Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Inc (JP:8616)
:8616
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Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings
(8616)
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Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥847.00
▲(42.59% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:11/30/25
The overall stock score reflects a strong valuation with an attractive dividend yield and reasonable P/E ratio, combined with positive technical indicators showing bullish momentum. However, financial performance is mixed, with challenges in revenue growth and high leverage posing potential risks. Investors should monitor these factors closely.
Positive Factors
Diversified Securities Franchise
Tokai Tokyo operates across brokerage, trading, investment banking and asset/wealth management. This diversified fee and trading revenue mix reduces dependence on any single market segment, supporting more resilient revenue and client relationships over multiple market cycles.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
The balance sheet shows a notable debt-to-equity profile and reliance on leverage. Elevated leverage raises funding cost sensitivity, constrains strategic flexibility, and increases downside risk if market or interest conditions worsen over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified Securities Franchise
Tokai Tokyo operates across brokerage, trading, investment banking and asset/wealth management. This diversified fee and trading revenue mix reduces dependence on any single market segment, supporting more resilient revenue and client relationships over multiple market cycles.
Read all positive factors
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (8616) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥188.51B
Dividend Yield5.6%
Average Volume (3M)947.94K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.6
Beta (1Y)1.08
Revenue Growth3.10%
EPS Growth17.73%
CountryJP
Employees2,655
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryAsset Management
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)22.59
Shares Outstanding260,582,120
10 Day Avg. Volume787,500
30 Day Avg. Volume947,940
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.39
Price to Book (P/B)0.67
Price to Sales (P/S)1.39
P/FCF Ratio5.95
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings, Inc. (8616) is a Japan-based financial services holding company that operates through its subsidiaries in various sectors such as securities, asset management, and financial advisory services. The company offers a w...
How the Company Makes Money
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings primarily earns revenue through its securities business. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Brokerage commissions and fees generated when clients trade securities through the group’s platforms and sales chann...
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
65
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 83.54B | 87.27B | 89.10B | 73.52B | 81.54B | 69.36B |
| Gross Profit | 72.30B | 76.34B | 79.16B | 62.62B | 72.45B | 60.38B |
| EBITDA | 15.66B | 20.94B | 22.05B | 9.66B | 21.01B | 16.16B |
| Net Income | 8.12B | 11.05B | 10.19B | 1.95B | 13.15B | 9.09B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.22T | 1.41T | 1.40T | 1.06T | 1.58T | 1.42T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 404.50B | 531.91B | 417.00B | 392.46B | 618.89B | 666.98B |
| Total Debt | 650.49B | 388.26B | 643.97B | 521.81B | 752.38B | 752.16B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.03T | 1.21T | 1.21T | 874.67B | 1.40T | 1.24T |
| Stockholders Equity | 178.94B | 181.92B | 180.27B | 169.83B | 173.23B | 166.01B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 20.39B | 10.61B | 104.19B | 1.49B | -75.27B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 20.78B | 12.81B | 107.31B | 5.67B | -73.07B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -24.36B | -24.36B | -42.57B | -18.62B | -23.01B | -12.40B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 17.66B | 17.66B | -4.53B | -57.59B | 32.35B | 104.81B |
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Technical Analysis
Positive
594.00
Price Trends
757.18
Positive
706.43
Positive
621.81
Positive
Market Momentum
-3.99
Positive
52.48
Neutral
57.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8616, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 594 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 759.85, below the 50-day MA of 757.18, and below the 200-day MA of 621.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -3.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8616.
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | ¥60.61B | 10.05 | 17.21% | 4.27% | 7.60% | 7.20% | |
76 Outperform | ¥46.99B | 7.03 | 6.18% | 4.42% | 1.56% | -9.90% | |
72 Outperform | ¥1.97T | 3.01 | 20.02% | 2.63% | 23.96% | 179.16% | |
72 Outperform | ¥188.51B | 7.61 | 7.40% | 5.60% | 3.10% | 17.73% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
65 Neutral | ¥121.76B | 8.60 | 5.11% | 5.07% | -19.64% | -31.08% | |
53 Neutral | ¥27.41B | -8.03 | ― | ― | -33.10% | -49.56% |
* Financial Sector Average
JP:8616
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings
759.00
264.38
53.45%
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Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Corporate Events
Tokai Tokyo Revises Leadership Changes at Core Securities Subsidiary
Mar 26, 2026
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings has announced a partial revision to its previously disclosed changes in representative directors at its core subsidiary, Tokai Tokyo Securities. The update clarifies adjustments related to the post-retirement appoint...
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Plans Higher Dividend to Mark 25th Anniversary
Mar 26, 2026
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings has announced a projected year-end dividend of 28 yen per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, consisting of an ordinary dividend of 20 yen and a commemorative dividend of 8 yen to mark the group’s ...
Tokai Tokyo Overhauls Leadership at Core Securities Subsidiary
Mar 18, 2026
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings has announced upcoming changes in the top leadership of its core subsidiary, Tokai Tokyo Securities, following a preliminary decision by the subsidiary’s Board of Directors on March 18, 2026. The move reflects ...
Tokai Tokyo Adjusts Restricted Stock Issuance and Cancels Matching Treasury Shares
Mar 13, 2026
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings has completed the payment process for issuing new shares as restricted stock compensation to full-time employees, resulting in 813,400 common shares being issued instead of the previously planned 836,500 after some e...
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Confirms Reviewed Nine-Month Results and Interim Dividend
Feb 13, 2026
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings announced that certified public accountants have completed their interim review of the Japanese-language quarterly consolidated financial statements for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with no revisions requ...
Tokai Tokyo Financial to Issue Restricted Stock to Employees and Cancel Matching Treasury Shares
Jan 30, 2026
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings has approved the issuance of 836,500 new shares of common stock as restricted stock compensation to 2,326 full-time employees, with a total value of approximately 609.8 million yen, coinciding with the group’s ...
Tokai Tokyo Financial Outlines Third-Quarter Fiscal 2026 Business Trends
Jan 30, 2026
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings released an outline of its consolidated financial highlights for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, detailing trends in operating revenue, expenses, non-operating profits, segment earnings, and b...
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Posts Higher Nine-Month Earnings but Withholds Full-Year Forecast
Jan 30, 2026
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings reported consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, showing year-on-year growth in operating revenue, net operating revenue, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of parent, alongs...
Tokai Tokyo Launches NEX-T Fund to Back Tokai Region Startups
Jan 26, 2026
Tokai Tokyo Securities has partnered with Prime Partners to establish the Next Tokai Innovation Fund I Investment Limited Partnership, also known as the NEX-T Fund, with Tokai Tokyo Investment and Japan Post Bank joining as anchor investors. The n...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.