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Sparx Group Co., Ltd. (JP:8739)
OTHER OTC:8739

Sparx Group Co (8739) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8739

Sparx Group Co

(OTC:8739)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,968.00
▲(24.40% Upside)
Sparx Group Co's overall stock score is driven primarily by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The company shows solid revenue growth and profitability, though there is room for improvement in net profit margin and cash flow management. The technical analysis suggests a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook, which slightly tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent double-digit revenue growth indicates durable demand for Sparx’s asset management services and fee income. Over 2–6 months this implies growing AUM and scale benefits that support recurring revenues, investment in product development, and stronger competitive positioning.
Gross Margin Strength
A 100% gross margin reflects very low direct cost of revenue typical of fee-driven asset managers, enabling high operating leverage. This structural margin advantage supports sustained profitability even if revenue growth slows, and allows resources for distribution and product expansion.
Conservative Balance Sheet
Low leverage and a strong equity base provide resilient financial flexibility, reducing insolvency risk and enabling countercyclical investments or buybacks. Over months, this balance sheet strength supports stable operations and strategic optionality in a volatile market environment.
Negative Factors
Declining Net Margin
A material drop in net margin signals rising operating expenses, fee compression, or allocation shifts that erode retained earnings. If persistent, margin pressure will reduce capital available for growth initiatives, dividends, or reinvestment, weakening long-term shareholder returns.
Weaker Operating Cash Flow
Lower operating cash flow and a sub‑1.0 conversion ratio reduce cash available for capital deployment and dividends. Sustained OCF weakness increases reliance on accounting earnings or external financing, constraining durable cash returns and financial flexibility over the medium term.
Falling Return on Equity
A sharp ROE decline suggests the firm is generating less profit per unit of equity, indicating lower capital efficiency. If this trend continues, it may reflect structural issues in investment performance or cost control, undermining long-term shareholder value creation.

Sparx Group Co (8739) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sparx Group Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSPARX Group Co., Ltd. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm offers asset management and investment advisory services. It invests in real estate, Intelligent Technology (e.g. artificial intelligence), Robotics, Technologies for a Hydrogen-Powered Society, Electrification, New Materials investments as well as in companies that provide solutions that promote carbon neutrality. The firm primarily provides its services to corporate pension annuities, government entities, private and trust banks, and public pension funds. SPARX Group Co., Ltd. was founded on July 1, 1989 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySparx Group generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM) from its investment funds and advisory services. The company earns a percentage of the AUM, which can vary based on the type of fund and its performance. Additionally, Sparx Group may receive performance fees if certain investment performance benchmarks are exceeded. Key revenue streams also include consulting and advisory services provided to institutional investors, which further diversify its income sources. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology firms enhance Sparx's capabilities and market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Sparx Group Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sparx Group Co exhibits strong revenue growth and maintains high profitability margins, although the net profit margin has declined. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage and a strong equity position. Cash flow generation is efficient, though operating cash flow has decreased. Overall, the company is financially stable with room for improvement in profitability and cash flow management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Sparx Group Co has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 15.26% increase in the latest year. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 100%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 39.51% to 29.24%, suggesting increased expenses or reduced operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, though slightly lower than the previous year, reflecting solid profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 15.67% from 20.73%, which may suggest challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 67.10%, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow has decreased, impacting the operating cash flow to net income ratio, which is now at 0.63. Free cash flow growth is not calculable due to division by zero, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 86.81%, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.69B17.96B16.50B13.36B14.04B14.29B
Gross Profit17.69B17.96B16.50B13.36B14.04B14.29B
EBITDA8.52B8.27B9.62B6.88B6.61B6.39B
Net Income5.76B5.25B6.52B4.52B4.07B3.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.38B49.94B46.11B39.38B37.14B37.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.88B21.39B22.07B22.03B19.20B19.93B
Total Debt10.56B9.00B9.00B9.34B9.00B9.00B
Total Liabilities15.56B16.43B14.69B13.34B12.82B14.71B
Stockholders Equity32.82B33.51B31.44B26.05B24.32B23.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.004.39B4.37B2.80B2.65B5.87B
Operating Cash Flow0.005.06B5.99B3.10B2.66B6.12B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.12B-3.13B2.00B-1.18B-2.90B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-3.39B-3.29B-2.41B-2.48B-1.84B

Sparx Group Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1582.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1541.72
Positive
100DMA
1558.91
Positive
200DMA
1516.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
56.74
Negative
RSI
80.15
Negative
STOCH
90.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8739, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1582 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1632.70, above the 50-day MA of 1541.72, and above the 200-day MA of 1516.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 56.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.15 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8739.

