Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥114.14B
• Dividend Yield: 0.4%
• Average Volume (3M): 23.37K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 52.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.40
• Revenue Growth: 20.85%
• EPS Growth: -25.02%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,958
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 66
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 0.80
• Shares Outstanding: 19,063,969
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 21,090
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 23,370
• PEG Ratio: 4.56
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 28.24
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥5,850.00
• Price Target Upside: -2.34% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥5,850.00 ▼(-2.34%Downside)

The overall stock score of 56 reflects strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and balance sheet health. However, the negative free cash flow and high valuation metrics weigh heavily. Technical indicators show mixed signals, further contributing to a cautious outlook.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. is a prominent player in the Japanese food service industry, primarily operating a chain of fast-food restaurants under the Matsuya brand. The company specializes in offering affordable and quick meals, with a focus on Japanese cuisine such as gyudon (beef bowls), curry, and teishoku (set meals). In addition to its core restaurant operations, Matsuya Foods Holdings also engages in food processing and distribution, ensuring a consistent supply of quality ingredients to its outlets.

How the Company Makes Money

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its network of fast-food restaurants, where it serves a high volume of customers with its affordable and popular menu items. The company leverages its extensive chain of outlets to maintain a steady flow of income. Additionally, Matsuya Foods Holdings benefits from its food processing and distribution operations, which not only supply its own restaurants but may also provide products to other businesses, enhancing its revenue base. Strategic partnerships and efficient supply chain management also contribute to the company's profitability, allowing it to optimize costs and maximize earnings.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Matsuya Foods Holdings shows strong revenue growth and healthy margins. However, declining net profit margin and negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures could pose risks.

Income Statement

Matsuya Foods Holdings has shown a steady revenue growth from JPY 94.5 billion in 2021 to JPY 154.2 billion in 2025, indicating robust expansion. Gross Profit Margin remained healthy at around 63.9% in 2025. However, the Net Profit Margin decreased to 1.42% in 2025 from 2.28% in 2024, reflecting higher cost pressures. Despite a modest EBIT margin of 2.86%, the company has managed to maintain positive EBITDA margins.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78 in 2025, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Equity ratio has remained stable, showing sound financial health. Return on Equity decreased from 6.64% in 2024 to 4.79% in 2025, indicating a slight decline in efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity.

Cash Flow

The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 3.73 in 2025, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow has turned negative in 2025, largely due to high capital expenditures, which could pose liquidity challenges if not managed carefully.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	147.91B	154.22B	127.61B	106.60B	94.47B	94.41B
Gross Profit	95.56B	98.59B	84.00B	70.74B	61.51B	62.67B
EBITDA	10.03B	10.16B	9.32B	6.58B	7.23B	1.54B
Net Income	2.39B	2.19B	2.92B	1.26B	1.11B	-2.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	100.70B	104.16B	91.12B	79.70B	76.96B	74.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	15.94B	16.87B	19.12B	14.88B	13.39B	13.69B
Total Debt	33.57B	35.37B	26.59B	21.12B	20.37B	22.39B
Total Liabilities	55.14B	58.54B	47.25B	38.29B	36.36B	34.42B
Stockholders Equity	45.56B	45.62B	43.87B	41.40B	40.59B	40.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-6.20B	4.08B	2.75B	3.55B	-5.38B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	8.15B	13.24B	8.65B	8.84B	533.02M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-17.76B	-11.89B	-6.57B	-5.70B	-6.22B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	7.34B	2.85B	-595.65M	-3.46B	7.72B

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5990.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9887, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5990 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5870.50, above the 50-day MA of 5752.20, and below the 200-day MA of 6108.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 82.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9887.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3087	80 Outperform	¥113.99B	17.13		1.94%	6.24%	12.61%
8153	70 Outperform	¥114.40B	36.34		0.81%	3.36%	22.37%
7630	69 Neutral	¥147.17B	45.33		1.74%	10.63%	22.33%
2695	64 Neutral	¥141.18B	114.75		0.56%	4.82%	-79.12%
Sector *	60 Neutral	€5.99B	12.41	-11.12%	4.06%	3.79%	-34.20%
9887	56 Neutral	¥114.14B	52.24		0.40%	20.85%	-25.02%
9861	54 Neutral	¥216.83B	56.15		0.60%	9.92%	-26.57%

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Matsuya Foods Holdings Reaffirms Commitment to Minority Shareholder Protection

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. has disclosed information regarding its controlling shareholder, Toshio Kawarabuki, who holds a significant portion of voting rights. The company emphasizes its commitment to protecting minority shareholders by ensuring that transactions with the controlling shareholder are conducted under fair and ordinary terms, with clear internal decision-making processes to prevent any disadvantage to the company or its minority shareholders.

Matsuya Foods Considers Lowering Investment Unit to Boost Market Activity

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced its perspective and policy regarding the lowering of its investment unit. The company acknowledges that reducing the investment unit can enhance stock market activity by broadening the investor base and increasing stock liquidity. Matsuya Foods Holdings will continue to evaluate factors such as market trends, stock prices, shareholder composition, and cost-effectiveness before making any decisions on this matter.

Matsuya Foods Exceeds Earnings Forecasts but Records Impairment Losses

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. reported better-than-expected financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, with net sales and profits surpassing previous forecasts due to increased economic activities and inbound sales. Despite the positive financial performance, the company recorded impairment losses of ¥854,445,000, reflecting concerns over the future recoverability of certain non-current assets, including stores managed by the group.

Matsuya Foods Announces Strategic Leadership Changes

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. announced changes in its leadership structure, which were decided at the recent Board of Directors meeting. These changes, effective June 26, 2025, include the promotion of Youichi Nakamura to Managing Director and the appointment of Shuichi Kurosawa as a Full-time Audit & Supervisory Board Member, reflecting a strategic shift in management to enhance operational oversight.

Matsuya Foods Reports Increased Sales but Declining Profits for FY 2025

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, showing a significant increase in net sales by 20.9% to ¥154,223 million. However, the company experienced declines in operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of the parent, with decreases of 17.2%, 13.9%, and 25.0% respectively. Despite the growth in sales, the company’s profitability metrics, such as return on equity and operating profit margin, have decreased, indicating potential challenges in cost management or market conditions. The company maintained its annual dividend per share at ¥24.00, reflecting a cautious approach to shareholder returns amidst declining profits.