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Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:9861)
:9861
Japanese Market
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Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (9861) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9861

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.

(9861)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,326.00
▲(1.16%Upside)
Yoshinoya Holdings' stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and overvaluation concerns. Despite some positive revenue trends and a robust balance sheet, profitability and cash flow challenges, along with a high P/E ratio, weigh on the overall score. Technical indicators provide limited support, hinting at potential short-term volatility.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (9861) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (9861) is a prominent Japanese fast-food chain known for its beef bowl (gyudon) offerings. Established in 1899 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Yoshinoya operates a wide network of restaurants domestically and internationally. The company is primarily involved in the quick service restaurant (QSR) sector, providing a variety of traditional Japanese dishes, including beef, pork, and chicken bowls, alongside other menu items such as seafood, rice, and side dishes. Yoshinoya is committed to delivering quality meals at affordable prices, catering to a diverse clientele looking for fast, convenient, and delicious dining options.
How the Company Makes MoneyYoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its chain of Yoshinoya restaurants, which offer a variety of Japanese fast-food options. The company earns money from direct sales of food and beverages in its outlets, both domestically and internationally. A significant portion of its revenue comes from its flagship product, the gyudon, which attracts a large customer base due to its affordability and taste. Additionally, Yoshinoya benefits from franchising agreements, allowing it to expand its brand presence globally while earning franchise fees and royalties. Strategic partnerships and supply chain efficiencies also contribute to the company's profitability, enabling cost-effective sourcing of ingredients and operational scalability.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Yoshinoya Holdings shows revenue growth and some operating improvements, but modest profitability and negative free cash flow suggest financial pressures. A stable balance sheet provides some resilience.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Yoshinoya Holdings has shown a solid recovery trend in revenue from the pandemic impact, with a 9.34% increase in revenue from 2024 to 2025. However, profitability metrics such as the gross profit margin at approximately 60.6% and the net profit margin at around 1.85% are modest, indicating competitive pressures and high operational costs. The EBIT margin improved slightly to 3.57%, suggesting operating efficiency gains, but remains low compared to industry standards.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.44, demonstrating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is low at 5.93%, indicating limited earnings relative to equity. The equity ratio of 53.88% reflects a strong capital base, providing a buffer against financial volatility.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant drop in free cash flow from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.5, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow in 2025 underscores high capital expenditures potentially affecting liquidity.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue204.98B187.47B168.10B153.60B170.35B
Gross Profit124.20B121.11B108.33B101.79B107.06B
EBITDA13.64B15.09B15.76B20.38B245.00M
Net Income3.80B5.60B7.23B8.12B-7.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets119.11B112.94B108.23B112.21B131.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.57B27.35B24.23B35.18B37.90B
Total Debt28.28B28.62B33.61B42.11B68.34B
Total Liabilities54.30B52.09B52.63B63.47B91.78B
Stockholders Equity64.18B60.36B55.11B48.10B39.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-41.00M10.37B923.00M20.17B-1.99B
Operating Cash Flow13.30B20.07B7.25B23.44B2.72B
Investing Cash Flow-14.40B-8.31B-4.01B-333.00M-5.17B
Financing Cash Flow-5.97B-8.96B-14.20B-26.04B17.81B

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3288.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3187.66
Positive
100DMA
3137.28
Positive
200DMA
3101.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
39.73
Negative
RSI
56.56
Neutral
STOCH
45.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9861, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3288 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3220.25, above the 50-day MA of 3187.66, and above the 200-day MA of 3101.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 39.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9861.

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥155.31B47.84
1.65%10.63%22.33%
70
Outperform
¥116.40B36.97
0.79%3.36%22.37%
67
Neutral
¥220.59B25.58
1.37%9.50%1.92%
63
Neutral
$17.18B10.68-8.50%2.94%1.62%-25.72%
59
Neutral
¥117.77B53.02
0.39%20.85%-25.02%
58
Neutral
¥204.01B257.83
0.26%11.55%-49.32%
54
Neutral
¥212.63B55.06
0.61%9.92%-26.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9861
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,288.00
509.48
18.34%
JP:7616
Colowide Co., Ltd.
1,919.50
-123.68
-6.05%
JP:7630
Ichibanya Co., Ltd.
969.00
-66.29
-6.40%
JP:8153
MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.
3,775.00
304.51
8.77%
JP:9887
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd.
6,200.00
383.58
6.59%
JP:9936
Ohsho Food Service Corp.
3,655.00
752.86
25.94%

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Yoshinoya Reports Mixed Financial Results for Q1 2025
Jul 8, 2025

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a 9.8% increase in net sales for the three months ended May 31, 2025, compared to the same period last year. Despite the rise in sales, comprehensive income saw a significant decline of 90%. The company’s financial forecast for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2026, anticipates a 9.8% increase in net sales, with a modest 1.3% rise in operating profit. The financial results indicate a mixed performance, with growth in sales but challenges in maintaining profitability, which may impact stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9861) stock is a Sell with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9861 Stock Forecast page.

Yoshinoya Completes Treasury Share Disposal for Stock Compensation
Jun 26, 2025

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed the payment for the disposal of 17,228 treasury shares as restricted stock compensation, a move approved by its Board of Directors. This disposal, involving directors and officers, aims to align management’s interests with shareholders and enhance corporate governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9861) stock is a Sell with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9861 Stock Forecast page.

Yoshinoya Announces Treasury Share Disposal for Stock Compensation
May 30, 2025

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the disposal of 17,228 treasury shares as part of its restricted stock compensation plan, aimed at aligning the interests of its directors and officers with those of shareholders. This move is intended to incentivize long-term commitment to corporate value creation, with restrictions on share transfer until the officers retire or resign.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9861) stock is a Sell with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9861 Stock Forecast page.

Yoshinoya Unveils Ambitious Medium-Term Growth Strategy
May 19, 2025

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a new Group Medium-Term Management Plan, targeting fiscal year 2029 as its final year. The plan emphasizes ‘Transformation and Sustainable Growth’ with strategic pillars to strengthen, accelerate, and expand its business operations. The company aims to transform existing businesses and grow new business drivers, with a projected increase in net sales and operating income. A total growth investment of JPY 130 billion is planned over five years, focusing on capital expenditures and inorganic investments to enhance the business portfolio and accelerate sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9861) stock is a Sell with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9861 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025