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Ichiyoshi Securities Co Ltd (JP:8624)
:8624

Ichiyoshi Securities Co (8624) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8624

Ichiyoshi Securities Co

(8624)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,704.00
▲(53.65% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/23/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial health (strong margins and a low-leverage balance sheet) tempered by cash flow volatility and slight revenue/profitability slippage. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, but overbought RSI elevates short-term risk. Valuation is constructive with a moderate P/E and a high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet / low leverage
Very low financial leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility. This reduces insolvency risk, supports regulatory capital requirements for underwriting, and enables the firm to fund operations, absorb market shocks, and pursue growth initiatives without reliance on costly debt.
Very high gross profit margins
Consistently high gross margins indicate a low-cost service model and strong fee capture, giving the firm structural cost advantage. This margin buffer helps sustain operating profits during revenue softness, funds reinvestment in sales channels, and supports long-term competitive positioning.
Diversified fee-based revenue streams
Multiple core revenue channels (brokerage, underwriting, trading, advisory) create durable revenue diversification. This lets the firm rebalance income across market cycles, maintain client relationships, and leverage distribution capabilities to preserve fee income when one segment softens.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Recent negative operating and free cash flow reduce liquidity and constrain the firm's ability to invest, pay dividends, or expand product offerings without external financing. Persistent cash flow weakness increases vulnerability to market downturns and heightens funding risk over months.
Flat/slightly declining revenue and margin compression
Near-flat revenues combined with declining net margins indicate limited organic growth and pressure on profitability. Over time, this suggests competitive or fee pressure and reduces earnings scalability, making it harder to improve returns or finance strategic investments from internal cash flow.
Declining return on equity
A falling ROE signals weakening efficiency at turning equity into profits. If the trend persists, it can undermine shareholder returns and reflect structural issues in capital allocation or margin management, limiting the company's ability to attract capital or fund growth without altering strategy.

Ichiyoshi Securities Co (8624) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIchiyoshi Securities Co., Ltd. operates in the securities industry in Japan. The company conducts research and gathers information on stocks of small- and medium-sized growth companies. It also provides discretionary investment and advisory services for institutional investors and trusts. In addition, the company is involved in the real estate renting, broking, and management services; sale of office supplies and goods; and insurance agency activities. Ichiyoshi Securities Co., Ltd. was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyIchiyoshi Securities generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from brokerage fees on the trading of securities, which includes commissions from buying and selling stocks and other financial instruments. Additionally, the firm earns income from asset management services, including fees for managing investment funds and portfolios for clients. The company may also generate revenue from advisory services provided to institutional clients, such as market analysis and strategic investment recommendations. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency, contributing to its overall earnings.

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid but mixed: strong margins and a resilient, low-leverage balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.08; equity ratio 65.54%) are offset by flat/slightly declining revenue (-0.13%), declining net margin (10.24% to 8.31%), and recent cash flow weakness with operating cash flow turning negative and negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Ichiyoshi Securities Co. showed strong gross profit margins consistently above 95%, indicating effective cost management. However, revenue has been relatively flat with a slight downward trend, experiencing negative growth of -0.13% in the latest year. The net profit margin decreased from 10.24% to 8.31%, showing a decline in profitability. Despite this, the company maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, enhancing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, reflecting minimal financial leverage and reduced risk of insolvency. The equity ratio is robust at 65.54%, indicating a solid capital structure. Return on Equity decreased from 6.65% to 5.70%, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders, but overall, the balance sheet remains stable and resilient.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flows exhibit volatility, with operating cash flow turning negative in the latest year. The free cash flow to net income ratio turned negative due to negative free cash flow, highlighting potential liquidity concerns. Historically, the company generated strong free cash flow, but recent trends indicate a need for improved cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.41B18.81B18.84B16.66B19.59B19.74B
Gross Profit18.18B18.30B18.80B16.62B19.55B18.20B
EBITDA2.24B2.76B3.32B1.65B3.87B1.79B
Net Income1.20B1.56B1.93B758.00M2.53B1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.62B41.90B46.65B42.67B47.94B49.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.21B17.99B21.87B16.19B17.74B17.31B
Total Debt3.64B2.28B361.00M628.00M592.00M491.00M
Total Liabilities18.45B14.44B17.64B14.85B17.87B20.10B
Stockholders Equity27.17B27.46B29.01B27.82B30.06B29.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-573.00M3.40B1.32B1.65B4.42B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-524.00M3.79B1.61B2.09B4.86B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-296.00M-524.00M-320.00M-169.00M-44.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-3.04B-1.14B-2.82B-1.38B-1.12B

