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Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV (KCDMY)
OTHER OTC:KCDMY
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Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV (KCDMY) AI Stock Analysis

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KCDMY

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV

(OTC:KCDMY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$12.00
â–²(14.94% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by strong technical momentum and a positive 2026 outlook from the earnings call (cost savings, input tailwinds, and capital returns). These strengths are tempered by weaker recent financial momentum and elevated leverage risk, while valuation is supportive due to a reasonable P/E and attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Profitability / Margins
High and consistent gross and net margins reflect durable pricing power and category economics in consumer staples. Margins provide a structural buffer versus input cost swings, support reinvestment in brands and product innovation, and underpin long-term cash returns to shareholders.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Despite recent deleveraging, high historical debt relative to equity leaves the balance sheet riskier than peers. Elevated leverage limits strategic flexibility, raises interest sensitivity to shocks, and constrains large M&A or capex without further deleveraging or cash generation improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability / Margins
High and consistent gross and net margins reflect durable pricing power and category economics in consumer staples. Margins provide a structural buffer versus input cost swings, support reinvestment in brands and product innovation, and underpin long-term cash returns to shareholders.
Read all positive factors

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV (KCDMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and commercializes disposable products for daily use by consumers in Mexico. The company offers diapers, pull-up training pants, swim diapers, wet wipes, sha...
How the Company Makes Money
Kimberly-Clark de Mexico makes money primarily by selling branded consumer staples products in high-frequency categories (personal care and tissue). Revenue is generated through (1) retail sales to supermarkets, mass merchants, convenience stores,...

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a largely positive quarter and constructive outlook: Q4 showed revenue growth, significant margin and EBITDA improvement, strong cost-savings execution, healthy cash generation and a strong balance sheet. Management acknowledged ongoing headwinds—soft consumer demand, competitive intensity, a 10% contraction in Away-from-Home and full-year margin pressure—while outlining clear mitigation plans (continued cost reductions, pricing/mix initiatives, innovation, private label participation and potential strategic opportunities from Kenvue integration). Given the weight of tangible operational and financial improvements and an optimistic but cautious outlook, the tone is constructive and forward-looking.
Positive Updates
Fourth Quarter Revenue Growth
Sales reached MXN 14.1 billion in Q4, up 2.1% year-over-year, with sequential sales growth of 4.8% versus Q3.
Negative Updates
Soft Consumer Backdrop and Competitive Pressure
Consumer confidence remained subdued and private labels/value formats continued to gain share; management expects competitors to remain aggressive through 2026 amid moderated private consumption.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Fourth Quarter Revenue Growth
Sales reached MXN 14.1 billion in Q4, up 2.1% year-over-year, with sequential sales growth of 4.8% versus Q3.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call pointed to stronger momentum in 2026 versus 2025, driven by expected tailwinds from lower pulp, recycled fibers, resins and superabsorbent materials plus a supportive peso (Q4 average appreciation ~8%), with the company already identifying upwards of MXN 1.0 billion of cost savings for 2026 (on top of MXN 1.95 billion delivered in 2025 and ~MXN 500 million in Q4), plans to continue pricing and mix actions, and an ambition to keep cost reduction as a structural lever that could deliver savings close to 2025 levels; management expects Away‑from‑Home to recover by Q2, pet food to be a breakout category in 2026, will evaluate potential integration of Kenvue Mexico (roughly $200 million in sales), and will propose a high‑single‑digit dividend increase and a significant share repurchase program at the Feb. 26 shareholders’ meeting, while operating with a healthy balance sheet (cash MXN 9.7 billion, net debt/EBITDA ~1.0x, EBITDA/interest ~10x).

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (high gross margin ~41% and solid net margin) and consistently positive free cash flow support a good operating profile, but recent revenue decline and weaker 2025 operating/FCF trends reduce momentum. Balance-sheet leverage remains a meaningful risk despite evident deleveraging.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.94B54.78B53.31B51.06B46.89B
Gross Profit20.19B22.38B20.70B16.77B15.79B
EBITDA13.21B16.09B15.23B11.58B10.79B
Net Income7.11B7.83B7.01B4.94B4.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.71B52.11B53.92B53.54B48.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.68B15.58B16.86B16.92B12.27B
Total Debt22.11B28.10B29.72B34.15B29.83B
Total Liabilities38.46B44.70B47.00B48.51B43.06B
Stockholders Equity7.25B7.41B6.92B5.03B5.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.09B8.10B11.08B6.18B4.65B
Operating Cash Flow7.80B10.60B12.76B8.32B6.80B
Investing Cash Flow-1.72B-1.30B-311.39M-2.15B-2.14B
Financing Cash Flow-11.02B-13.50B-9.83B-1.32B-11.07B

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.44
Price Trends
50DMA
11.76
Positive
100DMA
11.11
Positive
200DMA
10.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
54.37
Neutral
STOCH
67.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KCDMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.61, below the 50-day MA of 11.76, and above the 200-day MA of 10.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KCDMY.

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$22.60B27.6217.16%1.38%1.45%42.04%
71
Outperform
$7.14B16.28156.24%4.70%-9.05%-18.32%
69
Neutral
$126.81B12.8426.01%3.74%-0.30%-14.60%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$67.60B-429.64431.59%2.67%-0.05%2.49%
61
Neutral
$32.29B16.63155.28%5.03%-10.04%-23.41%
56
Neutral
$12.73B19.521502.49%5.05%-9.35%123.06%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KCDMY
Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV
11.91
4.24
55.18%
CHD
Church & Dwight
95.42
-8.80
-8.45%
CLX
Clorox
105.28
-30.11
-22.24%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
84.34
-8.35
-9.01%
KMB
Kimberly Clark
97.28
-39.21
-28.73%
UL
Unilever
58.34
-6.17
-9.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026