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SBI Holdings Inc (JP:8473)
:8473
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SBI Holdings (8473) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8473

SBI Holdings

(8473)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
SBI Holdings receives a strong overall score due to robust financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting record revenue and profit growth. The stock's undervaluation and positive technical indicators further enhance its attractiveness, though high leverage and cash flow challenges remain areas for improvement.

SBI Holdings (8473) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SBI Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSBI Holdings, Inc. engages in the online financial service businesses and investment activities in Japan and internationally. It operates through Financial Services Business; Asset Management Business; and Biotechnology, Healthcare and Medical Informatics Business segments. The company offers financial products and services, including brokerage and investment banking; Internet banking; auto, cancer, fire, and earthquake, as well as life insurance; short term insurance; FX margin trading; online securities; exchange and transaction services related to digital assets; management of defined-contribution pension, etc.; leasing and lending services; operation of proprietary trading system; control and operation of the e-commerce settlement business; and remittance and back office support services. It also provides private equity, venture capital fund management, M&A advisory, savings bank, commercial banking, investment advisory and management, and rating information services; real estate secured loans; and rent guarantees for rental housing. In addition, the company researches, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical products, health foods, and cosmetics; develops, produces, sells, and maintains medical information integration systems; and researches and develops antibody drugs and nucleic acid medicines for cancer and immunology. Further, it operates a fund-raising platform; acts as a crypto-asset broker; develops, manufactures, and sells crypto-asset mining systems; operates and develops cybersecurity systems; provides blockchain platform; invests in real estate properties; exports used cars; and offers healthcare services, as well as revitalization services. Additionally, the company engages in the mining of digital assets; and e-sports and renewable energy business. The company was formerly known as Softbank Investment Corporation and changed its name to SBI Holdings, Inc. in July 2005. SBI Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySBI Holdings generates revenue through multiple key streams. Its main revenue sources include fees from financial services such as brokerage commissions from its securities business, interest income from banking operations, and premium income from its insurance segment. The company also earns significant revenues from its asset management division, managing investment funds and portfolios for clients. Additionally, SBI's venture capital activities contribute to its earnings by investing in startups and emerging technologies, particularly in the blockchain and fintech sectors. Strategic partnerships with various technology firms and financial institutions enhance its service offerings and market reach, further driving its revenue growth.

SBI Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call portrayed a strong overall performance with record-breaking revenue and significant growth in key segments such as Financial Services and Crypto-Assets. Despite challenges in the Next Gen and Insurance businesses, the company's strategic initiatives and expansion plans, both domestically and internationally, indicate a positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Revenue for FY 2024 was ¥1,443,733 million, up 19.3% year-on-year. Pre-tax income increased by 99.4% to ¥282,290 million, and net income rose by 66.5% to ¥189,158 million. ROE exceeded the target of 10%, reaching 12.8%.
Strong Segment Performance
The Financial Services Business segment achieved revenue of ¥1.2 trillion with profits up over 30%. The Asset Management business saw income increase by 12.5%, and the Crypto-Asset business hit record highs with revenue of ¥80,797 million and pre-tax income up 151.8%.
Successful International Expansion
SBI Shinsei Bank's revenue increased by 11%, and ordinary profit exceeded ¥100 billion, up 27%. Pre-tax income rose by 58%, while net profit attributable to owners of the company was up 45%.
Expansion in Crypto-Asset and Digital Space
The Crypto-Asset Business achieved a record high in performance with a pre-tax profit of ¥21,220 million. The company is also investing in digital asset-related products and expanding its customer base in crypto trading.
Aspirations for Further Growth
The company aims to increase its customer base to 100 million and consolidated profit before income tax expense to ¥500 billion by its 30th anniversary. The share of overseas business in consolidated profit is targeted to increase from 17% to 30%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the Next Gen Business
While the Next Gen business hit record high revenue, the pre-tax income remains in the red, with Web3 business still running at a loss.
Insurance Business Performance
The Insurance business saw a pre-tax income decline by 9.7% due to special factors related to past asset sales.
High Tariff Challenges in Southeast Asia
High tariff rates in countries like Vietnam (46%) and Cambodia (49%) present challenges for the company’s operations in these regions.
Company Guidance
In the fiscal year 2024, the company reported consolidated revenue of ¥1,443,733 million, marking a 19.3% increase year-on-year. Pre-tax income reached ¥282,290 million, up 99.4%, and net income was ¥189,158 million, a 66.5% increase. The return on equity (ROE) surpassed the target of 10%, reaching 12.8%, an increase of 5.8 percentage points. The Financial Services Business segment generated revenue of ¥1.2 trillion, with profits rising by over 30% to ¥225,369 million. The Asset Management division saw income grow by 12.5% to ¥5 billion. The Crypto-Asset business hit record highs, with revenue at ¥80,797 million and pre-tax income up 151.8% at ¥21,220 million. The dividend increased by ¥10 year-on-year to ¥140, with a payout ratio of 31.7%. The company aims to expand its customer base to 100 million by its 30th anniversary and increase consolidated profit before income tax to ¥500 billion. The strategy involves leveraging digital technology and expanding alliances to achieve growth targets.

