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Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. (JP:9173)
:9173
Japanese Market

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. (9173) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9173

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd.

(9173)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,050.00
▼(-5.57% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is primarily held back by weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD), while financial performance is only middling due to high leverage and uneven revenue/cash flow despite an earnings recovery. Valuation is neutral with a moderate P/E but little support from the low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Earnings recovery
Return to positive operating profit and net income after loss years is a durable improvement: it indicates the core ferry business can generate sustainable profits under current demand and cost structures, enabling reinvestment, servicing of liabilities, and reducing bankruptcy risk during normal cycles.
Negative Factors
High leverage remains
Even after improvement, elevated leverage constrains flexibility: high debt levels increase interest and refinancing risk, reduce ability to fund unexpected capex or route disruptions, and magnify downside in demand downturns common in passenger ferry and marine transport sectors.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Earnings recovery
Return to positive operating profit and net income after loss years is a durable improvement: it indicates the core ferry business can generate sustainable profits under current demand and cost structures, enabling reinvestment, servicing of liabilities, and reducing bankruptcy risk during normal cycles.
Read all positive factors

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. (9173) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. operates in the fleet service, trading, restaurant and hotel management, food and beverage, general passenger automobile carrier, and other businesses in Japan. The company was formerly known as Tokyo Wan Kisen Co., Ltd and c...
How the Company Makes Money
Tokai Kisen generates revenue primarily through ticket sales for its ferry services, catering to both passengers and cargo transport. The company also benefits from ancillary services such as onboard sales, tourism packages, and partnerships with ...

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings have recovered with positive operating profit and net income in 2024–2025 and improved margins versus loss years, and free cash flow is positive recently. Offsetting this, leverage remains high for a cyclical shipper (debt-to-equity ~1.95x in 2025) and revenue/cash flow have been choppy, with operating cash flow dropping sharply in 2025 versus 2024.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.69B14.29B14.60B13.18B13.93B10.81B
Gross Profit2.02B2.00B2.02B753.36M1.92B1.38B
EBITDA1.93B1.74B1.99B832.27M1.76B1.54B
Net Income310.51M368.00M293.64M-580.62M180.75M-78.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.71B20.74B22.60B22.55B23.71B23.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.18B3.88B5.10B4.36B4.86B3.87B
Total Debt10.79B10.27B11.90B12.82B13.56B14.24B
Total Liabilities15.69B13.82B16.24B16.67B17.37B17.80B
Stockholders Equity4.46B5.28B4.77B4.39B4.88B4.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00372.00M1.42B7.89M1.51B1.03B
Operating Cash Flow0.00685.00M2.23B388.38M2.14B1.52B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-249.00M-556.34M-147.76M-455.94M1.53B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.66B-926.19M-744.41M-692.96M-1.27B

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3230.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3067.68
Negative
100DMA
3159.69
Negative
200DMA
3126.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-25.17
Positive
RSI
41.27
Neutral
STOCH
15.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9173, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3230 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3019.15, above the 50-day MA of 3067.68, and above the 200-day MA of 3126.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -25.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9173.

Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥5.76B5.293.02%7.54%44.72%
74
Outperform
¥3.48B10.481.57%12.51%58.13%
72
Outperform
¥11.08B5.414.99%6.11%207.55%
71
Outperform
¥24.12B3.251.29%4.21%35.32%
65
Neutral
¥11.38B10.981.87%-0.35%11.44%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
50
Neutral
¥6.56B13.740.30%-0.38%413.00%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9173
Tokai Kisen Co., Ltd.
2,991.00
164.00
5.80%
JP:9171
Kuribayashi Steamship Co., Ltd.
1,901.00
904.02
90.68%
JP:9193
Tokyo Kisen Co., Ltd.
1,114.00
414.32
59.21%
JP:9353
Sakurajima Futo Kaisha, Ltd.
2,317.00
785.77
51.32%
JP:9361
Fushiki Kairiku Unso Co., Ltd.
2,225.00
792.75
55.35%
JP:9380
Azuma Shipping Co., Ltd.
409.00
110.49
37.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026