tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Kforce Inc (KFRC)
NYSE:KFRC

Kforce (KFRC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
126 Followers

Top Page

KFRC

Kforce

(NYSE:KFRC)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(3.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
KFRC’s score is driven primarily by weakening financial trends (multi-year revenue decline and margin compression) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by supportive valuation (high dividend yield with a mid-teens P/E) and a cautiously improving narrative from the latest earnings call (sequential momentum and cost-savings actions), with buyback activity providing a smaller additional tailwind.
Positive Factors
Consistent positive cash generation
Kforce has produced positive operating and free cash flow every year shown, and FCF covered ~76% of net income in 2025. Persistent cash generation supports dividends, buybacks and reinvestment, giving the company durable financial flexibility despite cyclical revenue pressure.
Targeted $7M annualized cost savings
Management's $7M run‑rate cost program is structural (headcount and organizational changes) and should permanently lower SG&A if sustained. That reduces the revenue level needed to restore target margins, improving durability of earnings and cash flow even in a flat-revenue scenario.
Strategic initiatives to improve delivery mix
Workday deployment, offshore scale-up and 'One Kforce' integration are multi-quarter structural initiatives that can lower operating costs, support nearshore/offshore margin expansion, and improve delivery consistency—raising long-term operating leverage once fully executed.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
Three consecutive years of declining revenue indicate persistent demand weakness or market-share pressures. Prolonged top-line erosion reduces operating leverage, limits margin recovery, and makes reliance on cost cuts and buybacks insufficient to restore growth without a sustainable rebound in client demand.
Margin compression and low operating margins
Margins have contracted materially, leaving limited buffer to absorb payroll-tax, healthcare or pricing pressure. Low operating profitability constrains reinvestment and increases sensitivity of dividends and buybacks to small revenue swings, making sustainable cash returns contingent on margin recovery.
Rising leverage and reduced equity cushion
Debt-to-equity rising to ~0.56 alongside declining equity reduces financial flexibility if the revenue downturn continues. While absolute debt is modest, the trend limits capacity for large M&A, sustained buybacks or absorbing longer downturns without pressuring liquidity or credit metrics.

Kforce (KFRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kforce Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKforce Inc. provides professional staffing services and solutions in the United States. It operates through two segments, Technology, and Finance and Accounting (FA). The Technology segment provides talent solutions to its clients primarily in the areas of information technology, such as systems/applications architecture and development, data management and analytics, business and artificial intelligence, machine learning, project and program management, and network architecture and security. This segment serves clients in various industries comprising financial and business services, communications, insurance, retail, and technology industries. The FA businesses segment offers talent solutions to its clients in areas, including financial planning and analysis, business intelligence analysis, accounting, transactional accounting, business and cost analysis, and taxation and treasury. It also provides consultants in lower skilled areas comprising loan servicing and support, customer and call center support, data entry, and other administrative roles. This segment serves clients in various industries, including financial and business services, healthcare, and manufacturing sectors. Kforce Inc. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyKforce makes money primarily by providing staffing and talent placement services to client companies. Its largest revenue stream is contract staffing: Kforce recruits and employs (or subcontract-manages) professionals who work on assignment at client sites or remotely; the client pays Kforce an hourly (or project) bill rate, and Kforce pays the worker’s wages and related employment costs, keeping the spread (gross profit) as revenue after covering compensation, payroll taxes, and benefits. The company also earns revenue from direct-hire and contract-to-hire placements, typically by charging a placement fee when a candidate is hired into a permanent role (often structured as a percentage of the candidate’s first-year compensation or a fixed fee; exact terms vary by client and are not publicly standardized). Additional factors that influence earnings include utilization (how consistently placed professionals are billed), bill-pay spreads, the mix of higher-skill roles (e.g., technology) versus other categories, client demand for project work, and the company’s ability to recruit and retain qualified talent. Specific partnership arrangements are not consistently disclosed in detail; if present, they are not available at a level that can be stated factually here.

Kforce Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Shows the profit left after direct costs for each segment, highlighting differences in margins and cost structure across Kforce’s services. Useful for assessing which businesses are the most profitable, where margin expansion or pressure may come from, and how segment trends will affect overall earnings and cash flow.
Chart InsightsTechnology gross profit has slid from its 2022 highs into a multi-quarter downtrend, while Finance & Accounting has stabilized and recently shown sequential recoveries — an inflection tied to consulting-led engagements and improving FA bill rates. Management’s rising consultants-on-assignment and focus on higher-margin consulting are cushioning overall profitability, but higher SG&A and macro uncertainty mean margin upside is contingent on sustaining utilization and consulting momentum into Q4.
Data provided by:The Fly

