Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:9861)
:9861
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Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.
(9861)
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Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,541.00
▲(15.30% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (revenue recovery and stronger leverage profile), supported by bullish technical trend signals. This is meaningfully offset by an expensive valuation (very high P/E and low yield) and weakening margin/cash-flow consistency.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent top-line growth across 2022–2026 signals durable demand recovery and successful execution of store and menu initiatives. A steady revenue base supports scale economics, franchise royalties, and resilience against cyclical pressures, strengthening earnings durability over months.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Sustained margin compression weakens the company's ability to convert revenue into durable profits and limits reinvestment capacity. Lower margins reduce buffer against commodity and labor cost inflation, raising structural risk to profitability unless unit economics improve.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent top-line growth across 2022–2026 signals durable demand recovery and successful execution of store and menu initiatives. A steady revenue base supports scale economics, franchise royalties, and resilience against cyclical pressures, strengthening earnings durability over months.
Read all positive factors
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (9861) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥222.07B
Dividend Yield0.69%
Average Volume (3M)447.76K
Price to Earnings (P/E)42.9
Beta (1Y)0.17
Revenue Growth10.75%
EPS Growth-14.28%
CountryJP
Employees3,016
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)20.37
Shares Outstanding65,129,560
10 Day Avg. Volume363,450
30 Day Avg. Volume447,756
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.89
Price to Book (P/B)2.94
Price to Sales (P/S)0.89
P/FCF Ratio43.30
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)74.94
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥237.05B
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates restaurants worldwide. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan....
How the Company Makes Money
Yoshinoya Holdings makes money primarily by selling meals and beverages through its restaurant network. The core revenue stream is in-store and takeout sales at Yoshinoya-branded locations, where it earns revenue per transaction from menu items su...
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2026 | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 216.12B | 225.67B | 204.98B | 187.47B | 168.10B | 153.60B |
| Gross Profit | 128.30B | 132.16B | 124.00B | 114.62B | 101.96B | 95.22B |
| EBITDA | 15.61B | 15.90B | 14.46B | 14.47B | 9.81B | 8.94B |
| Net Income | 4.23B | 4.67B | 3.80B | 5.61B | 7.23B | 8.12B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 124.58B | 124.82B | 119.54B | 113.24B | 108.57B | 112.60B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 21.70B | 21.64B | 20.57B | 27.35B | 24.23B | 35.18B |
| Total Debt | 30.93B | 28.82B | 28.28B | 28.62B | 33.61B | 42.11B |
| Total Liabilities | 58.18B | 56.11B | 54.72B | 52.38B | 52.97B | 63.85B |
| Stockholders Equity | 65.75B | 67.99B | 64.18B | 60.36B | 55.11B | 48.10B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 4.62B | 15.00M | 10.70B | 1.17B | 20.48B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 14.70B | 13.36B | 20.07B | 7.25B | 23.44B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -10.10B | -14.45B | -8.31B | -4.01B | -307.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -3.41B | -5.97B | -8.96B | -14.20B | -26.07B |
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
3071.00
Price Trends
3178.21
Positive
3115.13
Positive
3142.36
Positive
Market Momentum
74.76
Negative
65.76
Neutral
67.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9861, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3071 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3304.35, below the 50-day MA of 3178.21, and below the 200-day MA of 3142.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 74.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9861.
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | ¥141.42B | 56.48 | ― | 1.71% | 9.51% | 6.29% | |
66 Neutral | ¥1.11T | 26.23 | 25.68% | 0.45% | 18.95% | 58.91% | |
66 Neutral | ¥50.25B | 39.57 | ― | 0.17% | 15.53% | -26.93% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | ¥222.07B | 42.91 | ― | 0.69% | 10.75% | -14.28% | |
59 Neutral | ¥1.39T | 28.68 | 15.36% | 0.78% | 11.29% | -4.88% | |
57 Neutral | ¥117.35B | 15.35 | ― | 0.37% | 20.44% | 13.71% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:9861
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,434.00
325.96
10.49%
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Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Yoshinoya Seeks Tripling of Director Stock Pay Cap to Boost Governance
Apr 9, 2026
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. plans to revise its restricted stock remuneration plan for directors to better align management incentives with long-term corporate value and shareholder interests. The company seeks shareholder approval at its May 26,...
Yoshinoya to Let Takeover Defense Plan Expire After Shareholder Meeting
Apr 9, 2026
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. has decided not to renew its longstanding takeover defense measures, known as the Policy for Large-Scale Acquisitions of the Company’s Shares, when they expire at the close of its 69th annual shareholders’ ...
Yoshinoya Lifts Earnings and Dividend, Sets Cautious Profit Outlook for FY2027
Apr 9, 2026
Yoshinoya Holdings reported solid results for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, with net sales rising 10.1% to ¥225.7 billion and operating profit up 10.7% to ¥8.1 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent jumped 22.7% ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.