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Honda Motor Co Ltd (JP:7267)
:7267

Honda Motor Co (7267) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7267

Honda Motor Co

(7267)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,641.00
▲(3.57% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker near-term financial performance, especially poor cash conversion and volatile free cash flow, alongside softer TTM revenue and margin trends. Technical signals are neutral and do not provide strong support. Valuation is a relative positive, supported by a moderate P/E and an attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Honda's revenue mix spans automobiles, motorcycles, power products and financial services, providing multiple, offsetting cash flow streams. This diversification cushions cyclicality in any one market, supports aftermarket and finance margins, and preserves core earnings during sector transitions.
Strategic AI/SoC partnership
Co-developing an automotive-grade analog AI SoC positions Honda to integrate advanced on-board compute into future vehicles. This strengthens product differentiation in software-defined vehicles, lowers reliance on external suppliers for critical compute, and supports long-term safety, autonomy and electrification strategies.
Resilient U.S. retail demand
Consistent U.S. retail volume growth, driven by light trucks, SUVs and hybrids, signals durable brand demand and dealer throughput. Stable U.S. sales sustain wholesale flows, parts/aftermarket revenue and finance receivables, supporting medium-term revenue visibility and cash generation capacity.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating cash generation
TTM operating cashflow and free cashflow are weak and volatile versus profits, indicating earnings are not converting into cash. Poor cash conversion reduces spending flexibility for EV capex, R&D and dealer financing, and increases reliance on external funding under stress.
Margin compression
Declining EBIT and net margins reflect cost pressures, product mix shifts and pricing headwinds. Sustained margin compression lowers return on capital and ROE, limiting internal funding for strategic investments and weakening the firm’s ability to absorb commodity, tariff or competitive shocks.
EV market and tariff headwinds
Structural shifts in the EV market plus tariff impacts have materially eroded operating profit, forcing margin sacrifice or higher investment to remain competitive. Adjusting product mix and supply chains is costly and raises execution risk over the coming quarters and years.

Honda Motor Co (7267) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Honda Motor Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHonda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, power products, and other products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Life Creation and Other Businesses. The Motorcycle Business segment produces motorcycles, including sports, business, and commuter models; and various off-road vehicles, such as all-terrain vehicles and side-by-sides. The Automobile Business segment offers passenger cars, light trucks, and mini vehicles. The Financial Services Business segment provides various financial services, including retail lending and leasing services to customers, as well as wholesale financing services to dealers. The Life Creation and Other Businesses segment manufactures and sells power products, such as general purpose engines, generators, water pumps, lawn mowers, riding mowers, robotic mowers, brush cutters, tillers, snow blowers, outboard marine engines, walking assist devices, and portable battery inverter power sources. This segment also offers HondaJet aircraft. The company also sells spare parts; and provides after-sale services through retail dealers directly, as well as through independent distributors and licensees. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyHonda generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of automobiles and motorcycles. The automotive segment, which includes both passenger cars and light trucks, represents the largest portion of its revenue, driven by popular models such as the Honda Civic and CR-V. The motorcycle segment also contributes significantly, known for its extensive range of motorbikes catering to various markets. Additionally, Honda earns income from power equipment sales, including generators and lawn mowers. The company has strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its product offerings and market reach, including joint ventures in emerging markets. Furthermore, Honda's investment in research and development, particularly in electric and hybrid vehicle technologies, positions it to capitalize on evolving consumer preferences and regulatory trends, contributing to long-term profitability.

