Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (9861) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥200.92B
• Dividend Yield: 0.64%
• Average Volume (3M): 207.00K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 52.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.31
• Revenue Growth: 9.34%
• EPS Growth: -32.15%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 3,016
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 61
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 7.29
• Shares Outstanding: 65,129,560
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 230,690
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 207,003
• PEG Ratio: -1.92
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.75
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 164.11
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥3,147.00 ▲(1.29%Upside)

Yoshinoya Holdings' stock score is primarily influenced by mixed financial performance with revenue growth but modest profitability and cash flow challenges. The technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics imply potential overvaluation.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (9861) is a prominent Japanese fast-food chain known for its beef bowl (gyudon) offerings. Established in 1899 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Yoshinoya operates a wide network of restaurants domestically and internationally. The company is primarily involved in the quick service restaurant (QSR) sector, providing a variety of traditional Japanese dishes, including beef, pork, and chicken bowls, alongside other menu items such as seafood, rice, and side dishes. Yoshinoya is committed to delivering quality meals at affordable prices, catering to a diverse clientele looking for fast, convenient, and delicious dining options.

How the Company Makes Money

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its chain of Yoshinoya restaurants, which offer a variety of Japanese fast-food options. The company earns money from direct sales of food and beverages in its outlets, both domestically and internationally. A significant portion of its revenue comes from its flagship product, the gyudon, which attracts a large customer base due to its affordability and taste. Additionally, Yoshinoya benefits from franchising agreements, allowing it to expand its brand presence globally while earning franchise fees and royalties. Strategic partnerships and supply chain efficiencies also contribute to the company's profitability, enabling cost-effective sourcing of ingredients and operational scalability.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Yoshinoya Holdings has shown revenue growth, but profitability remains modest, and cash flow challenges are evident. The balance sheet is strong, reflecting financial stability.

Income Statement

Yoshinoya Holdings has shown a solid recovery trend in revenue from the pandemic impact, with a 9.34% increase in revenue from 2024 to 2025. However, profitability metrics such as the gross profit margin at approximately 60.6% and the net profit margin at around 1.85% are modest, indicating competitive pressures and high operational costs. The EBIT margin improved slightly to 3.57%, suggesting operating efficiency gains, but remains low compared to industry standards.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.44, demonstrating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is low at 5.93%, indicating limited earnings relative to equity. The equity ratio of 53.88% reflects a strong capital base, providing a buffer against financial volatility.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant drop in free cash flow from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.5, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow in 2025 underscores high capital expenditures potentially affecting liquidity.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	200.33B	204.98B	187.47B	168.10B	153.60B	170.35B
Gross Profit	123.92B	124.20B	121.11B	108.33B	101.79B	107.06B
EBITDA	10.82B	13.64B	15.09B	15.76B	20.38B	245.00M
Net Income	4.60B	3.80B	5.60B	7.23B	8.12B	-7.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	115.39B	119.11B	112.94B	108.23B	112.21B	131.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	21.25B	20.57B	27.35B	24.23B	35.18B	37.90B
Total Debt	27.54B	28.28B	28.62B	33.61B	42.11B	68.34B
Total Liabilities	51.83B	54.30B	52.09B	52.63B	63.47B	91.78B
Stockholders Equity	62.96B	64.18B	60.36B	55.11B	48.10B	39.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-41.00M	10.37B	923.00M	20.17B	-1.99B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	13.30B	20.07B	7.25B	23.44B	2.72B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-14.40B	-8.31B	-4.01B	-333.00M	-5.17B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-5.97B	-8.96B	-14.20B	-26.04B	17.81B

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3107.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9861, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3107 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3132.20, below the 50-day MA of 3158.78, and above the 200-day MA of 3094.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -13.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9861.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
7630	69 Neutral	¥145.89B	44.94		1.75%	10.63%	22.33%
8153	69 Neutral	¥114.40B	36.34		0.81%	3.36%	22.37%
9936	67 Neutral	¥221.80B	25.72		1.36%	9.50%	1.92%
7616	58 Neutral	¥201.14B	254.20		0.26%	11.55%	-49.32%
Sector *	56 Neutral	HK$23.37B	3.96	-1.56%	6.69%	0.06%	-64.88%
9887	56 Neutral	¥114.53B	52.41		0.40%	20.85%	-25.02%
9861	52 Neutral	¥200.92B	52.86		0.64%	9.34%	-32.15%

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Yoshinoya Completes Treasury Share Disposal for Stock Compensation

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed the payment for the disposal of 17,228 treasury shares as restricted stock compensation, a move approved by its Board of Directors. This disposal, involving directors and officers, aims to align management’s interests with shareholders and enhance corporate governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9861) stock is a Sell with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9861 Stock Forecast page.

Yoshinoya Announces Treasury Share Disposal for Stock Compensation

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the disposal of 17,228 treasury shares as part of its restricted stock compensation plan, aimed at aligning the interests of its directors and officers with those of shareholders. This move is intended to incentivize long-term commitment to corporate value creation, with restrictions on share transfer until the officers retire or resign.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9861) stock is a Sell with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9861 Stock Forecast page.

Yoshinoya Unveils Ambitious Medium-Term Growth Strategy

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a new Group Medium-Term Management Plan, targeting fiscal year 2029 as its final year. The plan emphasizes ‘Transformation and Sustainable Growth’ with strategic pillars to strengthen, accelerate, and expand its business operations. The company aims to transform existing businesses and grow new business drivers, with a projected increase in net sales and operating income. A total growth investment of JPY 130 billion is planned over five years, focusing on capital expenditures and inorganic investments to enhance the business portfolio and accelerate sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9861) stock is a Sell with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9861 Stock Forecast page.

Yoshinoya Holdings Announces Leadership Changes to Drive Growth

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a significant leadership restructuring to enhance its adaptability in a rapidly changing business environment and to support its long-term growth strategy. The changes include appointing Tetsuya Naruse as the new Representative Director, President, and CEO, effective May 27, 2025, with the aim of strengthening the company’s strategic direction and corporate value.

Yoshinoya Reports Extraordinary Loss Amid Strategic Restructuring

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. announced an extraordinary loss in its non-consolidated financial statements due to a loss on valuation of investments in subsidiaries and associates, amounting to JPY 2,958 million. This loss stems from strategic restructuring in response to post-COVID-19 market changes in China, but it does not affect the consolidated financial results, and the company remains committed to growth in the Chinese market.

Yoshinoya Holdings Reports 2025 Financial Results with Increased Sales but Lower Profits

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2025. The company experienced a 9.3% increase in net sales, reaching ¥204,983 million, but saw a decline in operating profit by 8.4% to ¥7,306 million. The profit attributable to owners of the parent decreased by 32.1% to ¥3,803 million. Despite these challenges, the company announced an increase in annual dividends to ¥20.00 per share, reflecting a consolidated payout ratio of 34.0%.