tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
America's Car-Mart (CRMT)
NASDAQ:CRMT
US Market

America's Car-Mart (CRMT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
258 Followers

Top Page

CRMT

America's Car-Mart

(NASDAQ:CRMT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(0.79% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/13/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—net losses and consistently negative operating/free cash flow—despite strong recent revenue growth. Technicals are moderately supportive near-term, while valuation is difficult to assess due to negative earnings. Recent communications and financing events show progress on margins and funding, but operating pressures (volumes, costs, delinquencies, and SG&A) keep the risk/reward only modest.
Positive Factors
Captive financing business model
America's Car-Mart's integrated retail-plus-financing model creates multiple revenue streams: vehicle markup, higher-yield installment income, and ancillaries like warranties and insurance. This vertical mix supports customer retention and recurring cash flow potential versus pure retail peers, strengthening long-term unit economics.
Strong revenue growth and growing interest income
Sustained top-line expansion increases scale for both retail and receivables; a larger loan book has driven higher interest income and collections. Over months this supports gross margin stability and the ability to absorb fixed costs, improving resilience if management sustains underwriting discipline and collection efficiency.
Improved funding and securitization capacity
The recent term securitization and refinancing moves materially strengthen liquidity and funding stability. Better securitization economics and a new term loan reduce reliance on short-term funding, improving capital efficiency and enabling continued origination and working-capital support over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash generation
Continued negative OCF and FCF signals the business is consuming capital rather than generating it, limiting reinvestment and making the company reliant on external funding or securitizations. Over 2–6 months this constrains strategic flexibility and raises rollover and refinancing risk if cash trends don't improve.
Volatile and currently negative profitability
Intermittent profits in prior years but current net losses highlight earnings volatility and impaired returns. Even with positive operating margin historically, net losses undermine equity returns and reinvestment capacity, making long-term earnings recovery and consistent shareholder value creation uncertain.
Structural margin and volume pressures
Rising procurement costs from tariffs, declining unit volumes and higher SG&A from payroll and tech investments compress margin and strain throughput. Combined with higher delinquencies, these factors can persist for months, pressuring unit economics and making margin recovery dependent on sourcing relief or sustained pricing/underwriting gains.

America's Car-Mart (CRMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

America's Car-Mart Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerica's Car-Mart, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. It primarily sells older model used vehicles and provides financing for its customers. As of April 30, 2022, the company operated 154 dealerships in the South-Central United States. The company was founded in 1981 and is based in Rogers, Arkansas.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerica's Car-Mart generates revenue primarily through the sale of used vehicles, as well as the associated financing services offered to its customers. The company typically sells vehicles at a markup from their wholesale purchase price, allowing for profit margins on each transaction. A significant portion of its revenue is derived from financing agreements, where customers can choose to finance their vehicle purchases directly through Car-Mart. These financing agreements often include higher interest rates compared to traditional lenders, contributing to additional revenue. Furthermore, the company benefits from ancillary services such as vehicle warranties and insurance products. Key partnerships with financial institutions and insurance providers enhance their product offerings, enabling Car-Mart to build a comprehensive service model that increases customer retention and drives repeat business.

America's Car-Mart Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Type
Revenue By Type
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

America's Car-Mart Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 04, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights the company's strategic initiatives to improve operational efficiency, capital structure, and customer quality, indicating a strong position in the market. However, the report of a net loss, elevated charge-offs, and the impact of store closures present significant challenges that the company is addressing. The sentiment is balanced with both positive and negative aspects.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Consumer Demand and Credit Applications Increase
Consumer demand remains robust with credit applications growing 14.6% year-over-year, indicating the company's strong position despite economic uncertainty.
Transformative Capital Structure Improvement
The company closed a transformative $300 million term loan, providing flexibility to optimize store footprint and organizational structure, with expected annualized SG&A savings of over $20 million.
Improved Underwriting and Higher-Quality Customers
The enhanced underwriting platform, LOS V2, led to a 12% improvement in higher-quality bookings, with 76.5% of volume coming from the highest-ranked customers.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Reduction Initiatives
The company executed a multiphase plan reducing SG&A by $31.4 million annually, consolidating underperforming stores, and reducing headcount by 10%.
Successful Digital Payment Adoption
The Pay Your Way platform has increased customer use of digital payment channels, improving collections efficiency and reducing in-store traffic.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Reported
The company reported a net loss of $22.5 million, including noncash reserve adjustments and onetime charges related to strategic actions.
Elevated Charge-offs and Provision for Credit Loss
Net charge-offs increased to 7.0% from 6.6%, and the provision for credit loss rose to $119.1 million, driven by portfolio seasoning and macroeconomic factors.
Decline in Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin decreased to 37.5% from 39.4% in the prior year, though margins improved when adjusted for onetime benefits.
Impact of Store Closures
The consolidation of underperforming stores and a reduction in store footprint by 10% may impact short-term sales and revenue.
Company Guidance
During the America's Car-Mart Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Call, the company reported a net loss of $22.5 million, influenced by approximately $20 million in noncash reserve adjustments and onetime charges related to strategic business repositioning. Despite this loss, the company highlighted a significant milestone with the closure of a transformative $300 million term loan, aimed at alleviating previous capital constraints and enabling a multiphase plan to optimize the store footprint and cost structure. This strategic move is anticipated to generate more than $20 million in annualized SG&A savings, with a 10% reduction in the store footprint. Operational enhancements, such as the launch of the LOS V2 underwriting platform, have already shown a 12% improvement in higher-quality bookings, and the Pay Your Way platform has improved collections efficiency, with a 4.6% increase in average collections per active customer. The company remains focused on improving financial performance through cost reductions, capital structure optimization, and maintaining a robust underwriting process amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment.

