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RideNow Group (RDNW)
NASDAQ:RDNW
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RideNow Group (RDNW) AI Stock Analysis

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RDNW

RideNow Group

(NASDAQ:RDNW)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(23.84% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/14/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, high leverage, and uneven free cash flow). Technicals provide a modest offset with price above key moving averages and neutral-to-positive momentum. Valuation is difficult to support on earnings due to a negative P/E, while the new financing capacity is a small positive but carries added leverage risk.
Positive Factors
Expanded inventory financing capacity
A meaningful, structural increase in floorplan credit materially raises RideNow's ability to finance inventory purchases across dealers. Greater committed capacity supports higher inventory turns, helps meet seasonal demand, and reduces risk of lost sales from stockouts, improving long-term revenue stability if execution remains disciplined.
Negative Factors
High leverage and prior negative equity
Historically elevated debt and a period of negative equity materially weaken financial flexibility. High leverage amplifies downside in cyclical demand, increases refinancing and covenant risk, and limits capacity to invest organically; these balance-sheet constraints persist until consistent profits reduce leverage.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Expanded inventory financing capacity
A meaningful, structural increase in floorplan credit materially raises RideNow's ability to finance inventory purchases across dealers. Greater committed capacity supports higher inventory turns, helps meet seasonal demand, and reduces risk of lost sales from stockouts, improving long-term revenue stability if execution remains disciplined.
Read all positive factors

RideNow Group (RDNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RideNow Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
RumbleON, Inc. utilizes a sophisticated, technology-powered omnichannel platform to streamline the aggregation and distribution of pre-owned vehicles across North America. Its operations are structured across three distinct segments: The Powerspor...
How the Company Makes Money
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RideNow Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 09, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a materially improved operating performance and clear signs of operational turnaround: large Q4 adjusted EBITDA improvement, multi-quarter same-store gains, stronger gross margins, unit mix improvement toward higher-margin pre-owned sales, and meaningful SG&A reductions. These operational wins are tempered by lower total revenue due to the intentional wind-down of Wholesale Express, a sharp year-over-year decline in operating cash flow and free cash flow (driven by the absence of prior-year one-time proceeds), a modest full-year unit decline, and leverage/refinancing considerations. Overall, the tone is constructive and indicates momentum in core powersports operations, but liquidity, cash generation and the loss of Wholesale Express remain key near-term risks.
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Surge (Q4 and Full Year)
Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $9.7M, up 341% from $2.2M in Q4 last year (improvement of over $7.5M). Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $46.2M, a 40.4% increase year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline Driven by Wholesale Express Wind-Down
Total Q4 revenue was $256.9M vs $269.6M prior year, a decline of ~4.7% primarily due to the near-complete loss and shutdown of the Wholesale Express transportation business. Prior-year Wholesale Express contributed ~$58M in revenue and ~$13.4M in gross profit.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Adjusted EBITDA Surge (Q4 and Full Year)
Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $9.7M, up 341% from $2.2M in Q4 last year (improvement of over $7.5M). Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $46.2M, a 40.4% increase year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that momentum should continue into Q1 as the macro environment improves, positioning the company for a potential term‑loan refinancing and aiming to drive further adjusted EBITDA and increased free cash flow; they pointed to Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $9.7M (up 341% YoY from $2.2M) and full‑year adjusted EBITDA of $46.2M (up 40.4%) as evidence of progress. They emphasized the same‑store strength underpinning that outlook — Q4 same‑store revenue +6.3% to $256.9M, same‑store gross profit +13.8% to $66.8M and same‑store unit sales 15,420 vs 14,320 — plus improved margins (new unit margin 13.2%, pre‑owned 14.4%), lower adjusted SG&A ($59.9M in Q4; $243.8M FY, down 9.7%), and better fixed‑ops and F&I GPU; balance‑sheet metrics cited included $42.9M cash, $189.3M nonvehicle net debt and $152.6M total available liquidity, with FY free cash flow of $10.3M (vs $97.4M prior year), all of which management said support disciplined deployment of cash and a return to acquisitive growth in 2026.

RideNow Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals remain pressured by persistent net losses, high leverage (including negative equity in 2025), and inconsistent free cash flow. Positives include modest TTM revenue stabilization, improved gross margin versus 2021, and slightly positive TTM operating cash flow, but durability of profitability and cash generation is not yet demonstrated.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
37
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.10B1.08B1.21B1.37B1.46B934.73M
Gross Profit299.90M289.00M314.30M359.90M441.70M158.18M
EBITDA-13.20M41.70M38.90M-55.90M-230.40M-8.88M
Net Income-47.00M-52.40M-78.60M-215.50M-261.51M-9.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets721.70M673.60M755.20M926.30M1.03B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.20M29.50M85.30M58.90M46.80M48.97M
Total Debt655.60M554.00M665.70M771.60M749.00M522.39M
Total Liabilities391.70M686.10M718.50M820.70M821.20M614.03M
Stockholders Equity330.00M-12.50M36.70M105.60M206.01M431.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.40M-13.40M97.00M-77.80M-31.51M-45.58M
Operating Cash Flow2.40M-7.60M99.40M-62.00M-18.89M-35.99M
Investing Cash Flow-2.90M-2.70M900.00K-19.10M-82.20M-376.56M
Financing Cash Flow-9.30M-43.50M-80.60M99.50M107.70M461.00M

RideNow Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.46
Price Trends
50DMA
7.33
Positive
100DMA
6.72
Positive
200DMA
5.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
54.81
Neutral
STOCH
48.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RDNW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.80, below the 50-day MA of 7.33, and above the 200-day MA of 5.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RDNW.

RideNow Group Risk Analysis

RideNow Group disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RideNow Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RideNow Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
51
Neutral
$302.91M-6.47-61.46%-4.18%43.09%
47
Neutral
$17.35M-0.18-17.38%-2.67%-1336.84%
46
Neutral
$37.60M-0.57-38.32%41.94%72.15%
44
Neutral
$73.45M-24.74-9.56%12.85%
44
Neutral
$113.01M-16.2445.03%-53.68%-128.21%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RDNW
RideNow Group
7.85
5.81
283.86%
CRMT
America's Car-Mart
2.09
-47.79
-95.81%
SDA
SunCar Technology Group
0.72
-1.88
-72.31%
JZXN
Jiuzi Holdings
1.51
-45.29
-96.77%
AZI
Autozi Internet Technology (Global) Ltd. Class A
1.66
-151.79
-98.92%
VRM
Vroom, Inc.
7.22
-22.06
-75.34%

RideNow Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
RideNow Group Holds Routine Virtual Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 5, 2026
On June 4, 2026, RideNow Group, Inc. held its virtual annual meeting of stockholders via live audio webcast, where investors elected all nominated directors to serve for the coming year and reaffirmed the company’s existing board composition...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
RideNow Group Expands Inventory Financing Capacity with Polaris
Positive
May 18, 2026
On May 15, 2026, RideNow Group, Inc. and certain dealer subsidiaries entered into an Amended and Restated Inventory Financing Agreement with Polaris Acceptance, increasing the credit commitment under the Polaris floorplan facility from about $74.7...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 14, 2026