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Ichiyoshi Securities Co Ltd (JP:8624)
:8624

Ichiyoshi Securities Co (8624) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8624

Ichiyoshi Securities Co

(8624)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,632.00
▲(47.16% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/19/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial strength (low leverage and strong margins) and an attractive valuation (low P/E and meaningful dividend yield). This is partially offset by weaker cash flow in the latest year and only moderate near-term technical momentum despite the longer-term uptrend.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
Very low financial leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable solvency and flexibility. This capital structure supports underwriting, market-making and volatile trading needs without forcing asset sales, enabling multi-month resilience and optionality for capital allocation or dividend continuity.
Exceptionally high gross margins
Persistently elevated gross margins reflect a fee- and spread-based business with low variable cost of goods sold. That structural cost advantage gives lasting operational leverage, allowing the firm to absorb revenue volatility and sustain profitability longer than peers with lower margin profiles.
Positive EPS and revenue growth trends
Multi-period earnings and revenue growth indicate improving operating performance and pricing power. Strong EPS expansion supports retained earnings or payouts and suggests the business can invest in distribution or product capabilities while maintaining core franchise health over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
A recent shift to negative operating and free cash flow reduces internal funding for working capital, margins, and discretionary spending. This weakens liquidity and increases reliance on the balance sheet or external funding, a material multi-month constraint on strategic flexibility.
Compressing net profit margin
A meaningful drop in net margin signals rising expenses or lower net revenue quality. Persisting margin compression will erode ROE and retained earnings, constraining reinvestment and dividend capacity unless cost structure or revenue mix improves over coming quarters.
Latest-year revenue slight decline
Stagnant to mildly declining top-line reduces the ability to scale fixed-cost advantages and limits earnings upside. In a competitive brokerage market this trend can persist absent new client acquisition or product expansion, making near-term growth recovery uncertain.

Ichiyoshi Securities Co (8624) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIchiyoshi Securities Co., Ltd. operates in the securities industry in Japan. The company conducts research and gathers information on stocks of small- and medium-sized growth companies. It also provides discretionary investment and advisory services for institutional investors and trusts. In addition, the company is involved in the real estate renting, broking, and management services; sale of office supplies and goods; and insurance agency activities. Ichiyoshi Securities Co., Ltd. was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyIchiyoshi Securities primarily makes money through securities-related fees and trading income generated from client and firm activities. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Brokerage commissions and fees earned when retail and institutional clients execute trades in stocks and other securities through the firm; (2) Underwriting and distribution-related income (e.g., fees/spreads) when the firm participates in bringing securities offerings to market and sells them to investors; (3) Trading gains/losses and related income from the firm’s own dealing activities in financial instruments, which can fluctuate with market conditions; and (4) Asset-based or advisory-type fees where applicable (e.g., fees linked to investment products or investment services provided to clients). The firm’s earnings are influenced by Japanese equity market activity, interest-rate and market volatility, client risk appetite, and the strength of its product lineup and sales channels. Specific breakdowns by segment, named major partnerships, or quantified revenue mix: null

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (very low debt-to-equity and high equity ratio) and consistently high gross margins support stability, but revenue is slightly declining, net margin has compressed, and the latest year showed negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow, which reduces the score.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Ichiyoshi Securities Co. showed strong gross profit margins consistently above 95%, indicating effective cost management. However, revenue has been relatively flat with a slight downward trend, experiencing negative growth of -0.13% in the latest year. The net profit margin decreased from 10.24% to 8.31%, showing a decline in profitability. Despite this, the company maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, enhancing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, reflecting minimal financial leverage and reduced risk of insolvency. The equity ratio is robust at 65.54%, indicating a solid capital structure. Return on Equity decreased from 6.65% to 5.70%, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders, but overall, the balance sheet remains stable and resilient.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flows exhibit volatility, with operating cash flow turning negative in the latest year. The free cash flow to net income ratio turned negative due to negative free cash flow, highlighting potential liquidity concerns. Historically, the company generated strong free cash flow, but recent trends indicate a need for improved cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.41B18.81B18.84B16.66B19.59B19.74B
Gross Profit18.18B18.30B18.80B16.62B19.55B18.20B
EBITDA2.24B2.76B3.32B1.65B3.87B1.79B
Net Income1.20B1.56B1.93B758.00M2.53B1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.62B41.90B46.65B42.67B47.94B49.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.21B17.99B21.87B16.19B17.74B17.31B
Total Debt3.64B2.28B361.00M628.00M592.00M491.00M
Total Liabilities18.45B14.44B17.64B14.85B17.87B20.10B
Stockholders Equity27.17B27.46B29.01B27.82B30.06B29.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-573.00M3.40B1.32B1.65B4.42B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-524.00M3.79B1.61B2.09B4.86B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-296.00M-524.00M-320.00M-169.00M-44.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-3.04B-1.14B-2.82B-1.38B-1.12B