America's Car-Mart Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Top-line growth is strong (TTM revenue +25.6%), but profitability and cash generation are weak: TTM net loss (-$14.4M), negative net margin (-1.4%), and negative operating/free cash flow (OCF -$8.4M; FCF -$9.9M) with persistently negative annual cash flows. Balance sheet metrics look improved in the TTM snapshot (debt shown as $0), but the sharp contrast with prior-year leverage adds uncertainty.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth is strong (+25.6%), but profitability has deteriorated to a net loss (-$14.4M) with a negative net margin (-1.4%). Operating profitability remains positive (about a 6.0% operating margin), yet gross margin has fallen versus the most recent annual period (TTM ~35.4% vs. FY2025 ~47.8%), indicating weaker unit economics and/or higher costs. Results look volatile over the last several years (strong profits in FY2021–FY2022, losses in FY2024, modest profit in FY2025, back to a loss in TTM).
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage appears materially improved in the TTM snapshot (total debt shown as $0 and debt-to-equity at 0.0x), while equity is sizable at ~$555M against ~$1.72B of assets. That said, prior annual reports show meaningful leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.5x–2.1x in FY2023–FY2025), so the capital structure looks inconsistent across periods and worth reconciling. Returns to shareholders are weak in the latest period (TTM return on equity is negative at about -2.6%), reflecting the current net loss.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is the key weakness: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is negative (-$8.4M) and free cash flow is also negative (-$9.9M), with a sharp decline in free cash flow versus the prior period (growth ~-76.9%). Annual periods also show persistently negative operating and free cash flow, suggesting earnings quality and/or working-capital/loan-book dynamics are pressuring cash. While free cash flow is shown as more than net income in several periods, the business is still consuming cash overall, limiting financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMApr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021Apr 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14B1.39B1.39B1.41B1.21B918.61M
Gross Profit420.21M664.88M628.48M599.63M548.73M439.46M
EBITDA57.05M101.06M32.08M69.71M137.59M145.87M
Net Income-14.44M17.89M-31.39M20.43M95.01M104.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.72B1.61B1.48B1.41B1.15B822.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments122.36M9.81M5.52M9.80M6.92M2.89M
Total Debt962.77M845.07M819.52M700.90M502.14M290.61M
Total Liabilities1.16B1.04B1.01B915.79M677.76M415.26M
Stockholders Equity555.43M569.82M471.05M498.85M476.83M406.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.93M-52.61M-80.04M-160.21M-135.19M-62.76M
Operating Cash Flow-8.42M-48.76M-73.90M-137.97M-114.28M-53.81M
Investing Cash Flow-2.66M-11.38M-10.64M-25.33M-22.24M-8.26M
Financing Cash Flow132.37M90.23M110.96M188.75M176.22M5.40M

America's Car-Mart Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20.34
Price Trends
50DMA
25.30
Negative
100DMA
24.44
Negative
200DMA
35.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.35
Positive
RSI
31.45
Neutral
STOCH
19.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.54, below the 50-day MA of 25.30, and below the 200-day MA of 35.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRMT.

America's Car-Mart Risk Analysis

America's Car-Mart disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. America's Car-Mart reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

America's Car-Mart Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$637.61M23.226.11%0.20%-20.57%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$300.47M-0.29-25.80%1434.51%-1207.73%
50
Neutral
$692.73M-17.29
49
Neutral
$168.72M-11.47-2.60%2.07%-117.51%
46
Neutral
$14.74M>-0.01-94.86%-99.25%90.38%
44
Neutral
$86.42M-0.85-52.02%-81.31%87.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRMT
America's Car-Mart
20.34
-22.68
-52.72%
CARS
Cars
10.66
-4.64
-30.33%
KXIN
Kaixin Auto Holdings
0.59
-36.91
-98.42%
UXIN
Uxin
3.36
-1.03
-23.46%
CANG
Cango
0.84
-2.54
-75.06%
VRM
Vroom, Inc.
16.62
-10.37
-38.42%

America's Car-Mart Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
America’s Car-Mart completes significant auto receivables securitization
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 17, 2025, America’s Car-Mart completed a $161.3 million term securitization through its ACM Auto Trust 2025-4 vehicle, issuing two classes of asset-backed, non-recourse notes supported by $285.4 million of installment receivables from its used-car finance business. The deal, sold to qualified institutional buyers, features a residual cash flow structure and multiple credit enhancements, and management expects it to improve capital efficiency, increase retained cash flow, bolster liquidity and funding stability, and reduce the company’s long-term cost of capital compared with its prior securitizations, marking a significant step in the retailer’s ongoing effort to strengthen its balance sheet and support its operating transformation.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRMT) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on America’s Car-Mart stock, see the CRMT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026