Toyota (6201) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥6.13T
• Dividend Yield: 0.78%
• Average Volume (3M): 401.38K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.35
• Revenue Growth: 2.91%
• EPS Growth: -11.26%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 77,824
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Auto - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 325,840,640
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 377,800
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 401,383
• PEG Ratio: 0.91
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.79
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.95
• P/FCF Ratio: -98.57
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥22,126.00 ▲(22.89% Upside)

Toyota's strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which slightly tempers the overall score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score due to their exclusion.

Positive Factors

Balance Sheet Strength

Low leverage and a strong equity base provide durable financial flexibility. With debt-to-equity near 0.35 and equity forming a majority of assets, Toyota can fund capex, EV/hydrogen investments and weather cyclical auto demand without immediate refinancing pressure.

Stable Profitability

Consistent revenue growth and multi-point margins reflect a resilient, scale-driven business model. Stable gross and net margins support long-term reinvestment in R&D, supply chain resilience and product development across hybrids, EVs and fuel-cell programs.

Free Cash Flow Improvement

Material improvement in FCF enhances strategic optionality over the medium term. Stronger cash generation allows sustained capex for electrification, steady dividends and potential strategic investments or partnerships without needing to materially increase leverage.

Negative Factors

Earnings Decline

Negative EPS growth signals a deterioration in reported earnings power that can persist across cycles. If earnings declines reflect structural cost or margin pressures, this reduces retained earnings for R&D and weakens long-term profitability metrics despite top-line scale.

Operational Margin Pressure

A recurring decline in EBIT margin implies rising input costs or mix shifts that erode operating leverage. Sustained margin compression would reduce free cash for strategic initiatives and limit the company’s ability to competitively fund EV/hydrogen transitions.

Weak Cash Conversion

Low conversion of net income into operating and free cash highlights earnings quality or working capital strains. Poor cash conversion constrains durable investment capacity, dividends and debt repayment flexibility even when accounting profits appear stable.

Toyota Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toyota Industries Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles, material handling equipment, textile machinery, and others in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Automobile, Materials Handling Equipment, and Textile Machinery segments. It provides vehicles; gas, gasoline, and diesel engines for automobiles, industrial equipment, turbochargers, and foundry parts; car air-conditioning compressors; car electronics comprising DC-DC converters, rear inverters, direct-cooling devices, DC-AC inverters, and charging systems; and stamping dies consists of automotive and lift truck stamping dies. The company also offers counterbalanced lift trucks, electric reach trucks, skid steer loaders, tow tractors, and electric tow tractors; stationary/fixed type racks, nesting pallets, mobile racks, and automated storage and retrieval systems; automatic guided vehicle systems, high speed rail guided vehicle systems, and automatic guided lift and pallet trucks. In addition, it provides spinning machines consisting of ring spinning and roving frames; weaving machinery; and cotton classing and yarn testing instruments, as well as leases materials handling systems and industrial equipment. Further, the company offers aerial work platforms; in-house transporters; software; and funding, loan, and other financial services. Additionally, it is involved in the operation of sports facility and nursing homes; real estate leasing; trucking, warehousing, distribution consulting; building management, construction, and real estate; travel agency, renovation, sale of tube amplifiers, and organizing and running of events; personnel placement, contract office staffing, and patent investigation; management and operation of employee clubs and restaurant management; administrative processing for payroll accounting; and contract manufacturing of electronic devices, as well as sale of hardware. The company was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Kariya, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Toyota generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles, which includes passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes significant income from its financial services segment, which offers financing options for customers and dealerships, as well as leasing products. Additionally, Toyota earns revenue through parts and accessories sales, and it has established partnerships with various companies to enhance its technology offerings, such as collaborations in autonomous driving and connected vehicle technologies. The company's global presence and strong brand reputation also contribute to its robust sales performance across different markets.

Toyota Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toyota demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and stable profitability margins. The balance sheet is solid with moderate leverage and a strong equity base. Cash flow generation has improved significantly, although there is potential to enhance free cash flow conversion.