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1109.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1298.34
Positive
100DMA
1139.70
Positive
200DMA
964.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
19.77
Positive
RSI
55.05
Neutral
STOCH
43.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8624, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1109 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1388.95, below the 50-day MA of 1298.34, and above the 200-day MA of 964.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 19.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8624.

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥60.18B10.0517.21%4.27%7.60%7.20%
76
Outperform
¥44.66B7.036.18%4.42%1.56%-9.90%
72
Outperform
¥2.01T3.0120.02%2.63%23.96%179.16%
72
Outperform
¥185.78B7.617.40%5.60%3.10%17.73%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
¥16.41B9.362.86%36.31%52.62%
59
Neutral
¥23.57B-8.03-33.10%-49.56%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8624
Ichiyoshi Securities Co
1,413.00
686.27
94.43%
JP:8473
SBI Holdings
3,046.00
984.50
47.76%
JP:8739
Sparx Group Co
1,920.00
357.26
22.86%
JP:8616
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings
748.00
263.67
54.44%
JP:3454
First Brothers Co., Ltd.
1,170.00
192.65
19.71%
JP:6620
Miyakoshi Holdings, Inc.
589.00
-569.00
-49.14%

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Corporate Events

Ichiyoshi Securities Links Executive Pay to New Stock-Based Incentive Plan
Mar 18, 2026

Ichiyoshi Securities has approved the introduction of a new performance-linked stock compensation plan using a stock ownership trust for its directors, executive officers and operating officers at the parent and subsidiaries, excluding outside directors. The move coincides with the launch of its new medium-term management plan, “Target 5 ,” starting April 2026 and running through March 2030, designed to accelerate its transition to a stock-type, fee-based business model.

The plan will tie executive remuneration more tightly to business performance and corporate value by granting shares or cash equivalents after the four-year plan period, based on achievement of performance objectives. By reinforcing profit-sharing alignment between management and shareholders, the company aims to deepen management’s commitment to its strategic targets and support long-term value creation during the new planning cycle.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8624) stock is a Buy with a Yen1547.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ichiyoshi Securities Co stock, see the JP:8624 Stock Forecast page.

Ichiyoshi Securities Launches “Target 5” Plan to Drive Stock-Type Business Model
Mar 18, 2026

Ichiyoshi Securities has unveiled a new four-year medium-term management plan, “Target 5 ,” to accelerate its ongoing shift toward a customer-focused, stock-type business model built on recurring fee income. The plan follows the conclusion of its current “3・D” program in March 2026 and marks the company’s move from a preparatory to an advancement phase in its long-running reform drive.

Under the new plan, running from April 2026 to March 2030, the brokerage targets boosting customers’ assets in custody to ¥5 trillion while lifting the share of core and semi-core products to 30 percent. It is also aiming for a 100 percent cost coverage ratio from trailer and wrap-account fees and a 15 percent return on equity, with management and staff committed to working as “ONE TEAM” to meet these financial and strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8624) stock is a Buy with a Yen1547.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ichiyoshi Securities Co stock, see the JP:8624 Stock Forecast page.