Kforce Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a cautiously optimistic tone: management highlighted a meaningful sequential recovery (Q4 revenue beat, strong billing-day growth, robust consulting/data demand and a strong start to 2026) and outlined cost actions and strategic initiatives expected to drive margin and long-term growth. However, these positives are tempered by multi-year revenue declines (FY25 down ~5%), a sharp decline in adjusted EPS (~22% YoY), Q4 margin headwinds from healthcare/seasonality, and a higher effective tax rate. The narrative indicates potential inflection but continued near-term uncertainty, with management positioning the company to benefit if the topline momentum sustains.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Q4 Revenue Beat and Sequential Momentum
Q4 total revenues of $332 million exceeded expectations and reflected a 3% sequential improvement on a billing-day basis; management reported January 2026 as the best start since 2022 and noted front-end indicators (client visits, interviews, order flow) at multi-year highs.
Strong Sequential Growth in Flex Revenue (Technology & F&A)
Flex revenues in the technology business rose sharply on a billing-day basis (management cited a 35.7% sequential increase in the prepared remarks) while F&A flex revenues grew 5.7% sequentially in Q4; these sequential gains were highlighted as the highest tech flex billing-day growth since 2022.
Consulting & Data/Digital Demand Expansion
Consulting-led offerings, especially data and digital practices, are the firm's fastest-growing areas with a robust pipeline and double-digit percentage demand growth in data/digital; management highlighted increased client investments in data modernization, digital, application engineering and cloud as drivers of future revenue.
Stable Average Bill Rates and Improving Mix
Technology average bill rate has remained steady at approximately $90/hour over the past three years despite macro pressure; growth in higher-skilled consulting mix and increased nearshore/offshore delivery are helping stabilize bill rates and support slight spread improvement year-over-year.
Cost Actions and Expected Annualized Benefit
Management undertook headcount and organizational refinements and other operating cost reductions with expected annualized run-rate benefits of approximately $7 million (roughly $0.30 per share); they expect these actions to support operating margin improvement in 2026 even absent revenue growth.
Capital Return and Dividend Increase
Returned $14.1 million of capital in the quarter ($6.7M dividends and ~$7.4M share repurchases); the board approved a dividend increase marking the seventh consecutive year of dividend hikes and management stated excess cash beyond requirements will be used for buybacks while maintaining stable debt levels.
Progress on Strategic Initiatives
Advancement of transformational initiatives such as Workday implementation (HCM and Financials), expansion of offshore delivery capabilities (Pune), and integration of firm capabilities under 'One Kforce'—all cited as contributors to long-term financial objectives and future operating efficiencies.
Profitability Metrics and Outlook
Q4 GAAP operating margin was 2.6% (adjusted 3.6%); management targets ~8% operating margin when revenues return to ~$1.7 billion and expects flexibility to generate operating leverage if revenue trends accelerate; Q1 revenue guidance range of $324M–$332M and EPS $0.37–$0.45 (63 billing days).
Negative Updates
Full-Year Revenue Decline
Fiscal 2025 revenues were approximately $1.33 billion, down roughly 5% year-over-year, marking the third consecutive year of revenue declines for Kforce and the broader technology services sector.
Adjusted EPS Contraction
Adjusted EPS for fiscal 2025 was $2.09, down approximately 22% year-over-year; Q4 GAAP EPS was $0.30 and adjusted EPS was $0.43, which fell below the midpoint of guidance due to higher healthcare costs and elevated performance-based compensation.
Margin Pressure from Healthcare Costs and Seasonality
Overall gross margin in Q4 was 27.2%, down 50 basis points sequentially (but up 20 bps YoY); tech flex margins rose 40 bps YoY yet declined 40 bps sequentially largely due to higher-than-expected healthcare costs and normal seasonal holiday effects; management flagged payroll tax resets expected to reduce flex margins in Q1 by ~60 bps (tech) and ~120 bps (F&A).
SG&A Deleverage and Higher Tax Rate
SG&A as a percentage of revenue was 24.2% GAAP (adjusted 23.2%), up ~120 basis points year-over-year driven by deleverage from lower revenue and gross profit; Q4 effective tax rate was 33.6% (higher than planned) and management expects a higher-than-normal ~29% effective tax rate in 2026 (vs. historical ~26%).
Direct Hire & Conversion Weakness
Conversion of consultants to direct hires remained muted (large-enterprise conversions down), reducing direct-hire mix which negatively impacted margins; management noted small-to-mid-market direct hire activity is improving but enterprise direct-hire demand has slowed.
One-Time Charges and Write-offs
Q4 included charges related to organizational refinements totaling $0.13 per share (approximately one-third of that related to severance) and a discontinued software asset write-off ( ~$2.2M referenced in Q&A), contributing to Q4 GAAP results being affected by nonrecurring items.
Top-Line Uncertainty and Macro Risks
Management emphasized reliance on a stable operating environment for guidance and noted ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, a soft labor market, and open questions about the timing and scope of AI-driven demand—any adverse macro changes could reverse recent momentum.
Company Guidance
Kforce guided Q1 2026 revenues of $324–$332 million and EPS of $0.37–$0.45, with 63 billing days (one additional day year‑over‑year) and an expected effective tax rate of ~29% (2026 could approximate 29% as well); management said the recent organizational refinements should deliver roughly $7 million of annualized savings (≈$0.30 per share) with only a partial benefit reflected in Q1. For context, FY2025 revenues were ≈$1.33 billion (down ~5% YoY), Q4 revenue was $332 million (≈3% sequential improvement per billing day), Q4 GAAP EPS was $0.30 (adjusted $0.43) and FY2025 GAAP EPS was $1.96 (adjusted $2.09, down ~22% YoY); Q4 gross margin was 27.2% (down 50 bps sequential, up 20 bps YoY), Q4 operating margin was 2.6% GAAP (3.6% adjusted), tech average bill rate remains ~$90/hr (F&A ≈$53/hr), and tech flex margins were +40 bps YoY but -40 bps sequential. They expect Q1 payroll‑tax reset pressure to reduce flex margins by ~60 bps in Technology and ~120 bps in F&A, expect spreads to be relatively stable with Q4, aim to improve operating margins in 2026 even with flat revenue (and target ~8% operating margin when annual revenues reach ~$1.7B), and noted $14.1M of capital returned in the quarter (dividends $6.7M, repurchases $7.4M), operating cash flow of $19.7M and ROE of ≈30%.

