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CREAL Inc. (JP:2998)
:2998
Japanese Market

CREAL Inc. (2998) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2998

CREAL Inc.

(2998)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥769.00
▼(-17.31% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial performance (growth, improving profitability, and cash flow strength). This is meaningfully offset by weak technical signals (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation is reasonable but not a major positive given the low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Sustained revenue expansion
CREAL has delivered multi-year top-line expansion (33% revenue growth cited), showing meaningful market traction and scale. Durable revenue growth supports continued reinvestment, product/service expansion and provides a structural runway for margin improvement over the next 2–6 months.
Strong cash generation and conversion
Free cash flow turned positive and has grown strongly, with operating cash flow converting well relative to net income. Sustainable cash conversion enhances funding for growth, debt reduction and capital allocation without relying on external financing, strengthening fundamentals over months.
Improving capital structure and high ROE
Leverage has declined and solvency metrics improved, while ROE rose to ~25.6%, indicating efficient use of equity. These structural improvements reduce financing risk and imply management is deploying capital effectively, supporting sustainable profitability and resilience over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Relatively low equity base / limited balance-sheet buffer
Despite improvements, the company’s equity base remains small which limits its ability to absorb shocks, finance large investments or take on cyclical downturns without raising capital. This structural constraint can restrict strategic optionality across the medium term.
Modest net profit margins
Net margins are modest (around low single digits), offering limited cushioning against revenue volatility or cost shocks. Low absolute profitability constrains retained earnings and the pace at which the equity base can be organically rebuilt, affecting resilience over several quarters.
Low dividend/income return
A very low dividend yield signals limited shareholder income and may constrain appeal to yield-focused investors. Over a structural horizon this can reduce stable investor base diversity and limit one channel of shareholder return absent consistent buybacks or improving payout policy.

CREAL Inc. (2998) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

CREAL Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCREAL Inc. operates an asset management platform in Japan. It operates CREAL, a real estate fund online market for individuals; CREAL PB, an asset management service platform for individuals; and CREAL Pro, a platform that provides real estate investment management services to institutional investors and high-net-worth investors. The company also provides asset management services through investment in physical real estate; and rental management services. CREAL Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyCREAL Inc. generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from transaction fees charged on real estate investments facilitated through its platform. This includes commissions on property sales and management fees for properties under its management. Additionally, CREAL Inc. may receive revenue from subscription services provided to investors seeking advanced analytics and market insights. The company also explores partnerships with financial institutions, which can enhance its service offerings and provide additional revenue opportunities through co-branded products or joint ventures.

CREAL Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by rapid revenue expansion and solid cash conversion. Margins and operating efficiency have improved, and leverage has trended down. The main risk is a still-low equity base, which can limit balance-sheet resilience.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
CREAL Inc. shows strong revenue growth, increasing from ¥3.77 billion in 2020 to ¥41.82 billion in 2025, reflecting robust business expansion. The gross profit margin improved to 13.5% in 2025, up from 26.9% in 2020, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin also rose to 3.23% in 2025 from 4.02% in 2020, demonstrating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio decreased over time, reflecting improved capital structure and reduced leverage risk. The equity ratio improved to 9.96% in 2025 from 5.05% in 2020, indicating stronger solvency. Return on equity (ROE) increased to 25.62% in 2025, highlighting effective use of equity. However, the overall equity base remains relatively low, suggesting potential financial vulnerability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
CREAL Inc. demonstrates strong cash flow management, with free cash flow turning positive and exhibiting substantial growth over the years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio and free cash flow to net income ratio both indicate strong cash generation relative to profitability. The company has effectively converted earnings into cash, supporting its business operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.07B41.82B21.04B16.44B10.58B7.14B
Gross Profit5.41B5.65B3.56B2.21B1.55B1.17B
EBITDA2.69B2.01B1.04B609.73M372.49M245.05M
Net Income938.46M1.35B647.57M336.17M172.42M50.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets51.11B52.94B35.75B21.49B10.93B9.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.95B19.21B9.54B7.55B1.99B2.04B
Total Debt5.35B4.76B5.94B3.03B1.18B2.27B
Total Liabilities45.80B47.66B31.94B18.38B9.88B8.17B
Stockholders Equity5.32B5.27B3.81B3.11B1.04B871.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0010.96B-1.26B1.27B196.17M-745.75M
Operating Cash Flow0.0010.02B-1.21B1.29B274.83M-513.92M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.17B-134.78M-122.80M237.44M-239.15M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.11B2.91B3.57B-1.09B1.41B

CREAL Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price930.00
Price Trends
50DMA
913.36
Negative
100DMA
940.90
Negative
200DMA
1045.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-44.06
Positive
RSI
47.51
Neutral
STOCH
40.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2998, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 930 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 852.35, above the 50-day MA of 913.36, and below the 200-day MA of 1045.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -44.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2998.

CREAL Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥66.60B13.1417.21%4.27%7.60%7.20%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
¥30.00B13.670.66%10.67%6.94%
63
Neutral
¥17.50B10.002.86%36.31%52.62%
50
Neutral
¥19.72B-12.35-21.88%17.12%
44
Neutral
¥7.22B-84.410.96%-23.90%-146.54%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2998
CREAL Inc.
832.00
145.20
21.14%
JP:8739
Sparx Group Co
2,125.00
594.86
38.88%
JP:2134
Sun Capital Management Corp.
36.00
17.00
89.47%
JP:3121
MBK Co., Ltd.
228.00
-76.66
-25.16%
JP:3266
Fund Creation Group Co., Ltd.
106.00
24.94
30.77%
JP:3454
First Brothers Co., Ltd.
1,248.00
281.34
29.10%

CREAL Inc. Corporate Events

CREAL Releases FY2026 Q3 Financial Results Presentation
Feb 13, 2026

CREAL Inc. has released its presentation materials for financial results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026. The document outlines an executive summary, company and business overview, segment-based Q3 results and highlights, details of a third-party allotment and business alliance, as well as earnings forecasts and progress, signaling continued efforts to inform stakeholders about its performance and capital strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2998) stock is a Hold with a Yen976.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CREAL Inc. stock, see the JP:2998 Stock Forecast page.

CREAL Posts Strong Nine-Month Earnings and Bolsters Balance Sheet
Feb 13, 2026

CREAL Inc. reported strong consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 11% year on year to ¥29.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent surging 62.3% to ¥1.3 billion. Operating profit climbed 63.1%, and earnings per share increased despite a five-for-one stock split implemented on October 1, 2025, reflecting improved profitability and scale.

The company’s financial position strengthened markedly, as equity nearly doubled from March 2025 and the equity-to-asset ratio improved to 20.7% from 9.8%, aided in part by the consolidation of CREAL Asset Management Inc. CREAL maintained its full-year earnings forecast, plans a year-end dividend corresponding to ¥7 per share post-split, and signals a continued focus on shareholder returns while expanding its asset management operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2998) stock is a Hold with a Yen976.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CREAL Inc. stock, see the JP:2998 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026