Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥111.10B
• Dividend Yield: 0.41%
• Average Volume (3M): 50.52K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 40.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.40
• Revenue Growth: 20.44%
• EPS Growth: 13.71%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,958
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 38.75
• Shares Outstanding: 19,063,969
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 35,390
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 50,516
• PEG Ratio: -2.07
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.48
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.73
• P/FCF Ratio: -18.22
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥6,448.00 ▲(4.68% Upside)

Matsuya Foods Holdings shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and a sound capital structure. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates possible overvaluation. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. owns and operates restaurants in Japan, China, and Taiwan. It operates beef-on-rice and set meals chains; and pork cutlet, sushi, and Chinese noodle restaurants, as well as provides restaurant technology and management instructions to franchise stores. The company also engages in the kitchen equipment maintenance, construction supervision, water supply, drainage construction, and cleaning activities; and sale of sanitary detergents. As of March 31, 2020, it operated 1193 restaurants. The company was formerly known as Matsuya Foods Co., Ltd. Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Musashino, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Matsuya Foods generates revenue primarily through the sales of food and beverages in its restaurant chain. The company operates a significant number of outlets, which attract a high volume of customers, thereby driving sales. Key revenue streams include direct sales from dine-in services, take-out orders, and delivery services. Additionally, Matsuya Foods benefits from the sale of packaged food products that are distributed through retail channels. The company has established partnerships with suppliers for high-quality ingredients, ensuring consistent product quality and customer satisfaction, which in turn supports its revenue growth. Seasonal promotions and marketing strategies also play a crucial role in driving customer traffic and increasing sales.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Matsuya Foods Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth and maintains healthy margins despite a slight decline in net profitability. The balance sheet reflects a sound capital structure with manageable debt levels. However, negative free cash flow due to capital spending presents a potential risk.

Income Statement

Matsuya Foods Holdings has shown a steady revenue growth from JPY 94.5 billion in 2021 to JPY 154.2 billion in 2025, indicating robust expansion. Gross Profit Margin remained healthy at around 63.9% in 2025. However, the Net Profit Margin decreased to 1.42% in 2025 from 2.28% in 2024, reflecting higher cost pressures. Despite a modest EBIT margin of 2.86%, the company has managed to maintain positive EBITDA margins.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78 in 2025, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Equity ratio has remained stable, showing sound financial health. Return on Equity decreased from 6.64% in 2024 to 4.79% in 2025, indicating a slight decline in efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity.

Cash Flow

The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 3.73 in 2025, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow has turned negative in 2025, largely due to high capital expenditures, which could pose liquidity challenges if not managed carefully.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	163.12B	154.22B	127.61B	106.60B	94.47B	94.41B
Gross Profit	103.50B	98.59B	84.00B	70.74B	61.51B	62.67B
EBITDA	10.84B	10.16B	9.32B	6.58B	7.23B	1.54B
Net Income	2.72B	2.19B	2.92B	1.26B	1.11B	-2.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	106.69B	104.16B	91.12B	79.70B	76.96B	74.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	15.93B	16.87B	19.12B	14.88B	13.39B	13.69B
Total Debt	40.29B	35.37B	26.59B	21.12B	20.37B	22.39B
Total Liabilities	60.78B	58.54B	47.25B	38.29B	36.36B	34.42B
Stockholders Equity	45.91B	45.62B	43.87B	41.40B	40.59B	40.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-6.20B	4.08B	2.75B	3.55B	-5.38B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	8.32B	13.24B	8.65B	8.84B	533.02M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-17.76B	-11.89B	-6.57B	-5.70B	-6.22B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	7.14B	2.74B	-595.65M	-3.46B	7.72B

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 6160.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9887, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6160 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6007.00, below the 50-day MA of 6199.28, and above the 200-day MA of 6029.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -69.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9887.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3087	70 Outperform	¥107.58B	15.92	―	2.20%	5.78%	10.26%
8153	70 Outperform	¥120.56B	34.01	―	0.76%	5.15%	47.13%
2695	66 Neutral	¥128.49B	57.33	―	0.60%	5.43%	-62.27%
7630	66 Neutral	¥145.73B	48.55	―	1.74%	9.51%	6.29%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
9887	57 Neutral	¥111.10B	40.92	―	0.41%	20.44%	13.71%
9861	53 Neutral	¥194.39B	45.95	―	0.70%	10.75%	-14.28%

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Matsuya Foods Revises Financial Forecasts Upward for FY 2026

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. has revised its financial forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2026, anticipating higher net sales and profits than previously expected. This adjustment is attributed to increased sales at existing stores and a decrease in the ratio of fixed expenses to net sales, indicating a positive impact on the company’s financial performance and market positioning.

Matsuya Foods Reports Strong Q1 Growth but Revises Down Full-Year Profit Forecast

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. reported significant growth in its financial performance for the three months ended June 30, 2025, with net sales increasing by 26% year-on-year. Operating profit saw a remarkable surge of 620.1%, indicating strong operational efficiency and market demand. The company revised its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, reflecting a cautious outlook with expected declines in operating and ordinary profits, despite an increase in net sales.