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Toyota (JP:6201)
:6201

Toyota (6201) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6201

Toyota

(6201)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥19,813.00
▲(10.04% Upside)
Toyota's strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which slightly tempers the overall score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score due to their exclusion.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates Toyota's ability to maintain its market position and expand its customer base, supporting long-term stability.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow enhances Toyota's financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt management, bolstering future growth.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with moderate leverage provides Toyota with stability and the ability to withstand economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
EBIT Margin Pressure
Declining EBIT margins suggest operational efficiency challenges, which could impact profitability if not addressed.
EPS Growth Decline
Negative EPS growth indicates potential profitability issues, which could affect investor confidence and long-term earnings potential.
Free Cash Flow Conversion
Low free cash flow conversion suggests inefficiencies in translating income into cash, which may limit reinvestment capabilities.

Toyota (6201) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyota Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToyota Industries Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles, material handling equipment, textile machinery, and others in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Automobile, Materials Handling Equipment, and Textile Machinery segments. It provides vehicles; gas, gasoline, and diesel engines for automobiles, industrial equipment, turbochargers, and foundry parts; car air-conditioning compressors; car electronics comprising DC-DC converters, rear inverters, direct-cooling devices, DC-AC inverters, and charging systems; and stamping dies consists of automotive and lift truck stamping dies. The company also offers counterbalanced lift trucks, electric reach trucks, skid steer loaders, tow tractors, and electric tow tractors; stationary/fixed type racks, nesting pallets, mobile racks, and automated storage and retrieval systems; automatic guided vehicle systems, high speed rail guided vehicle systems, and automatic guided lift and pallet trucks. In addition, it provides spinning machines consisting of ring spinning and roving frames; weaving machinery; and cotton classing and yarn testing instruments, as well as leases materials handling systems and industrial equipment. Further, the company offers aerial work platforms; in-house transporters; software; and funding, loan, and other financial services. Additionally, it is involved in the operation of sports facility and nursing homes; real estate leasing; trucking, warehousing, distribution consulting; building management, construction, and real estate; travel agency, renovation, sale of tube amplifiers, and organizing and running of events; personnel placement, contract office staffing, and patent investigation; management and operation of employee clubs and restaurant management; administrative processing for payroll accounting; and contract manufacturing of electronic devices, as well as sale of hardware. The company was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Kariya, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyToyota generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles, which includes passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes significant income from its financial services segment, which offers financing options for customers and dealerships, as well as leasing products. Additionally, Toyota earns revenue through parts and accessories sales, and it has established partnerships with various companies to enhance its technology offerings, such as collaborations in autonomous driving and connected vehicle technologies. The company's global presence and strong brand reputation also contribute to its robust sales performance across different markets.

Toyota Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Toyota demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and stable profitability margins. The balance sheet is solid with moderate leverage and a strong equity base. Cash flow generation has improved significantly, although there is potential to enhance free cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
Toyota's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.94%, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is stable at around 23%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 6.26%. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT margin from previous periods, which suggests some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is reasonable at 5.18%, showing effective use of equity. The equity ratio stands at approximately 52.8%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
Toyota's cash flow statement reveals significant improvement in free cash flow, with a growth rate of 145.65% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.16, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.23, suggesting room for improvement in converting income to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.13T4.08T3.83T3.38T2.71T2.12T
Gross Profit924.40B951.57B901.15B756.18B607.68B490.41B
EBITDA547.14B691.39B615.52B534.71B477.14B403.68B
Net Income206.01B262.31B228.78B192.86B180.31B136.70B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.15T9.40T11.08T7.82T7.63T6.50T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments506.16B468.20B740.21B628.30B588.43B598.06B
Total Debt1.77T1.73T1.71T1.70T1.39T1.35T
Total Liabilities4.72T4.39T4.93T3.89T3.61T3.18T
Stockholders Equity5.36T4.90T6.05T3.84T3.93T3.24T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow159.88B-39.45B94.66B-95.01B83.71B160.03B
Operating Cash Flow362.76B171.58B443.59B194.96B321.08B382.39B
Investing Cash Flow-124.05B-43.40B47.90B-427.64B-229.81B-404.16B
Financing Cash Flow-282.13B-198.65B-209.49B183.69B-92.11B-105.48B

Toyota Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18005.00
Price Trends
50DMA
17490.80
Positive
100DMA
17032.80
Positive
200DMA
16311.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
152.52
Positive
RSI
63.78
Neutral
STOCH
77.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6201, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18005 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17857.75, above the 50-day MA of 17490.80, and above the 200-day MA of 16311.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 152.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6201.

Toyota Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥44.16T9.5612.89%2.78%6.44%11.88%
76
Outperform
$2.48T9.359.73%3.61%1.04%-31.52%
74
Outperform
$5.59T26.483.94%0.78%2.91%-11.26%
72
Outperform
¥4.51T11.3412.95%1.85%2.99%9.99%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$6.42T10.505.23%4.41%-0.43%-26.68%
49
Neutral
¥1.42T-1.56-16.69%-3.01%-755.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6201
Toyota
18,005.00
5,876.76
48.46%
JP:7203
Toyota Motor
3,388.00
575.18
20.45%
JP:7270
SUBARU
3,396.00
844.56
33.10%
JP:7267
Honda Motor Co
1,572.00
158.18
11.19%
JP:7201
Nissan Motor Co
408.00
-45.40
-10.01%
JP:7269
Suzuki Motor
2,300.00
567.60
32.76%

Toyota Corporate Events

Toyota Industries Revises FY2026 Financial Forecast Amid Legal and Tariff Challenges
Oct 31, 2025

Toyota Industries Corporation has revised its financial forecast for FY2026, maintaining net sales projections but lowering profit expectations due to a settlement payment and customer support expenses related to a U.S. class-action lawsuit and the impact of U.S. tariffs. Despite these adjustments, the company has decided not to change its dividend forecast.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6201) stock is a Hold with a Yen17903.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota stock, see the JP:6201 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Industries Reports Decline in FY2026 Q2 Profits Amid Sales Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Toyota Industries Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the second quarter of FY2026, showing a slight increase in net sales but significant declines in operating profit, profit before income taxes, and profit attributable to owners of the parent compared to the previous year. The company has adjusted its forecasts for FY2026, indicating expected decreases in net sales and profits, which may impact stakeholders and reflect ongoing challenges in the automotive sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6201) stock is a Hold with a Yen17903.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota stock, see the JP:6201 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Industries Updates on Tender Offer Progress
Oct 7, 2025

Toyota Industries Corporation announced progress in the tender offer for its shares by Toyota Fudosan Co., Ltd. The offer, initially planned for early December 2025, is now expected to commence in or after February 2026 due to pending regulatory clearances in several jurisdictions. This development could impact the company’s market positioning and shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6201) stock is a Hold with a Yen17903.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota stock, see the JP:6201 Stock Forecast page.

Toyota Industries Announces Progress on Share Tender Offer
Oct 7, 2025

Toyota Industries Corporation announced the progress of a tender offer for its share certificates by Toyota Fudosan Co., Ltd. The tender offer is set to commence in February 2026, pending the completion of regulatory procedures in various jurisdictions. This move is part of Toyota Fudosan’s strategic efforts to consolidate its position within the industry, potentially impacting stakeholders and market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6201) stock is a Hold with a Yen17903.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyota stock, see the JP:6201 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025