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Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. (JP:9173)
:9173
Japanese Market
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Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. (9173) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9173

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd.

(9173)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,746.00
▼(-14.98% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weak technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD and very low RSI/Stoch). Financial performance is improving versus prior loss years, but leverage remains high and cash flow/revenue trends are choppy. Valuation is reasonable on P/E but offers little support from dividends.
Positive Factors
Profitability Recovery
The shift from losses during 2020–2023 to positive operating profit and net income in 2024–2025 indicates a meaningful earnings recovery. Sustained profitability would strengthen internal funding capacity and improve resilience over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
Revenue remains exposed to fluctuating passenger, freight and tourism demand across island routes. The renewed decline in 2025 suggests the recovery is not firmly established, which can constrain operating leverage and make medium-term earnings less predictable.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability Recovery
The shift from losses during 2020–2023 to positive operating profit and net income in 2024–2025 indicates a meaningful earnings recovery. Sustained profitability would strengthen internal funding capacity and improve resilience over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. (9173) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. (9173) is a Japanese marine transportation company that operates passenger and cargo shipping services, with a core focus on routes connecting Tokyo and nearby island areas. The company provides scheduled ferry/high-speed ves...
How the Company Makes Money
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Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings have improved with positive operating profit and net income in 2024–2025, but performance remains cyclical: revenue is volatile, margins are thin, and operating margin dipped in 2025. Balance sheet leverage is still a key risk despite improvement (debt-to-equity ~1.95x in 2025). Cash flow is positive recently, but uneven, with a sharp operating cash flow drop in 2025 versus 2024.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.33B14.29B14.60B13.18B13.93B10.81B
Gross Profit2.00B2.00B2.02B753.36M1.92B1.38B
EBITDA1.80B1.74B1.99B832.27M1.76B1.54B
Net Income383.00M368.00M293.64M-580.62M180.75M-78.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.67B20.74B22.60B22.55B23.71B23.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.82B3.88B5.10B4.36B4.86B3.87B
Total Debt9.96B10.27B11.90B12.82B13.56B14.24B
Total Liabilities13.84B13.82B16.24B16.67B17.37B17.80B
Stockholders Equity5.15B5.28B4.77B4.39B4.88B4.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00372.00M1.42B7.89M1.51B1.03B
Operating Cash Flow0.00685.00M2.23B388.38M2.14B1.52B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-249.00M-556.34M-147.76M-455.94M1.53B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.66B-926.19M-744.41M-692.96M-1.27B

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥4.25B14.981.57%-5.37%1.94%
66
Neutral
¥19.28B5.841.29%0.98%58.52%
66
Neutral
¥8.59B1.654.99%3.12%185.27%
65
Neutral
¥5.22B6.333.02%6.97%20.58%
59
Neutral
¥12.13B11.341.87%4.81%99.10%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
49
Neutral
¥6.21B21.700.30%-1.50%-7.60%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9173
Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd.
2,833.00
-177.00
-5.88%
JP:9171
Kuribayashi Steamship Co., Ltd.
1,506.00
423.22
39.09%
JP:9193
Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd.
859.00
-113.85
-11.70%
JP:9353
Sakurajima Futo Kaisha, Ltd.
2,879.00
1,118.09
63.49%
JP:9361
Fushiki Kairiku Unso Co., Ltd.
2,015.00
346.90
20.80%
JP:9380
Azuma Shipping Co., Ltd.
436.00
108.03
32.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026