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1109.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1212.46
Positive
100DMA
1064.91
Positive
200DMA
922.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
66.51
Negative
RSI
76.38
Negative
STOCH
87.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8624, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1109 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1347.80, below the 50-day MA of 1212.46, and above the 200-day MA of 922.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 66.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8624.

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥64.25B13.1417.21%4.27%7.60%7.20%
75
Outperform
¥46.11B18.056.18%4.42%1.56%-9.90%
72
Outperform
¥2.11T5.1920.02%2.63%23.96%179.16%
72
Outperform
¥201.92B15.426.79%5.60%3.10%17.73%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
¥17.05B10.002.86%36.31%52.62%
55
Neutral
¥30.21B-32.87-33.10%-49.56%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8624
Ichiyoshi Securities Co
1,459.00
730.38
100.24%
JP:8473
SBI Holdings
3,192.00
1,017.50
46.79%
JP:8739
Sparx Group Co
2,050.00
519.86
33.97%
JP:8616
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings
813.00
337.08
70.83%
JP:3454
First Brothers Co., Ltd.
1,216.00
249.34
25.79%
JP:6620
Miyakoshi Holdings, Inc.
755.00
-425.00
-36.02%

Ichiyoshi Securities Co Corporate Events

Ichiyoshi Securities Delivers Profit Surge and Commemorative Payout Ahead of 75th Anniversary
Jan 29, 2026

Ichiyoshi Securities reported strong consolidated results for the first three quarters of fiscal 2025, with operating revenue, net operating revenue, operating profit, ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of parent all posting year-on-year gains of around 25–30% at the revenue level and roughly 77–80% at the profit line. Comprehensive income almost doubled to 2.5 billion yen, while total assets rose to 58.5 billion yen and shareholders’ equity increased to 28.6 billion yen, lifting the equity ratio to 48.9% and net assets per share to 891.45 yen, underscoring a solid improvement in financial health. The company maintained its policy of not issuing profit forecasts due to market volatility in its core financial-instruments trading business, instead committing to release preliminary figures after each quarter, and it also highlighted special shareholder returns via a 10-yen commemorative dividend per share at both the September 2025 and March 2026 record dates to mark its 75th anniversary, taking the total commemorative payout to 20 yen for the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8624) stock is a Buy with a Yen1338.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ichiyoshi Securities Co stock, see the JP:8624 Stock Forecast page.

Ichiyoshi Securities’ Preliminary 9-Month Profit Soars on Shift to Stock-Type Business Model
Jan 22, 2026

Ichiyoshi Securities reported strong preliminary consolidated results for the first three quarters of fiscal 2025, with operating revenue rising 19.1% year on year to ¥17.2 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent jumping 80.3% to ¥2.5 billion, pushing earnings per share up nearly 90% to ¥78.78. Management attributed the improvement to steady progress in transitioning to its stock-type business model, as balances in fund-wrap accounts and investment trust funds grew smoothly and boosted fee income from beneficiary certificates and other commission-based, stable revenue streams, leading to substantial gains in operating, current, and bottom-line profits versus the same period a year earlier, although the figures remain preliminary ahead of final results due on January 29, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8624) stock is a Buy with a Yen1281.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ichiyoshi Securities Co stock, see the JP:8624 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026