Sparx Group Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥54.88B11.8717.21%4.27%7.60%7.20%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
¥33.23B24.440.66%10.67%6.94%
63
Neutral
¥16.94B9.682.86%36.31%52.62%
¥24.29B21.0318.63%21.38%
62
Neutral
¥15.92B232.332.52%1.35%-91.61%
55
Neutral
¥35.25B157.63-33.10%-49.56%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8739
Sparx Group Co
1,757.00
364.91
26.21%
JP:2998
CREAL Inc.
980.00
460.13
88.51%
JP:3454
First Brothers Co., Ltd.
1,201.00
223.65
22.88%
JP:4310
Dream Incubator Inc.
2,589.00
-466.90
-15.28%
JP:6620
Miyakoshi Holdings, Inc.
910.00
-391.00
-30.05%
JP:7347
Mercuria Holdings Co., Ltd.
840.00
128.74
18.10%

Sparx Group Co Corporate Events

SPARX Group’s Assets Under Management Climb to ¥2.23 Trillion in December
Jan 9, 2026

SPARX Group reported that its assets under management rose 1.0% month-on-month in December 2025, increasing by ¥22.8 billion to ¥2,233.4 billion, driven primarily by growth in Japanese equity and OneAsia strategies while real assets remained stable and private equity declined slightly. The firm highlighted that these preliminary AUM figures, which are sensitive to market performance, currency movements, and fund flows, form the basis for its recurring fee income, underscoring the importance of sustained asset growth for its revenue stream amid modest gains in key equity indices and a slightly weaker yen over the month.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8739) stock is a Buy with a Yen1740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sparx Group Co stock, see the JP:8739 Stock Forecast page.

SPARX Group Launches Premium Shareholder Benefits Program to Boost Liquidity and Engagement
Dec 19, 2025

SPARX Group Co., Ltd. has approved the launch of a new shareholder benefits program, the SPARX Group Premium Benefits Club, aimed at rewarding investors, improving stock liquidity and broadening its shareholder base. From 2026, shareholders holding 300 or more shares as of March 31 and September 30 will receive benefit points, redeemable for a wide variety of goods, digital gifts and services, with higher holdings earning more points and the ability to carry them over across multiple periods under certain conditions. The program is also designed to strengthen communication with shareholders and support the company’s digital transformation in shareholder management by using a dedicated online platform and database to distribute IR materials and conduct surveys, potentially deepening investor engagement and enhancing SPARX’s market positioning as a shareholder-friendly company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8739) stock is a Buy with a Yen1740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sparx Group Co stock, see the JP:8739 Stock Forecast page.

SPARX Boosts Investment and Specifications for Luxury Niseko Villa Project
Dec 19, 2025

SPARX Group Co., Ltd. and its consolidated subsidiary SPARX Investment Co., Ltd. have approved a strategic upgrade to their planned luxury villa development in Niseko, Hokkaido, a well-known premium resort area, in a move to differentiate the project from competing condominium and villa offerings. The company is raising the project’s maximum total investment from ¥5.8 billion to ¥7.0 billion, reflecting enhanced facility specifications, a shift to pre-installing furniture and equipment to create a more refined, turnkey luxury space, and higher construction, equipment, and labor costs, while maintaining the existing autumn 2026 completion schedule and indicating that the impact on earnings for the fiscal year ending March 2026 should be negligible.

The decision underscores SPARX’s commitment to positioning the Niseko project at the upper end of the luxury market, potentially strengthening its brand and appeal to high-net-worth buyers seeking fully outfitted premium villas in a competitive resort real estate market. By absorbing higher upfront investment and cost inflation without altering the project timeline or near-term performance outlook, SPARX signals confidence in long-term demand and asset value in Niseko, while assuring stakeholders that the revised plan does not materially affect its current fiscal-year results.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8739) stock is a Buy with a Yen1740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sparx Group Co stock, see the JP:8739 Stock Forecast page.

SPARX Group Reports Growth in Assets Under Management for November 2025
Dec 5, 2025

SPARX Group Co., Ltd. reported an increase in its assets under management (AUM) by JPY 18.4 billion for November 2025, reaching a total of JPY 2,210.3 billion. This growth reflects the company’s strong positioning in the asset management sector, with its diverse investment strategies contributing to its robust performance. The announcement highlights the company’s ability to adapt to market fluctuations and maintain steady revenue streams, which is crucial for stakeholders and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8739) stock is a Buy with a Yen1740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sparx Group Co stock, see the JP:8739 Stock Forecast page.

SPARX Group Sees 3.8% Growth in October AUM
Nov 10, 2025

SPARX Group Co., Ltd. reported a 3.8% increase in assets under management (AUM) for October 2025, amounting to JPY 2,191.9 billion. This growth reflects positive investment performance and strategic positioning in the market, particularly in Japanese and Asian equities, as well as renewable energy sectors, which could enhance revenue streams and strengthen stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8739) stock is a Buy with a Yen1740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sparx Group Co stock, see the JP:8739 Stock Forecast page.

SPARX Group Reports Mixed Financial Results for H1 FY2025
Oct 31, 2025

SPARX Group Co., Ltd. reported its financial results for the first half of fiscal year 2025, showing a slight decrease in operating revenue and ordinary profit compared to the previous year, but a significant increase in profit attributable to owners of the parent. The company’s comprehensive income saw a substantial rise, indicating improved financial health. Despite the challenges in forecasting due to market conditions, SPARX Group continues to maintain a strong equity position and a steady number of shares, reflecting stability in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8739) stock is a Buy with a Yen1740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sparx Group Co stock, see the JP:8739 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025