Honda Motor Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlights strong growth in motorcycle operations and an optimistic full-year forecast, but these are overshadowed by significant declines in operating profit, automobile losses, and challenges with tariffs and currency impacts.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Operating Profit in Motorcycle Operations
Motorcycle operations saw sales expansion in Brazil and Vietnam, attaining a record high operating profit for a quarter period.
Revised Full Year Forecast
The forecast for the full year results to March 2026 has been revised up to an operating profit of JPY 700 billion and a net profit for the year of JPY 420 billion, a JPY 200 billion increase versus the previous forecast.
Successful Share Buyback
As of July 31, shares worth JPY 936.5 billion have been acquired out of the JPY 1.1 trillion share buyback resolved on December 23, 2024.
Negative Updates
Significant Operating Profit Decline
Operating profit for the fiscal first quarter was JPY 244.1 billion, lower by JPY 240.5 billion compared to the same period last year.
Automobile Operating Losses
Automobile operations experienced operating losses of JPY 29.6 billion, heavily impacted by tariffs and nonrecurring EV expenses.
Currency and Tariff Challenges
Currency effects resulted in a negative impact of JPY 86.1 billion, and the tariffs impact led to a profit decline of JPY 124.6 billion.
Decline in Unit Sales in Key Markets
Automobile unit sales declined in China and other Asian regions, totaling 839,000 units for the quarter.
Company Guidance
In the financial briefing for Honda Motor Company's fiscal first quarter of 2025, CFO Eiji Fujimura reported an operating profit of JPY 244.1 billion, showcasing a record high from motorcycle sales expansion in Brazil and Vietnam. However, automobile operations faced challenges due to tariff impacts and EV-related nonrecurring expenses, leading to operating losses in this segment. The company revised its full-year operating profit forecast to JPY 700 billion, a JPY 200 billion increase from the previous forecast, with net profit expected at JPY 420 billion. The tariff impact was adjusted to JPY 400 billion, and the exchange rate assumption was revised to JPY 140 against the U.S. dollar. The company also highlighted an ongoing share buyback program, having acquired shares worth JPY 936.5 billion. Despite a decline in equity method earnings and profit attributable to the owner of the parent, Honda remains optimistic about improving its earnings structure and expanding profits.

Honda Motor Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is mixed (revenue expanded over 2022–2025 but TTM shows a sharp contraction and weaker net/EBIT margins). Balance sheet is broadly manageable with debt-to-equity ~1.0 (FY2025), though ROE has moderated. Cash flow is the key weakness: volatile/low free cash flow and poor cash conversion versus net income reduce financial flexibility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue expanded strongly from 2022–2025 annual reports, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a sharp revenue contraction (growth rate -0.874), signaling a near-term demand/volume reset. Profitability remains positive but has softened versus the prior year: TTM net margin is ~3.0% and EBIT margin ~5.4% (down from ~5.4% net margin and ~8.3% EBIT margin in FY2024), indicating margin pressure. Gross margin has stayed relatively steady around ~20–22%, which is a stabilizer, but the step-down in operating and net profitability in TTM weighs on the score.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The capital structure looks broadly manageable with equity roughly matching debt in the latest annual period (debt-to-equity ~1.0 in FY2025), and equity has grown versus earlier years. Returns on equity are positive but have moderated (TTM ~5.3% vs ~8.7% in FY2024), suggesting weaker earnings power recently. One data quality flag: TTM debt-to-equity is shown as 0.0 despite sizable debt and equity, so leverage should be interpreted using the annual figures. Overall, balance sheet strength is solid for the industry, but improving returns and containing leverage are key watch items.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash generation has deteriorated meaningfully. TTM operating cash flow is ~¥0.82T and free cash flow is modestly positive (~¥0.11T), but both are weak relative to profits: TTM operating cash flow is only ~7% of debt, and free cash flow is negative versus net income (free cash flow to net income is negative), implying earnings are not currently translating into cash. The latest annual report also showed negative free cash flow, and free cash flow growth is highly volatile/negative, pointing to working-capital swings and/or elevated investment requirements that reduce financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.34T21.69T20.43T16.91T14.55T13.17T
Gross Profit4.37T4.66T4.41T3.33T2.98T2.73T
EBITDA1.77T2.12T2.50T1.64T1.70T1.55T
Net Income496.01B835.84B1.11T651.42B707.07B657.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.85T30.78T29.77T24.67T23.97T21.92T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.03T4.74T5.18T4.07T3.89T3.05T
Total Debt13.24T11.77T10.08T7.62T8.05T8.04T
Total Liabilities20.07T18.15T16.77T13.12T13.20T12.55T
Stockholders Equity12.47T12.33T12.70T11.23T10.47T9.08T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow112.92B-218.65B138.61B1.50T1.23T521.24B
Operating Cash Flow816.57B292.15B747.28B2.13T1.68T1.07T
Investing Cash Flow-840.87B-941.97B-867.27B-678.06B-376.06B-796.88B
Financing Cash Flow-145.77B280.48B918.65B-1.47T-615.72B-283.98B

Honda Motor Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1584.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1580.25
Positive
100DMA
1569.16
Positive
200DMA
1536.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.20
Positive
RSI
50.75
Neutral
STOCH
42.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7267, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1584.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1594.12, above the 50-day MA of 1580.25, and above the 200-day MA of 1536.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7267.

