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Nissan Motor Co
(7201)
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
¥305.00
▼(-16.44% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held down primarily by deteriorated financial performance (recent net losses, higher leverage, and mostly negative free cash flow). Technicals are neutral and do not provide strong support. Earnings-call guidance improves the outlook via targeted cost savings and a return-to-profit plan, but near-term execution and tariff/one-time headwinds keep overall risk elevated.
Positive Factors
Consistent operating cash flow
Nissan's consistently positive operating cash flow provides durable liquidity to fund working capital, service obligations, and targeted restructuring. Over 2–6 months this resilience lowers refinancing risk, supports Re:Nissan execution, and cushions against cyclical sales volatility while free cash flow recovers.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
A sharp increase in leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises interest and covenant risk. Over the next several months higher debt-to-equity limits Nissan's ability to invest behind EVs or absorb shocks, making recovery plans more sensitive to execution and cash-generation outcomes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent operating cash flow
Nissan's consistently positive operating cash flow provides durable liquidity to fund working capital, service obligations, and targeted restructuring. Over 2–6 months this resilience lowers refinancing risk, supports Re:Nissan execution, and cushions against cyclical sales volatility while free cash flow recovers.
Read all positive factors
Nissan Motor Co (7201) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥1.09T
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)27.47M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.27
Revenue Growth-4.95%
EPS Growth20.71%
CountryJP
Employees133,580
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-152.60
Shares Outstanding3,713,998,500
10 Day Avg. Volume28,296,099
30 Day Avg. Volume27,474,239
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.12
Price to Book (P/B)0.24
Price to Sales (P/S)0.10
P/FCF Ratio-1.39
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥359.90Price Target Upside-1.40% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering10
EPS Forecast (FY)7.52
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥12.58T
Nissan Motor Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. is a leading global enterprise engaged in the manufacturing and sale of both vehicles and automotive components. Its impressive portfolio of automobiles is marketed under distinct brands, including Nissan, Infiniti, Datsun, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Nissan primarily makes money by selling vehicles (wholesale to dealers/distributors and, in some markets, direct-to-customer channels), with revenue driven by unit volumes, model/trim mix (including higher-margin SUVs/pickups and premium Infiniti ...
Nissan Motor Co Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but improving picture: Nissan delivered meaningful execution wins under Re:Nissan (returned to consolidated operating profit, second-half cash flow positivity, sizeable fixed-cost savings, capex/R&D discipline and a constructive FY2026 outlook) while still carrying substantial legacy and timing challenges (a large FY2025 net loss driven by impairments and restructuring, significant tariff headwinds, full-year negative free cash flow, and material regional volume declines). Progress on cost savings and product launches supports a constructive recovery trajectory, but near-term profitability and cash flow remain exposed to tariffs, one-time items and uneven market demand.Positive Updates
Returned to Operating Profit
Consolidated operating profit of JPY 58 billion in FY2025, ahead of expectations, driven by Re:Nissan cost actions and one-time benefits.
Negative Updates
Large Net Loss Driven by Impairments and Restructuring
Net loss for FY2025 of JPY 533.1 billion, including impairments of approximately JPY 360 billion and Re:Nissan-related restructuring costs of around JPY 125 billion.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Returned to Operating Profit
Consolidated operating profit of JPY 58 billion in FY2025, ahead of expectations, driven by Re:Nissan cost actions and one-time benefits.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Nissan guided FY2026 to a gradual recovery: unit sales are expected to rise 4.7% to 3.3 million units with planned production of 2.95 million, driving consolidated revenue to JPY 13 trillion and an operating profit target of JPY 200 billion (1.5% margin) and a projected net income of about JPY 20 billion; automotive operating profit and free cash flow are expected to be positive before tariffs (management aims for after-tariff automotive FCF improvement toward the end of FY26). The outlook assumes FX rates of JPY 150/USD and JPY 175/EUR, with foreign exchange a JPY 20 billion headwind, rising raw material costs a JPY 85 billion headwind, a JPY 60 billion inflation headwind and onetime negatives of JPY 150 billion, partly offset by manufacturing cost savings of JPY 340 billion from Re:Nissan and an expected improvement in U.S. tariff burden (management cites roughly JPY 250 billion of tariff headwind next year after a ~JPY 30 billion improvement), while capacity and cost actions (targeting ~2.5 million breakeven capacity outside China and ~80% utilization by end-FY26) and prior FY25 metrics—3.15 million vehicles sold, JPY 12 trillion revenue, JPY 58 billion operating profit, net loss JPY 533 billion, CapEx down 13.5% and R&D down 9.1%—provide context for the plan.Nissan Motor Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