SBI Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SBI Holdings shows strong revenue growth and profitability, with a 40.35% increase in revenue and solid profit margins. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges present potential risks, necessitating improvements in operational efficiency and cash flow management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
SBI Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 40.35% increase in the latest year, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin of 53.90% and net profit margin of 11.23% reflect solid profitability. However, the EBIT margin of 23.67% and EBITDA margin of 27.88% suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.54, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity of 12.85% is commendable, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 3.93% suggests a low proportion of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
SBI Holdings experienced a decline in free cash flow growth by 17.27%, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.07 indicates limited cash generation from operations relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.00 highlights challenges in converting income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.56T1.44T1.21T956.98B763.62B541.14B
Gross Profit607.66B834.12B655.82B573.24B499.64B366.05B
EBITDA471.13B353.35B192.72B172.29B202.52B185.87B
Net Income225.35B162.12B87.24B35.45B366.85B81.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.00T32.11T27.14T22.31T17.84T7.21T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.11T6.26T4.58T3.78T4.86T3.10T
Total Debt5.89T5.72T4.48T3.68T3.96T2.00T
Total Liabilities31.15T30.35T25.23T20.56T16.25T6.49T
Stockholders Equity1.32T1.26T1.26T1.01T924.60B562.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.53T1.46T1.30T923.17B-340.01B-193.82B
Operating Cash Flow2.93T1.51T1.35T960.74B-314.05B-178.40B
Investing Cash Flow-723.57B-1.06T-65.12B-1.08T1.84T-82.07B
Financing Cash Flow157.48B445.89B29.17B810.42B163.30B210.82B

SBI Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3288.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3315.83
Negative
100DMA
3186.82
Positive
200DMA
2619.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-27.99
Positive
RSI
48.67
Neutral
STOCH
49.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8473, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3288 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3340.17, below the 50-day MA of 3315.83, and above the 200-day MA of 2619.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -27.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8473.

SBI Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.10T6.9520.02%4.87%23.96%179.16%
74
Outperform
¥46.92B10.1517.21%4.49%7.60%7.20%
72
Outperform
¥158.46B12.836.79%5.87%3.10%17.73%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
¥16.49B239.292.49%1.35%-91.61%
60
Neutral
€126.44B19.225.11%3.49%-19.64%-31.08%
46
Neutral
€5.04B65.754.15%-6.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8473
SBI Holdings
3,288.00
1,408.75
74.96%
JP:8595
Jafco Co
2,416.00
405.98
20.20%
JP:8739
Sparx Group Co
1,514.00
122.87
8.83%
JP:8616
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings
647.00
195.39
43.27%
JP:8518
Japan Asia Investment Company, Limited
226.00
11.00
5.12%
JP:7347
Mercuria Holdings Co., Ltd.
883.00
12.37
1.42%

SBI Holdings Corporate Events

SBI Shinsei Bank Gains Approval for Tokyo Stock Exchange Listing
Nov 13, 2025

SBI Holdings announced that its subsidiary, SBI Shinsei Bank, has received approval to list its shares on the Prime Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This move is part of SBI Shinsei Bank’s strategy to expand its business foundation and enhance profitability, following its full repayment of public funds. The listing is expected to diversify capital raising methods and increase operational flexibility, contributing to the overall corporate value of SBI Holdings. Despite the listing, SBI Shinsei Bank will remain a consolidated subsidiary, maintaining a degree of independence in its management and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8473) stock is a Hold with a Yen6790.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SBI Holdings stock, see the JP:8473 Stock Forecast page.

