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First Brothers Co., Ltd. (JP:3454)
:3454
Japanese Market

First Brothers Co., Ltd. (3454) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3454

First Brothers Co., Ltd.

(3454)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,299.00
▲(9.25% Upside)
The score is primarily held back by financial risk factors—particularly high leverage and multi-year volatility in revenue and cash flows—despite improved recent profitability and cash generation. Offsetting this, technicals are constructive with the stock trading above key moving averages, and valuation is supportive with a low P/E and a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Margin expansion & profitability
Sustained margin expansion materially improves earnings resilience and operating leverage, enabling stronger cash generation and reinvestment in products or distribution. If maintained, higher margins support durable profit conversion and buffer against cyclical revenue swings.
Rebounded cash generation
A return to positive and cash-covering operating performance strengthens the firm’s ability to service debt, fund capex and dividends, and finance growth without reliance on external funding. Consistent FCF is a durable foundation for strategic flexibility over 2–6 months.
Diversified distribution & R&D
Multiple sales channels and geographic reach reduce customer concentration and demand risk, while ongoing R&D supports product differentiation and long-term competitiveness. These structural elements underpin steadier revenue generation and market positioning.
Negative Factors
Elevated financial leverage
High leverage increases sensitivity to earnings or cash-flow deterioration and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. Structurally, elevated debt limits financial flexibility for M&A, capex or buffering downturns and is a meaningful constraint on durable stability.
Multi-year revenue and cash-flow volatility
Irregular top-line and cash performance undermines forecasting, capital allocation and the credibility of margins. Persistent volatility makes it harder to sustain investment programs, manage leverage, and deliver consistent shareholder returns over a multi-month horizon.
Moderate returns on equity
Subpar ROE indicates less efficient use of shareholder capital versus prior peaks, potentially limiting the firm's ability to organically rebuild equity and reduce leverage. Persistently moderate ROE can constrain long-term shareholder value creation and reinvestment capacity.

First Brothers Co., Ltd. (3454) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

First Brothers Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Brothers Co., Ltd. (3454) is a prominent player in the manufacturing and distribution sector, specializing in high-quality consumer goods and industrial products. The company operates primarily in the consumer electronics and home appliances markets, offering a wide range of products including kitchen appliances, personal care devices, and other household items. With a commitment to innovation and sustainability, First Brothers Co., Ltd. aims to enhance the daily lives of its customers through cutting-edge technology and design.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Brothers Co., Ltd. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focused on the sales of its consumer electronics and home appliances. The company employs a direct sales model along with partnerships with major retail chains and online platforms to distribute its products. Additionally, it leverages international markets to expand its customer base, tapping into emerging economies where demand for consumer goods is rising. The company also invests in research and development to innovate new products, which helps maintain a competitive edge and attract new customers. Strategic collaborations with suppliers and technology partners further enhance its product offerings and market reach, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

First Brothers Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows improved profitability and margin expansion, and cash flow rebounded with positive free cash flow in 2025. However, results have been volatile across years and the balance sheet is constrained by elevated leverage (debt-to-equity >2x), which increases risk if earnings weaken.
Income Statement
Profitability improved in the latest annual period (2025-11-30): gross margin rose to ~41% (from ~30% in 2024), and operating profitability strengthened with EBIT margin near ~28% and EBITDA margin ~35%. However, growth has been inconsistent: revenue fell in 2025 (down ~107% year-over-year per provided data) after prior volatility, and net profit margin (~9%) remains below the stronger levels seen in 2023 (~14%+). Overall, earnings power looks solid when revenue is stable, but the top-line trajectory is a key swing factor.
Balance Sheet
Leverage is elevated for an Asset Management business: debt-to-equity remains above 2x (about ~2.16x in 2025), which increases sensitivity to earnings volatility and refinancing conditions. Equity has grown modestly over time, but returns on equity are moderate in the latest period (~6.7% in 2025) and well below peak levels (low-teens in 2021/2023). The balance sheet is serviceable, but high leverage is the main constraint on the score.
Cash Flow
Cash generation rebounded meaningfully in 2025 with operating cash flow of ~¥7.2B and positive free cash flow of ~¥3.7B after a weak 2024 (negative free cash flow) and very weak 2022 (negative operating and free cash flow). Cash flow is somewhat uneven versus reported profits: operating cash flow covered net income at ~1.17x in 2025 (healthy), but was materially below net income in 2023–2024. Overall, the latest year is strong, but the multi-year volatility keeps the score mid-range.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.27B19.06B16.87B22.27B14.28B26.69B
Gross Profit5.67B7.83B5.10B6.98B4.09B6.84B
EBITDA4.70B6.70B4.16B6.58B3.01B5.68B
Net Income1.57B1.75B1.42B3.19B1.18B2.80B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.91B89.83B89.14B89.94B87.64B82.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.77B7.93B5.32B8.16B7.64B11.11B
Total Debt56.63B56.48B58.18B58.45B59.23B53.15B
Total Liabilities62.66B63.58B64.23B65.51B66.00B61.74B
Stockholders Equity25.14B26.14B24.80B24.32B21.54B20.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.68B-1.31B1.24B-7.13B292.20M
Operating Cash Flow0.007.24B3.50B3.21B-4.57B301.18M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.05B-4.24B-1.58B-3.15B-399.76M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.33B-1.19B-1.21B4.29B4.75B