Ichiyoshi Securities Lifts Payout With 75th Anniversary Dividends
Mar 18, 2026

Ichiyoshi Securities has provisionally set its final dividend for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026 at 58 yen per share, combining a 48 yen regular dividend with a 10 yen commemorative payment tied to its 75th anniversary. The final figure, to be confirmed by the board in late May, reflects the firm’s policy of paying the higher of a roughly 50% payout ratio or a 2% dividend on equity, and lifts total regular and commemorative dividends for the year to a provisional 88 yen per share, signaling a more shareholder-friendly stance versus the prior year.

The company is also marking its 75th anniversary by distributing a total of 20 yen per share in commemorative dividends, split equally between shareholders of record on September 30, 2025 and March 31, 2026. This enhanced return underscores management’s intention to reward long-term investors and may bolster the stock’s appeal in a low-yield environment, though all 2026 dividend figures remain subject to final board approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8624) stock is a Buy with a Yen1547.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ichiyoshi Securities Co stock, see the JP:8624 Stock Forecast page.

Ichiyoshi Securities Proposes New Outside Director in Board Slate for 2026
Mar 4, 2026

Ichiyoshi Securities’ nominating committee has proposed a slate of seven directors for approval at its 84th annual shareholders’ meeting in June 2026, maintaining the current leadership structure with President and Representative Executive Officer Hirofumi Tamada and other senior executives set for reappointment. Five of the seven will serve as non-executive directors, including four outside independent directors, underscoring the firm’s emphasis on governance and external oversight.

The only new nominee is Yukari Sakai, an experienced outside director whose career spans roles at major Japanese companies such as United Arrows, Uzabase and Pacific Metals, often in audit and supervisory capacities. Her appointment would further strengthen Ichiyoshi Securities’ board independence and audit expertise, potentially enhancing risk management and stakeholder confidence in the company’s corporate governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8624) stock is a Buy with a Yen1605.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ichiyoshi Securities Co stock, see the JP:8624 Stock Forecast page.

Ichiyoshi Securities Delivers Profit Surge and Commemorative Payout Ahead of 75th Anniversary
Jan 29, 2026

Ichiyoshi Securities reported strong consolidated results for the first three quarters of fiscal 2025, with operating revenue, net operating revenue, operating profit, ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of parent all posting year-on-year gains of around 25–30% at the revenue level and roughly 77–80% at the profit line. Comprehensive income almost doubled to 2.5 billion yen, while total assets rose to 58.5 billion yen and shareholders’ equity increased to 28.6 billion yen, lifting the equity ratio to 48.9% and net assets per share to 891.45 yen, underscoring a solid improvement in financial health. The company maintained its policy of not issuing profit forecasts due to market volatility in its core financial-instruments trading business, instead committing to release preliminary figures after each quarter, and it also highlighted special shareholder returns via a 10-yen commemorative dividend per share at both the September 2025 and March 2026 record dates to mark its 75th anniversary, taking the total commemorative payout to 20 yen for the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8624) stock is a Buy with a Yen1338.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ichiyoshi Securities Co stock, see the JP:8624 Stock Forecast page.

Ichiyoshi Securities’ Preliminary 9-Month Profit Soars on Shift to Stock-Type Business Model
Jan 22, 2026

Ichiyoshi Securities reported strong preliminary consolidated results for the first three quarters of fiscal 2025, with operating revenue rising 19.1% year on year to ¥17.2 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent jumping 80.3% to ¥2.5 billion, pushing earnings per share up nearly 90% to ¥78.78. Management attributed the improvement to steady progress in transitioning to its stock-type business model, as balances in fund-wrap accounts and investment trust funds grew smoothly and boosted fee income from beneficiary certificates and other commission-based, stable revenue streams, leading to substantial gains in operating, current, and bottom-line profits versus the same period a year earlier, although the figures remain preliminary ahead of final results due on January 29, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8624) stock is a Buy with a Yen1281.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ichiyoshi Securities Co stock, see the JP:8624 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 19, 2026