Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥120.24B
• Dividend Yield: 0.38%
• Average Volume (3M): 50.52K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 44.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.37
• Revenue Growth: 20.44%
• EPS Growth: 13.71%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,958
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 38.76
• Shares Outstanding: 19,063,969
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 35,390
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 50,516
• PEG Ratio: -2.07
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.48
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.73
• P/FCF Ratio: -18.22
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥6,448.00 ▲(3.83% Upside)

Matsuya Foods Holdings shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and a sound capital structure. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates possible overvaluation. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The consistent revenue growth indicates robust market expansion and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term shareholder value.

Cash Generation

Strong cash generation relative to net income suggests efficient operations and provides a buffer for future investments and debt servicing.

Healthy Margins

Maintaining a healthy gross profit margin indicates effective cost management and pricing power, supporting sustainable profitability.

Negative Factors

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative free cash flow could strain liquidity and limit financial flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to fund growth initiatives.

Declining Net Profit Margin

A declining net profit margin reflects rising cost pressures, which could erode profitability if not addressed through cost control or revenue enhancement.

Return on Equity Decline

A decrease in return on equity indicates reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity, which may concern investors regarding capital utilization.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) is a prominent Japanese company primarily engaged in the food service industry. It operates a chain of restaurants specializing in gyudon (beef bowl) and other Japanese-style fast food, catering to a diverse customer base. The company is involved in the development, operation, and management of restaurants, as well as providing food products and services through various distribution channels. Matsuya Foods is recognized for its commitment to quality and convenience, offering both dine-in and take-out options across its numerous locations in Japan and internationally.

How the Company Makes Money

Matsuya Foods generates revenue primarily through the sales of food and beverages in its restaurant chain. The company operates a significant number of outlets, which attract a high volume of customers, thereby driving sales. Key revenue streams include direct sales from dine-in services, take-out orders, and delivery services. Additionally, Matsuya Foods benefits from the sale of packaged food products that are distributed through retail channels. The company has established partnerships with suppliers for high-quality ingredients, ensuring consistent product quality and customer satisfaction, which in turn supports its revenue growth. Seasonal promotions and marketing strategies also play a crucial role in driving customer traffic and increasing sales.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Matsuya Foods Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth and maintains healthy margins despite a slight decline in net profitability. The balance sheet reflects a sound capital structure with manageable debt levels. However, negative free cash flow due to capital spending presents a potential risk.

Income Statement

Matsuya Foods Holdings has shown a steady revenue growth from JPY 94.5 billion in 2021 to JPY 154.2 billion in 2025, indicating robust expansion. Gross Profit Margin remained healthy at around 63.9% in 2025. However, the Net Profit Margin decreased to 1.42% in 2025 from 2.28% in 2024, reflecting higher cost pressures. Despite a modest EBIT margin of 2.86%, the company has managed to maintain positive EBITDA margins.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78 in 2025, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Equity ratio has remained stable, showing sound financial health. Return on Equity decreased from 6.64% in 2024 to 4.79% in 2025, indicating a slight decline in efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity.

Cash Flow

The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 3.73 in 2025, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow has turned negative in 2025, largely due to high capital expenditures, which could pose liquidity challenges if not managed carefully.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	163.12B	154.22B	127.61B	106.60B	94.47B	94.41B
Gross Profit	103.50B	98.59B	84.00B	70.74B	61.51B	62.67B
EBITDA	10.84B	10.16B	9.32B	6.58B	7.23B	1.54B
Net Income	2.72B	2.19B	2.92B	1.26B	1.11B	-2.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	106.69B	104.16B	91.12B	79.70B	76.96B	74.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	15.93B	16.87B	19.12B	14.88B	13.39B	13.69B
Total Debt	40.29B	35.37B	26.59B	21.12B	20.37B	22.39B
Total Liabilities	60.78B	58.54B	47.25B	38.29B	36.36B	34.42B
Stockholders Equity	45.91B	45.62B	43.87B	41.40B	40.59B	40.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-6.20B	4.08B	2.75B	3.55B	-5.38B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	8.32B	13.24B	8.65B	8.84B	533.02M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-17.76B	-11.89B	-6.57B	-5.70B	-6.22B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	7.14B	2.74B	-595.65M	-3.46B	7.72B

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 6210.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9887, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6210 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6286.50, above the 50-day MA of 6130.00, and above the 200-day MA of 6071.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 41.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9887.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3087	70 Outperform	¥113.81B	16.85	―	2.10%	5.78%	10.26%
8153	70 Outperform	¥131.97B	31.43	―	0.70%	5.15%	47.13%
7630	66 Neutral	¥150.52B	50.14	―	1.70%	9.51%	6.29%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
2695	58 Neutral	¥129.68B	36.04	―	0.61%	4.32%	11.78%
9887	57 Neutral	¥120.24B	44.62	―	0.38%	20.44%	13.71%
9861	53 Neutral	¥197.95B	46.79	―	0.69%	10.75%	-14.28%

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Matsuya Foods Revises Earnings Forecast Upward for FY 2026

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a correction to its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The revised forecast indicates an increase in net sales and profits compared to previous estimates, reflecting a positive adjustment in the company’s financial outlook. This revision suggests improved operational performance and could positively impact stakeholders’ confidence in the company’s future growth.

Matsuya Foods Reports Strong Financial Growth and Revised Earnings Forecast

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. reported significant growth in its financial performance for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with net sales increasing by 21.5% and a notable rise in operating and ordinary profits. The company’s profit attributable to owners of the parent surged by 65.1%, reflecting strong operational efficiency and market demand. The company also revised its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, indicating continued positive momentum.

Matsuya Foods Exceeds Earnings Forecasts and Revises Full-Year Outlook

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a positive variance between its earnings forecasts and actual results for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with net sales and profits surpassing expectations. This improvement is attributed to increased same-store sales and a reduction in fixed expenses as a percentage of net sales. Consequently, the company has revised its full-year earnings forecasts upward, anticipating continued growth due to sustained sales momentum and operational efficiencies.

Matsuya Foods Records Significant Impairment Losses for Fiscal Year

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced the recording of impairment losses amounting to ¥524,842,000 for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. This financial adjustment, primarily related to the recoverability of non-current assets such as stores, reflects on the company’s interim consolidated financial results, potentially impacting its financial performance and market positioning.