First Brothers Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1189.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1188.26
Positive
100DMA
1149.15
Positive
200DMA
1068.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.63
Positive
RSI
56.42
Neutral
STOCH
37.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3454, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1189 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1207.75, above the 50-day MA of 1188.26, and above the 200-day MA of 1068.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3454.

First Brothers Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥18.57B5.945.27%18.05%34.17%
69
Neutral
¥20.16B108.751.85%-40.77%-91.81%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
¥17.11B9.782.86%36.31%52.62%
62
Neutral
¥15.87B231.482.52%1.35%-91.61%
41
Neutral
¥9.30B-17.04%46.36%
41
Neutral
¥18.62B-10.93-21.88%17.12%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3454
First Brothers Co., Ltd.
1,220.00
252.36
26.08%
JP:2134
Sun Capital Management Corp.
34.00
16.00
88.89%
JP:3772
Wealth Management Inc
1,051.00
35.22
3.47%
JP:7347
Mercuria Holdings Co., Ltd.
818.00
90.18
12.39%
JP:8737
Akatsuki Corp.
598.00
183.11
44.13%
JP:8783
GFA Co., Ltd.
274.00
-302.00
-52.43%

First Brothers Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

First Brothers Subsidiary to Book Major Gain on Confidential Nagoya Property Sale
Dec 26, 2025

First Brothers Co., Ltd. has approved the sale of a leased real estate asset in Nagoya, Aichi Prefecture, by its consolidated subsidiary Nagano Hotel Saihokukan Co., Ltd., with closing scheduled for late February 2026. Although the buyer and price are undisclosed due to contractual confidentiality, the company states that the sale price is equivalent to at least 10% of consolidated net sales for the fiscal year ended November 2025 and that the resulting gain will exceed 30% of consolidated ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of parent, indicating a materially positive impact that will be reflected in the earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending November 30, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3454) stock is a Hold with a Yen1337.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Brothers Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3454 Stock Forecast page.

First Brothers Co., Ltd. Announces Major Real Estate Sale
Nov 14, 2025

First Brothers Co., Ltd. announced the sale of a significant real estate asset by its subsidiary, First Brothers Capital Co., Ltd., located in Osaka. The transaction, which is expected to significantly impact the company’s financial results, reflects a gain exceeding 30% of the previous year’s consolidated ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent. The sale is part of the company’s strategic financial maneuvers, with the impact already factored into the revised earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending November 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3454) stock is a Hold with a Yen1337.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Brothers Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3454 Stock Forecast page.

First Brothers Revises Earnings Forecast Amid Strategic Real Estate Sales
Nov 14, 2025

First Brothers Co., Ltd. has revised its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending November 30, 2025, expecting significant increases in operating and ordinary profits due to strategic real estate sales and lower non-operating expenses. However, an extraordinary loss from an impairment related to its subsidiary, Saihokukan, limits the upward revision of profit attributable to owners of the parent. The company plans to continue investing in Saihokukan to enhance its value despite delays in renovation plans due to rising construction costs.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3454) stock is a Hold with a Yen1337.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Brothers Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3454 Stock Forecast page.

First Brothers Co., Ltd. Reports Strong Financial Growth for Nine Months Ending August 2025
Oct 14, 2025

First Brothers Co., Ltd. reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the nine months ended August 31, 2025, with net sales rising by 30.4% and operating profit increasing by 37.3% compared to the previous year. This growth reflects the company’s strong market positioning and effective financial strategies, which have resulted in improved profitability and comprehensive income, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3454) stock is a Hold with a Yen1055.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Brothers Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3454 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 11, 2026