39
Negative
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 12.01T | 12.63T | 12.69T | 10.60T | 8.42T |
| Gross Profit | 1.49T | 1.62T | 2.00T | 1.65T | 1.30T |
| EBITDA | 301.73B | 361.79B | 1.36T | 1.16T | 1.13T |
| Net Income | -533.10B | -670.90B | 426.65B | 221.90B | 215.53B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 19.81T | 19.02T | 19.86T | 17.60T | 16.37T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.26T | 2.20T | 2.13T | 2.01T | 1.79T |
| Total Debt | 8.92T | 4.48T | 5.41T | 4.21T | 4.17T |
| Total Liabilities | 14.57T | 13.58T | 13.38T | 11.98T | 11.34T |
| Stockholders Equity | 4.80T | 4.96T | 5.98T | 5.13T | 4.58T |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -839.15B | -1.16T | -666.88B | 87.55B | -276.70B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 794.67B | 753.69B | 960.90B | 1.22T | 847.19B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -910.98B | -971.23B | -812.66B | -445.39B | -141.52B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 48.58B | 263.25B | -131.55B | -672.26B | -1.10T |
Nissan Motor Co Technical Analysis
Negative
365.00
Price Trends
344.37
Negative
361.91
Negative
370.17
Negative
Market Momentum
-10.10
Negative
41.72
Neutral
75.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7201, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 365 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 320.33, above the 50-day MA of 344.37, and below the 200-day MA of 370.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7201.
Nissan Motor Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | ¥4.04T | 8.89 | 13.26% | 1.85% | 8.03% | 5.58% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
59 Neutral | ¥1.81T | 19.98 | 9.73% | 3.61% | 2.12% | -72.85% | |
58 Neutral | ¥5.94T | -13.99 | 4.09% | 4.41% | 0.50% | -163.81% | |
54 Neutral | ¥707.97B | 20.13 | 1.72% | 4.52% | -2.01% | -69.29% | |
45 Neutral | ¥1.09T | -2.04 | -16.69% | ― | -4.95% | 20.71% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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Nissan Motor Co Corporate Events
Nissan Outlines Renault Stake and Alliance Changes, Stresses Independence
Jun 29, 2026
Nissan has detailed its relationship with Renault S.A., which remains its largest shareholder with 35.87% of voting rights, and clarified how their revised alliance structure affects governance. Under a new alliance agreement effective since Novem...
Nissan strengthens board governance with new chair and committee lineup
Jun 23, 2026
Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. has reshaped its board leadership following its latest Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, confirming 11 directors, including a mix of reappointed and newly appointed outside independent members. The company named vetera...
Nissan Board Rejects Shareholder Bid to Change Vote-Counting Rules
May 20, 2026
Nissan’s board has moved to formally oppose a shareholder proposal ahead of its 127th annual general meeting in June, after an individual shareholder sought to amend the articles of incorporation to clarify how ambiguous voting instructions ...
Nissan Posts Slim 2025 Profit as Re:Nissan Restructuring Gains Traction
May 13, 2026
Nissan reported fiscal 2025 results showing a modest operating profit of 58 billion yen on revenue of 12 trillion yen, with an operating margin of 0.5% amid persistent inflation, tariffs, and uneven demand. Global sales reached 3.15 million vehicl...
Nissan Books Large Impairment Charge on Assets and Troubled Affiliates
May 13, 2026
Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. has recorded significant impairment losses for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, after testing its business assets and reducing the book value of impaired fixed assets to their recoverable amounts. The company also recog...
Nissan Swings to Heavy FY2025 Loss but Projects Profit Rebound in FY2026
May 13, 2026
Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. reported a sharp deterioration in earnings for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with consolidated net sales down 4.9% to ¥12.01 trillion and a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of ¥670.9 billion, c...
Nissan Lifts FY2025 Outlook to Operating Profit on U.S. Regulation Shift
Apr 27, 2026
Nissan has revised its fiscal 2025 guidance, now projecting net sales of ¥12 trillion and an operating profit of ¥50 billion, compared with a previously expected operating loss, while still forecasting a substantial net loss of ¥550...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.