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Ichibanya Co., Ltd.
(7630)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,022.00
▲(12.06% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:04/07/26
The score is driven by strong underlying financial health (steady growth and low leverage) and supportive technical momentum. These positives are tempered by expensive valuation (high P/E) and some recent earnings/free-cash-flow inconsistency.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A very low-debt, conservatively positioned balance sheet with rising equity and stable ROE gives the company long-term financial flexibility. This supports steady franchise/store investment, weathering demand shocks, and limits interest-cost risk during expansion or cyclic slowdowns.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility
Earnings declined in 2026 despite revenue growth, implying rising costs or weaker operating leverage. Persistent profit volatility undermines cash conversion planning, complicates long-term budgeting, and may force margin recovery actions that take time to materialize.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A very low-debt, conservatively positioned balance sheet with rising equity and stable ROE gives the company long-term financial flexibility. This supports steady franchise/store investment, weathering demand shocks, and limits interest-cost risk during expansion or cyclic slowdowns.
Read all positive factors
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. (7630) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥143.97B
Dividend Yield1.71%
Average Volume (3M)262.65K
Price to Earnings (P/E)60.4
Beta (1Y)0.27
Revenue Growth6.78%
EPS Growth-27.06%
CountryJP
Employees1,175
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)14.83
Shares Outstanding159,630,000
10 Day Avg. Volume234,920
30 Day Avg. Volume262,650
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.93
Price to Book (P/B)4.48
Price to Sales (P/S)2.21
P/FCF Ratio61.44
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)19.4
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥72.60B
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. specializes in operating and franchising curry restaurants, primarily under the brand names CURRY HOUSE CoCo ICHIBANYA and Pasta de CoCo. As of February 28, 2022, its global presence encompassed 1,461 locations, including 132 c...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money through (1) sales generated at company-operated restaurants and (2) fees and related income from franchised restaurants. For company-operated stores, revenue is recognized from in-store dining and other restaurant...
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2026 | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 66.74B | 65.52B | 61.01B | 55.14B | 48.29B | 45.02B |
| Gross Profit | 32.86B | 30.68B | 28.96B | 25.43B | 21.59B | 19.84B |
| EBITDA | 5.60B | 6.32B | 6.75B | 6.14B | 5.57B | 6.05B |
| Net Income | 2.37B | 2.56B | 3.17B | 2.69B | 2.54B | 2.92B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 47.00B | 48.17B | 46.59B | 44.27B | 42.58B | 42.61B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 11.14B | 13.28B | 15.48B | 15.90B | 17.69B | 17.59B |
| Total Debt | 1.29B | 1.80B | 1.51B | 386.08M | 743.52M | 984.44M |
| Total Liabilities | 14.59B | 15.28B | 13.99B | 12.89B | 11.63B | 12.00B |
| Stockholders Equity | 31.78B | 32.29B | 32.05B | 30.92B | 30.57B | 30.29B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 2.36B | 2.88B | 4.60B | 2.71B | 4.32B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 5.59B | 5.32B | 6.09B | 3.96B | 5.24B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -4.93B | -3.05B | -4.99B | -932.34M | -466.40M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -2.93B | -2.91B | -3.22B | -2.97B | -3.08B |
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
912.00
Price Trends
872.52
Positive
889.08
Positive
902.76
Negative
Market Momentum
2.09
Negative
60.48
Neutral
77.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7630, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 912 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 876.60, above the 50-day MA of 872.52, and above the 200-day MA of 902.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7630.
Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | ¥143.97B | 60.35 | ― | 1.71% | 6.78% | -27.06% | |
62 Neutral | ¥174.42B | 20.87 | ― | 1.65% | 5.23% | -1.32% | |
61 Neutral | ¥648.15B | 35.81 | 9.53% | 0.55% | 12.02% | 20.18% | |
61 Neutral | ¥206.81B | 43.75 | ― | 0.69% | 10.09% | 22.64% | |
56 Neutral | ¥1.30T | 30.10 | 15.36% | 0.78% | 11.21% | 16.65% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
53 Neutral | ¥97.79B | 24.65 | ― | 0.37% | 19.62% | 71.58% |
* General Sector Average
JP:7630
Ichibanya Co., Ltd.
902.00
-0.68
-0.08%
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Ichibanya Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Ichibanya Cuts Profit Targets and Slows Store Expansion in Revised Medium-Term Plan
Apr 6, 2026
Ichibanya has revised its 8th Medium-Term Management Plan for the period through the fiscal year ending February 2027, aligning the new targets with its latest earnings forecast. The company cites persistent geopolitical uncertainty, surging perso...
Ichibanya Grows Sales but Profit Slips, Sees Earnings Rebound in FY2027 Forecast
Apr 6, 2026
Ichibanya reported consolidated net sales of ¥65.5 billion for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, up 7.4% year on year, but operating profit slipped 4.3% to ¥4.7 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent fell 19.2% to ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.