Kforce Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial results reflect a cyclical downturn: revenue has declined for multiple years and margins have compressed (net margin down to ~2.6% in 2025). Offsetting this, KFRC remains profitable with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, and leverage is still manageable despite rising debt-to-equity and declining equity.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
KFRC shows a clear downcycle: revenue has fallen each year from 2022–2025 (2025 down ~6% vs. 2024), and profitability has compressed alongside it (net margin down from ~4.4% in 2022 to ~2.6% in 2025; operating profitability similarly lower). Gross margin has been relatively steady but drifting down from 2022 levels, suggesting limited cushion while demand softens. The key strength is that the company remains profitable through the slowdown, but the trajectory of sales and margins is negative.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage looks manageable overall, with debt-to-equity around ~0.56 in 2025 (higher than 2022–2024 but still not extreme), and total debt remains modest relative to the business size. Equity has declined from 2022–2025, which reduces balance-sheet flexibility, and the uptick in leverage bears watching if the earnings downturn persists. Returns on equity remain high (still ~28% in 2025), though that has eased from peak levels as profitability weakened.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation remains solid, with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in every year shown; however, both operating cash flow and free cash flow declined in 2025 (free cash flow down ~11% year over year). Cash conversion weakened: operating cash flow is meaningfully below net income in 2025 (coverage ~0.54), indicating less earnings-to-cash support versus prior years. A positive is that free cash flow still covers a large portion of net income (~0.76 in 2025), even though that ratio has slipped from stronger levels in 2022–2024.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.33B1.41B1.53B1.71B1.58B
Gross Profit355.82M385.44M427.07M501.11M456.86M
EBITDA52.49M75.64M92.13M126.97M109.47M
Net Income34.83M50.41M61.08M75.43M75.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets365.64M357.83M357.98M392.00M503.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.14M349.00K119.00K121.00K96.99M
Total Debt69.74M47.60M57.46M46.56M118.26M
Total Liabilities241.03M203.22M198.90M209.81M315.00M
Stockholders Equity124.60M154.62M159.08M182.20M188.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow46.80M79.30M83.70M82.70M66.46M
Operating Cash Flow61.65M86.87M91.47M90.81M72.90M
Investing Cash Flow-14.14M-7.56M-4.86M-14.28M8.30M
Financing Cash Flow-45.71M-79.08M-86.61M-173.39M-87.70M

Kforce Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.17
Price Trends
50DMA
30.51
Negative
100DMA
29.75
Negative
200DMA
31.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.22
Negative
RSI
37.98
Neutral
STOCH
33.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KFRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.59, below the 50-day MA of 30.51, and below the 200-day MA of 31.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KFRC.

Kforce Risk Analysis

Kforce disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kforce reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kforce Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$307.78M-1.20-22.10%3.53%0.46%-477.90%
55
Neutral
$478.34M15.7826.32%5.12%-5.91%-23.01%
51
Neutral
$1.23B11.44-0.65%4.96%-2.44%-156.01%
48
Neutral
$216.10M-10.62-10.14%-1381.34%
44
Neutral
$109.13M-2.93-16.17%-5.37%75.32%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KFRC
Kforce
26.17
-22.05
-45.73%
KELYA
Kelly Services
8.51
-4.60
-35.11%
MAN
ManpowerGroup
26.42
-31.75
-54.58%
TBI
Trueblue
3.63
-2.01
-35.64%
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
2.56
-3.17
-55.32%

Kforce Corporate Events

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Kforce Launches Rule 10b5-1 Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Mar 17, 2026

On March 13, 2026, Kforce Inc. adopted a corporate stock trading plan to repurchase its outstanding common shares under a previously authorized board share repurchase program, structured in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act. The plan, administered by an independent broker and subject to price, market, volume and timing constraints, enables repurchases between March 16 and April 29, 2026, signaling continued capital return to shareholders and potentially influencing the firm’s share liquidity and capital structure.

The program’s defined trading window and reliance on an automated 10b5-1 framework reduce discretion over day-to-day execution while providing Kforce with a mechanism to systematically buy back stock in the open market. For investors, the move underscores management’s willingness to deploy balance-sheet capacity toward buybacks, which may support earnings per share metrics and reflect confidence in the company’s valuation.

The most recent analyst rating on (KFRC) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kforce stock, see the KFRC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026