Tosoh Corporation (JP:4042)
:4042
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Tosoh
(4042)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,801.00
▲(16.10% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened and cyclical financial performance plus uneven cash generation, despite a solid balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, but overbought signals temper the outlook. Valuation is fair with a supportive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Tosoh's mix of commodity (chlor-alkali, petrochemicals, cement) and specialty (electronics, life sciences, separation media) reduces single-market dependence. This diversification smooths revenue cyclicality and lets management allocate capital to higher-return specialty growth over multi-quarter cycles.
Negative Factors
Cyclical revenue volatility
A large FY2026 revenue drop underscores exposure to commodity cycles and end-market softness. Such volatility makes forecasting investment returns and margins harder, pressuring capital allocation and potentially forcing cost or asset adjustments over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
Tosoh's mix of commodity (chlor-alkali, petrochemicals, cement) and specialty (electronics, life sciences, separation media) reduces single-market dependence. This diversification smooths revenue cyclicality and lets management allocate capital to higher-return specialty growth over multi-quarter cycles.
Read all positive factors
Tosoh (4042) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥875.08B
Dividend Yield4.21%
Average Volume (3M)1.42M
Price to Earnings (P/E)20.6
Beta (1Y)0.85
Revenue Growth-4.09%
EPS Growth-27.31%
CountryJP
Employees14,394
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryChemicals
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)132.38
Shares Outstanding325,080,960
10 Day Avg. Volume1,159,440
30 Day Avg. Volume1,423,120
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.64
Price to Book (P/B)0.87
Price to Sales (P/S)0.71
P/FCF Ratio16.26
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥2,700.00Price Target Upside11.92% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)192.77
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥1.07T
Tosoh Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tosoh Corporation manufactures and sells basic chemicals, petrochemicals, specialty products, and fine chemicals worldwide. It operates through four segments: Petrochemical, Chlor-Alkali, Specialty, and Engineering. The company provides materials,...
How the Company Makes Money
Tosoh makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemicals and materials across multiple business segments. A major revenue stream comes from its chlor-alkali chain, where it produces and sells basic chemicals (notably caustic soda and chl...
Tosoh Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.02T | 1.06T | 1.01T | 1.06T | 918.58B |
| Gross Profit | 261.03B | 253.95B | 222.19B | 215.51B | 269.04B |
| EBITDA | 143.61B | 146.41B | 124.36B | 117.67B | 184.71B |
| Net Income | 41.62B | 58.00B | 57.33B | 50.34B | 107.94B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.41T | 1.33T | 1.29T | 1.19T | 1.09T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 179.62B | 141.55B | 149.81B | 120.15B | 161.52B |
| Total Debt | 228.91B | 185.46B | 183.13B | 182.96B | 95.22B |
| Total Liabilities | 489.81B | 424.88B | 431.18B | 400.05B | 327.94B |
| Stockholders Equity | 831.79B | 827.11B | 794.56B | 738.89B | 709.10B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 44.73B | 26.35B | 58.26B | -95.86B | 64.13B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 114.56B | 106.24B | 116.97B | -16.24B | 108.61B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -72.13B | -81.57B | -59.94B | -78.73B | -43.52B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -9.71B | -37.92B | -31.22B | 50.17B | -57.85B |
Tosoh Technical Analysis
Positive
2412.50
Price Trends
2462.17
Positive
2474.31
Positive
2347.92
Positive
Market Momentum
64.53
Negative
64.91
Neutral
86.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4042, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2412.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2617.92, below the 50-day MA of 2462.17, and above the 200-day MA of 2347.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 64.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4042.
Tosoh Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
83 Outperform | ¥15.31T | 30.35 | 11.19% | 2.17% | 0.50% | -6.23% | |
66 Neutral | ¥2.43T | 15.26 | 8.29% | 2.89% | 1.22% | 19.36% | |
64 Neutral | ¥875.08B | 20.61 | 4.79% | 4.21% | -4.09% | -27.31% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | ¥999.17B | 16.30 | 8.79% | 2.68% | -10.66% | 57.43% | |
56 Neutral | ¥385.81B | 24.59 | -4.00% | 3.71% | -4.00% | ― | |
53 Neutral | ¥1.52T | 133.33 | 1.09% | 3.50% | -15.96% | -74.31% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
JP:4042
Tosoh
2,750.00
730.41
36.17%
JP:3407
Asahi Kasei
1,787.00
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82.76%
JP:4061
Denka Co
4,477.00
2,523.84
129.22%
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1,147.00
421.87
58.18%
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Shin-Etsu Chemical Co
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Sumitomo Chemical Co
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276.65
82.94%
Tosoh Corporate Events
Tosoh Outlines Fiscal 2026 Reporting Scope and Cautions on Forward-Looking Data
May 13, 2026
Tosoh Corporation has released headline information indicating the coverage period for its fiscal 2026 results, spanning April 1, 2025, to March 31, 2026, and clarified that the disclosed document is an English translation of selected portions of ...
Tosoh Taps Veteran Executive Kiuchi as New Representative Director
May 13, 2026
Tosoh Corporation has announced a change in its top management, appointing executive vice president Takafumi Kiuchi as representative director and executive vice president, effective June 25, 2026. Kiuchi, a company veteran since 1988, has led key...
Tosoh Posts Lower Profit but Keeps Dividend, Holds Back Guidance Amid Uncertainty
May 13, 2026
Tosoh reported consolidated net sales of ¥1.02 trillion for the year ended March 31, 2026, down 4.1% year on year, with operating income slipping 3.4% to ¥95.5 billion and ordinary income rising 3.6% to ¥106.8 billion. Profit attrib...
Tosoh Lifts Full-Year Earnings Forecast on Weaker Yen and Stronger Overseas Demand
Apr 21, 2026
Tosoh has raised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, citing stronger-than-expected overseas demand and a progressively weaker yen that is boosting net sales. The company now expects net sales of ¥1.01...
Tosoh Completes ¥25 Billion Share Buyback Program
Mar 25, 2026
Tosoh Corporation has completed a share repurchase program authorized by its board in August 2025, acquiring 746,700 common shares between March 1 and March 24, 2026 through market purchases under a discretionary trading contract. This latest tran...
Tosoh Nears Cap on ¥25 Billion Share Buyback Program
Mar 5, 2026
Tosoh Corporation has disclosed progress on its ongoing share buyback program authorized by its board in August 2025, which allows for the repurchase of up to 17 million common shares, or 5.34% of its outstanding stock, for a maximum of 25 billion...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.