SBI Holdings Denies Acquisition Rumors
Nov 4, 2025

SBI Holdings, Inc. has refuted claims made in Sentaku Magazine that it is considering acquiring Daiwa Securities in collaboration with Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group. The company clarified that the report is unfounded, aiming to dispel any misinformation and maintain transparency with its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8473) stock is a Hold with a Yen6710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SBI Holdings stock, see the JP:8473 Stock Forecast page.

SBI Holdings Adjusts Bond Conversion Prices Following Dividend and Stock Split
Oct 31, 2025

SBI Holdings has announced adjustments to the conversion price of its Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds due 2031, following the approval of an extraordinary dividend and a stock split by its Board of Directors. These adjustments, effective retroactively, are expected to impact the company’s financial structure and shareholder value, reflecting strategic financial decisions aimed at optimizing capital management and enhancing shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8473) stock is a Hold with a Yen6710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SBI Holdings stock, see the JP:8473 Stock Forecast page.

SBI Holdings Increases Interim Dividend Amid Strong Financial Performance
Oct 31, 2025

SBI Holdings has announced an increase in its interim dividend for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, setting it at JPY 40 per share, up from JPY 30 in the previous year. This decision reflects the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder returns, supported by its financial performance and market conditions, while maintaining a policy of distributing approximately 30% of profit before income tax as dividends.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8473) stock is a Hold with a Yen6710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SBI Holdings stock, see the JP:8473 Stock Forecast page.

SBI Holdings Announces Stock Split and Amendments to Articles of Incorporation
Oct 31, 2025

SBI Holdings has announced a stock split to enhance the liquidity of its shares and broaden its investor base by reducing the stock price per unit. The stock split, effective December 1, 2025, will double the number of issued shares, and the company’s Articles of Incorporation will be amended to reflect the increased total number of shares authorized.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8473) stock is a Hold with a Yen6710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SBI Holdings stock, see the JP:8473 Stock Forecast page.

SBI Holdings Completes Share Transfer of SBI Sumishin Net Bank
Oct 2, 2025

SBI Holdings, Inc. has completed the transfer of all its shares in SBI Sumishin Net Bank, resulting in a substantial financial gain. This transaction is expected to significantly impact the company’s financial results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with a recorded gain of 170.3 billion yen in non-consolidated results and 141.6 billion yen in consolidated results.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8473) stock is a Hold with a Yen6710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SBI Holdings stock, see the JP:8473 Stock Forecast page.

SBI Holdings to Acquire Significant Stake in Ridge-i Inc.
Sep 19, 2025

SBI Holdings, Inc. announced its plan to acquire over 5% of Ridge-i Inc. shares, with the acquisition set for September 30, 2025. This move is part of a strategic accumulation of shares, equating to a significant 14.97% of Ridge-i’s voting rights, and is expected to increase to 22.69% following a third-party allocation. This acquisition aligns with SBI Holdings’ strategy to strengthen its influence and operational capabilities within the industry, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8473) stock is a Hold with a Yen6710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SBI Holdings stock, see the JP:8473 Stock Forecast page.

SBI Holdings Forms Strategic Alliance with TOHOKU BANK for Regional Revitalization
Aug 21, 2025

SBI Holdings, Inc. has announced a Strategic Capital and Business Alliance Agreement with THE TOHOKU BANK, LTD. This alliance aims to strengthen TOHOKU BANK’s management and services, promote regional economic revitalization, and foster open innovation while maintaining the independence of both entities. The partnership will involve offering a variety of financial products, supporting digital transformation, and establishing a joint fund to aid local businesses. The impact on SBI Holdings’ consolidated results is expected to be minor.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8473) stock is a Hold with a Yen6710.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SBI Holdings stock, see the JP:8473 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025