Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:9887)
:9887
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Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd.
(9887)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,481.00
▼(-30.96% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/17/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial results but constrained by thin/volatile margins, higher leverage, and weak free-cash-flow consistency. Technical signals are notably negative with the stock trading below major moving averages and bearish momentum, while valuation is broadly fair but supported by a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line expansion shows the core Matsuya gyudon model continues to gain customers or expand transactions. Durable revenue growth supports investment in scale, supply chain efficiency and marketing, creating room to absorb cost swings and fund strategic initiatives over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Thin & Volatile Margins
Very narrow and inconsistent net margins leave limited buffer against cost shocks (labor, commodities, rents) and reduce the company's ability to fund growth or weather demand dips. Persistent margin volatility undermines predictability of profits and constrains free cash flow over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line expansion shows the core Matsuya gyudon model continues to gain customers or expand transactions. Durable revenue growth supports investment in scale, supply chain efficiency and marketing, creating room to absorb cost swings and fund strategic initiatives over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥93.47B
Dividend Yield0.37%
Average Volume (3M)50.52K
Price to Earnings (P/E)24.1
Beta (1Y)0.35
Revenue Growth19.62%
EPS Growth71.58%
CountryJP
Employees1,958
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)142.43
Shares Outstanding20,595,469
10 Day Avg. Volume35,390
30 Day Avg. Volume50,516
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.40
Price to Book (P/B)1.90
Price to Sales (P/S)0.59
P/FCF Ratio-80.76
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. is a prominent restaurant group operating across Japan, China, and Taiwan. Its diverse portfolio includes popular beef-on-rice and set meal chains, alongside specialized restaurants offering pork cutlets, sushi, an...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by selling meals and beverages to customers through its directly operated quick-service restaurants (with the “Matsuya” gyudon format as the core). Revenue is generated per transaction (in-store dining, takeaway, ...
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 163.12B | 184.47B | 154.22B | 127.61B | 106.60B | 94.47B |
| Gross Profit | 103.50B | 116.50B | 98.59B | 84.00B | 70.74B | 61.51B |
| EBITDA | 10.84B | 14.46B | 10.16B | 9.32B | 6.58B | 7.23B |
| Net Income | 2.72B | 3.77B | 2.19B | 2.92B | 1.26B | 1.11B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 106.69B | 140.79B | 104.16B | 91.12B | 79.70B | 76.96B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 15.93B | 30.68B | 16.87B | 19.12B | 14.88B | 13.39B |
| Total Debt | 39.37B | 54.98B | 35.37B | 26.59B | 21.12B | 20.37B |
| Total Liabilities | 60.78B | 83.12B | 58.54B | 47.25B | 38.29B | 36.36B |
| Stockholders Equity | 45.91B | 57.67B | 45.62B | 43.87B | 41.40B | 40.59B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.35B | -6.20B | 4.08B | 2.75B | 3.55B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 14.94B | 8.32B | 13.24B | 8.65B | 8.84B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -26.54B | -17.76B | -11.89B | -6.57B | -5.70B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 26.06B | 7.14B | 2.74B | -595.65M | -3.46B |
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
6490.00
Price Trends
5107.60
Negative
5595.85
Negative
5947.71
Negative
Market Momentum
-139.79
Negative
35.79
Neutral
40.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9887, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6490 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4681.75, above the 50-day MA of 5107.60, and above the 200-day MA of 5947.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -139.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9887.
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | ¥974.59B | 26.13 | 13.08% | 0.76% | 3.46% | 13.52% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | ¥611.87B | 34.15 | 9.53% | 0.55% | 12.02% | 20.18% | |
61 Neutral | ¥195.36B | 41.97 | ― | 0.69% | 10.09% | 22.64% | |
58 Neutral | ¥124.24B | 35.67 | ― | 0.63% | 6.86% | 182.73% | |
53 Neutral | ¥93.47B | 24.09 | ― | 0.37% | 19.62% | 71.58% | |
50 Neutral | ¥314.13B | 135.97 | ― | 0.24% | 3.91% | 37.17% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Matsuya Foods Confirms Controlling Shareholder and Outlines Minority Protection Policy
May 25, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings has disclosed that individual shareholder Toshio Kawarabuki is its controlling shareholder, holding a combined 50.283% of voting rights as of March 31, 2026. The company reported no specific transactions with this controllin...
Matsuya Foods Posts Sharp Profit Rebound and Plans Higher Dividend for FY 2027
May 15, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings reported strong earnings for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with net sales rising 19.6% to ¥184.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 72.6% to ¥3.8 billion, driving higher basic earni...
Matsuya Foods Books ¥1.19 Billion Impairment on Store Assets
May 15, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings has disclosed that it booked an impairment loss of ¥1.19 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026. The write-down follows a review of the future recoverability of non-current assets, mainly at group-operated sto...
Matsuya Foods Overhauls Board as Founder Moves to Honorary Role
May 15, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings has announced board-level changes as it reshapes its management structure, with long-serving Chairperson of the Board Toshio Kawarabuki set to retire as director and assume the new role of Founder Honorary Chairman. He will ...
Matsuya Foods Signals Openness to Lowering Share Investment Unit
May 15, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd., a major Japanese food service operator best known for its Matsuya gyudon and fast-casual restaurant chains, is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market and serves a wide, price-sensitive customer base. Its ...
Matsuya Foods Profits Surge as Sales Climb; Dividend Hike and Further Growth Forecast
May 15, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings reported strong results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with net sales climbing 19.6% to ¥184.5 billion and operating profit surging 72.3% to ¥7.6 billion, reflecting improved profitability and higher sto...
Matsuya Foods Takes ¥1.18 Billion Impairment on Store Assets for FY2026
May 15, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings has recognized a significant impairment loss for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, after reassessing the recoverability of non-current assets tied mainly to its group-operated stores. The impairment charge totaled ¥...
Matsuya Foods Revamps Board as Founder Shifts to Honorary Role
May 15, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings has announced a planned reshuffle of its board, signaling an evolution in its governance structure as it continues to compete in Japan’s fast-food and casual dining market. The changes are slated to be approved at the ...
Matsuya Foods Weighs Lowering Investment Unit to Broaden Investor Base
May 15, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd., a major Japanese food service operator known for its low-priced beef-bowl and fast-casual restaurant chains, is listed on the TSE Prime Market and serves mainly mass-market diners across Japan. Its business model ...
Matsuya Foods Finalizes Third-Party Share Allotment to Fund Store Expansion
Mar 24, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. has finalized the number of new shares to be issued via a third-party allotment to its lead manager, setting the issuance at 131,500 shares out of a previously scheduled 210,000. The paid-in amount totals ¥748...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.