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Kingsway Financial Services (KFS)
NYSE:KFS
US Market
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Kingsway Financial Services (KFS) AI Stock Analysis

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KFS

Kingsway Financial Services

(NYSE:KFS)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(0.69% Upside)
Kingsway Financial Services faces significant financial challenges, with high leverage and negative profitability impacting its overall score. While technical indicators are neutral, the company's valuation remains unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. The strategic acquisition of Roundhouse Electric is a positive development, but the overall financial health remains a concern.

Kingsway Financial Services (KFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kingsway Financial Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKingsway Financial Services (KFS) is a diversified financial services company specializing in insurance, asset management, and investment solutions. With a focus on providing innovative financial products, KFS serves a wide range of clients including individuals, businesses, and institutions. The company operates in various sectors, including health insurance, property and casualty insurance, and investment advisory services, leveraging a robust portfolio of offerings designed to meet the evolving needs of its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyKingsway Financial Services generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of insurance policies, management fees from assets under management, and commissions from financial product sales. The company's insurance segment earns money by underwriting various insurance products, collecting premiums, and investing the reserves until claims are paid out. Additionally, KFS earns management fees from its investment advisory services based on a percentage of assets under management. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and technology providers also enhance its service offerings and contribute to revenue growth, enabling KFS to offer competitive financial solutions while expanding its market reach.

Kingsway Financial Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong focus on growth and expansion through acquisitions, supported by a successful private placement. While there were positive developments in revenue growth and acquisition activity, challenges remain with declining adjusted EBITDA and specific segment struggles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Private Placement
Kingsway announced a private placement with five institutional investors, raising $15.7 million to accelerate growth and acquisitions.
Increase in Acquisition Targets
Kingsway revised its KSX acquisitions target from 2-3 per year to 3-5 per year, reflecting confidence in its growth strategy.
Significant Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue increased by 16.9% to $30.9 million in Q2 2025 compared to the same period in 2024.
KSX Segment Performance
Revenue in the KSX segment increased by 42.1% to $13.3 million, with adjusted EBITDA up 31% to $2.4 million year-over-year.
Momentum in Extended Warranty Cash Sales
Extended Warranty segment's cash sales increased by 9.2% year-over-year in Q2, indicating strengthening demand.
Debt Reduction
Net debt decreased to $46.3 million at quarter-end, down from $52 million at the end of 2024.
Negative Updates
Decline in Overall Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA decreased to $1.7 million from $2.5 million in the prior year quarter.
Drop in Extended Warranty Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the Extended Warranty segment fell significantly from $1.6 million to $600,000 year-over-year.
Legacy Legal Matter Expense
Kingsway incurred a $600,000 expense related to a settlement agreement tied to a long-standing dispute.
Company Guidance
In the Kingsway Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO JT Fitzgerald outlined the company's strategic focus on accelerating growth through its KSX platform and search fund model. The company reported a 16.9% increase in consolidated revenue to $30.9 million compared to the previous year, with the KSX segment revenue up by 42.1% to $13.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $1.7 million, down from the previous year's $2.5 million, attributed to challenges in the Extended Warranty segment. Notably, Kingsway completed three significant acquisitions, including Roundhouse Electric & Equipment Co., contributing a trailing 12-month unaudited revenue of $16 million and adjusted EBITDA of $4.2 million. The company also raised $15.7 million through a PIPE transaction to support its growth ambitions and increased its annual acquisition target from 2-3 to 3-5. As of quarter end, the trailing 12-month adjusted run rate EBITDA stood at $22-$23 million, indicating the potential earnings power of its current portfolio.

Kingsway Financial Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kingsway Financial Services faces significant financial challenges across all verticals. The company demonstrates strong gross profit margins but struggles with profitability and operational efficiency. High leverage and negative returns on equity pose financial risks, while cash flow management remains a critical concern. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and reducing leverage to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Kingsway Financial Services shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM gross profit margin is strong at 90.78%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -9.59%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is modest at 3.41% TTM, but the negative EBIT margin of -2.63% suggests operational inefficiencies. Overall, while there is revenue growth, profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant leverage with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 1.82, which is an improvement from previous years but still indicates high financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -50.68%, highlighting the company's struggle to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects high leverage and poor returns on equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a challenging situation with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM period. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 9.55%, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.43, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow. Overall, cash flow management appears weak, with significant room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue116.64M109.38M109.12M96.50M81.41M64.81M
Gross Profit105.88M82.65M109.12M96.50M83.91M39.87M
EBITDA2.51M2.16M5.93M11.79M2.09M14.11M
Net Income-11.18M-9.27M23.56M24.72M-342.00K-6.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets207.70M186.62M197.72M285.65M475.63M452.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.08M5.49M9.26M64.33M12.80M14.53M
Total Debt61.16M60.22M45.61M103.31M96.58M271.50M
Total Liabilities172.09M168.31M173.11M263.53M460.88M433.81M
Stockholders Equity33.69M16.66M27.71M21.68M773.00K4.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.71M358.00K-26.39M11.89M-6.74M1.46M
Operating Cash Flow-1.20M1.07M-26.19M-14.57M-5.91M1.67M
Investing Cash Flow-31.45M-16.85M6.46M100.94M-8.60M4.01M
Financing Cash Flow34.19M11.44M-39.96M-37.93M-540.00K13.60M

Kingsway Financial Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.40
Price Trends
50DMA
14.28
Positive
100DMA
12.73
Positive
200DMA
10.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
53.76
Neutral
STOCH
58.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KFS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.11, above the 50-day MA of 14.28, and above the 200-day MA of 10.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KFS.

Kingsway Financial Services Risk Analysis

Kingsway Financial Services disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kingsway Financial Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kingsway Financial Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$835.04M22.008.37%0.68%67.41%
64
Neutral
$893.42M6.63-31.61%348.38%-1821.85%
61
Neutral
$18.02B12.77-0.74%3.01%1.30%-13.03%
52
Neutral
$145.74M-246.90%-14.27%67.06%
51
Neutral
$405.09M-39.82%9.20%-115.04%
50
Neutral
$297.50M24.222.54%0.79%
46
Neutral
$276.11M-167.38%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KFS
Kingsway Financial Services
14.34
6.43
81.29%
CRMT
America's Car-Mart
37.65
-9.31
-19.83%
CARS
Cars
13.39
-3.58
-21.10%
RDNW
RideNow Group
3.88
-0.32
-7.62%
CANG
Cango
4.85
3.27
206.96%
SDA
SunCar Technology Group
2.68
-8.22
-75.41%

Kingsway Financial Services Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kingsway Financial Completes Acquisition of Roundhouse Electric
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Kingsway Financial Services Inc., through its subsidiary Longhorns Acquisition LLC, completed the acquisition of Roundhouse Electric & Equipment Co., Inc., a Texas corporation. The transaction involved a combination of cash and debt financing, with Kingsway granting rollover phantom equity rights valued at approximately $3.5 million and paying cash consideration based on an enterprise valuation of $22.35 million. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance Kingsway’s market position and operational capabilities in the electric equipment industry. Additionally, Kingsway and Roundhouse entered into a new secured term credit facility with Main Street Bank, comprising a $11 million term loan, a revolving credit facility, and a non-revolving equipment guidance line of credit, which will support the financial structuring of the acquisition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025