Bank of Kochi, Ltd. (8416) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥11.87B
• Dividend Yield: 2.74%
• Average Volume (3M): 15.03K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 119.3
• Beta (1Y): 1.05
• Revenue Growth: 7.74%
• EPS Growth: -92.49%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 726
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Banks - Regional
• EPS (TTM): -21.59
• Shares Outstanding: 10,244,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 12,840
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 15,030
• PEG Ratio: -0.27
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.16
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.37
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.88
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥1,236.00 ▲(14.87% Upside)

The score is held back primarily by very expensive valuation (P/E 115.50). This is partially offset by stable-but-mixed financial performance (declining revenue and margins, manageable leverage, strong cash conversion) and strong technical momentum with an elevated RSI indicating near-term overbought risk.

Positive Factors

Balance-sheet foundation

Manageable leverage (debt-to-equity 1.07) and a stable equity base provide a durable funding and regulatory cushion. This foundation supports ongoing lending, cushions credit stress, and enables steady local-market operations without immediate capital raises.

Improving cash generation

Strong operating cash flow conversion (5.22x) and a shift to positive free cash flow indicate improved cash generation. Consistent cash conversion supports loan loss provisioning, dividend payouts, and reinvestment capacity, reducing reliance on volatile funding.

Local market franchise

Deep regional presence and strong community focus create durable deposit stability and cross-sell opportunities. Close ties with local businesses and retail clients give structural competitive advantages versus non-local banks, supporting stable revenue streams.

Negative Factors

Declining revenue trend

A recent decline in revenue (-1.23%) signals slower core business momentum. Persistent top-line weakness reduces operational leverage, limits reinvestment and digital upgrades, and makes earnings more sensitive to rising credit costs over the medium term.

Rising leverage

Increased leverage versus prior periods tightens capital buffers and raises sensitivity to interest-rate and credit cycles. Higher debt levels constrain strategic flexibility, may increase funding costs, and elevate regulatory scrutiny over the medium term.

Low return on equity

A modest ROE (1.70%) indicates limited profitability and weak capital productivity. Persistently low ROE hampers internal capital generation, reduces shareholder returns, and limits the bank's ability to grow organically or absorb shocks without needing external capital or material earnings improvements.

Bank of Kochi, Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Bank Of Kochi, Ltd. provides various banking products and services in Japan. The company offers savings and term deposits; mortgage, education, and car loans; insurance products and services; investment trust services; and cards. It operates 72 branches. The company was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Kochi, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Bank of Kochi generates revenue primarily through the interest income earned from loans extended to individuals and businesses. The bank charges interest on various types of loans such as personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, the bank earns money from fees associated with deposit accounts, transaction services, and investment products. The bank also benefits from non-interest income through service fees, commissions on financial products, and foreign exchange transactions. Partnerships with local businesses and community organizations further enhance its customer base, allowing for cross-selling of financial services and fostering economic growth in the region, thereby contributing positively to its earnings.

Bank of Kochi, Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are stable but mixed: revenue declined (-1.23%) and margins (net profit and EBIT) have weakened, while leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity 1.07) and cash conversion is strong (operating cash flow to net income 5.22) despite historical cash flow volatility.

Income Statement

The income statement shows a mixed performance with declining revenue growth at -1.23% in the latest year, indicating potential challenges in revenue generation. However, the bank maintains a positive net profit margin of 3.85%, though it has decreased from previous years. The EBIT margin has also declined, reflecting reduced operational efficiency. Overall, while profitability is present, the downward trend in revenue and margins suggests areas for improvement.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07, which is manageable but has increased from the previous year, indicating rising leverage. The return on equity is modest at 1.70%, suggesting limited profitability from equity investments. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the overall asset base remains strong, providing a solid foundation for the bank's operations.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis highlights significant volatility, with a notable improvement in free cash flow from negative to positive, indicating better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 5.22, suggesting efficient conversion of income to cash. However, the historical instability in cash flows poses a risk, and consistent positive cash flow generation remains a challenge.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	22.11B	22.02B	21.40B	21.25B	20.53B	21.14B
Gross Profit	22.11B	21.28B	21.20B	21.01B	20.30B	20.73B
EBITDA	1.15B	2.12B	2.72B	3.33B	3.21B	2.64B
Net Income	404.00M	860.00M	1.25B	1.60B	1.61B	877.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.18T	1.15T	1.14T	1.19T	1.21T	1.24T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	0.00	95.76B	64.52B	108.97B	128.42B	160.63B
Total Debt	54.07B	54.46B	43.34B	66.05B	102.52B	105.81B
Total Liabilities	1.13T	1.10T	1.08T	1.11T	1.14T	1.17T
Stockholders Equity	52.30B	50.70B	58.65B	73.77B	71.32B	72.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	9.13B	-7.23B	-32.97B	-35.05B	79.31B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	9.37B	-5.77B	-31.98B	-34.28B	2.13B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	6.28B	-5.94B	6.11B	2.49B	-513.00M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	2.90B	-17.96B	6.35B	-462.00M	74.66B

Bank of Kochi, Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1076.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8416, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1076 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1097.25, above the 50-day MA of 980.18, and above the 200-day MA of 856.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 44.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8416.

Bank of Kochi, Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8349	72 Outperform	¥14.47B	9.19	―	3.58%	13.77%	19.08%
8365	68 Neutral	¥11.75B	11.00	―	2.68%	5.57%	-23.26%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
7161	64 Neutral	¥12.22B	7.50	―	1.24%	5.92%	―
8563	63 Neutral	¥12.67B	9.17	―	3.74%	5.91%	5.03%
8416	61 Neutral	¥11.87B	119.27	―	2.74%	7.74%	-92.49%
8562	55 Neutral	¥11.23B	-77.44	―	1.89%	8.11%	68.98%