Income Statement

Toyota's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.94%, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is stable at around 23%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 6.26%. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT margin from previous periods, which suggests some pressure on operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is reasonable at 5.18%, showing effective use of equity. The equity ratio stands at approximately 52.8%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Toyota's cash flow statement reveals significant improvement in free cash flow, with a growth rate of 145.65% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.16, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.23, suggesting room for improvement in converting income to free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.13T	4.08T	3.83T	3.38T	2.71T	2.12T
Gross Profit	924.40B	951.57B	901.15B	756.18B	607.68B	490.41B
EBITDA	547.14B	691.39B	615.52B	534.71B	477.14B	403.68B
Net Income	206.01B	262.31B	228.78B	192.86B	180.31B	136.70B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	10.15T	9.40T	11.08T	7.82T	7.63T	6.50T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	506.16B	468.20B	740.21B	628.30B	588.43B	598.06B
Total Debt	1.77T	1.73T	1.71T	1.70T	1.39T	1.35T
Total Liabilities	4.72T	4.39T	4.93T	3.89T	3.61T	3.18T
Stockholders Equity	5.36T	4.90T	6.05T	3.84T	3.93T	3.24T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	159.88B	-39.45B	94.66B	-95.01B	83.71B	160.03B
Operating Cash Flow	362.76B	171.58B	443.59B	194.96B	321.08B	382.39B
Investing Cash Flow	-124.05B	-43.40B	47.90B	-427.64B	-229.81B	-404.16B
Financing Cash Flow	-282.13B	-198.65B	-209.49B	183.69B	-92.11B	-105.48B

Toyota Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 18005.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6201, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18005 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18916.00, below the 50-day MA of 18132.10, and above the 200-day MA of 16812.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 498.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6201.

Toyota Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
7203	80 Outperform	¥45.67T	9.73	12.89%	2.78%	6.44%	11.88%
7270	76 Outperform	¥2.38T	8.95	9.73%	3.61%	1.04%	-31.52%
6201	74 Outperform	¥6.13T	29.20	3.94%	0.78%	2.91%	-11.26%
7269	72 Outperform	$4.13T	10.29	12.95%	1.85%	2.99%	9.99%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
7267	63 Neutral	$6.35T	10.23	5.23%	4.41%	-0.43%	-26.68%
7201	49 Neutral	¥1.32T	-1.44	-16.69%	―	-3.01%	-755.71%

Toyota Corporate Events

Toyota Industries Backs Toyota Fudosan-Led Tender Offer and Urges Shareholders to Tender Shares

Toyota Industries Corporation announced that its board of directors has formally expressed support for a tender offer to acquire all of its common shares by Toyota Asset Preparatory Co., Ltd., a wholly owned subsidiary of Toyota Asset Co., Ltd. established by Toyota Fudosan Co., Ltd., and is recommending that shareholders tender their shares. The offer, to be launched on January 15, 2026 at 18,800 yen per share, follows the completion of required competition, foreign investment, and financial regulatory clearances across multiple jurisdictions, and is intended to lead to the offeror becoming the sole shareholder and the delisting of Toyota Industries’ shares, signaling a significant shift in the company’s ownership structure and capital market status with implications for existing public shareholders and its future governance under a closely held structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6201) stock is a Buy with a Yen19813.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota stock, see the JP:6201 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Group Unit to Launch Tender Offer to Take Toyota Industries Private

Toyota Asset Preparatory Co., Ltd., a company established by Toyota Fudosan Co., Ltd., has formally decided to launch a tender offer to acquire all common shares of Toyota Industries Corporation not already held by Toyota Motor Corporation or by Toyota Industries itself, as part of a broader transaction to take Toyota Industries private. Following a delay to complete required clearances under domestic and foreign competition laws, EU foreign subsidy rules, foreign investment controls, and U.K. and Swedish financial regulations, the offeror has now obtained the necessary approvals and is proceeding with the tender offer, marking a significant step in restructuring Toyota’s corporate group ownership and potentially reshaping the governance and market positioning of Toyota Industries once it is delisted from public markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6201) stock is a Buy with a Yen19813.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota stock, see the JP:6201 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Industries Revises FY2026 Financial Forecast Amid Legal and Tariff Challenges

Toyota Industries Corporation has revised its financial forecast for FY2026, maintaining net sales projections but lowering profit expectations due to a settlement payment and customer support expenses related to a U.S. class-action lawsuit and the impact of U.S. tariffs. Despite these adjustments, the company has decided not to change its dividend forecast.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6201) stock is a Hold with a Yen17903.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota stock, see the JP:6201 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Industries Reports Decline in FY2026 Q2 Profits Amid Sales Growth

Toyota Industries Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the second quarter of FY2026, showing a slight increase in net sales but significant declines in operating profit, profit before income taxes, and profit attributable to owners of the parent compared to the previous year. The company has adjusted its forecasts for FY2026, indicating expected decreases in net sales and profits, which may impact stakeholders and reflect ongoing challenges in the automotive sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6201) stock is a Hold with a Yen17903.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota stock, see the JP:6201 Stock Forecast page.