFS leverages its expertise in the financial industry to optimize the performance and growth of its subsidiaries, providing a range of financial products and services to individual and commercial clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyKingsway Financial Services generates revenue through its portfolio of subsidiaries, which primarily operate in the extended warranty and insurance sectors. The company's revenue streams include premiums collected from insurance policies, fees from vehicle service contracts, and other financial products it offers. KFS also benefits from investment income derived from managing its subsidiaries' assets. The company strategically acquires businesses that complement its existing operations, enabling it to expand its service offerings and customer base, which in turn contributes to its earnings. Significant partnerships with automotive dealers, manufacturers, and other financial institutions enhance its distribution channels and market reach, further supporting its revenue model.

Kingsway Financial Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 57.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strategic acquisitions and growth in specific segments, such as KSX and extended warranty cash sales. However, there were notable declines in adjusted EBITDA and challenges in the extended warranty segment, leading to a balanced view of the company's performance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of MLC Plumbing
Kingsway Financial Services Inc. acquired MLC Plumbing, a 100+ year-old business, for $5 million, contributing approximately $800,000 of annual adjusted EBITDA.
Acquisition of Viewpoint
Viewpoint, a leading cloud-native timeshare software provider, was acquired, adding over $1 million of unaudited annual recurring revenue and $200,000 of unaudited EBITDA.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth in KSX
The KSX segment's revenue and adjusted EBITDA each grew 23% year on year.
Extended Warranty Cash Sales Increase
Cash sales in the extended warranty segment grew 3.7% year over year and 9.3% sequentially.
New Board Appointments
Two new independent directors, Adam Patinkin and Joshua Horowitz, were appointed to strengthen leadership and corporate governance.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA declined by $800,000 versus the prior year quarter due to lower profitability in the extended warranty segment and higher holdcoat costs.
Decrease in Extended Warranty EBITDA
Extended warranty adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of 2025 was $800,000, down from $1.4 million in the year-ago quarter.
SNS Revenue Growth with EBITDA Decline
SNS experienced a 7.5% revenue growth but a slight decline in adjusted EBITDA year over year.
PWI and Penn Revenue and EBITDA Down
Both revenue and adjusted EBITDA for PWI and Penn were down year over year in the first quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Kingsway Financial Services Inc. Q1 2025 earnings call, CEO JT Fitzgerald and CFO Kent Hansen provided guidance that highlighted significant growth metrics and strategic acquisitions. For the KSX segment, revenue and adjusted EBITDA rose by 23% year on year, with notable contributions from recent acquisitions like Bud's Plumbing and Viewpoint, which added $800,000 and $200,000 to annual adjusted EBITDA, respectively. SPI Software and Viewpoint together achieved an ARR approaching $5 million and double-digit EBITDA margins. The extended warranty segment also showed signs of recovery, with cash sales growing by 3.7% year over year and 9.3% sequentially, while trailing twelve-month modified cash EBITDA rose by 11.7%. Overall, Kingsway's consolidated revenue increased by 8.4% to $28.3 million, despite a decline in consolidated adjusted EBITDA due to lower profitability in the extended warranty segment and higher M&A expenses. The management expressed optimism for continued growth, emphasizing a robust deal pipeline and strong strategic fit of their recent acquisitions.

Kingsway Financial Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kingsway Financial Services is experiencing financial difficulties. Despite strong gross profit margins, the company faces issues with high leverage, negative cash flows, and profitability challenges.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Kingsway Financial Services shows an inconsistent revenue growth pattern with a recent decline in EBIT and Net Income. Gross Profit margin is strong at 56.0% TTM, but the negative EBIT and Net Income margins indicate profitability challenges. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies to improve margins.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.17 TTM, indicating significant leverage. While the equity ratio is relatively low at 10.3%, the company's ROE is negative due to recent losses. Improving equity levels and managing debt could enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow and free cash flow TTM, reflecting cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges relative to earnings. Strategic improvements in cash generation are needed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue112.79M109.38M107.66M114.69M94.78M65.72M
Gross Profit63.16M82.65M76.03M90.61M87.72M63.02M
EBITDA3.56M2.16M5.93M30.13M3.24M14.11M
Net Income-10.23M-9.27M23.56M24.72M1.86M-5.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets192.12M186.62M197.72M285.65M475.63M452.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.76M5.49M9.26M64.33M12.80M14.53M
Total Debt62.40M60.22M45.61M103.31M295.19M271.50M
Total Liabilities170.65M168.31M173.11M263.53M412.96M387.00M
Stockholders Equity19.70M16.66M27.71M21.68M773.00K4.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.43M358.00K-26.39M11.89M-6.74M1.46M
Operating Cash Flow-9.62M1.07M-26.19M-14.57M-5.91M1.67M
Investing Cash Flow-10.28M-16.85M6.46M100.94M-8.60M4.01M
Financing Cash Flow14.72M11.44M-39.96M-37.93M-540.00K13.60M

Kingsway Financial Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.00
Price Trends
50DMA
11.17
Positive
100DMA
9.48
Positive
200DMA
8.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Positive
RSI
64.14
Neutral
STOCH
69.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KFS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.56, above the 50-day MA of 11.17, and above the 200-day MA of 8.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KFS.

Kingsway Financial Services Risk Analysis

Kingsway Financial Services disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kingsway Financial Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kingsway Financial Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$745.21M17.639.35%2.24%-57.33%
67
Neutral
$460.10M26.573.45%-2.26%
KFKFS
59
Neutral
$404.23M-46.36%5.53%-124.90%
56
Neutral
HK$23.97B4.08-1.57%8.88%0.06%-64.88%
55
Neutral
$462.87M6.630.12%40.31%-204.86%
47
Neutral
$81.02M-130.43%-14.45%78.09%
SDSDA
42
Neutral
$262.77M-167.38%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KFS
Kingsway Financial Services
14.00
5.82
71.15%
CRMT
America's Car-Mart
55.69
-3.78
-6.36%
CARS
Cars
11.85
-6.94
-36.93%
RMBL
RumbleON
2.14
-1.61
-42.93%
CANG
Cango
4.46
2.81
170.30%
SDA
SunCar Technology Group
2.56
-6.34
-71.24%

Kingsway Financial Services Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Kingsway Financial Hosts Investor Day at NYSE
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 18, 2025, Kingsway Financial Services, Inc. announced the posting of an investor presentation on its website. The company also revealed plans to host an Investor Day at the New York Stock Exchange on May 19, 2025, which will be live-streamed for participants.

Private Placements and Financing
Kingsway Financial Services Raises $2M via Preferred Stock
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Kingsway Financial Services Inc., a Delaware corporation, conducted a private placement of 80,000 shares of a newly created Class D Preferred Stock, raising $2,000,000. This stock, offered without registration under the Securities Act, features conversion options into common stock, preferential dividends, and specific redemption terms, positioning it as a senior class of capital stock. The issuance is expected to impact the company’s financial structure by introducing a new class of preferred stock with fixed, cumulative dividends and a liquidation preference, potentially affecting stakeholders’ interests and the company’s capital strategy.

Executive/Board Changes
Kingsway Financial Services Director Resigns, New Appointment Made
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

On April 11, 2025, Charles Frischer resigned from his position as a director and member of the Audit Committee at Kingsway Financial Services Inc., with no disagreements cited as the reason for his departure. Subsequently, Adam Patinkin, already serving on the company’s Board of Directors, was appointed to the Audit Committee, indicating a seamless transition in the company’s governance structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025