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Sumitomo Chemical Co (JP:4005)
:4005

Sumitomo Chemical Co (4005) AI Stock Analysis

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Sumitomo Chemical Co

(OTC:4005)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
¥360.00
▲(4.53%Upside)
Sumitomo Chemical's overall stock score reflects a strong recovery as highlighted in the earnings call, which is the most significant factor. While the financial performance shows mixed signals, the reasonable valuation and neutral technical analysis support a moderately positive outlook. However, challenges like anticipated revenue decreases and increased finance expenses are concerns moving forward.

Sumitomo Chemical Co (4005) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sumitomo Chemical Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. is a leading global chemical company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. It operates in various sectors including petrochemicals, energy, health and crop sciences, IT-related chemicals, and specialty chemicals. The company provides a diverse range of products and solutions that cater to industries such as agriculture, pharmaceuticals, automotive, electronics, and consumer goods, among others. Sumitomo Chemical is committed to sustainable development and innovation, leveraging its extensive research and development capabilities to address global challenges and create value for society.
How the Company Makes MoneySumitomo Chemical Co. generates revenue through its diversified portfolio of chemical products and solutions. The company operates in five major business segments: Petrochemicals & Plastics, Energy & Functional Materials, IT-related Chemicals, Health & Crop Sciences, and Pharmaceuticals. Each segment contributes to the company's earnings through the sale of products such as petrochemical raw materials, agricultural chemicals, electronic materials, and active pharmaceutical ingredients. Sumitomo Chemical also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures, enhancing its market reach and technological capabilities. The company's focus on research and development, along with its commitment to innovation and sustainability, plays a crucial role in driving its profitability and competitive advantage in the global market.

Sumitomo Chemical Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -5.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a significant financial recovery and improved performance across various segments in fiscal 2024. However, challenges such as anticipated revenue decreases in FY 2025, increased finance expenses, and the impact of exchange rates and U.S. tariffs suggest mixed prospects moving forward.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
V-Shaped Financial Recovery
Core operating income for fiscal 2024 was JPY140.5 billion, marking a significant improvement of approximately JPY290.0 billion from the previous year, which saw a core operating loss of JPY149.0 billion.
Revenue Increase Across All Segments
Sales revenue totaled JPY2,606.3 billion, an increase of JPY159.4 billion year-on-year, with all segments reporting an increase in revenue.
Significant Improvement in Non-Recurring Items
Non-recurring items improved by JPY392.3 billion compared to the previous year, resulting in a total gain of JPY52.5 billion on non-recurring items.
Free Cash Flow Turnaround
Free cash flow was positive JPY318.3 billion, a JPY481.8 billion improvement from the negative JPY163.6 billion in the previous fiscal year.
Positive Outlook for Core Operating Income
The company expects core operating income for FY 2025 to be JPY150 billion, an increase of about JPY10 billion compared to FY 2024.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Income Forecast
Operating income is expected to decrease by JPY88 billion year-on-year to JPY105 billion for FY 2025.
Revenue Decrease Anticipated in FY 2025
Sales revenue is expected to decrease by JPY266.3 billion year-on-year to JPY2.34 trillion in FY 2025, with a decrease expected in all segments.
Impact of Exchange Rates and Tariffs
A strong yen and U.S. tariff policy are expected to negatively impact core operating income, with a projected JPY10 billion impact included in the forecast.
Financial Expenses Increase
Finance expenses amounted to JPY134.9 billion, a deterioration of JPY161.0 billion from the previous fiscal year, mainly due to losses related to the waiver of loans to Petro Rabigh.
Company Guidance
In the conference call held on May 14, 2025, Keigo Sasaki of Sumitomo Chemical presented the financial results for fiscal year 2024, highlighting a significant V-shaped recovery. Core operating income for FY 2024 was JPY140.5 billion, a stark improvement from the JPY149.0 billion loss in FY 2023, marking an approximately JPY290.0 billion year-on-year increase. Sales revenue reached JPY2,606.3 billion, up JPY159.4 billion from the previous year. Non-recurring items yielded a gain of JPY52.5 billion, with a notable improvement of JPY392.3 billion compared to the previous fiscal year. Despite finance expenses increasing by JPY161.0 billion, primarily due to losses from Petro Rabigh, net income attributable to owners was JPY38.6 billion, a JPY350.4 billion improvement. The company expects FY 2025 core operating income to rise to JPY150 billion, with a focus on achieving JPY200 billion by FY 2027, amid challenges like an appreciating yen and periodic plant maintenance at Petro Rabigh. The call also addressed the anticipated decrease in sales revenue to JPY2.34 trillion for FY 2025, alongside an expected increase in net income to JPY40 billion.