Honda Motor Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.64T11.1312.95%1.85%2.99%9.99%
71
Outperform
¥49.85T13.5012.89%2.78%6.44%11.88%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$5.29T12.905.23%4.41%-0.43%-26.68%
58
Neutral
$2.12T20.909.73%3.61%1.04%-31.52%
57
Neutral
¥1.18T74.941.38%4.17%-1.83%-89.60%
47
Neutral
$1.51T-1.63-16.69%-3.01%-755.71%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7267
Honda Motor Co
1,584.50
234.25
17.35%
JP:7203
Toyota Motor
3,825.00
1,121.01
41.46%
JP:7270
SUBARU
2,966.50
267.49
9.91%
JP:7201
Nissan Motor Co
433.20
2.40
0.56%
JP:7269
Suzuki Motor
2,370.50
551.92
30.35%
JP:7272
Yamaha Motor Co
1,243.00
66.82
5.68%

Honda Motor Co Corporate Events

Honda Consolidates Auto and SDV Development in R&D Arm to Boost Agility
Feb 10, 2026

Honda Motor Co. will transfer its automobile product development and software-defined vehicle functions to its wholly owned subsidiary Honda R&D via a simplified absorption-type company split effective April 1, 2026. The move will merge production model development with advanced technology research into a single end-to-end process, aiming to strengthen Honda’s R&D foundation, speed response to market shifts and support the rollout of more competitive vehicle offerings without affecting capital structure or liability performance.

Because the reorganization occurs between Honda and a wholly owned subsidiary, no shareholder resolution, consideration allotment or capital change is required, and Honda expects no issues with Honda R&D’s ability to meet assumed obligations. By consolidating assets, liabilities and contractual positions tied to automobile and SDV development within Honda R&D, the company is positioning itself to better manage the industry transition toward software-centric vehicles and enhance its long-term competitiveness in the global automotive market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7267) stock is a Hold with a Yen1600.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Honda Motor Co stock, see the JP:7267 Stock Forecast page.

Honda Slashes Profit Outlook as Nine-Month Earnings Slide, Keeps Dividend Plan Intact
Feb 10, 2026

Honda reported consolidated results for the nine months to December 31, 2025 showing sales revenue of ¥15.98 trillion, down 2.2% year on year, with operating profit falling 48.1% to ¥591.5 billion and profit attributable to owners dropping 42.2%, reflecting a sharp deterioration in profitability despite slightly higher comprehensive income. Equity attributable to owners stood at ¥12.47 trillion with an equity ratio of 37.9%, while the company maintained its annual dividend plan at ¥70 per share and cut its full-year earnings forecast, projecting a 2.7% decline in sales and a more than 60% slump in profit, signaling pressure on margins and a more challenging outlook for shareholders and creditors.

The number of treasury shares rose significantly to about 1.39 billion, reducing the average shares outstanding and supporting per-share metrics despite weaker absolute earnings, but basic earnings per share still fell to ¥115.53 for the period. Honda’s revised full-year guidance of ¥550 billion in operating profit and ¥300 billion in profit attributable to owners, both down sharply from the prior year, underlines a tougher operating environment that may weigh on its competitive positioning and capital allocation flexibility even as it keeps dividend payouts stable.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7267) stock is a Hold with a Yen1600.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Honda Motor Co stock, see the JP:7267 Stock Forecast page.

Honda Acquires Additional Stake in Astemo to Boost SDV Capabilities
Dec 16, 2025

Honda Motor Co. has announced its decision to acquire an additional 21% equity interest in Astemo, Ltd., transforming it into a consolidated subsidiary. This strategic move aims to strengthen Honda’s position in the rapidly changing automotive industry, particularly in the development of software-defined vehicles, by leveraging Astemo’s expertise in both hardware and software technologies. The acquisition is expected to enhance Honda’s development capabilities and cost competitiveness, positioning Astemo as a key partner in achieving sustainable growth and solidifying its status as a global mega supplier.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7267) stock is a Buy with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Honda Motor Co stock, see the JP:7267 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026