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Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:9887)
:9887
Japanese Market

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) AI Stock Analysis

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JP

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd.

(9887)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,746.00
▲(1.52%Upside)
Matsuya Foods Holdings' overall stock score is primarily affected by strong revenue growth and healthy financial margins. However, bearish technical indicators and high valuation metrics weigh down the score. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events leaves financial performance and technical analysis as the main drivers.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMatsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. is a prominent player in the Japanese food service industry, primarily operating a chain of fast-food restaurants under the Matsuya brand. The company specializes in offering affordable and quick meals, with a focus on Japanese cuisine such as gyudon (beef bowls), curry, and teishoku (set meals). In addition to its core restaurant operations, Matsuya Foods Holdings also engages in food processing and distribution, ensuring a consistent supply of quality ingredients to its outlets.
How the Company Makes MoneyMatsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its network of fast-food restaurants, where it serves a high volume of customers with its affordable and popular menu items. The company leverages its extensive chain of outlets to maintain a steady flow of income. Additionally, Matsuya Foods Holdings benefits from its food processing and distribution operations, which not only supply its own restaurants but may also provide products to other businesses, enhancing its revenue base. Strategic partnerships and efficient supply chain management also contribute to the company's profitability, allowing it to optimize costs and maximize earnings.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Matsuya Foods Holdings shows strong revenue growth and healthy margins. However, declining net profit margin and negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures could pose risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Matsuya Foods Holdings has shown a steady revenue growth from JPY 94.5 billion in 2021 to JPY 154.2 billion in 2025, indicating robust expansion. Gross Profit Margin remained healthy at around 63.9% in 2025. However, the Net Profit Margin decreased to 1.42% in 2025 from 2.28% in 2024, reflecting higher cost pressures. Despite a modest EBIT margin of 2.86%, the company has managed to maintain positive EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78 in 2025, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Equity ratio has remained stable, showing sound financial health. Return on Equity decreased from 6.64% in 2024 to 4.79% in 2025, indicating a slight decline in efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 3.73 in 2025, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow has turned negative in 2025, largely due to high capital expenditures, which could pose liquidity challenges if not managed carefully.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
147.91B154.22B127.61B106.60B94.47B94.41B
Gross Profit
95.56B98.59B84.00B70.74B61.51B62.67B
EBIT
5.33B4.41B5.32B1.47B-4.20B-1.68B
EBITDA
10.03B10.16B9.32B6.58B7.23B1.54B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.39B2.19B2.92B1.26B1.11B-2.38B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
15.94B16.87B19.12B14.88B13.39B13.69B
Total Assets
100.70B104.16B91.12B79.70B76.96B74.55B
Total Debt
33.57B35.37B26.59B21.12B20.37B22.39B
Net Debt
17.64B18.50B7.47B6.24B6.98B8.70B
Total Liabilities
55.14B58.54B47.25B38.29B36.36B34.42B
Stockholders Equity
45.56B45.62B43.87B41.40B40.59B40.12B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
0.00-6.20B4.08B2.75B3.55B-5.38B
Operating Cash Flow
0.008.15B13.24B8.65B8.84B533.02M
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-17.76B-11.89B-6.57B-5.70B-6.22B
Financing Cash Flow
0.007.34B2.85B-595.65M-3.46B7.72B

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5660.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5795.40
Negative
100DMA
5848.14
Negative
200DMA
6076.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-34.43
Negative
RSI
47.74
Neutral
STOCH
68.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9887, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5660 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5609.00, below the 50-day MA of 5795.40, and below the 200-day MA of 6076.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -34.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9887.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥119.12B17.16
1.85%5.83%25.67%
73
Outperform
¥144.13B45.42
1.77%10.64%18.07%
70
Neutral
¥127.10B44.18
0.62%9.79%4.81%
69
Neutral
¥113.78B36.14
0.81%3.36%22.37%
63
Neutral
$6.98B11.412.80%4.24%2.68%-24.94%
55
Neutral
¥107.86B49.36
0.42%20.85%-25.02%
54
Neutral
¥204.41B53.78
0.63%9.34%-32.15%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9887
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd.
5,660.00
132.41
2.40%
JP:2695
Kura Sushi, Inc.
3,210.00
-943.00
-22.71%
JP:3087
Doutor Nichires Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,715.00
605.85
28.72%
JP:7630
Ichibanya Co., Ltd.
903.00
-199.21
-18.07%
JP:8153
MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.
3,705.00
214.68
6.15%
JP:9861
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,167.00
168.94
5.63%

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Matsuya Foods Considers Lowering Investment Unit to Boost Market Activity
May 12, 2025

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced its perspective and policy regarding the lowering of its investment unit. The company acknowledges that reducing the investment unit can enhance stock market activity by broadening the investor base and increasing stock liquidity. Matsuya Foods Holdings will continue to evaluate factors such as market trends, stock prices, shareholder composition, and cost-effectiveness before making any decisions on this matter.

Matsuya Foods Exceeds Earnings Forecasts but Records Impairment Losses
May 12, 2025

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. reported better-than-expected financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, with net sales and profits surpassing previous forecasts due to increased economic activities and inbound sales. Despite the positive financial performance, the company recorded impairment losses of ¥854,445,000, reflecting concerns over the future recoverability of certain non-current assets, including stores managed by the group.

Matsuya Foods Announces Strategic Leadership Changes
May 12, 2025

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. announced changes in its leadership structure, which were decided at the recent Board of Directors meeting. These changes, effective June 26, 2025, include the promotion of Youichi Nakamura to Managing Director and the appointment of Shuichi Kurosawa as a Full-time Audit & Supervisory Board Member, reflecting a strategic shift in management to enhance operational oversight.

Matsuya Foods Reports Increased Sales but Declining Profits for FY 2025
May 12, 2025

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, showing a significant increase in net sales by 20.9% to ¥154,223 million. However, the company experienced declines in operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of the parent, with decreases of 17.2%, 13.9%, and 25.0% respectively. Despite the growth in sales, the company’s profitability metrics, such as return on equity and operating profit margin, have decreased, indicating potential challenges in cost management or market conditions. The company maintained its annual dividend per share at ¥24.00, reflecting a cautious approach to shareholder returns amidst declining profits.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.