Sumitomo Chemical Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sumitomo Chemical is navigating a challenging financial landscape with mixed performance across key financial metrics. While there is a solid asset base, profitability and cash flow stability need attention. Strategic focus on managing debt and improving operational efficiency could enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sumitomo Chemical's income statement shows moderate performance with some volatility. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but the company experienced significant fluctuations in net income resulting in negative net profit margins in recent years. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, and EBIT margins reflect a challenging operating environment.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a strong asset base with stable equity levels, but the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, suggesting significant leverage. Return on equity has been volatile due to fluctuating net income, impacting overall financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals volatile free cash flow figures with recent improvement. Operating cash flow has been inconsistent, affecting the company’s ability to cover net income effectively. There is potential for improvement if current free cash flow trends continue.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.61T2.45T2.90T2.77T2.29T
Gross Profit725.48B499.69B820.93B873.86B771.20B
EBITDA321.64B-258.31B199.08B388.68B306.28B
Net Income38.59B-311.84B6.99B162.13B46.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.44T3.93T4.17T4.31T3.99T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.84B217.45B337.08B389.42B373.73B
Total Debt1.29T1.56T1.46T1.35T1.35T
Total Liabilities2.37T2.77T2.68T2.61T2.51T
Stockholders Equity900.79B965.75B1.17T1.22T1.02T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow102.56B-204.19B-31.96B64.25B253.65B
Operating Cash Flow233.03B-51.32B111.62B171.72B374.46B
Investing Cash Flow85.23B-112.24B-19.41B-115.42B-177.39B
Financing Cash Flow-300.78B49.25B-178.50B-81.39B-39.97B

Sumitomo Chemical Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price344.40
Price Trends
50DMA
339.82
Positive
100DMA
341.29
Positive
200DMA
356.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Positive
RSI
52.85
Neutral
STOCH
37.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4005, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 344.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 341.64, above the 50-day MA of 339.82, and below the 200-day MA of 356.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4005.

Sumitomo Chemical Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (70)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$9.35T17.5811.81%2.24%6.06%3.97%
76
Outperform
€592.55B13.8918.55%4.78%10.88%14.80%
72
Outperform
$1.06T23.552.49%4.29%0.46%-62.37%
70
Neutral
¥172.92B11.046.37%3.58%3.93%6.24%
69
Neutral
$1.38T10.397.25%3.93%9.06%210.11%
65
Neutral
$593.65B27.242.92%2.94%5.25%-59.70%
61
Neutral
¥563.70B14.603.96%3.48%6.51%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4005
Sumitomo Chemical Co
344.40
4.77
1.41%
JP:4021
Nissan Chemical
4,351.00
-441.41
-9.21%
JP:3405
Kuraray Co
1,833.00
13.74
0.76%
JP:4063
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co
4,738.00
-1,372.94
-22.47%
JP:3407
Asahi Kasei
1,018.00
25.44
2.56%
JP:4188
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings
745.00
-139.19
-15.74%

Sumitomo Chemical Co Corporate Events

Sumitomo Chemical Announces New Share Issuance for Restricted Stock Compensation
Jun 20, 2025

Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. has announced the issuance of new shares as part of its Restricted Stock Compensation Plan, aimed at incentivizing its board members and executive officers to enhance corporate value. The plan involves issuing 696,791 shares at 344 yen per share, with a total issuance amount of 239,696,104 yen, and is designed to align the interests of eligible officers with those of shareholders through restricted stock allotments.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4005) stock is a Hold with a Yen370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sumitomo Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4005 Stock Forecast page.

