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Toyota (JP:6201)
:6201

Toyota (6201) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6201

Toyota

(6201)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥21,185.00
▲(17.66% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/05/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but not standout financial performance (steady profitability but modest ROE and uneven free cash flow) and constructive technical momentum with price above major moving averages. These positives are tempered by a relatively high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified revenue streams
Toyota's mix of vehicle sales, parts/after‑sales and financial services creates multiple durable cash sources. Financial services and parts provide recurring margin and support affordability and dealer financing, reducing cyclical revenue exposure and aiding long‑term cash generation.
Negative Factors
Low returns on equity
ROE near ~4% TTM signals modest profitability relative to capital employed. Persistently low ROE limits shareholder value creation, constrains internal funding for new initiatives and pressures capital allocation choices, which can slow scaling of higher‑return businesses over time.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified revenue streams
Toyota's mix of vehicle sales, parts/after‑sales and financial services creates multiple durable cash sources. Financial services and parts provide recurring margin and support affordability and dealer financing, reducing cyclical revenue exposure and aiding long‑term cash generation.
Read all positive factors

Toyota (6201) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyota Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Toyota Industries Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles, material handling equipment, textile machinery, and others in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Automobile, Materials Handling Equipment, and Textile Machinery...
How the Company Makes Money
Toyota generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles, which includes passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes significant income from its financial services segment, whic...

Toyota Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth with solid industry profitability, but recent TTM margin compression, modest ROE (~4% TTM), and volatile free cash flow (including negative FCF in some annual periods) reduce the overall financial strength.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.20T4.08T3.83T3.38T2.71T2.12T
Gross Profit942.35B951.57B901.15B756.18B607.68B490.41B
EBITDA626.54B691.39B615.52B534.71B477.14B403.68B
Net Income244.44B262.31B228.78B192.86B180.31B136.70B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.22T9.40T11.08T7.82T7.63T6.50T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments534.71B468.20B740.21B628.30B588.43B598.06B
Total Debt1.83T1.73T1.71T1.70T1.39T1.35T
Total Liabilities5.05T4.39T4.93T3.89T3.61T3.18T
Stockholders Equity6.10T4.90T6.05T3.84T3.93T3.24T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow186.71B-39.45B94.66B-95.01B83.71B160.03B
Operating Cash Flow384.84B171.58B443.59B194.96B321.08B382.39B
Investing Cash Flow-73.70B-43.40B47.90B-427.64B-229.81B-404.16B
Financing Cash Flow-248.76B-198.65B-209.49B183.69B-92.11B-105.48B

Toyota Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18005.00
Price Trends
50DMA
20253.70
Positive
100DMA
19100.00
Positive
200DMA
17797.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
59.43
Positive
RSI
56.25
Neutral
STOCH
47.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6201, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18005 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20469.00, below the 50-day MA of 20253.70, and above the 200-day MA of 17797.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 59.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6201.

Toyota Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥3.58T9.9113.26%1.85%2.99%9.99%
68
Neutral
¥6.34T13.954.59%0.78%2.91%-11.26%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
¥1.82T-82.839.73%3.61%1.04%-31.52%
56
Neutral
¥4.94T9.734.09%4.41%-0.43%-26.68%
55
Neutral
¥664.19B6.291.72%4.52%-0.83%-75.20%
47
Neutral
¥1.24T-12.05-16.69%-3.01%-755.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6201
Toyota
20,435.00
8,375.00
69.44%
JP:7270
SUBARU
2,506.00
251.32
11.15%
JP:7267
Honda Motor Co
1,254.00
-3.78
-0.30%
JP:7261
Mazda Motor
1,041.00
290.29
38.67%
JP:7201
Nissan Motor Co
346.80
32.90
10.48%
JP:7269
Suzuki Motor
1,817.00
281.33
18.32%

Toyota Corporate Events

Toyota Industries Sets Record Date for Potential Extraordinary Meeting Linked to Privatization Bid
Feb 3, 2026
Toyota Industries Corporation has set February 19, 2026 as the record date to determine shareholders eligible to vote at an extraordinary shareholders’ meeting planned for late April to mid‑May 2026. The meeting is being prepared in co...
Toyota Industries’ Profit Slumps Despite Higher Sales as FY2026 Outlook Is Cut and Dividends Halted
Feb 3, 2026
Toyota Industries reported a 4.8% year-on-year increase in net sales to ¥3.17 trillion for the first nine months of FY2026, but saw operating profit drop 52.5% and profit attributable to owners of the parent fall 24.7%, reflecting significant...
Toyota Industries Backs Toyota Fudosan-Led Tender Offer and Urges Shareholders to Tender Shares
Jan 15, 2026
Toyota Industries Corporation announced that its board of directors has formally expressed support for a tender offer to acquire all of its common shares by Toyota Asset Preparatory Co., Ltd., a wholly owned subsidiary of Toyota Asset Co., Ltd. es...
Toyota Group Unit to Launch Tender Offer to Take Toyota Industries Private
Jan 15, 2026
Toyota Asset Preparatory Co., Ltd., a company established by Toyota Fudosan Co., Ltd., has formally decided to launch a tender offer to acquire all common shares of Toyota Industries Corporation not already held by Toyota Motor Corporation or by T...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026