Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥126.15B
• Dividend Yield: 0.35%
• Average Volume (3M): 22.97K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 46.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.42
• Revenue Growth: 21.94%
• EPS Growth: -7.70%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,958
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 71
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 29.09
• Shares Outstanding: 19,063,969
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 26,830
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 22,970
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥6,186.00
• Price Target Upside: -9.30% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥6,186.00 ▼(-9.30% Downside)

Matsuya Foods Holdings shows strong revenue growth and a solid financial structure, but faces challenges with negative free cash flow and high P/E ratio indicating potential overvaluation. Technical analysis suggests moderate upward momentum, but valuation concerns weigh heavily on the overall score.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) is a Japan-based company primarily engaged in the operation of food service businesses. The company is known for its chain of fast-food restaurants that offer Japanese-style meals including beef bowls (gyudon), curry dishes, and set meals. Matsuya Foods Holdings operates under several brand names, including Matsuya, which is its flagship brand, and specializes in providing quick and affordable meals to customers across Japan and internationally.

How the Company Makes Money

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its chain of fast-food restaurants. The company earns money by selling meals and beverages directly to consumers. Its main revenue stream comes from the sale of gyudon, a popular and affordable Japanese dish consisting of rice topped with beef and onion, which is a staple offering at Matsuya restaurants. Additionally, the company offers a variety of other dishes such as curry, donburi (rice bowls), and set meals. The company also benefits from its international expansion, which helps diversify its income sources. Franchise operations and partnerships with distributors contribute to its revenue, allowing for broader market reach and brand presence. Furthermore, Matsuya Foods Holdings may engage in promotional activities and seasonal menu offerings to attract new customers and increase sales.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Matsuya Foods Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth and maintains healthy margins despite a slight decline in net profitability. The balance sheet reflects a sound capital structure with manageable debt levels. However, negative free cash flow due to capital spending presents a potential risk.

Income Statement

Matsuya Foods Holdings has shown a steady revenue growth from JPY 94.5 billion in 2021 to JPY 154.2 billion in 2025, indicating robust expansion. Gross Profit Margin remained healthy at around 63.9% in 2025. However, the Net Profit Margin decreased to 1.42% in 2025 from 2.28% in 2024, reflecting higher cost pressures. Despite a modest EBIT margin of 2.86%, the company has managed to maintain positive EBITDA margins.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78 in 2025, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Equity ratio has remained stable, showing sound financial health. Return on Equity decreased from 6.64% in 2024 to 4.79% in 2025, indicating a slight decline in efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity.

Cash Flow

The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 3.73 in 2025, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow has turned negative in 2025, largely due to high capital expenditures, which could pose liquidity challenges if not managed carefully.

Breakdown	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	154.22B	127.61B	106.60B	94.47B	94.41B
Gross Profit	98.59B	84.00B	70.74B	61.51B	62.67B
EBITDA	10.16B	9.32B	6.58B	7.23B	1.54B
Net Income	2.19B	2.92B	1.26B	1.11B	-2.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	104.16B	91.12B	79.70B	76.96B	74.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	16.87B	19.12B	14.88B	13.39B	13.69B
Total Debt	35.37B	26.59B	21.12B	20.37B	22.39B
Total Liabilities	58.54B	47.25B	38.29B	36.36B	34.42B
Stockholders Equity	45.62B	43.87B	41.40B	40.59B	40.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-6.20B	4.08B	2.75B	3.55B	-5.38B
Operating Cash Flow	8.15B	13.24B	8.65B	8.84B	533.02M
Investing Cash Flow	-17.76B	-11.89B	-6.57B	-5.70B	-6.22B
Financing Cash Flow	7.34B	2.85B	-595.65M	-3.46B	7.72B

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 6820.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9887, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6820 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6178.00, above the 50-day MA of 5941.00, and above the 200-day MA of 6093.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 162.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.85 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.27 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9887.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
7630	73 Outperform	¥158.98B	48.97		1.60%	10.63%	22.33%
2695	71 Outperform	¥156.45B	127.16		0.51%	4.82%	-79.12%
3087	70 Outperform	¥115.27B	17.32		1.85%	6.24%	12.61%
8153	70 Outperform	¥125.34B	35.36		0.76%	4.32%	29.02%
9887	59 Neutral	¥126.15B	46.47		0.35%	21.94%	-7.70%
Sector *	56 Neutral	HK$25.48B	5.05	-2.69%	5.69%	-0.45%	-52.99%
9861	54 Neutral	¥221.81B	57.44		0.59%	9.92%	-26.57%

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Matsuya Foods Revises Financial Forecasts Upward for FY 2026

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. has revised its financial forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2026, anticipating higher net sales and profits than previously expected. This adjustment is attributed to increased sales at existing stores and a decrease in the ratio of fixed expenses to net sales, indicating a positive impact on the company’s financial performance and market positioning.

Matsuya Foods Reports Strong Q1 Growth but Revises Down Full-Year Profit Forecast

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. reported significant growth in its financial performance for the three months ended June 30, 2025, with net sales increasing by 26% year-on-year. Operating profit saw a remarkable surge of 620.1%, indicating strong operational efficiency and market demand. The company revised its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, reflecting a cautious outlook with expected declines in operating and ordinary profits, despite an increase in net sales.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Reaffirms Commitment to Minority Shareholder Protection

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. has disclosed information regarding its controlling shareholder, Toshio Kawarabuki, who holds a significant portion of voting rights. The company emphasizes its commitment to protecting minority shareholders by ensuring that transactions with the controlling shareholder are conducted under fair and ordinary terms, with clear internal decision-making processes to prevent any disadvantage to the company or its minority shareholders.