Sumitomo Chemical Announces Leadership Change
May 14, 2025

Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. has announced a change in its leadership, appointing Keigo Sasaki as the new Representative Director. This decision, aimed at strengthening the company’s management structure, will be finalized at the upcoming General Meeting of Shareholders and subsequent Board of Directors meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4005) stock is a Hold with a Yen370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sumitomo Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4005 Stock Forecast page.

Sumitomo Chemical Proposes Amendments to Enhance Governance
May 14, 2025

Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. has announced a proposal for partial amendments to its Articles of Incorporation, which will be discussed at the upcoming General Meeting of Shareholders on June 20, 2025. The proposed changes include transitioning to a company with an Audit and Supervisory Committee, establishing new provisions for directors and decision-making processes, and allowing for more flexible resolutions by the Board of Directors. These amendments aim to enhance the company’s governance structure and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4005) stock is a Hold with a Yen370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sumitomo Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4005 Stock Forecast page.

Sumitomo Chemical Reports Impairment and Forex Losses in Q4 FY2024
May 14, 2025

Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. announced significant impairment losses and finance expenses for the fourth quarter of FY2024. The impairment losses, totaling ¥20,802 million, were primarily due to decreased profitability in their advanced medical solutions and essential materials sectors, as well as the devaluation of patent rights. Additionally, a foreign exchange loss of ¥26,342 million was recorded, impacting the company’s financial results due to fluctuations in foreign currency valuations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4005) stock is a Hold with a Yen370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sumitomo Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4005 Stock Forecast page.

Sumitomo Chemical Reports Strong FY 2024 Financial Results
May 14, 2025

Sumitomo Chemical Co. reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year 2024, highlighting a significant improvement in financial performance compared to the previous year. The company achieved a sales revenue of ¥2,606,281 million, marking a 6.5% increase from FY 2023, and a notable recovery in net income attributable to owners of the parent, which stood at ¥38,591 million. This positive financial outcome reflects the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its operational efficiency and market positioning, benefiting stakeholders and reinforcing its industry standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4005) stock is a Hold with a Yen370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sumitomo Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4005 Stock Forecast page.

Sumitomo Chemical Reports Financial Variances in Subsidiaries
May 13, 2025

Sumitomo Chemical Co. reported variances in the non-consolidated financial results of its subsidiaries for fiscal years 2024 and 2023. Sumitomo Pharma Co., Ltd. saw significant improvements in net sales and income due to increased sales in North America and China, alongside reduced expenses. Taoka Chemical Co., Ltd. experienced growth in sales and income driven by higher sales of resin raw materials and cost-cutting measures. The overall impact on Sumitomo Chemical’s consolidated financial forecast is considered immaterial.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4005) stock is a Hold with a Yen370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sumitomo Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4005 Stock Forecast page.

Sumitomo Chemical Revises Financial Forecast Upwards for FY 2025
Apr 30, 2025

Sumitomo Chemical has revised its financial forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, reflecting improved performance across several segments. The company anticipates higher core operating income and net income due to increased sales in North America for its prostate cancer therapeutic agent and higher shipments of display-related materials. These adjustments indicate a positive outlook for the company’s financial health and strategic positioning in its industry.

Sumitomo Chemical’s Strategic Move in Asian Market
Apr 1, 2025

Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. announced a strategic move involving its subsidiary, Sumitomo Pharma Co., Ltd., which plans to establish a new wholly-owned subsidiary to manage its Asian business. This business will undergo a simplified absorption-type company split, with 60% of the new company’s shares to be transferred to Marubeni Global Pharma Inc. The agreements are expected to strengthen Sumitomo’s financial foundation and leverage Marubeni’s global network for further growth, although the immediate financial impact is deemed immaterial.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025