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Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. (JP:4970)
:4970
Japanese Market

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. (4970) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4970

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd.

(4970)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥9,890.00
▼(-3.42% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamental performance (growth and profitability) but is held back by negative free cash flow and increasing debt. Technicals are strong but look overbought, while valuation is the biggest detractor due to a high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Material year-over-year revenue expansion demonstrates durable end-market demand and successful scaling of product sales. For a specialty-chemicals B2B supplier, multi-year revenue growth signals continued customer qualification, broader adoption of formulations, and stronger negotiating leverage with buyers.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistently negative free cash flow from elevated capex erodes financial flexibility and forces reliance on external financing or asset sales. Over a 2–6 month horizon sustained capex-driven outflows can constrain dividends, limit opportunistic R&D or M&A, and pressure liquidity under adverse cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Material year-over-year revenue expansion demonstrates durable end-market demand and successful scaling of product sales. For a specialty-chemicals B2B supplier, multi-year revenue growth signals continued customer qualification, broader adoption of formulations, and stronger negotiating leverage with buyers.
Read all positive factors

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. (4970) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Toyo Gosei Co.,Ltd. manufactures and sells photosensitive materials for photolithography primarily in Japan. The company offers photosensitive materials primarily for use in the microfabrication of semiconductor integrated circuits and liquid crys...
How the Company Makes Money
Toyo Gosei generates revenue primarily from selling specialty chemical products to business customers (B2B). Its earnings are driven by (1) product sales under supply agreements to manufacturers that incorporate Toyo Gosei’s functional materials i...

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and improved net profit margin support the score, along with a solid equity ratio and improved ROE. Offsetting factors include rising total debt and weak free cash flow (negative in 2025) driven by high capital expenditures.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.50B38.66B31.96B34.16B33.14B27.16B
Gross Profit7.77B9.06B7.60B9.03B8.39B6.21B
EBITDA6.59B7.79B6.29B7.83B7.32B5.28B
Net Income2.81B3.28B2.40B3.83B3.46B2.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.83B66.10B59.72B51.28B47.05B43.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.52B3.60B3.65B3.25B3.68B3.79B
Total Debt21.18B28.55B22.80B18.33B18.55B20.52B
Total Liabilities35.73B41.26B37.90B31.63B30.99B30.89B
Stockholders Equity21.10B24.83B21.82B19.64B16.06B12.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-4.12B-3.02B-29.69M2.39B-1.27B
Operating Cash Flow0.006.79B4.57B3.66B5.81B4.42B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-11.97B-7.59B-3.27B-3.42B-5.69B
Financing Cash Flow0.005.19B3.60B-406.16M-2.56B1.47B

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10240.00
Price Trends
50DMA
9777.20
Positive
100DMA
8315.70
Positive
200DMA
6897.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-59.25
Positive
RSI
51.62
Neutral
STOCH
45.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4970, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10240 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10335.00, above the 50-day MA of 9777.20, and above the 200-day MA of 6897.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -59.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4970.

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥183.33B9.324.41%3.80%-1.50%-32.46%
66
Neutral
¥753.36B10.744.79%4.21%-1.21%-27.21%
65
Neutral
¥81.28B17.820.67%10.18%-14.36%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
¥830.84B3.838.79%2.68%-1.64%
60
Neutral
¥303.86B36.21-4.00%3.71%0.24%-234.36%
60
Neutral
¥497.13B67.201.02%3.37%-1.94%-84.08%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4970
Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd.
10,240.00
4,552.29
80.04%
JP:4061
Denka Co
3,526.00
1,376.88
64.07%
JP:3405
Kuraray Co
1,619.50
-240.53
-12.93%
JP:4005
Sumitomo Chemical Co
507.40
139.58
37.95%
JP:4045
Toagosei Co
1,722.00
319.15
22.75%
JP:4042
Tosoh
2,367.50
281.78
13.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026