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Ichibanya Co., Ltd.
(7630)
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Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,030.00
▲(12.94% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial performance (steady growth, durable profitability, and low leverage) and a positive technical setup (price above key moving averages with constructive momentum). The main constraint is valuation, with a very high P/E and only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a rising equity base give Ichibanya structural financial resilience. This supports investment in franchise expansion, cushions commodity or labor cost shocks, and preserves flexibility for dividends or opportunistic M&A without stressing solvency over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility
Earnings have shown variability despite revenue gains, as net income fell after a 2025 peak. This suggests sensitivity to cost pressures or weakening operating leverage, increasing uncertainty about sustainable profit growth and complicating medium-term earnings predictability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a rising equity base give Ichibanya structural financial resilience. This supports investment in franchise expansion, cushions commodity or labor cost shocks, and preserves flexibility for dividends or opportunistic M&A without stressing solvency over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. (7630) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥149.08B
Dividend Yield1.71%
Average Volume (3M)262.65K
Price to Earnings (P/E)63.0
Beta (1Y)0.24
Revenue Growth6.78%
EPS Growth-27.06%
CountryJP
Employees1,298
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)14.83
Shares Outstanding159,630,000
10 Day Avg. Volume234,920
30 Day Avg. Volume262,650
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.93
Price to Book (P/B)4.48
Price to Sales (P/S)2.21
P/FCF Ratio61.44
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)19.4
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥72.60B
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. specializes in operating and franchising curry restaurants, primarily under the brand names CURRY HOUSE CoCo ICHIBANYA and Pasta de CoCo. As of February 28, 2022, its global presence encompassed 1,461 locations, including 132 c...
How the Company Makes Money
Ichibanya primarily makes money through its restaurant business built around the CoCo Ichibanya brand. Revenue is generated from (1) sales at company-operated restaurants, where the company earns the full customer ticket (food and beverage) and be...
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2026 | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 66.74B | 65.52B | 61.01B | 55.14B | 48.29B | 45.02B |
| Gross Profit | 32.86B | 30.68B | 28.96B | 25.43B | 21.59B | 19.84B |
| EBITDA | 5.60B | 6.32B | 6.75B | 6.14B | 5.57B | 6.05B |
| Net Income | 2.37B | 2.56B | 3.17B | 2.69B | 2.54B | 2.92B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 47.00B | 48.17B | 46.59B | 44.27B | 42.58B | 42.61B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 11.14B | 13.28B | 15.48B | 15.90B | 17.69B | 17.59B |
| Total Debt | 1.29B | 1.80B | 1.51B | 386.08M | 743.52M | 984.44M |
| Total Liabilities | 14.59B | 15.28B | 13.99B | 12.89B | 11.63B | 12.00B |
| Stockholders Equity | 31.78B | 32.29B | 32.05B | 30.92B | 30.57B | 30.29B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 2.36B | 2.88B | 4.60B | 2.71B | 4.32B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 5.59B | 5.32B | 6.09B | 3.96B | 5.24B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -4.93B | -3.05B | -4.99B | -932.34M | -466.40M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -2.93B | -2.91B | -3.22B | -2.97B | -3.08B |
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
912.00
Price Trends
892.22
Positive
891.11
Positive
900.66
Negative
Market Momentum
9.05
Positive
44.53
Neutral
30.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7630, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 912 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 916.85, above the 50-day MA of 892.22, and above the 200-day MA of 900.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 9.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7630.
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | ¥149.08B | 62.98 | ― | 1.71% | 6.78% | -27.06% | |
68 Neutral | ¥182.26B | 25.08 | ― | 1.65% | 0.97% | -20.65% | |
64 Neutral | ¥248.52B | 43.35 | ― | 0.61% | 10.76% | 48.44% | |
61 Neutral | ¥714.58B | 39.89 | 9.69% | 0.78% | 12.02% | 20.18% | |
56 Neutral | ¥1.58T | 36.16 | 15.79% | 0.78% | 11.21% | 16.65% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
53 Neutral | ¥103.14B | 25.47 | ― | 0.37% | 19.62% | 71.58% |
* General Sector Average
JP:7630
Ichibanya Co., Ltd.
910.00
-78.23
-7.92%
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-24.74%
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Ichibanya grows sales but profits dip in first quarter, maintains full-year outlook
Jun 26, 2026
Ichibanya reported consolidated net sales of ¥16.98 billion for the three months ended May 31, 2026, up 7.8% year on year, but saw operating profit fall 14.3% to ¥1.09 billion and profit attributable to owners decline 21.1% to ¥728 ...
Ichibanya Completes Treasury Share Disposal for Restricted Stock Compensation
Jun 26, 2026
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. has completed the disposal of 24,680 treasury shares under its restricted stock compensation plan for management, following a board resolution passed on May 29, 2026. The shares, priced at 882 yen each for a total value of abou...
Ichibanya to Grant Treasury Shares as Restricted Stock to Align Management Incentives
May 29, 2026
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. has approved the disposal of 24,680 treasury shares, valued at about ¥21.8 million at a price of ¥882 per share, to be allotted as restricted share-based remuneration to three internal directors and four executive off...
Ichibanya Details Governance and Minority Protections Under House Foods Control
May 29, 2026
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. operates in the restaurant industry as part of the House Foods Group, focusing on food service businesses such as curry restaurant chains. Listed on the TSE Prime and NSE Premier, the company functions within a wider corporate ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.