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Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. (JP:9193)
:9193
Japanese Market

Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. (9193) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9193

Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd.

(9193)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,426.00
▲(39.12% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/10/26
The score is driven mainly by attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield) and a strong balance sheet, partly offset by weak profitability/negative free cash flow and technically overbought momentum despite an overall uptrend.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Low leverage and a rising equity base improve financial resilience in cyclical shipping markets. A strong equity ratio and improving ROE increase ability to fund operations, absorb demand shocks, and support capital spending or dividends without relying on costly external debt.
Underlying Operational Cash Generation
A positive EBITDA margin shows the core tugboat and port-services operations generate cash before depreciation and extraordinary items. That underlying cash generation provides a foundation to restore operating profit through efficiency gains or lower capex intensity, aiding medium-term recovery prospects.
Essential, Stable Business Model
Harbor and coastal maritime services are essential to port operations with recurring demand and high entry barriers (specialized vessels, permits, local relationships). This structural market position supports steady baseline demand and long-term contract potential versus cyclical, discretionary businesses.
Negative Factors
Profitability Pressure
Sustained net losses and negative EBIT margins signal the company is not yet converting revenue into bottom-line profits. Continued unprofitability pressures retained earnings, limits reinvestment capacity, and raises the need for operational restructuring or margin improvement to achieve durable earnings.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistently negative free cash flow implies capital needs exceed operating cash generation. In capital-intensive marine services, this can erode liquidity, constrain investments in fleet renewal, and force reliance on external financing or equity, weakening long-term financial flexibility if unresolved.
Revenue Volatility
Revenue volatility and recent declines reduce predictability of cash flows and complicate planning for fleet maintenance or crew costs. In a sector tied to trade volumes, inconsistent top-line trends increase execution risk for margin recovery and make multi-period forecasting and investment decisions harder.

Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. (9193) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTokyo Kisen Co.,Ltd. engages in the tugboat business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Tugboat, Passenger Ship, and Store and Restaurant segments. The company provides harbor tug services, including assisting in berthing and docking operations of vessels; escort tug services, such as safeguarding the route of vessels carrying hazardous materials, as well as pilot boat services; emergency support and disaster prevention services comprising ship rescue, watch boat, oil spill recovery, fire extinguishing, and lifesaving services; and crew transfer and vessel services. It also offers marine logistics support services, which include mooring boat and patrol boat services; and passenger services consisting of sightseeing boats under the Marine Shuttle, Marine Rouge, and Sea Bus names, as well as provides car ferry services. The company was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Yokohama-shi, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTokyo Kisen generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its shipping services where it charges for the transportation of goods across domestic and international routes. The company also earns income from its harbor services, which include the handling and storage of cargo at ports. Additional revenue is generated through long-term contracts with businesses for logistics solutions, as well as partnerships with other maritime and logistics firms that enhance its service offerings. The demand for marine transportation and logistics services, coupled with efficient operational management, plays a crucial role in driving the company's earnings.

Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: a strong balance sheet (low leverage and rising equity) is offset by weaker operating performance (declining revenue, negative EBIT and net margins) and negative free cash flow driven by high capex.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. has shown fluctuating revenue patterns with a decrease in the latest year. The gross profit margin has decreased from prior years, and the company is operating at a net loss, impacting net profit margins negatively. Despite a positive EBITDA margin, the EBIT margin is negative, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio indicates a stable financial structure, and the company has consistently increased its stockholders' equity. The return on equity shows improvement, suggesting better utilization of equity in recent periods.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The free cash flow remains negative, reflecting high capital expenditures relative to operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive but shows volatility, indicating some inconsistency in converting earnings into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.60B12.04B12.52B11.87B10.70B9.89B
Gross Profit1.62B1.46B2.33B1.96B1.20B1.15B
EBITDA4.00B4.15B2.38B1.91B1.25B1.16B
Net Income1.82B2.04B572.70M416.13M-192.94M-94.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.90B31.26B29.12B28.67B28.91B26.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.23B7.89B7.49B8.97B9.72B8.68B
Total Debt2.92B2.96B3.17B3.04B3.65B2.07B
Total Liabilities6.69B6.47B6.52B7.02B7.84B5.72B
Stockholders Equity23.15B23.76B21.60B20.73B20.18B20.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-2.44B-2.80B-1.02B-1.21B-2.61B
Operating Cash Flow0.001.21B618.20M1.50B1.27B231.73M
Investing Cash Flow0.00636.60M-639.32M-2.73B-348.57M1.40B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-432.55M120.03M-31.32M1.42B-238.58M

Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1025.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1186.74
Positive
100DMA
1078.32
Positive
200DMA
1021.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
26.16
Positive
RSI
58.60
Neutral
STOCH
75.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9193, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1025 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1279.15, below the 50-day MA of 1186.74, and above the 200-day MA of 1021.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 26.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9193.

Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥23.57B3.251.29%4.21%35.32%
72
Outperform
¥12.01B5.414.99%6.11%207.55%
70
Outperform
¥20.44B15.361.38%7.07%26.88%
70
Neutral
¥10.86B1,812.205.77%3.22%-87.75%
65
Neutral
¥11.60B10.981.87%-0.35%11.44%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
50
Neutral
¥6.77B19.260.30%-0.38%413.00%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9193
Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd.
1,207.00
393.04
48.29%
JP:9130
Kyoei Tanker Co., Ltd.
1,420.00
441.36
45.10%
JP:9171
Kuribayashi Steamship Co., Ltd.
1,858.00
542.36
41.22%
JP:9173
Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd.
3,015.00
171.00
6.01%
JP:9367
Daito Koun Co., Ltd.
2,385.00
1,679.71
238.16%
JP:9380
Azuma Shipping Co., Ltd.
417.00
43.42
11.62%

Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Tokyo Kisen Reports Increased Sales but Decline in Profitability
Nov 12, 2025

Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. reported a 14% increase in net sales for the second quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, reaching 6,812 million yen. Despite this growth, the company’s profit attributable to owners of the parent decreased by 85.9%, highlighting challenges in maintaining profitability. The company’s comprehensive income also saw a significant decline of 97.9%, indicating potential operational or market challenges that may impact stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9193) stock is a Hold with a Yen1026.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9193 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026